RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized?

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/2/2015 8:44:22 PM

rkr1958

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31. Sep/Oct 1944. Bismarck, Marianas, Solomons.

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Ronnie

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/2/2015 9:03:39 PM

rkr1958

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31. Sep/Oct 1944. Papua and New Guinea.

As well as the USA and CW are doing against the IJN in the Pacific, they are struggling mighty against the IJA on land. This turn, the USA and CW had a 70%, or maybe 60%, chance of clearing the strong, but out of supply, IJA army group (i.e., stack of 3 units) holding out east of Port Morsby. Though in looking at the attack post combat, the odds of a successful result for the allies were likely much lower. The allies did manage to exchange a division (i.e., lose) for the IJN marine division in the stack.

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Ronnie

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/2/2015 9:04:59 PM

rkr1958

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31. Sep/Oct 1944. CW Oil.

Fighting this World War across the globe has finally exhausted both the CW and USA strategic oil reserves.

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/2/2015 9:06:20 PM

rkr1958

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31. Sep/Oct 1944. USA Oil.

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Ronnie

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Post #: 184

RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/2/2015 9:11:52 PM

rkr1958

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31. Sep/Oct 1944. Country Economic Reports.

Even through exhausted strategic oil reserves and horrendous convoy losses, both the CW and USA were able to maintain maximum war production. For this turn at least.

On the other side, German PP output dropped to levels below that at the start of the war on Sep 1939. Though, BP output is still a healthy 40 BPs and is significantly higher than in 1939 due to a 2.00 versus 0.75 production multiplier. Even though German production is still healthy, it's on the verge of collapse and with it the nation of Germany.

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/2/2015 9:16:24 PM

rkr1958

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31. Sep/Oct 1944. German Production.

Specifically, German oil income is limited to 3 resources. 2 other oil resources in Austria and Iraq, though still under the control of the Germans, are cut off from the Reich and have gone idle.

The RAF flew 4 strategic bombing raids did try to reduce German production further. However, all four raids failed to find their target and inflict any damage on German production. This was also a bad turn for RAF strategic bombers. Though, they took no losses.

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< Message edited by rkr1958 -- 8/2/2015 10:20:20 PM >

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Ronnie

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/8/2015 3:50:29 PM

rkr1958

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32. Nov/Dec 1944. The (Western) Allies Dodge a Bullet.

(Recap) The Western Allies messed up in the last turn by not leaving any naval or air units to escort the 5 USN CPs in the Faeroes Gap. 4 of these CPs were being used to help ship 6 USA BPs to the London. And as I pointed when I realized the mistake, this was a classic FUBAR on the allies part.

Well, the allies dodged that bullet. They won the initiative, decided to go first, the weather was fine across the map and the USA took a super combined to take full advantage of the fine weather on the ground and still be able to address the foul up in the Faeroes Gap.

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/8/2015 3:53:00 PM

rkr1958

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32. Nov/Dec 1944. Victory Totals.

Germany's victory total was reduced by 3 from 11 to 8, with the loss of Munich, Paris and Belgrade.

The USA total increased by 2 (Munich and Paris) and the CW's by 1 (Belgrade).

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/8/2015 4:02:57 PM

rkr1958

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32. Nov/Dec 1944. The Collapse of the Reich.

The turn was composed of three impulse pairs with the allies moving first and the axis last. The first impulse pair was fair weather across the world. The second saw blizzard in the arctic and snow in the north temperate. The third pair saw rain in these two weather zones.

Both the Western Allies and the Soviets continued to press their attacks against the crumbling Germany army.

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/8/2015 4:05:41 PM

rkr1958

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32. Nov/Dec 1944. Destroyed Pool.

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/8/2015 4:11:10 PM

rkr1958

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32. Nov/Dec 1944. Liberation of Free France.

The USA was ready to agree to the liberation of Free France, however, a bug prevented that and forced the USA to NOT agree to liberation in order to continue the game (i.e., war).

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/8/2015 4:13:26 PM

rkr1958

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32. Nov/Dec 1944. Balkans.

In the Balkans the CW liberated Yugoslavia and the USA agreed to return capture territory back to them too. All that's left to do in this theater is to finish off the last Italian strong hold, which is in Albania, left in Europe.

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/8/2015 4:15:55 PM

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32. Nov/Dec 1944. East Africa.

Speaking of Italy. They just want concede that they're defeated and stop fighting. The Italians completely conquered Kenya this turn and are poised to do the same to Uganda next turn.

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/8/2015 4:18:50 PM

rkr1958

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32. Nov/Dec 1944. The Pacific.

Moving to the Pacific. The Japanese "naval shield" is beginning to crack. However, the allies have yet to land any real "body blows" against the nation of Japan.

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/8/2015 4:21:08 PM

rkr1958

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Nov/Dec 1944. USSR Invades Manchuria.

In a move that was both surprising and bold, the USSR declared war on China and moved troops into Manchuria.

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/8/2015 4:23:57 PM

rkr1958

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32. Nov/Dec 1944. China. North Temperate.

The Soviet invasion of Manchuria immediately drew a reaction from Japanese forces in China, some of which are now on the move to reinforce Manchuria and drive back the Soviet invaders.

