Lowpe
Posts: 22133
Joined: 2/25/2013 Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: Barb One of the less known things in this game is that major Japanese ground reinforcements (IRL for Philippines, Formosa, Ryukyu, etc) are scheduled to arrive at about mid-1944 to early-1945. I doubt that their arrival was moved up for half a year or so. Very true, and it also works both ways...for example Formosa gets a big slug of ground troops in early 45, but now in this case they will arrive in Tokyo a month or so later instead of on a starving POW island. That CR should make his decision to invade or not invade, based upon the meta I think is wrong for this particular game, but I suspect there are games going now where that is perfectly correct. Certainly a lot of JFB's play the meta in the first few months of the war to a shocking degree, but the Allies almost never play the meta at the end I suspect for the simple reason so few players get here. Japanese ground forces (i.e. infantry) really expands very strongly from Nov 43 thru July 44 (mods vary) and then tails off drastically until 45. If memory serves almost all of these troops are raw recruits with 30/30 morale and training roughly. Places like Rangoon get reinforcements very late into the game. Where Japan really takes it hard, are those deep offensives that start prior to 1944 as Japan simply lacks the ground forces to garrison Marianas, Kuriles, SRA, PI unless China falls (and rather early) or Burma is not a major unit soak. The other area where Japan can take it very hard from the Allied early success is in AA. A huge amount of AA arrives to counter the arrival of the B29 for Japan this is April of 1944. Plus the big AA TOE expansions of units (to 12.7 guns, Yokohama and Hiroshima static units, AA being added to the aviation units (especially Army). It takes several months for Yokohama's unit to reach full strength for example. There simply is not enough AA to protect the SRA, the troops and Honshu prior to 4/44 so if the Allies can threaten all those areas prior to 4/44 it is real hard for Japan (happened to me, for example). In this game, CR was threatening Ternate and stalemated just past Changsha in China in mid Nov of 1943 just as Japan's infantry was starting her expansion with recruits. For whatever reasons, Japan has done exceedingly well to the point prior to the fall of Ningpo. Ningpo is a bitter loss for Japan. To me, the only invasion that Japan should have sent everything in to counter was the Ningpo invasion. But even here, I can understand why they didn't pull the trigger. This is not a zero sum game...both sides can be, and usually are, winners -- especially if they reach this point in the game. There is still a lot of game left in this game, with the potential to shift dramatically one way, or the other still. Have fun!
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