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RE: Notes from a Small Island

 
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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/10/2019 9:43:55 PM   
Canoerebel


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From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		The plan is to shock attack across the river against the coastal city (Yinkgkow?). The Allies army should seriously outnumber the Jap army, partly because it's open terrain and Erik will be leery of Allied bombers. I'm pretty sure he'll conclude that anything he put in that hex will be destroyed or battered.

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/10/2019 9:46:50 PM   
BBfanboy


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

The plan is to shock attack across the river against the coastal city (Yinkgkow?). The Allies army should seriously outnumber the Jap army, partly because it's open terrain and Erik will be leery of Allied bombers. I'm pretty sure he'll conclude that anything he put in that hex will be destroyed or battered.

Direct approach is good too - saves time. Sounds like you are confident you have enough to overcome the river-crossing malus.

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/10/2019 10:14:00 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002
From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		It would be a huge gamble for Erik that I don't think he'd be willing to take. He knows (or will soon) that the Russian army is gigantic. It'll be open terrain subject to massed Allied air raids. His units lack AA (I think, because he put all his AA into the Home Islands). My units do have massed AA. So he'd be risking a decisive defeat. I just don't think he'd entertain that possibility. I'll know more as the Russian army advances over the next five turns or so.

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Post #: 4323
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/10/2019 10:29:46 PM   
RangerJoe


Posts: 13450
Joined: 11/16/2015
From: My Mother, although my Father had some small part.
Status: offline 		Why use finesse when you can bludgeon? As long as you do not lose too much doing so.

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I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!

“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
― Julia Child


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Post #: 4324
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/11/2019 3:47:25 AM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002
From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		8/29/45

Singapore: Japanese units at Singers appear to be shedding AV now. 33rd Div. is down from 420 to 338 in about four days. Overall, the enemy garrison has dropped from 1900+ AV to 1632 AV. The Allied bombers were particularly effective today, having dropped from 11k to 7k on the belief that enemy supply is low or bingo so that no AA is available. Tomorrow, a BB TF will bombard, the bombers will bomb, arty will bombard, and armor will deliberate attack. If things don't go wonky, a general deliberate attack will take place on the 31st or 1st (depending on how soon units advancing from Johore arrive). All signs point to an enemy garrison ready to fall within a few weeks.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/14/2019 8:39:29 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002
From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
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Singapore: Limited attack by armor again drops enemy forts despite low odds. The Japanese garrison is weary and low/bingo on supply. Adjusted AV now showing at about 2570. Tomorrow, several Allied divisions will arrive boosting raw Allied AV to about 5,900. The Allies might try a general deliberate attack the day after. Barring the unexpected, Singers is going to fall in less than two weeks, I believe.

Formosa: Reinforcing landings to take place at Karenko tomorrow. The Allies will put roughly 2-4 divisions ashore over the coming week. Enemy garrisons across the island are fairly stout. But with naval and air superiority likely it should be manageable.

Russia: Massive Russian stack opened advance by destroying two weak Japanese units near Yengkow. Next step is to cross the river and attack the coastal city in open terrain. I don't expect Erik to stand in the open but we'll see. Russian AV should be around 12,000 to 13,000.




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Post #: 4326
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/14/2019 8:52:39 PM   
Crackaces


Posts: 3858
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Status: offline 		Since victory is based on a ratio of points (2:1) [Rather than a game where victory is a threshold] -- each point deducted from the denominator represents two potential points needed in the numerator to achieve eventually 2:1.. Each base you take away from the LYB's subtracts from the denominator in this equation (along with adding to the numerator). It might be interesting to understand for the reader the strategy in total given losses (which I am thinking will be a wash? Maybe more points than the IJ?) the value of Singapore.

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/14/2019 9:14:06 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
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From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		The VP value of Singers should be a major haul for the Allies, both for base value and troop value. My guys have engaged in only one general attack (and the armor in two limited attacks) with light losses. The Japanese garrison has weakened under sustained bombing and arty bombardments for a couple of months. I believe the enemy collapse will be sudden and Allied losses relatively light.

Significantly, the Allies' 8k AV will then be free to move up to China.

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/14/2019 10:48:26 PM   
RangerJoe


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From: My Mother, although my Father had some small part.
Status: offline 		Too bad that you don't have Chinese forces at Singapore to take the losses since, relatively speaking, the Japanese get the fewest VPs from them.

_____________________________

Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!

