Slitherine

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lowpe

quote:

ORIGINAL: JocMeister
But I´m starting to suspect you and Lowpe are right. He may be done with his expansion and settling in for a defensive war with counter attacks instead of overreaching and opening up for allied attacks along an extended LOC and too many positions to defend.

I think he will fill in and finish off the basic conquering, but he certainly can still launch offensives, and major ones.

You may or may not get sigint warnings depending upon how crafty he wants to be.

Watch out for his paratroopers and fast transport amphib operations, it is a way for him to gain access to a base without prep and thus sigint warnings. Then the follow on divisions can be quite nasty.

quote:

ORIGINAL: JocMeister

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lowpe

quote:

ORIGINAL: JocMeister
But I´m starting to suspect you and Lowpe are right. He may be done with his expansion and settling in for a defensive war with counter attacks instead of overreaching and opening up for allied attacks along an extended LOC and too many positions to defend.

I think he will fill in and finish off the basic conquering, but he certainly can still launch offensives, and major ones.

You may or may not get sigint warnings depending upon how crafty he wants to be.

Watch out for his paratroopers and fast transport amphib operations, it is a way for him to gain access to a base without prep and thus sigint warnings. Then the follow on divisions can be quite nasty.

Good advice!

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lokasenna

quote:

ORIGINAL: JocMeister

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lowpe

quote:

ORIGINAL: JocMeister
But I´m starting to suspect you and Lowpe are right. He may be done with his expansion and settling in for a defensive war with counter attacks instead of overreaching and opening up for allied attacks along an extended LOC and too many positions to defend.

I think he will fill in and finish off the basic conquering, but he certainly can still launch offensives, and major ones.

You may or may not get sigint warnings depending upon how crafty he wants to be.

Watch out for his paratroopers and fast transport amphib operations, it is a way for him to gain access to a base without prep and thus sigint warnings. Then the follow on divisions can be quite nasty.

Good advice!

You can still get sig int on the units loading on the Fast Transport, and I believe that even though Fast Transport may avoid CD gunfire it can still suffer disruption upon landing? Also, they are typically transported with little or no supply, which can be really rough. FT TFs have their uses, but the initial wave of a truly contested landing isn't really one of them, IMO. Or even the second wave.

FWIW, in my game against Arto he had 2 or 3 divisions prepped to retake Tabiteuea, which I had only lightly garrisoned and in the midst of a bunch of other, larger garrisons in the Gilberts. I never got a sig int hit on them, or at least not one that I noticed. If I had, I would have distributed my forces differently.

Well, that's not true. I did get a sig int hit on one of the divisions...the day after the base fell. 29th Division is located at Tabiteuea - thanks boys, I knew that already!

quote:

Morning Air attack on 15th Division, at 81,40 , near Ankang

Weather in hex: Overcast

Raid spotted at 19 NM, estimated altitude 9,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 6 minutes

Allied aircraft
SB-III x 15
Hudson I x 3

No Allied losses

Japanese ground losses:
160 casualties reported
Squads: 0 destroyed, 9 disabled
Non Combat: 1 destroyed, 8 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled

quote:

Morning Air attack on 37th Division, at 81,40 , near Ankang

Weather in hex: Overcast

Raid spotted at 8 NM, estimated altitude 8,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 2 minutes

Allied aircraft
Hudson I x 9

No Allied losses

Japanese ground losses:
158 casualties reported
Squads: 0 destroyed, 8 disabled
Non Combat: 1 destroyed, 7 disabled
Engineers: 1 destroyed, 0 disabled

quote:

Ground combat at 81,40 (near Ankang)

Japanese Deliberate attack

Attacking force 43987 troops, 470 guns, 361 vehicles, Assault Value = 1217

Defending force 17240 troops, 125 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 333

Japanese adjusted assault: 158

Allied adjusted defense: 565

Japanese assault odds: 1 to 3

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), leaders(+), fatigue(-), experience(-)
supply(-)
Attacker: supply(-)

Japanese ground losses:
935 casualties reported
Squads: 12 destroyed, 37 disabled
Non Combat: 1 destroyed, 8 disabled
Engineers: 2 destroyed, 4 disabled
Guns lost 5 (1 destroyed, 4 disabled)

Allied ground losses:
795 casualties reported
Squads: 15 destroyed, 33 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 18 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
Guns lost 33 (7 destroyed, 26 disabled)

