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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/27/2018 11:50:42 PM   
Canoerebel


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Shimishura: This screen tells me that Shikuka is launching air sorties. This sweep goes well. The question is whether there's enough to clear out enemy opposition before the bombers come.





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< Message edited by Canoerebel -- 7/27/2018 11:56:20 PM >

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/27/2018 11:57:16 PM   
Canoerebel


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Status: offline 		Tonight is a full moon. I'm heading out to do a solo 6-mile hike. I did this two years ago. I'll finish posting when I get home, around midnight or one or so.

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/28/2018 2:25:49 AM   
Anachro


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Status: offline 		Solo hike at night. A lot of time for just thinking. I love those times.

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/28/2018 4:07:26 AM   
Canoerebel


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I have returned, as somebody famous (I disremember who) once said.

Shimishura: Second Allied sweep does well. It looks like the opposition will be considerably reduced when the bombers come.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/28/2018 4:11:18 AM   
Canoerebel


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Uruppu: All the fighters and 4EB are ordered to hit Shimishura, leaving the 2EB to hit Uruppu. Since they're coming in without the benefit of sweeps and escorts, I drop their altitude down to 5k, hoping they fly under any opposition. The result is rather startling - lots of hits on the enemy airfield. And it looks like Erik brought in some fighters to this base, although it has been heavily hit for weeks.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/28/2018 4:25:04 AM   
Canoerebel


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Shimishura Jima: The fighters indeed suppressed enemy CAP before the bombers came in. The bombers, in turn, scored a lot of hits on the field and supply, destroyed some good aircraft on the ground, and developed a bit of information about the enemy garrison, including 48th Div.






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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/28/2018 4:44:14 AM   
Canoerebel


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Uruppu Bombardment: Nothing spectacular.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/28/2018 4:47:41 AM   
Canoerebel


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Status: offline 		So no carrier clash today. I haven't opened the turn file yet, so I'm not even positive what's where.

Over the past two months, Erik has twice unleashed assaults timed (I think) to disrupt concerted Allied sweeps or bombing missions against Kushiro/Hokkaido. If my hunch is right, his fighter corps was getting gassed, so he attacks, forcing me to use my fighters defensively. Or the timing might be a coincidence.

Will he keep coming? Perhaps. I'll take some precautions to safeguard Toyohara. I'll think about Death Star's safety if he should load up airfields and commit KB. But I think Shimishura airfield is in bad position and he's probably lost a lot of fighters today. He'll have damaged fighters at Shimi unable to move, so Allied bombers will target it again tomorrow.

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/28/2018 4:58:03 AM   
Canoerebel


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Air Losses: Fairly bloody day in the air, with Erik losing more good fighters.

Allied losses on the ground at Toyohara were modest, with 8 Avengers being the largest casualty. The airfield at Toyohara reports no damage - lots of engineers.

Shimishura mouseover shows 48% damage.






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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/28/2018 7:17:59 AM   
BBfanboy


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Status: offline 		Your "Spidey Senses" were right on again! You prepared as well as one could and stymied his air offensive. Well done!

The peanut gallery still wants a carrier clash, but we'll understand if you both continue to circle and jab at each other ...

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/28/2018 1:54:17 PM   
Canoerebel


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Uruppu: As Death Star and The Herd move towards the Sea of Okhtosk, Erik stands down his forces. He probably overlooked a few squadrons here and there, resulting in a few small clashes like this one.







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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/28/2018 1:57:01 PM   
Canoerebel


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Shimishura Jima: If there are damaged IJA fighters here, the 4EB couldn't find them. The supply hits mean something.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/28/2018 2:09:01 PM   
Canoerebel


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Uruppu: Enemy AVs may be climbing steadily, indicating there's still supply at Uruppu, or the AV may not be climbing. I can't tell, because the data seems inconsistent.







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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/29/2018 7:15:55 PM   
Canoerebel


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Toyohara: Massed enemy LBA raids on Toyohara today costs Erik more aircraft than he destroyed. That suits me, partly because I have zillions of the aircraft he's destroying. But this raid was strong enough to cause moderate damage to the airfield, which I don't want to permit. So I'll post some fighters forward tomorrow (though I think he'll stand down).

