Telemecus
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Joined: 3/20/2016 Status: offline
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Turn 22 19-November-1941 Economic Eye catching along with the evacuation of the LaGG-3 factory at Gorky is the evacuation of the T-60 factory from South Stalingrad. The factory should expand to produce 50 T-60s a week, but our bombing has kept it to two a week. The evacuation removes the option of continued bombing, but at the self-inflicted cost of an extra five turns of no expansion. We estimate the factory will produce 514 T-60s until it stops production at the end of October 1942 by which time it would have expanded to produce only 31 a week. If there had been no bombing or evacuation it would have reached a capacity of 50 a week and produced in total 1,425 T-60s. The bombing compounded with the evacuation has meant an expected loss of 911 T-60s from production, or almost two-thirds of what it could have produced. The south Stalingrad T-60 factory was only bombed four times - twice in turn 17 and twice in turn 18. The raids in turn 17 were full on using the maxiumum number of level bombers, but turn 18 consisted of raids using only 11 and 9 level bombers respectively just to top up the damage levels slightly. So calling it two raids would be more representative of what happened. This means each raid, when all the consequences are fully accounted for, led to the loss of 456 T-60s each. Even given this loss of tanks also means the Soviet side also saved on the supplies for making them, few ground support missions could claim that for a result! On the other hand if the T-60 factory had not been evacuated and we had ceased all bombing, production would only have decreased by an expected 718, 193 less than will happen. So if the evacuation is solely to avoid further losses due to bombing, implicitly the Soviet team has said they would expect to lose 194 or more from future bombing by us of the factory. At Gorky we decide to concentrate on incrementing the existing damage on the T34 factory - but continue to see damage being added to the T-60 factory we are not targetting. The overruning of Kolomna this turn by ground forces meant the further loss of 2 arms and 2 heavy factories as well as the loss of a GAZ-MM factory. This brings total losses due to our ground forces to -Arms 106 -Hvy 76 -Vehicle 40 -Su-2 -LaGG-3 "11 series" -BA-10 Armd Car -Li-2 -Li-2W -U2-VSx3 -Pe2 -Il-4 -Il-10 -Pe-3 -GAZ-MM
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