marksi10
Posts: 66
Joined: 8/1/2015 Status: offline
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I´ve been looking for a good scenario to test the UK´s expeditionary warfare capability in the 2020s, which should be much more advanced than our current capability. The best test (that is even halfway plausible) I could think of is a UK-Pakistan conflict. For argument/background´s sake, let´s say the US and China have gone to war in the Pacific, and so the USA has to rely on its ally to interdict China´s oil supply by seizing/destroying Gwadar. If the second, it could be a couple of scenarios, the first scenario dealing with the UK´s attempt to gain air superiority, and the second with the amphibious assault on Gwadar. I think this should just about be achievable for the UK in the 2020s - there is no way we have enough troops to win a land war with Pakistan, unless it is over a very small, relatively sparsely inhabited region such as Gwadar and the surrounding area. The crucial factors that would determine the outcome of such a conflict seem to be: the UK having two carriers available; the UK using all available tanking capacity to support Eurofighter stand-off strikes with Storm Shadow from Diego Garcia, where AWACS, Rivet Joint and P-8s would also need to be located (in the Gulf War Diego Garcia supported 32 B-52s!); a potential UK purchase of Ospreys (recently mentioned as a possibility) to allow the carriers to stand off by tanking for the F-35s; the amount of Tomahawks available to the UK; a potential Pakistan purchase of 30-40 J-31 to provide the Pakistan Air Force with a cutting edge; whether the range of the Shaheen-III can be extended so that it can threaten Diego Garcia; China possibly supplying Pakistan with DF-21 missiles to counter the carrier threat (perhaps with Chinese crews, a la the Cuban Missile Crisis); whether the UK buys SM-3s for the Type 45s to counter such threats. I see such a conflict as being somewhat analogous to the Falklands conflict: the UK with its carriers, overseas bases and amphibious warfare capability against an opponent without much of a naval threat but with a large, technologically comparable air force that because of the location of the conflict is able to bring all its forces to bear on the enemy. Now comes the problem: I don´t know how to make scenarios. I plan to learn sometime, but if someone wanted to have a stab at making this, I would love to play it! Any ideas/suggestions for how to make this scenario more finely balanced/plausible/interesting would be much appreciated!
< Message edited by marksi10 -- 2/26/2016 11:07:07 PM >
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