ultradave
Posts: 1355
Joined: 8/20/2013
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It's harder and harder for countries these days to have what you would call a dual use program. With uranium enrichment discouraged, the opening of the IAEA fuel bank, and the conversion of most research reactors to LEU rather than HEU, the ability to covertly either create a store of HEU or extract weapons usable Pu is greatly reduced these days, beyond the countries that today have nuclear weapons, and Iran, who has been severely curtailed.
Emerging economies that have the technology, such has say, Argentina and Brazil to take one good example, long ago entered into mutual agreements to forsake nuclear weapons and enter into mutual monitoring agreements. There are some other countries that certainly have the technology - Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Germany, to pick the most capable, however, I'd have to believe there would be a concerted effort by the US to discourage such a destabilizing event, (in spite of Pres. Trump's ignorant (IMO) pronouncements about other countries developing nuclear weapons.
All this is just my opinion of course, but I've spent time working in this field.
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Dave A.
"When the Boogeyman goes to sleep he checks his closet for paratroopers"
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[OT]Declassified high speed footage from nuclear airbur... - 
Very scary but amazing footage! 
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