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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/26/2019 3:06:08 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
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From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		9/3/45

Singapore: Allied armor takes the battered enemy fortress. The immediate payoff is the points for this base. Then, the remaining enemy garrison of about 128k soldiers will add more victory points over the next week or two. That will free up an Allied army, most to go to China, a part to handle the balance of the DEI.

Barring KB excursions into the hinterlands or other major (and largely unexpected) hijinks by Erik, the war is now limited to China, Korea, Manchuria and the Home Islands. There are no major enemy forces elsewhere.

(in reply to HansBolter)
Post #: 4351
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/26/2019 3:47:20 PM   
BBfanboy


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Status: offline 		The manual says under Section 17.0 Victory Conditions that the points for the base are not counted until it has its needed supply (1X, not the 3X it tries to accumulate). Removing units will reduce the requirement but also reduce the supply draw. Singers should be big enough to draw supply regardless of the troops there.

I thought there was also a requirement that the damage to the base facilities be below a certain threshold, but I cannot find anything about that in the manual.

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Post #: 4352
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/26/2019 3:49:41 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
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From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		There are supply requirements attendant to bases, but here the Allies are more than flush.

Supply won't be an issue at Singers or anywhere else in SEAC. Part of the Allied "grand strategy" was to ensure the flow of adequate supply to the front (around the Home Islands) by securing SEAC and Singers. Supply has been flowing steadily and abundantly from the beginning - mostly coming ashore at Georgetown and migrating efficiently all the way to northern Indochina.

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Post #: 4353
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/26/2019 4:21:50 PM   
BillBrown


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Status: offline 		For future reference, Georgetown may not be the best base to unload supplies for Malaya, it is not on the railroad.

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Post #: 4354
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/26/2019 4:29:41 PM   
BBfanboy


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quote:

ORIGINAL: BillBrown

For future reference, Georgetown may not be the best base to unload supplies for Malaya, it is not on the railroad.

True, but port size and west coast location may be the deciding factor.
On the East Coast of Malaya, Kota Bharu tends to be built up a bit but it takes days to sail ships from the IO into the South China Sea. And if you do that, it is probably better to go straight to Bangkok for a big port on the rail line.

_____________________________

No matter how bad a situation is, you can always make it worse. - Chris Hadfield : An Astronaut's Guide To Life On Earth

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Post #: 4355
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/26/2019 4:48:13 PM   
Canoerebel


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From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		I wasn't sure Georgetown would work, but as BBfanboy notes it was by far the best option. It worked well, as it turned out. The flow of supply and fuel was constant and abundant.

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Post #: 4356
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/26/2019 6:10:54 PM   
Crackaces


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

I wasn't sure Georgetown would work, but as BBfanboy notes it was by far the best option. It worked well, as it turned out. The flow of supply and fuel was constant and abundant.

Ramree Is is one of those places that might not seem to be able to propagate supplies, but when built up will fill all of south Burma.

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Post #: 4357
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/26/2019 6:26:10 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002
From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		I have and had Rangoon, so supplying south Burma wasn't a problem. The challenge/question, six months back, was whether I could get supply to the East China Sea region by shipping it to Georgetown, having it migrate overland to Saigon or Haiphong (or, if things went really well in the land campaign, all the way into the interior of China or, if not, then then shipping it to Tungchow). At the time, I knew I wouldn't have Singers for a long time to come. The system worked very well. It works so well that I may not ship it directly, now that Singers has fallen. I think I prefer to avoid the risk that Erik might use KB to pounce into the Singers region.

(in reply to Crackaces)
Post #: 4358
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/27/2019 1:08:52 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002
From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		9/4/45

Points: Allies still a long way from victory, but the lead is beginning to snowball, a bit. Points for bases is the biggest help, with Singers flipping, but Erik loses a small-value base or two nearly every turn now. Shanghai, Chungking, Chengtu, and Peiping are the next big-value bases. Losses to enemy ground units is also a material factor now. Erik still has more than 100k troops at Singers, and he has an army isolated in northern China. These categories will be important, but Strategic Bombing, which will recommence "terminally" when Death Star returns, will be the key to victory.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/27/2019 1:19:26 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
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From Singers to Manila: The Japanese Empire has collapsed.

DS will arrive at Manila tomorrow, escorting empties that are picking up an army bound for China. DS should be back on station in the East China Sea in a week. I don't think it will ever again leave the waters proximate to Japan.





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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/27/2019 1:42:01 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002
From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
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China, Manchuria, Korea: Here's where the war must be won. And the ground war is off to a most promising start.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/4/2019 1:37:33 AM   
Canoerebel


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Asia: The Allied juggernaut is rolling now. The Russians are about to push into Korea in overpowering numbers. The Western allies have two armies, one pushing on Peiping from the southwest and the other pushing towards Sian. Erik, who never fights on unfavorable terms, has begun fighting on unfavorable terms.