“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
― Julia Child


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Post #: 4329
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/14/2019 11:24:51 PM   
Canoerebel


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From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		A big Chinese corps (900+ AV) is at Johore and will reach Singers in about three days. It'll be in for the kill, for the reasons you mention. There is a chance, however, that it's weak squads will take heavy casualties that will neutralize the advantage of their low value.

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Post #: 4330
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/15/2019 12:09:02 AM   
Canoerebel


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Status: offline 		I think Erik likes to play with Reserve vs. Combat modes a lot. He'll do it with AA units, hoping to lure Allied bombers to a lower altitude. He does it with CD/Arty forces at beachheads to let Allied combat vessels use up ammo on a D-Day, only to face fierce fire (with no ability to counter fire) on D+1.

Here, I'm wondering if he's used Reserve mode to preserve his units. But I think his options are limited due to lack of supply and the apparent weakness of his garrison. If he did stand down a bunch of his units, he'd take a ery long chance if the Allies chose that turn to attack. So I'm not expecting much chicanery.

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Post #: 4331
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/22/2019 11:38:09 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002
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Status: offline 		9/2/45

"We aint got no bombs. We don't need no stinkin' bombs! The Allies dropped their first atomic bomb on Tokyo on August 14 or thereabouts. Since then, the B-29B squadron assigned to that mission has had the option grayed out. I figured there was a random variable that would eventually release the second bomb. But when it was still grayed out today, I checked the Industry chart and found that there wasn't another in the stockpile and that production ceased in July 1945!

This is my first game going this late. What am I overlooking/doing wrong? How do I get access to the second bomb?

If I don't get a second, I'll still win the war. :) But that'll make the meager tally of numero uno (4,000 points) particularly painful.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/22/2019 11:41:59 PM   
USSAmerica


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Status: offline 		Dan, that screenshot shows that production starts in July, 1945 with no end (Till) date. You should see roughly 1 per month produced until the game ends.

_____________________________

Mike

"Good times will set you free" - Jimmy Buffett

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/22/2019 11:51:35 PM   
RangerJoe


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Status: offline 		Nuke'em 'till they glow, then shoot them in the dark because it's easier that way.

or

Nuke'em 'till they are glass, then polish them with windex.

_____________________________

Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!

“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
― Julia Child


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Post #: 4334
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/23/2019 12:16:32 AM   
Canoerebel


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quote:

ORIGINAL: USSAmerica

Dan, that screenshot shows that production starts in July, 1945 with no end (Till) date. You should see roughly 1 per month produced until the game ends.


Yer right, Mike. Thank you.

I blame my misinterpretation of the chart on my UTI (Chickenboy will want to know that).

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Post #: 4335
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/23/2019 12:19:42 AM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002
From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		p.s. Erik disappeared on vacation or some such. We've only done two turns in the last 12 days or so. They've been impactful, busy turns. I think the Allied plan is unfolding and snowballing. Erik has to strike soon. I'll post a more detailed account of those two days when I feel better.

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Post #: 4336
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/23/2019 6:53:00 AM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002
From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		8/31/43 and 9/1/43

Singapore: Allied general assault, the second ever, comes off at 3:1, drops forts to three, and results in disproportionate Japanese destruction (though Allied infantry takes meaningful disablements). The fortress is ripe for the fall. The infantry will need about four days to rest, even as important reinforcements arrive. But the armor as untouched by the attack and will try another tomorrow. I think there's a good chance forts will drop to 2 and that the next general assault - possibly on the 5th - will do the trick.




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Post #: 4337
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/23/2019 7:12:33 AM   
Canoerebel


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Status: offline 		8/31/45 to 9/1/45

DEI: The DEI is wide open. When Singers falls, the pared-down Allied army in the DEI will handle the conquest of the remaining territory, which is essentially undefended. There is, of course, always the threat of clever enemy ambushes by sea or air.




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Post #: 4338
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/23/2019 7:31:42 AM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
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Status: offline 		8/31/45 and 9/1/45

Formosa/Luzon: Allies take Karenko, Formosa, giving position from which to launch campaign for complete conquest, when time is ripe (China/Korea have first dibs on all assets until their fate is sealed). DS about to make quick trip to Manila to escort assault shipping for retrieval of Allied army there.




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Post #: 4339
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/23/2019 8:03:33 AM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
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Status: offline 		8/31/45 and 9/1/45

China: The Western Allied advance has been quick against light opposition, cutting the railroad and dividing enemy resistance into two pockets: North and West. Half of the Allied army present is sufficient to team up with the Soviets to address the North. The balance will turn on the powerful, vast West army (but how is supply in places like Sian and Chungking)?