Assaulting units:
37th Division
15th Division
3rd Ind.Mixed Brigade

Defending units:
18th Chinese Corps
84th Chinese Corps
3rd Heavy Mortar Regiment

quote:

Submarine attack near Miri at 65,84

Japanese Ships
AK Sakito Maru, Torpedo hits 1, on fire, heavy damage

Allied Ships
SS O20

Japanese ground losses:
17 casualties reported
Squads: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
Non Combat: 1 destroyed, 0 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
Guns lost 1 (1 destroyed, 0 disabled)

AK Sakito Maru is sighted by SS O20
SS O20 launches 2 torpedoes at AK Sakito Maru

quote:

Submarine attack near Miri at 65,84

Japanese Ships
AK Yamasimo Maru, Torpedo hits 1

Allied Ships
SS O20

Japanese ground losses:
17 casualties reported
Squads: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
Non Combat: 1 destroyed, 0 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled

AK Yamasimo Maru is sighted by SS O20
SS O20 launches 2 torpedoes at AK Yamasimo Maru

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lokasenna

You can still get sig int on the units loading on the Fast Transport, and I believe that even though Fast Transport may avoid CD gunfire it can still suffer disruption upon landing? Also, they are typically transported with little or no supply, which can be really rough. FT TFs have their uses, but the initial wave of a truly contested landing isn't really one of them, IMO. Or even the second wave.

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lowpe

Your two air attacks drained his supply enough to give him some malus -- probably more than you think.

In that area of China, it is awful difficult and slow to keep IJA supplied for offensive actions, especially if he is bombing a lot.

Do what you can to target his supplies in this area...that is his weak link here.

quote:

ORIGINAL: aztez
...but it seems that you are still holding out at Changhsa region and I assume there are substantial AV values there just sitting around.

Maybe to consider pulling out from there and make a new perimeter closer to Chungking. What's that base behind the river in central region.

You most likely can pull out substantial force and still have strong new defensive line there. Also his supply routes would become longer and tougher to maintain the push.

Just an thought since Changhsa is lost cause anyways if the northern flank falls...

quote:

ORIGINAL: offenseman

He got a supply (-) on that attack. Very nice news there.

He is building up BFs in Batavia? I've lost track of the map, has he taken Christmas Island IO yet? If not he may be aiming to do so soon.

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lowpe

Your two air attacks drained his supply enough to give him some malus -- probably more than you think.

In that area of China, it is awful difficult and slow to keep IJA supplied for offensive actions, especially if he is bombing a lot.

Do what you can to target his supplies in this area...that is his weak link here.

quote:

ORIGINAL: JockMeister

Recapture Noumea

This may very well turn out to be impossible if Tom decides to put up a fight here. All he needs is to park the KB in the area and I can do very little but look on from afar. But if he does other opportunities will open up...

quote:


Ground combat at 81,40 (near Ankang)

Japanese Deliberate attack

Attacking force 36133 troops, 431 guns, 361 vehicles, Assault Value = 1072

Defending force 16736 troops, 118 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 297

Japanese adjusted assault: 574

Allied adjusted defense: 589

Japanese assault odds: 1 to 2

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), morale(-), experience(-), supply(-)
Attacker:

Japanese ground losses:
2749 casualties reported
Squads: 25 destroyed, 143 disabled
Non Combat: 2 destroyed, 8 disabled
Engineers: 9 destroyed, 22 disabled
Guns lost 27 (5 destroyed, 22 disabled)
Vehicles lost 9 (1 destroyed, 8 disabled)

Allied ground losses:
285 casualties reported
Squads: 1 destroyed, 23 disabled
Non Combat: 1 destroyed, 2 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
Guns lost 10 (5 destroyed, 5 disabled)

Assaulting units:
15th Division
37th Division
3rd Ind.Mixed Brigade

Defending units:
18th Chinese Corps
84th Chinese Corps
3rd Heavy Mortar Regiment

quote:

Ground combat at Soerabaja (56,104)

Japanese Deliberate attack

Attacking force 5172 troops, 50 guns, 16 vehicles, Assault Value = 154

Defending force 8338 troops, 59 guns, 42 vehicles, Assault Value = 175

Japanese engineers reduce fortifications to 2

Japanese adjusted assault: 67

Allied adjusted defense: 90

Japanese assault odds: 1 to 2 (fort level 2)

