rkr1958
Posts: 23483
Joined: 5/21/2009
Status: offline
|
Turn 30. July/August 1944. Allied #1.
Actions (*Revised from Post # 2681). USA - super combine (O-chit), Great Britain - naval*, Free France - combine*, China - land, USSR - land.
July/August turns last the longest on average, 9.5 impulses, of any other turn ("Players Manual, Vol 1", p 25). Moving first guarantees the allies a minimum of 3 impulses, 88% chance of 4 impulses, 48% chance of 5 impulses and 14% chance of 6 impulses. (Note, these probabilities ignore the 1% chance of rolling consecutive 10's for the weather rolls at the beginning of impulses 3 and 5).
What this means is that from an allied planning point of view is that on the Western and Med Fronts (i.e., Arctic, North Temperate and Med weather regions) the allies need to attack selectively early in the turn to avoid/minimize disorganizing land units. Because of the long expected turn length, large number of land units disorganized early in the turn would, at best, waste a long fine weather turn on this front for the allies and, at worse, could result in troublesome counterattacks by the Germans. Either way, a large number of disorganized allied units early in the turn removes significant doubt from the Germans as to allied intentions and gives the Germans significant freedom for unit movements and deployments. Also the Germans won't have to defend against a number of allied threats but those threats no longer would exist if the units that can make those threats are disorganized.
In the South China Sea and surrounding land areas (e.g., Canton, Hainan), though this turn may run long the weather in that region, which is currently rain, will likely become storms (60%). So unlike the Western and Med fronts, if the allies wish to attack in this area they need to do it quickly (i.e., this impulse). Though, they don't need to be, and won't be reckless, the allies will accept significant more risk for disorganization this impulse than elsewhere. Since all the land units, or the majority anyway, are US and Chinese then the above revised actions are consistent with all this. That is, CW naval doesn't impact, or has a relatively insignificant impact on, land operations. Also, this could very well be the only impulse-pair this turn that air can fly in the South China Sea and the allies need to make hay while the sun shines, or in this case before the storms come.
 Attachment (1)
_____________________________
Ronnie
|
Printable Version
RE: Witness to World War 2. - 
New Messages
No New Messages
Hot Topic w/ New Messages
Hot Topic w/o New Messages
Locked w/ New Messages
Locked w/o New Messages
Post New Thread