Bullwinkle58
Posts: 11302
Joined: 2/24/2009 Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: Canoerebel Tough decision, this. I've worked to create this opportunity but it is by no means optimal. Prudence or boldness here? What does the game call for? What does the war call for? Best case, 100% loss of all his forces, 0% yours, what do you gain in VPs? What is that relative to other VP opportunities tomorrow? Next week? Middle case, 50% loss by both of you. He wins on a 2:1 basis and prolongs the game. Worst case, 0% loss to him, 100% loss to you. How many VPs? x2 to regain status quo. What capabilities do you lose permanently? The thing I would consider is the date. Dinking around with things like this, or going to Manchuria, getting some, giving some (always at x2), while you creep closer to June 1 without ending this thing. Then you're one summer away from losing any chance of a decisive. End it. You have the tools and position in Asia to finish the game. Then he can start another, you can focus on your other, or start a second. But this is over. You're just fiddling because you (and he) like to maneuver TFs. That may be fun, but it's not the goal. The goal is to beat Japan. Taking Shanghai is a HUGE move forward in position, AF capability, supply dumpage, and the ability to crank the bombing campaign into 5th gear. Sanitize the region around Shanghai, move in the tonnage, and then the planes, and burn him down. End of game. End of story. This is a frolic.
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The Moose
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