Combat modifiers
Defender: forts(+), leaders(-), experience(-)
Attacker: leaders(+), disruption(-)

Japanese ground losses:
439 casualties reported
Squads: 1 destroyed, 25 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 2 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 5 disabled

Allied ground losses:
56 casualties reported
Squads: 0 destroyed, 11 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled

Assaulting units:
2nd/A Division

Defending units:
Roodenburg Battalion
Marinier Battalion
2nd KNIL Landstorm Battalion
3rd KNIL Landstorm Battalion
Afdeling Ritman
Van Altena Battalion
Soerabaja Defenses
NI-MLD
Soerabaja KM Base Force
Madoeng Defenses

quote:

Ground combat at Madioen (54,104)

Japanese Deliberate attack

Attacking force 12443 troops, 285 guns, 101 vehicles, Assault Value = 916

Defending force 10408 troops, 86 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 235

Japanese adjusted assault: 163

Allied adjusted defense: 145

Japanese assault odds: 1 to 1 (fort level 1)

Japanese Assault reduces fortifications to 0

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), leaders(-), preparation(-), morale(-)
experience(-)
Attacker:

Japanese ground losses:
1003 casualties reported
Squads: 5 destroyed, 57 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 4 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 7 disabled

Allied ground losses:
124 casualties reported
Squads: 2 destroyed, 15 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 3 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled

Assaulting units:
2nd/B Division
56th Division
2nd/C Division
1st RF Gun Battalion
3rd Medium Field Artillery Regiment
3rd Mortar Battalion
25th Army
3rd Ind. Mountain Gun Regiment
5th Mortar Battalion
18th Medium Field Artillery Regiment
14th Ind.Art.Mortar Battalion

Defending units:
4th KNIL Regiment
Lijfwacht Cav Sqn
Barisan KNIL Regiment
Tjilatjap KNIL Battalion
6th KNIL Regiment
3/2nd Avn Sup Afd
2/4th Avn Sup Afd
1/4th Avn Sup Afd
Semarang Base Force
3/4th Avn Sup Afd
Mobiele Eenheid Battalion
Tjilitap KM Base Force
Andir ML Base Force
7th Avn Sup Afd

quote:

ORIGINAL: obvert
One thing you can do in this case is bring every US sub, especially the S-boats, into the region. Although they may not hit much, it can cause a considerable amount of anxiety to see twenty subs in range to the KB, especially if they get an attack or tow against something important. One hit down here and it's a long road back to the Home Islands.

quote:

ORIGINAL: Encircled

Remember that your opponent will know the upgrade dates for your carriers as well.

If he's going for Samoa, then he might be waiting for that.

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lokasenna
Best of luck holding the Andamans. Unless you can get Blair's AF built up, it's pretty much impossible to hold with 1 AF against several capable of bombing you out. And if he sees you building up Blair's AF, he should come for you hard and fast.

quote:

Yeah, but he will need to bring the full KB for that. And if he does my navy will have to stand aside and watch anyway.

quote:

ORIGINAL: Encircled
I thought that it was your "line in the sand"

Carriers + LBA + SCTF gives you your best chance of inflicting damage on him

quote:

Ground combat at Madioen (54,104)

Japanese Deliberate attack

Attacking force 31568 troops, 478 guns, 176 vehicles, Assault Value = 858

Defending force 10240 troops, 86 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 219

Japanese adjusted assault: 402

Allied adjusted defense: 178

Japanese assault odds: 2 to 1 (fort level 0)

Japanese forces CAPTURE Madioen !!!

Allied aircraft
no flights

Allied aircraft losses
75A-7 Hawk: 8 destroyed
CW-21B Demon: 8 destroyed
B-339D: 7 destroyed
L-18 Lodestar: 12 destroyed

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), leaders(-), preparation(-), experience(-)
Attacker:

Japanese ground losses:
295 casualties reported
Squads: 0 destroyed, 51 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 4 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 4 disabled

Allied ground losses:
7801 casualties reported
Squads: 205 destroyed, 26 disabled
Non Combat: 274 destroyed, 5 disabled
Engineers: 23 destroyed, 0 disabled
Guns lost 25 (15 destroyed, 10 disabled)
Units retreated 10
Units destroyed 3

quote:

