IdahoNYer
Posts: 2616
Joined: 9/6/2009 From: NYer living in Boise, ID Status: offline
|
Sep 42 Summary Sep was a pretty quiet month for the most part, with no major naval engagements as most of the major US naval units headed to port for the Oct refit. No new Allied offensive operations were initiated, and the ongoing ground drive near Akyab slowly gained ground. The Japanese continued to drive slowly but surely in China, and conduct mop up landings on small, bypassed bases, in the DEI and SWPAC. The KB was divided in half, both halves trolling for victims in NOPAC and SOPAC, mostly without success. IJN bombardments, especially BB bombardments continue to be the greatest threat to Allied bases, with no counter yet identified. The repeated presence of carriers in NOPAC has shut down Allied offensive operations toward Attu. Overall, it was still a positive month, with Allied airpower growing and potentially gaining the initiative over Burma and SWPAC Theaters – heavy bombers used in mass, and P-38s have been effective. Ground has been gained slowly in Burma, and both Exmouth and Ndeni established as advanced bases (although Exmouth has recently been heavily targeted). Best overall is all 6 US CVs remain intact and headed into refit/upgrade – the 40mm boost in AA across all ships going into refit will be a solid edge in actions to come. Heading into October, Allied offensive action will be again limited, with the majority of the fleet dispersed in ports undergoing refit/upgrades. I do expect a renewed IJN/IJA offensive against Exmouth – this may develop into a fleet action as well, as long as the KB stays away. Any Allied operations will be solely supported by Allied LBA, which includes most of the normally CV based air. Allied LBA will also expand its air offensive in Burma, including employing Heavies for the first time. Naval losses for the month were light for both sides; IJN reported losses for the month were 3DD and 3SS as compared to the Allies losing 2DD, 2SS and 3PTs. Air losses were in the Allies favor, 472 for Jpn to 417 Allied. Screenshot shows Allied Forces disposition - Notes: 1)Ships are in service, not under refit or stood down. 2) a/c shown are combat available, not trainers or deployed on CVs. (also, during this particular timeframe, most US CV airgroups are deployed ashore as CVs are prepping to refit) HB are 4 engine bombers. 3) CENPAC subs are those against IJN shipping, other Theater subs shown are “in close” for defense of that Theater. 4) En are Construction or Combat Engineers, all others (Port, Base, Group are under BF, including static bases). 4) AR includes armor, TD or recce units of any size. INTEL: Last month I was convinced the IJN is done with major amphibious operations, now I’m not too sure. The attention Exmouth is getting is a very possible prep for amphib landing – but I have zero SIGINT on units preparing. SIGINT has been more than useless so far – not a single “hit” on a warship move, let alone an actionable one. SUBWAR: Still nothing spectacular here. Allied subs continue to miss or have torps not explode when warships or even tankers are targets – seldom as that may be. IJN subs continue to threaten certain shipping lanes from time to time, although there greatest successes so far have been against Allied subs! West Coast/USA/Rear Areas: All ships scheduled for the 10/42 refit/upgrade are in port awaiting the calendar to move to October. US Army bomber, British and Aus fighter pilot pools remain low although are improving. Planes remain short across the board, and only one CAP Trap away from a crisis. NOPAC. This has turned out to be the most frustrating (less China of course) Theater in the entire Pacific. Attu invasion has been repeatedly postponed, with troops and ships waiting not so patiently at Kodiak for the word to go. While I don’t think the KB is still prowling now at the end of October, I’m still cautious about going forth with the invasion. Will see… CENPAC. Remaining quiet for a while longer. SOPAC. The IJN’s attention to Vaitupu instead of Ndeni has me wondering why – but, I’ll take it at face value. I don’t need Vaitupu any time soon while Ndeni continues to expand. Good. SOPAC will lose some Army air assets in the short term to SWPAC due to the upcoming Horn Island operation, as well as all larger than DD warships to refit. Minimal operations until the carriers return. SWPAC. Despite Jpn activity at Exmouth, plan remains to launch at Horn Island in October – awaiting an engineer regiment enroute from CENPAC. Allied LBA strength, along with bases to support it, remains good, and should be able to cover the landings. WAUS. Exmouth seems to be the point of major contention for the next few weeks. Allied LBA is in good shape – as long as Carnarvon remains operation. That will likely require heavy surface forces, and they are heading toward WAUS from Ceylon, Melbourne and Cape Town – about a week or so away. Of course, no US CVs will deploy, so again, the wild card is the KB. Will attempt to hold Exmouth regardless – and will deploy addition troops from the quiet Tennant Creek front. Burma/India. The slow, grinding attack to flank Akyab has had limited success – defeating two IJA regiments, but drawing in at least two, possibly three IJA divisions to this Theater. This will likely result in a stalemate on the Akyab front, but it will be interesting to see if the IJA can sustain a prolonged ground fight that consumes much supply. In the air, will continue to ramp up the tempo with additional fighters and bombers – including putting B-24s and a USMC MAG into action. The goal in Burma, both ground and air, is to undertake a war of attrition against the IJA. China. IJA grinding attacks continue to make forward progress from the SE, E and NE. Expect fighting in or adjacent to Chungking in October. Don’t see a solution as supplies are still lacking everywhere. IJA LBA is unopposed in the air due to lack of supplies.
Attachment (1)
< Message edited by IdahoNYer -- 12/30/2015 8:19:14 PM >
|