Why the recent IJ focus on Toyohara? It might be that Erik sees it as a target of opportunity - a chance to use his bombers. From that standpoint it isn't really working mathematically for him.

I think the threat level to Toyohara long term is almost nil. I can protect the airfield to easily, it's too big with too many engineers to remain suppressed, and the stout garrison means he can't ever attack.

But he can employ nuclear bombardments, so I've had combat TFs patrolling/visiting the port each night for months. I might step those up a bit.







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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/29/2018 7:33:53 PM   
Canoerebel


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Uruppu: Massed Allied bombing raids encounter no fighter opposition and score negligible hits on dug-in enemy ground troops, and score 8 supply hits.

Allied ground bombardment is decently effective.

I think the Allies army will attack tomorrow, preceded by BB New Jersey TF and BB Alabama TF bombardments.






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< Message edited by Canoerebel -- 7/29/2018 7:34:20 PM >

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/29/2018 7:46:14 PM   
Canoerebel


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NoPac: Some intel about Paramushiro that strikes me as unlikely but possible.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/29/2018 11:39:48 PM   
Canoerebel


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Uruppu: The turn opens with two bombardments, time to coincide with a general attack today and to take advantage of cover by DS after the withdrawal. Unfortunately, in positioning DS, I forgot I had upped aircraft range from 6 to 7 a few days back. I will pay a price for that.






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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/29/2018 11:58:02 PM   
Canoerebel


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Uruppu: The biggest of many, many raids targeting Uruppu ground troops and airfield today. Other than a handful of supply hits, little damage done.






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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/30/2018 12:03:42 AM   
Canoerebel


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Kushiro: The largest of many raids targeting riff-raff seven hexes distant. This kind of thing is embarrassing and harmful. The planes are replaceable, but Navy pilots are dear.


Overall, I think I'll lose 75 aircraft at Kurshiro during the course of the day. But, boy, my guys do manage to sink two LSTs.






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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/30/2018 12:20:43 AM   
Canoerebel


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Uruppu: Allied attack yields wildly disparate results. One the plus side, the Allies get a 1:1, drop forts to 5, detect a supply malus, and inflict more squads destroyed on the Japanese. On the negative side, the Allies suffer a huge and disproportionate number of disablements.

I goofed up the screen capture of the "after" AVs, but overall noted a serious decline in the Japanese OOB.

I want to see if the Allied disablements affected a limited number of units or was widespread. That will help me decide what to do going forward. I suspect Allied AV will have dropped from 2900 to about 2100. Japanese AV should be down to 900 or a bit less.

One silver lining: I don't want Uruppu to appear on the brink yet, so I'm going to rest my days, trusting that Erik will conclude my army is beat up (which it is).

He's already thinking, "What's next?" He's making plans and deployments. I'm watching and hoping his conclusions don't match my intentions.






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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/30/2018 12:26:22 AM   
Canoerebel


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Air Losses: Yikes, Navy fighter Armageddon, as I lose 162 F4F-3 and F4F-5!




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/30/2018 12:38:35 AM   
Canoerebel


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Uruppu: Mostly good news for the Allied ground unit at Uruppu:

1. Post-attack AV is nearly 2,400 (much better than expected).
2. The big combat engineer unit only dropped about 35 in AV (far less than it's sister unit at Ketoi, which was neutered almost immediately). This is the unit I need in order to reduce forts. At something approaching this rate, it should be able to fight until forts are down to 4 or 3 or perhaps 2.
3. One RCT really took it on the chin, but other than that disablements are spread around. I think my army will be able to attack within a week, should I need to or wish to do so.

The damage suffered by Navy air will force me to re-evaluate my plans. It'll take a few days for replacement pilots and airfrarmes to be ready to go. Do I want to handle another ingress/egress movement? Maybe. That might actually be a good way to get things going again.








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< Message edited by Canoerebel -- 7/30/2018 12:39:18 AM >

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/30/2018 12:45:16 AM   
Canoerebel


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Uruppu: Fatigue and disruption for the attacking units is negligible. 37th Division is typical or perhaps a bit high. The AI wants my Army to attack again, but I'll let them rest a few days or more, depending on the yet-to-be-worked-out desired sequence for what's to happen.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/30/2018 3:55:50 AM   
Canoerebel


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Status: offline 		I've rearranged recon, hoping for better detection on Onnekotan and Paramushiro. It looks like the garrison at the former is down a bit and at the latter a great deal.