ORIGINAL: Sangeli

That flanking maneuver in China that the IJA is attempting is likely not going to accomplish much. Because he has no roads he lacks the ability to change the focal point of his attack without giving you time to react. The Japanese movement along the dirt road to the north leading to the Chungking basin is more of a concern. Why have your units lingered so long on the Ankang road south of that junction? Had they pulled back earlier they could be defending along the main axis leading toward the Chungking basin rather than out of supply and nearly cut off.

quote:


Ground combat at 83,44 (near Ankang)

Japanese Deliberate attack

Attacking force 42615 troops, 919 guns, 580 vehicles, Assault Value = 901

Defending force 25595 troops, 168 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 442

Japanese adjusted assault: 725

Allied adjusted defense: 259

Japanese assault odds: 2 to 1

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), disruption(-), fatigue(-), experience(-)
supply(-)
Attacker:

Japanese ground losses:
758 casualties reported
Squads: 14 destroyed, 30 disabled
Non Combat: 5 destroyed, 23 disabled
Engineers: 2 destroyed, 2 disabled
Vehicles lost 43 (10 destroyed, 33 disabled)
Units pursuing 1

Allied ground losses:
8499 casualties reported
Squads: 124 destroyed, 12 disabled
Non Combat: 141 destroyed, 15 disabled
Engineers: 14 destroyed, 7 disabled
Guns lost 27 (21 destroyed, 6 disabled)
Units retreated 6

quote:

Ground combat at 81,39 (near Tienshui)

Japanese Deliberate attack

Attacking force 41230 troops, 782 guns, 629 vehicles, Assault Value = 866

Defending force 31173 troops, 182 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 503

Japanese adjusted assault: 511

Allied adjusted defense: 274

Japanese assault odds: 1 to 1

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), experience(-), supply(-)
Attacker:

Japanese ground losses:
857 casualties reported
Squads: 11 destroyed, 69 disabled
Non Combat: 2 destroyed, 4 disabled
Engineers: 1 destroyed, 7 disabled
Guns lost 11 (1 destroyed, 10 disabled)

Allied ground losses:
427 casualties reported
Squads: 5 destroyed, 36 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 5 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
Guns lost 4 (3 destroyed, 1 disabled)

Assaulting units:
17th Division
110th Division
6th Medium Field Artillery Regiment
20th Medium Field Artillery Regiment
Botanko Hvy Gun Regiment
22nd Medium Field Artillery Regiment
8th Mountain Gun Regiment
3rd Hvy.Artillery Regiment
2nd Hvy.Artillery Regiment
4th Medium Field Artillery Regiment
5th Medium Field Artillery Regiment
10th Medium Field Artillery Regiment

Defending units:
75th Chinese Corps
68th Chinese Corps
82nd Chinese Corps
84th Chinese Corps
4th Heavy Mortar Regiment
Jingcha War Area
41st AA Regiment

quote:

Morning Air attack on Sydney , at 90,167

Weather in hex: Moderate rain

Raid detected at 76 NM, estimated altitude 18,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 30 minutes

Japanese aircraft
A6M2 Zero x 28
G3M2 Nell x 69

Allied aircraft
Kittyhawk IA x 16
P-39D Airacobra x 44

Japanese aircraft losses
A6M2 Zero: 3 destroyed
G3M2 Nell: 14 destroyed

Allied aircraft losses
P-39D Airacobra: 1 destroyed

Resources hits 6
Fires 793

quote:

[size=1]Morning Air attack on Sydney , at 90,167

Weather in hex: Moderate rain

Raid detected at 34 NM, estimated altitude 17,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 13 minutes

Japanese aircraft
A6M2 Zero x 44
G3M2 Nell x 36

Allied aircraft
Kittyhawk IA x 8
P-39D Airacobra x 19

Japanese aircraft losses
G3M2 Nell: 6 destroyed, 4 damaged
G3M2 Nell: 1 destroyed by flak

No Allied losses

Fires 723

quote:

33rd/B Division is located at Noumea(115,160).
38th Division is located at Rockhampton(95,152)

quote:

ORIGINAL: obvert

Nice trap at Sydney. That is a lot of Netties (and pilots) plus kills for your guys. The equation will change quickly with those kinds of kill numbers going to one side's pilots. Suddenly you'll have a very good defensive air force there.