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RE: Soviet AAR turn 14 - 12/19/2018 3:04:18 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		The small armor/motorized group in this area could conceivably try for a breakthrough. As we have anticipated for several turns, the motorized troops under Manstein could drive north towards Lake Ilmen, while the armor under Reinhardt has reached the Volga. Armor doesn’t do well attacking across rivers, and there is no infantry support in this sector, but they could still do some mischief with luck pushing towards Torzhok. They seem to have abandoned the Torzhok route, with the FBD pulling out, but it could always come back if they get lucky here.

Farther to the west, our brave boys went out and reoccupied last turn’s battlefields, encouraging another slugfest next turn. As the American General Grant said during their capitalist revolution, “I will fight it out on these lines if it takes all summer.” Grant was a progressive, fighting on the side of history like us Marxist-Leninists, and he knew that the forces of reaction are fundamentally weak and can be ground down to nothing through attrition.





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RE: Soviet AAR turn 14 - 12/19/2018 3:04:50 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		In the central sector, 2nd Panzer Group attacked to the south of 3rd in the same sector, between Rzhev and Vyazma. They gained about one hex across the front, again without making much effort to penetrate our lines. A 3rd Panzer Group assault across the Volga at Rzhev was unsuccessful. A 9th Army assault against Vyazma was also unsuccessful, though they did gain the two hexes on the flanks of the city, setting up a 3-hex assault next turn.




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RE: Soviet AAR turn 14 - 12/19/2018 3:05:57 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		In this theater, we stiffened the defenses of Vyazma and awaited the next move of the panzerball. I anticipate a continued drive straight east by 3rd Panzer Group and a drive to the southeast by 2nd Panzer Group. The infantry will probably clear Vyazma this turn. I may find myself with a partial pocket of Western Front next turn if 2nd PzG has a lot of fuel stockpiled. I can’t be strong everywhere – but I would hate to lose those fine Zhukov units. I did my best to buttress my defenses with enough blockers to limit the damage, and in any case our opponents have not shown a lot of interest in dramatic pocketing moves. Tenth Army to the south of the Oka River now faces a significant infantry threat as German 4th Army concentrates to the north. We evacuated most of the factories from the Bryansk region, so I can give ground here if I need to. I hope they don’t have enough movement to get to Kaluga.




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RE: Soviet AAR turn 14 - 12/19/2018 3:06:47 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		In the south, light Axis mobile forces pushed at our screen along the Azov coast, while the heavy German armor of 1st Panzer Group and LIV Corps of 11th Army re-closed the Zaporozhye pocket, very firmly this time. At least one corps of 17th Army is moving southeastward, presumably to provide more infantry support to the offensive in this area.




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RE: Soviet AAR turn 14 - 12/19/2018 3:07:44 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		We responded to the presence of weak Hungarian forces on the extreme south of the line with a quick counter-attack. The results justified our daring – one brigade was shattered and two others retreated with little loss to us. We detected two armored headquarters just south of Zaporozhye protected by a mere couple of Italian divisions and decided to go after them with less stunning results – the HQ’s were not displaced and three of our cavalry divisions ended up hanging out in the middle of the Axis position with no support. The rest of our forces in this district began a move towards what we expect to be our turn 17 stop line, the Kalmius river to the Donbass cities, then around to the Samara River. A sweep around our blocking forces by 1st Panzer Group would once again have the armor in this area going north to south instead of west to east. We left the factories in the Donbass cities to encourage German forces to overextend themselves.




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RE: Soviet AAR turn 14 - 12/19/2018 3:08:56 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		We continued to put pressure on the Axis air forces this turn with aggressive bombing campaigns. Total air losses were 259 Axis (including 40 German fighters) to 737 Soviet. They have been making adjustments, massing airfields, putting in AAA, evacuating tired squadrons to the rear, trying to reduce their air losses, but are still suffering losses above replacement in most categories. On the ground, they lost 31,362 to our 85,347. This is just about replacement level for them and well below for us. Total deployed manpower was 4,429,603 for us (up about 60K from last time) to 5,016,172 Axis (3,430,458 German, down about 15K from last turn). In the air, we have 5695 (down about 350) and they have 2270 (down about 150).