The Allied army from Singers is en route. The massive Allied air force from Singers is already in northern Indochina, resting a turn or two before contributing.

The Allied army from Luzon will come ashore at Nanking in about three days. It'll move either on Shanghai or on Sian/Chungking.

Erik has pulled his navy from the DEI, leaving it basically vacant. An Allied carrier force escorting invasion troops will reach Allied held Semerang in two or three turns.

Allied fighters and bombers have started striking all over. Today, a massive 4EB strike wiped out the remaining industry at Hirosaki/Aomori. When DS arrives in two days, it'll spend the rest of the war contributing sweeps to strat bombing missions and also hunting valuable enemy shipping.

Allied lead is 21k, exactly 25% of the way to auto victory. The points are beginning to snowball in now. Where I once thought he war would go into '46, now there is little doubt it'll end in '45. The real question is, How soon?

Erik hasn't done anything offensive in many, many months. The game must be a complete drudgery for him. He'll turn and fight (as he's beginning to do even now). I'll do everything possible to keep him fighting on the most unfavorable terms possible.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/4/2019 2:09:15 AM   
RangerJoe


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From: My Mother, although my Father had some small part.
Status: offline 		Once you have clear rail and grey road lines from Southeast Asia, supply should flow nicely to where it is needed although it might take awhile. The best part is that you will only have to protect against subs. Also, with the Aleutians and the Kuriles, you can ship supplies from the West Coast to the USSR. There you would have to protect against CVTFs, SCTFs, and subs. Of course, Japan might not try to seriously disrupt the supply lines because of the fuel situation.

As far as the situation on China and Korea, why use a little hammer if you have a big one? I think that these ongoing operations should be called "Crunch N' Munch!"

_____________________________

Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

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“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
― Julia Child


(in reply to Canoerebel)
Post #: 4363
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/4/2019 2:14:18 AM   
Canoerebel


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From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		Transport TFs have been moving from the West Coast and Aleutians to Russia since activation on August 1. Shikuka has 5 million supply, so cargo TFs are toting supply to Russia from there, too. The massive Russian army seems well supplied at the moment. And, in less than a week, there should be good supply conduits from Western China into Manchuria, and the Allies have more than 2 million supply at Tungchow, with more about to arrive with DS.

So the final puzzle piece will be opening the road from Indochina. That isn't necessary but it will be icing on the cake.

Due to Erik's reluctance to take chances, the only vector that requires escorts are those coming from the South China Sea past Formosa to Tungchow. Erik hasn't sniffed the northern route (from the Aluetians in more than a year). He may elect to do so, but the Allies have picket ships, subs and patrols watching.

The Allies basically annihilate enemy subs during the Shikuka Siege. Erik has a few left but they aren't going to be a factor interdicting supply.

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Post #: 4364
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/4/2019 2:18:01 AM   
Canoerebel


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From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		The Allies used their first atomic bomb on August 14. The second still isn't available. What's the deal?

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Post #: 4365
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/4/2019 2:35:14 AM   
RangerJoe


Posts: 13450
Joined: 11/16/2015
From: My Mother, although my Father had some small part.
Status: offline 		Gary Grigsby and random numbers . . .

_____________________________

Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!

“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
― Julia Child


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Post #: 4366
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/4/2019 3:39:22 AM   
BillBrown


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

The Allies used their first atomic bomb on August 14. The second still isn't available. What's the deal?


the ship delivering it sank.

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/4/2019 9:20:33 AM   
HansBolter


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quote:

ORIGINAL: RangerJoe

Gary Grigsby and random numbers . . .



This.

The random effect swings both ways making it not only possible to lose your 1 bomb per month production, but also gain an extra 1 in any given month.

I used one as soon as it was available and then held off using any more. By December I had 6 bombs in my inventory.

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Hans


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Post #: 4368
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/6/2019 4:08:58 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
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From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		9/11/45 and 9/12/45

Korea: The Russians are in Korea in big numbers, with vastly bigger numbers about to arrive. It appears (from my perspective) that the flanking caught Erik somewhat by surprise. Suddenly, there are movement dots all over Manchuria and northern Korea. I believe Erik has ordered a total withdrawal and intends to make his stand on a line from Seoul (Keijo) across the peninsula to the Sea of Japan. He'll be able to rail his units in before I can interdict all the rails, but it's doubtful the entire Japanese army can withstand the massive Russian army (plus the Western air forces and navies, if needed).

China: In China, Erik is making a pitch to save Sian or at least slow down the Allied advance. But the Allies got a head start and seem to have the right angle to take the key city. That will allow an approach on Chungking from the NE. It's likely he will fight for Chungking, but that will force him to divide/allocate his forces in China, just as two new Allied armies will be arriving on the front lines (one at Indochina, one at Shanghai).