That 7k Allied AV inbound from Singapore in two weeks? It'll disembark and immediately move on Chungking.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/23/2019 8:25:34 AM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
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Status: offline 		8/31/45 and 9/1/45

Manchuria: The Soviet advance went much more rapidly than expected. They are now in position to initiate the assault on Korea.





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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/23/2019 10:59:19 PM   
mind_messing

 

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quote:

That 7k Allied AV inbound from Singapore in two weeks? It'll disembark and immediately move on Chungking.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_akwHYMdbsM

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Post #: 4342
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/23/2019 11:18:35 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
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Status: offline 		It aint the wrong way. :)

I know what I'm doing, but it takes too long to give the zillion details that would give readers enough info to know whether or not it'll work.

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Post #: 4343
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/24/2019 2:26:10 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002
From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		9/2/45

Singapore: A bunch of non-American armor attacks, achieving 2:1 odds and dropping forts to 2. The armor will attack again tomorrow then rest a day. A day after that, a general assault, with armor shock-attacking, should do the trick.

China: Western Allies take Tsinan, so road is open to Peiping/Tsientsin pocket, where union with Soviets will take place.

Manchuria: A Russian armor corps crosses river and attacks by shock at Yingkow, facing 5 forts with 2.33 infantry divisions and lots of arty. The attack does little to either side. The Russians have a much bigger force crossing tomorrow, then more each day thereafter. Western Air hit the enemy ground troops effectively, facing no opposition. I can't believe Erik will stand here in the open, but he seems to be.

Russians take nearly-vacant Harbin. This is a key rail junction. About 10k AV can now rail by a direct route to Yingkow, turning that front into the greatest Allied army I've ever seen in AE.




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< Message edited by Canoerebel -- 7/24/2019 2:27:09 PM >

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Post #: 4344
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/24/2019 2:42:19 PM   
RangerJoe


Posts: 13450
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From: My Mother, although my Father had some small part.
Status: offline 		I presume that your artillery units bombard during your armoured attacks, does your infantry units bombard also? Or do they just defend with some in reserve mode?

Who knows, you might get lucky and your armour could take Singapore!

< Message edited by RangerJoe -- 7/24/2019 2:43:58 PM >

_____________________________

Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!

“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
― Julia Child


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Post #: 4345
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/24/2019 3:24:09 PM   
jwolf

 

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Status: offline 		It is really cool to see a combined US/UK and Soviet mass offensive, sort or replaying the European theater in northern China.

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Post #: 4346
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/24/2019 3:32:31 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002
From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		Yes, arty bombards every day.


quote:

ORIGINAL: RangerJoe

I presume that your artillery units bombard during your armoured attacks, does your infantry units bombard also? Or do they just defend with some in reserve mode?

Who knows, you might get lucky and your armour could take Singapore!


(in reply to RangerJoe)
Post #: 4347
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/24/2019 3:36:28 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
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quote:

ORIGINAL: jwolf
It is really cool to see a combined US/UK and Soviet mass offensive, sort or replaying the European theater in northern China.


It's really fun to see the long plan begin to coalesce so well. It took so much time to get everything situated properly that sometimes it seemed like it would take forever. When DS made that journey past Iwo Jima to meet an inbound Herd and then move to Aparri and Haiphong, it felt like things were moving at a glacial pace. Ditto when the landings occurred in China with hopes of moving forward, only to be stymied so that I had to stand down for quite awhile to await the Western Allies moving from Indochina. I knew how it would synergize eventually - if I attended to planning and logistics and troop movement - as long as Erik didn't get to throw a monkey-wrench into the works. Now the plan is in full fruition and I think the end is going to come well before the end of the year.

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/26/2019 7:44:06 AM   
palioboy2

 

Posts: 190
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel


quote:

ORIGINAL: USSAmerica

Dan, that screenshot shows that production starts in July, 1945 with no end (Till) date. You should see roughly 1 per month produced until the game ends.


Yer right, Mike. Thank you.

I blame my misinterpretation of the chart on my UTI (Chickenboy will want to know that).


Ummmm, pardon me? I was under the impression that affected a different head!

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Post #: 4349
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/26/2019 9:53:27 AM   
HansBolter


Posts: 7704
Joined: 7/6/2006
From: United States
Status: offline 		Just saw the post above about atomic bomb production. You must be getting bad die rolls as I have 6 in my inventory in December after having dropped one.

Have loaded two Soviet Armies on American amphibious transports headed for the bay opposite Tokyo on the sea of Japan side. D-Day will end of first week of January.

< Message edited by HansBolter -- 7/26/2019 9:54:13 AM >

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