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Soviet AAR turn 15 - 12/19/2018 3:30:27 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		Connect 4 AAR, Soviet turn 15

Here again are the intelligence maps I distributed to my teammates at the beginning of the turn. For the northern front, the only striking change is the disappearance of the remaining units of 4th Panzer Group from the sector.





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RE: Soviet AAR turn 15 - 12/19/2018 3:31:04 PM   
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Status: offline 		They are to be found in the central sector supporting their armor in a push on the upper Volga north of Rzhev.




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RE: Soviet AAR turn 15 - 12/19/2018 3:31:48 PM   
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Status: offline 		And to the south, armor masses southeast of Dnepropetrovsk:




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RE: Soviet AAR turn 15 - 12/19/2018 3:32:33 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		German turn 15 saw a continuation of their line of action over the last several turns. A grinding offensive continued in the north. This turn, several of the German attacks were successful, though at significant cost. X Corps of 16th Army pushed forward a hex north of Pskov, while two corps of 18th Army gained a single hex south of Narva. The German attackers in the Narva sector now benefit from better supply since the Germans have repaired the port at Talinn in Estonia. Model’s I Corps of 18th Army unsuccessfully took on a powerful stack from Vatutin’s 23rd army at the eastern end of Leningrad Front’s sector. Farther to the south, 18th and 16th Army troops were unable to move Northwest Front. Army Group North’s mobile force, 4th Panzer Group, has moved to the Volga and now faces our Central Region.




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RE: Soviet AAR turn 15 - 12/19/2018 3:33:13 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		Here, we launched a few counterattacks against 16th Army’s positions in the Lovat River basin. The Germans had made the mistake of staffing their front line with infantry regiments – fine when a mere screen of Soviet units confronts you, but not so smart when the Soviets are two or three divisions per hex. We’ve picked up a lot of victories, so many that when we opened the event log for this turn we were shocked to discover that we had gotten no new Guards infantry divisions. Turns out you have a cap of 5% of each unit type to convert to Guards in 1941, and we now have 15 Guards Rifle divisions out of 314 infantry units. We have another 13 infantry units with more than 6 victories who will presumably be eligible to convert in January 1942, when the limit goes up to 10% (and six victories will be needed to make you eligible for Guards conversion instead of 1941’s 5). Unfortunately, no Guards Armies on the horizon; the most victories for one of our armies is for Zhukov’s 13th, which has 29. You need 67 at this point to be eligible for Guards conversion.




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RE: Soviet AAR turn 15 - 12/19/2018 3:34:14 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		In the Central Region, the Germans made the same sort of broad-front attack, but this time with three Panzer Groups abreast. Fourth Panzer Group was unsuccessful in a broad offensive across the Volga River from Rzhev northwards. Third Panzer Group pushed another hex forward south of Rzhev, while Second Panzer Group and supporting infantry from 9th Army took on Zhukov’s 13th Army and Kuznetsov’s 3rd around Vitebsk, with mixed results. German 4th Army, spread out across a wide front to the south of the Ugra River, made a few attacks and gained a hex.




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RE: Soviet AAR turn 15 - 12/19/2018 3:35:25 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		Here, we strengthened our defenses and awaited developments. It looks right now like the Germans are pushing three tank armies abreast straight eastwards. Fourth Panzer Group is sure to be able to cross the Volga at some point – now they have infantry support – but probably won’t have too much gas to advance afterwards. We did bring in some reserves from the north to slow a breakthrough north of Rzhev if it occurs. I think it would have been better for them to concentrate their forces. Second and Third PzGp can be expected to continue to drive due east towards Moscow. We withdrew our Guards formations one or two hexes to prevent them from being forced to retreat – instead, they will dig fall-back positions for the front line guys and prevent armored breakthroughs.






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RE: Soviet AAR turn 15 - 12/19/2018 3:37:31 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		The region from Orel to the Dnepr near Cherkassy saw light forces on both sides fencing for position. The German FBD in that area moved north instead of east, apparently aiming to build a connection with the northern rail net. Another FBD is driving south from Smolensk towards Bryansk; the two could hook up by December. German 6th Army tried a three-pronged attack south of the Desna but was unable to pocket any of our forces.