There are no plans for those two islands short term, but the info might give some insight into Erik's thinking. If he is drawing down his outlying garrisons is it because the Allies have methodically reduce two of the middle isladnds despite stout defenses? Does he apprehend an invasion of the Home Islands?

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/30/2018 4:45:46 AM   
RangerJoe


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Status: offline 		It could also mean that his supply is going down and he can't replace it. While it would be easier to take with fewer defenders, they would be in supply that much longer.

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/30/2018 3:09:22 PM   
Canoerebel


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Uruppu: Allied bombers score another handful of supply hits, while the Allied ground bombardment inflicts minimal casualties.

Other than that it was quiet in this theater. Death Star returned to port for the first time in months and will replenish/draw replacements for everything possible as soon as possible.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/30/2018 3:39:28 PM   
RangerJoe


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Status: offline 		The good news is that destroyed squads equal disabled squads. That probably means that there are a lot of troops eating but not contributing to the defense other than being targets. Either that or you got lucky.

The 6th garrison unit had 6 AV recently, the 4th Amp. brigade had 75, the 48th Ind. Mixed Brigade had 121, the Nanking Naval Guard had 7, and that independent Bn had 4. All are much lower so those are "permanent" reductions and/or he is saving parts of those units. That is much more percentage wise than on the two divisions. That is good work on those smaller units.

_____________________________

Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!

“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
― Julia Child


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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/30/2018 5:25:24 PM   
Canoerebel


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Status: offline 		It seems that the smaller units get chewed on sooner than the big ones, for both sides.

Paramushiro now shows about 54k garrison, down from the original 80k+ but far more than detection showed a couple of days ago. The actual number, as further detection should indicate, might be somewhere north of 70k.

Onnekotan Jima is down a bit, so I put some P-38s on LRCAP from Ketoi to see if they might find transports. They did, downing about 8 Tabbys. Erik is either brining in supply or drawing down his garrison, probably the latter.

Death Star arrived in port today, replenishing and ships with minor accumulated damage disbanding for quick repairs. Most of the old TBM-1Cs upgraded to the TBF. As stocks permitted, air squadrons were brought up to the maximum number that can fit on each carrier. Death Star should be ready to go to sea in about three days.

Barring a wild change in the current map and assessment of enemy plans and capabilities, the Allied plan is set for the next few weeks.

4.3 million supply at Shikuka. More than 1 million fuel with hundreds of thousands more to come ashore from TKs over the next few days.

The supply is more than sufficient to handle whatever needs Shikuka would have for a year or more, but of course will be drawn down regularly to "fund" the chain of invasions to come over the next months. So the ingress/egress program will continue. There are 250,000 Allied TFs transiting the Gulf of Alaska and vicinity. Erik probalby knows or guesses. I'm trying to take prudent precautions. A certain other former opponent would try something, even if it meant nothing more than nibbling at the edges to measure Allied patrols and then deciding it was too risky.

< Message edited by Canoerebel -- 7/30/2018 5:26:01 PM >

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/30/2018 5:45:56 PM   
BBfanboy


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Status: offline 		I thought the TBF came first and was replaced by the TBM-1C, which was replaced by the TBM-3?

I know the TBF was so designated because it was made in Flint while the TBM was made in Mobile AFAIK. The Mobile plant opened later so some refinements to the design were made based on experience with the earlier TBF.

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 7/30/2018 6:27:57 PM   
RangerJoe


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quote:

TBF and TBM are designations for the same type of aircraft which happened to be built in different factories by different companies. TBF= Torpedo Bomber Grumman TBM = Torpedo Bomber General Motors.


Notes on the Avenger Torpedo Bomber

I think that Grumman later concentrated on the Hellcat so the later models were all built by G. But the game might use the same nomenclature for the early planes no matter what company built them.

The P-51B/C models were the same just built in different locations but the P-51D was built in both locations.

There was also this discussion;

http://www.matrixgames.com/forums/tm.asp?m=2155134&mpage=1

_____________________________

Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!

“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
― Julia Child


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