Also Japan beefed up their presence in Korea to deal with the new threat and new enemy.

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/8/2015 4:29:56 PM

rkr1958

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32. Nov/Dec 1944. China. North Monsoon.

The Nationalist Chinese would really like to do something, but their attack weakness (optional rule) makes it very difficult to accomplish anything except through maneuver. That is, overwhelming forces are required to make any land combat remotely attractive.

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/8/2015 4:34:25 PM

rkr1958

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32. Nov/Dec 1944. South China Sea. Siam, Indo-China, Philippines.

One area that the Japanese naval shield is still holding together (for now at least) is in the South China Sea. Though the allies clearly have the advantage, the IJN is still holding their own and protecting their convoys there. The two year stalemate in Siam will likely go on until the stalemate in the South China Sea can be broken and the allies gain full and total control of that area.

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/8/2015 4:40:54 PM

rkr1958

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32. Nov/Dec 1944. Papua, New Guinea, Coral and Timor Seas.

This is one area where the allies have started pushing the Japanese army back. This turn they were able to clear out the remnants of the Japanese army that invaded Papua and were holding out east of Port Morsby. The allies expect (hope) to capture Lae and take full control of New Guinea next turn.

After that ... allied strategic planners are debating when to after that.

Will it be west towards the Philippines and South East Asia?

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/8/2015 4:45:17 PM

rkr1958

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32. Nov/Dec 1944. Japanese Coast. China Sea.

Or north towards the Japaneses Coast and the China Sea?

And if that direction what about the islands of Truk and Siapan? Are they to be bypassed or invaded and conquered. To invade and conquered either or both will be risky and if, successful, costly and lengthy.

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/8/2015 4:47:18 PM

rkr1958

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32. Nov/Dec 1944. Bismarck, Marianas and Solomons.

And Truk is very strongly defended. By-passing Truk and Siapan is looking more attractive by the minute.

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/8/2015 4:53:38 PM

rkr1958

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32. Nov/Dec 1944. Economic Reports.

Germany has run out of oil and as you shall see in the next post their access to oil points is now down to 2 points per turn. Even the CW is having oil problems. They had to skip reorganizing 8 subs and cruisers because of oil.

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/8/2015 4:59:56 PM

rkr1958

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32. Nov/Dec 1944. Germany. Final Production.

Though Germany production "claims" access to three oil points, the one in trade from Mosul Iraq has not path to Germany and can no longer be counted.

Of the other two oil resources that Germany controls and has access to, the one at Breslau was lost to strategic bombing turn, leaving only one oil resources for Germany this turn.

German BP output dropped to a point not seen since Jan/Feb 1941. Germany both militarily and economically are collapsing. In the previous post, all of Germany's new builds were infantry and are design to keep the Reich alive for as long as possible. Also, they require no oil to fight and reorganize.

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/9/2015 9:18:48 PM

rkr1958

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33. Jan/Feb 1945. Victory Totals.

Germany lost one, Prague and the USA gained (the same) one. The capture of Prague by the USA also resulted in the conquest of Czechoslovakia.

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/9/2015 9:22:52 PM

rkr1958

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33. Jan/Feb 1945. Destroyed Pool.

The axis moved first and last this turn. They got three impulses and the allies got two. The weather was horrible in most of the zones for most of this turn. It was blizzard in the Arctic and North Temperate except for the first impulse pair which saw snow in the North Temperate with blizzard in the Arctic. The north monsoon saw a mixture of rain and fine, but the south monsoon saw storms the entire turn, which prevented allied land action in New Guinea. So Lae is still in Japanese hands.

The Germans did launch two counterattacks against the Western Allies in Germany and Belgium on their first impulse pair. That how the Brits lost their IX armor corps.

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Ronnie

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/9/2015 9:26:43 PM

rkr1958

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33. Jan/Feb 1945. Germany.

Both the Western Allies and the Soviets managed only small gains against the Germans this turn.

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Ronnie

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/9/2015 9:31:07 PM

rkr1958

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33. Jan/Feb 1945. Balkans.

Led by Gort, a combined CW and USA army is slogging its way through the Balkans headed for the Italian position in Albania, which is the seat of the illegal and fascist Italian government in exile.

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Ronnie

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/9/2015 9:38:03 PM

rkr1958

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33. Jan/Feb 1945. East Africa.

Well, the fascist Italian unit running amok in East Africa has finally been stymied by the "rise" CW territorials. Specifically the one that just appeared in Uganda led by Idi Amin.

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/9/2015 9:54:17 PM

rkr1958

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33. Jan/Feb 1945. Manchuria.

The Soviets continued to pour troops into Manchuria and managed to capture the cities of Harbin and Changchun, which went added to the capture of Kirin, brings their total to 3 Manchuria cities liberate since their DOW against Japan last turn.

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RE: Winston's Soft Underbelly -- A Dream Realized? - 8/9/2015 10:01:58 PM

rkr1958

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Jan/Feb 1945. China, North Temperate.

The Japanese are making an all out effort to keep the Soviets and communist Chinese forces from linking up.

China Sea.

In the China Sea, the RN and USN sent surface patrols in order to make way for USN carrier task forces next turn. That is, the "presence" of one or more of these surface patrols eliminates the penalty for "in the presence".