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RE: Soviet AAR turn 15 - 12/19/2018 3:38:14 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		In this region, we were able to disengage and continue our slow retreat. There’s a lot of German infantry in that area that could probably have been better employed nearer the main effort either near Moscow or down by Stalino.




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RE: Soviet AAR turn 15 - 12/19/2018 3:38:58 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		The southern front saw a push by 1st Panzer Group’s XIV Panzer Corps towards the Donbass cities, while the other two corps did a more restrained sweep to cut off about five divisions along the Dnepr south of Denpropetrovsk. Light mobile forces once again appeared along the Azov shore, loosely pocketing our own screening forces in that region. Divisions of 17th Army surrounded Zaporozhye, but no effort was made to rout out or destroy our isolated forces at any point, leaving our units to ZOC-block supply deliveries to forward units next turn.




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RE: Soviet AAR turn 15 - 12/19/2018 3:40:14 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		We responded to XIV Panzer Corps’ daring advance with a similarly daring counteroffensive. Our 54th Army got a new commander, Vasiliy Gordov, and stepped out of the trenches around Stalino to surround and attack 24th Panzer Division. Unfortunately, most of these divisions were unskilled replacements and the veterans of 24th Panzer defended their positions successfully. At any rate, we were able to cut off supplies to the whole corps, meaning that they will find it difficult to pocket us in their turn. Northwards, we stiffened our defenses along the Volchya and Samara River lines, bringing down 26th Army, one of our best armies from Southwestern Front.




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RE: Soviet AAR turn 15 - 12/19/2018 3:41:55 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		We began to withdraw our best units to the rear in Northern Region, and to withdraw cavalry from Southern Region. We are putting them on refit status on rail hexes at least 11 hexes behind the line. That way they will have the best chance of filling up to 100 TOE and will also gain at least three morale a turn until they reach their maximum morale (55 in the case of Guards Rifle units). The cavalry will be ready for conversion to corps as soon as possible after winter begins. We would have done this in the Central Region as well, except for those three pesky Panzer Groups driving towards Moscow.




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RE: Soviet AAR turn 15 - 12/19/2018 3:42:26 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		Total losses this turn were 103,634 for us and 39.257 for the Axis. Aircraft losses were 562 to 209 (including 42 German fighters). Deployed forces were 4,508,956 for us (up about 80k) to 5,019,744 Axis (3,422,290 German, up about 3k). From an attrition standpoint, we are doing pretty well, I think. Everything depends on how successful the Axis attacks are over the next two turns.

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Soviet AAR turn 16 - 12/19/2018 3:45:47 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		Connect 4 Soviet AAR, turn 16

I'm not going to include the intel maps in this AAR since the information they contain is pretty much duplicated in the discussion below.

Turn 16 was quite exciting across our front, as strong Axis offensives were met by full strength Soviet counterattacks. We are preparing some of our forces for winter operations, especially in the north.

Preparation for the winter offensive was an important goal this turn. We have been trying to get high quality units, especially Guards but also high-morale and high-experience non-Guards units, out of the main line. If possible, we have been placing them more than 10 hexes to the rear on rail lines in refit mode so that they can get up to 100% TOE and regain morale. We have been pulling cavalry out of the line and refitting it in the same way in anticipation of being able to form cavalry corps starting turn 25. We only have one Guards cavalry division and one other with 4 victories, so we aren’t going to start out with any Guards Cavalry Corps. Hopefully, we’ll pick up some in the course of the winter.

As far as strategic planning for the winter is concerned, we are going to have to react to what the Axis does. If they elect to press the attack during the snow turns, then we will have the opportunity to launch offensives attempting to cut off significant elements in December/January. If they play it safe and withdraw their mobile forces to garrison positions once mud starts, then we will start planning for a series of spoiling attacks that will wind down in February, when we shift over to defensive preparations for the coming June. I have seen both scenarios play out in games I’ve been involved in. If the Axis makes a lot of progress in the Barbarossa year, then tries to hold on when the counter-attack comes, they can get badly punished. If they give ground, they save troops and the Soviets are invited to suffer a bunch of casualties trying to fight at the end of a long supply line. The first winter can be quite quiet if the Axis retreats and the Soviets just take the offered territory. Depending on what tack our opponents take in the coming ten turns, this AAR could be very dull for the next six months or so of real time!