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< Message edited by Canoerebel -- 8/6/2019 4:09:54 PM >

(in reply to HansBolter)
Post #: 4369
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/6/2019 6:20:06 PM   
RangerJoe


Posts: 13450
Joined: 11/16/2015
From: My Mother, although my Father had some small part.
Status: offline 		Bomb all units with movement arrows, especially ones that are not in a base.

_____________________________

Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!

“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
― Julia Child


(in reply to Canoerebel)
Post #: 4370
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2019 2:07:54 PM   
Simonsez


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Joined: 12/7/2011
Status: offline 		Dave? Erik? DS? KB? I'm so confused....

Not sure how you can be running two games at the same time and even hope to keep them straight. Either you must write alot of stuff down or you have a talent to keep two similar, but separate trains of thought coexisting in your working memory. The sparse few times you crossed names or small elements in your AAR is remarkable. Keep chugging!

< Message edited by Simonsez -- 8/7/2019 2:08:47 PM >

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Post #: 4371
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2019 3:15:09 PM   
Canoerebel


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Joined: 12/14/2002
From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		Those are encouraging words. Thanks, Simon. I don't have a hard time keeping the two games straight as I play them, but it's a beastly challenge in writing the AARs. That, combined with my gift for misspelling words, causes me some grief.

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2019 5:26:32 PM   
Crackaces


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Status: offline 		If I am reading your map right .. the IJ risks arriving at Keijo by rail at the same time your armor arrives there? If they do not have time to change ops mode ..this could be a disaster. .. I caught the IJ one time near Rangoon and the causalities were around 12,000 out of 20,000 .. The IJ have to be at least thinking this is a risk?

_____________________________

"What gets us into trouble is not what we don't know. It's what we know for sure that just ain't so"

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Post #: 4373
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2019 5:49:15 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002
From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		That was a possibility but it turned out Erik was intent on getting troops out of Keijo rather than inserting them to create a roadblock. My troops attacked once. Most of them rested a day due to supply, but some self-propelled guns attacked and did good damage but discovered that most of the enemy army was gone.

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2019 5:56:29 PM   
pontiouspilot


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Status: offline 		Maybe he is prepared to offer you reasonable surrender terms....remember the Black Knight!

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2019 6:43:13 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002
From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		I hope not, and I think not. :)

I'm still 60k points from victory, so Erik has plenty to fight for. The situation is dire for Japan, but it's September '45!

(in reply to pontiouspilot)
Post #: 4376
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2019 7:24:29 PM   
RangerJoe


Posts: 13450
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From: My Mother, although my Father had some small part.
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quote:

. . . That, combined with my gift for misspelling words, causes me some grief.


You just have unique spelling, although not as unique as Greyjoy's . . .

You do a good job writing your AARS!

_____________________________

Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!

“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
― Julia Child


(in reply to Canoerebel)
Post #: 4377
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/7/2019 7:44:35 PM   
Gridley380


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quote:

ORIGINAL: RangerJoe

You do a good job writing your AARS!


I agree! Don't sweat the occasional mistake.

Edit: I misspelled "occasional" in my original post... :-}

< Message edited by Gridley380 -- 8/7/2019 7:45:08 PM >

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Post #: 4378
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/13/2019 3:23:42 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002
From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		Thanks, gents. I make a lot of mistakes, so your patience and encouragement is appreciated.

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Post #: 4379
RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/13/2019 3:34:02 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002
From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline 		9/18/45

The Allied offensives are now fully mature, with strong offensives underway in Korea and China, a sizeable mop-up operation in Java, and major reinforcements bound for Formosa. The Allied air forces are escalating activities, mainly trying to pick on isolated groups of enemy fighters, with decent success. The Japanese navy has been utterly quiet throughout 1945, but the Japanese air force is still mostly a 1:1 beast. Until the Allies have big airfields in southern Korea, I can't really engage in sustained strategic bombing. But that day may not be far away.

Korea: The Russian army has reached Keijo in strength, having outflanked the Japanese and having fought just one engagement that would be called a battle. That was at Yingkow and was a serious mismatch in which the Russians had a 10x advantage or better. The campaign for Keijo should be tough, but the Russian army is mammoth-ness on a scale I've never seen before, so there's reason for optimism.

Northern China: The Japanese have but two bases left - Peiping held in strength and Tientsin held relatively weakly. The Russians and Western Allies are going to leave a holding force at the former while attending to the latter. I don't think that will take long. Once either base is taken, I'll have rail available from Nanking to Keijo.

Middle China: The Western Allies are advancing in strength on Sian. Dave has a bit more than I expected but not enough to hold long. Nor does he seem to have reserves coming forward.

Coastal China: The Allies are just now isolating Shanghai. They may need more to reduce the fortress, but it'll get regular treatment until then.

Formosa: Large army loading to reinforce the smaller army currently at Karenko. I think this'll be enough to handle the island over the next six weeks or so.

DEI: Decent Allied army ashore on Java, which has no strong garrisons.




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