Lowpe
Posts: 22133
Joined: 2/25/2013 Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: Chickenboy quote:
ORIGINAL: Lowpe Be careful in saying that Sweeden has a higher mortality rate, as in the BBC article I reference above, they might be counting differently than others. I think obvert said 'other countries nearby'. It's a useful comparative. Scandinavian countries ex-Sweden show much much lower Deaths/M. Sweden's 217/M is a significant departure from Denmark's 73, Norway's 37 or Finland's 34 and probably not explainable by vagaries in how deaths are counted. Ok, just some really crude math here. Norway has a population of around 5 million, Sweden twice that. Deaths per annum are incredibly stable in Norway at around 40,000 per year. 40,000 deaths per year divided by 12 months, gives us a very crude average of 3,333 month. A month roughly corresponds to the lockdown, at least here in the states we are past 40 days. Divide by 5, and they have 666 deaths per million per month in Norway. Norway's 37/m figure is very low compared to Sweden's 217, but perhaps not. And then, perhaps Norway's number's are merely delayed...while Sweden is much closer to being final. These are great topics for statisticians down the road, and as I have said before we are living thru one of the greatest and largest experiments ever tried and there will be plenty of after action analysis.
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