However, this turn will at least make up for some of that anticipated tedium. In the north, German 18th Army continued their grinding offensive. Two corps, stacked at maximum density, pushed forward almost to the Estonian border at Narva but were unable to cross the river. Our boys were reminded of the struggle of Peter the Great’s troops against the Swedish invaders in this same area in the Great Northern War. Even though Peter was Tsar and an aristocrat, he was a progressive for his day, and the Swedes were imperialists like our German enemies. Sergei Eisenstein will be making us a movie about Peter.

Northeast of Pskov, the so-called German genius Model is not covering himself with glory. This is the second turn that his corps has attacked unsuccessfully. See-saw fighting continued in the Valdai Hills, with 16th Army pushing us back from the ground they took last turn but once again not claiming their captured turf. Obviously they are trying to bleed our forces in this area, but I continue to feel that a 2:1 or even 3:1 loss ratio at this point in the war is a victory for the motherland.





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RE: Soviet AAR turn 16 - 12/19/2018 3:47:23 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		Our response in this sector was to strengthen our lines and prepare for winter. In the words of our north commander Elloboloco, “The goal of North Command has been to preserve the major industrial and population center of Leningrad for the Soviet Union. Now, at the end of the Axis opening campaign, we have been successful in achieving that goal. Due to good defensive terrain, stubborn resistance, and the continued movement of 4th Panzer Group to the south and east, we have been able to establish strong defensive lines well forward of what is normally expected. That trend continued this turn and has enabled us to prepare several important units for winter combat. The situation in the Leningrad front shows continued stubborn resistance along the Narva river and in the forest area just north of Pskov. Movement has been slow for the Axis, with one hex at a time changes and occasional counter attacks from Leningrad Front's 23rd and 28th armies. To the east, the situation has been the same in the North West Front area. This front extends from the Shalot river to near lake Seliger in the Valdai Hills. Again, small one hex at a time combat has characterized the fighting here. The swamps and hills make great defensive terrain. Further east, from Lake Seliger and south along the upper Volga river is the area of Stavka armies under North Front command. These armies are destined to become the core of the new Volkhov Front when it arrives next month. Meanwhile, they are opposed by AGN's 4th Panzer Group. This group has made a one hex penetration across the Volga right at the junction of our North and Center fronts. Hopefully, considering the lateness of the season, we can contain this penetration. And who knows? I feel a chill and dampness in the air.....anything can happen!




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RE: Soviet AAR turn 16 - 12/19/2018 3:48:04 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		In the central sector, the Axis made two major thrusts, with 4th Panzer Group across the Volga north of Rzhev and 3rd Panzer Group supported by 9th Army along the Volga to the south of that city. Meanwhile, 2nd Panzer Group pushed forward on a broad front in the land bridge region. Our forces were powerful and strongly dug in and offered stout resistance but were driven back in several places. Third PzG managed to drive a one hex wide salient 50 miles into our lines. Meanwhile, 2nd and 4th Army’s infantry pushed forward against the weak screen offered by our 3rd and 10th Armies to the south of Vyazma, capturing the major city of Bryansk. We evacuated all factories a couple of turns ago, but it is still unfortunate to lose something like 6 manpower centers. A German FBD is moving forward along the rail line leading to Bryansk, suggesting that 2nd PzG might shift its line of attack southwards for the snow turns. Tula and Orel are lightly defended and Tula still has its very large armaments complex.




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RE: Soviet AAR turn 16 - 12/19/2018 3:49:28 PM   
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Status: offline 		In this sector, we at first considered a flexible defense to withdraw before the Panzer ball but decided on a counterattack instead. In two steps, Rudolf Schmidt’s XXXIX Panzer Corps was first driven “back” into the farthest eastern-most hex seized by the attackers.




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RE: Soviet AAR turn 16 - 12/19/2018 3:50:26 PM   
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Status: offline 		And then attacked there and forced to rout through our lines.




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RE: Soviet AAR turn 16 - 12/19/2018 3:51:32 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		Unlike the last time we routed a panzer formation like this and destroyed a grand total of 13 tanks, these attacks inflicted some serious harm on the German panzer force. A total of 180 tanks were knocked out or damaged, and I think the damaged guys are pretty likely to have been destroyed in the process of routing. Almost 10,000 personnel casualties, from some of the best units in the Wehrmacht, completes the good news for our forces.

In the preceding images, you can see the cavalry and some infantry forces in their training zone behind Moscow.

In the rest of this sector, we set strong defenses in the land bridge region while continuing our slow withdrawal in the Bryansk area. In front of 4th PzG along the Volga, we set up a defense in depth. The army is not currently supported by any infantry at all, meaning that an attempt to dig deeply into our positions might find their guys surrounded and spending the whole mud period out of supply. We confronted 2nd PzG with a fairly solid line of 30-ish defense strengths in level 1 forts. Again, an all-out offensive on the last turn before mud would risk pocketing that could inflict significant attrition losses. And if they manage to pocket a few hexes of our guys next turn, we will have a turn to counter and reopen their pockets.





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RE: Soviet AAR turn 16 - 12/19/2018 3:52:44 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		In the Bryansk Front sector, German 6th Army, reinforced with one corps possibly transferred from 17th Army, continued it push towards Kharkov. Sixth Army’s push to the NE along the Sula River will end up encircling three or four divisions next turn. Otherwise, this is a fairly quiet sector. German rail repair looks to be aiming to complete a north-south linkage, with one FBD moving north from Cherkassy, while another is moving southwards in the vicinity of Mogliev.






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RE: Soviet AAR turn 16 - 12/19/2018 3:54:58 PM   
thedoctorking


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Status: offline 		In response, we put extra CV into Sumy and Gadyach to prevent any dramatic moves east, while giving a few hexes to the east. In general, here, and throughout southern sector, our strategic goal has been to encourage Axis forces to move north to south instead of to the east. Any supplies and fuel they expend and fatigue they gain marching at 90 degrees from their intended path are gains for us, even if it means we lose a few divisions in the process.




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RE: Soviet AAR turn 16 - 12/19/2018 3:55:46 PM   
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Status: offline 		At the southern end of their line, Axis forces continued their push towards the Donbass cities. They didn’t quite get to ZOC-block Stalino. We have intentionally left 15 Armaments factories in Stalino in order to attract German attention. No doubt they would have driven for the Donbass anyway; there are manpower centers and resources there that can’t be moved. Getting across the Don must be a critical strategic objective for them, especially given their great success in rail construction in this region. Their rail repair was blocked for two turns by our defense of Zaporozhye, which fell this turn. Therefore, they were finally able to move their railhead across the Dnepr – meaning they got their rail line farther east than I have ever gotten before mud in the south in games I’ve played as the Axis. They now have significant German infantry forces across the Dnepr as well, with at least two corps of 17th Army present along with most of 11th Army. However, the flanks of their armored push were mostly held by Italians and the 8th SS Cavalry, a unit historically better-known for chasing fleeing Jews in Belarus and fighting Polish partisans than standing up to actual Soviet soldiers. Also, now that 17th Army has arrived on the Dnepr, the only Axis ground units between Denpropetrovsk and 6th Army’s troops north of Cherkassy are Romanians.




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RE: Soviet AAR turn 16 - 12/19/2018 3:56:43 PM   
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Status: offline 		So, again, we decided to chastise the Axis for their inattention to their flanks by cutting off their supplies. A couple of attacks were necessary to clear the flanking forces out. Making the second and decisive attack against the 8th SS required bringing some of our fragile airborne brigades out of their rear-area blocking positions. Even if they get beat up next turn, though, it is probably worth it given that all of 1st Panzer Group is not going to get any fuel on turn 17. To deepen their supply woes, we made a few attacks against units within the pocket, further burning supply and knocking down morale.






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RE: Soviet AAR turn 16 - 12/19/2018 3:59:16 PM   
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Status: offline 		To the west of Denpropetrovsk, we launched local attacks against the Romanian blocking forces, while some high-quality units of SW Front moved up to the river. We are also looking at an attack out of Crimea, given that only Romanian infantry is present on that front, too. This turn’s counterattack there was a costly failure, though.




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