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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 5/31/2004 6:53:48 PM   
Pippin


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Not to sound too extreme, but one could also argue that America's most dangerous enemy of WWII is herself. Take a moment to calculate how many americans died or got injured from any country during that era. Then tally up all the shooting incidences and the rest of it americans seem to be inflicting on each other on the streets etc. during our present peacetime...

While many lobyists were discussing the numerous casualities of the vietnam war for example, it certainly did not take long for the murder rate involving sidearms with just simple domestics in the US to catch up.

Seems to put things in an interresting perspective.

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/1/2004 3:47:56 AM   
Muzrub


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Overtime Germany.....

With control over Europe and eventually the Middle East, Germany would have had direct control over much of the worlds resources and would have become an economic powerhouse with enough cash to research any scientific project and with the lack of morals to use their knowledge without regard for others.
Much of the USA's growth is basd upon the resouces gained from the Middle East, look at the OPEC oil embargo of the 70's over the conflict in Israel. America was almost brought to a standstill and the economy was strained to breaking point.
In the long run Germany was the greatest villian and danger.
Without the Soviet Union Germany would have won, but the Soviets needed great quantities of material from the west in order to win. Without the Soviets the US/UK may have been able to force a peace with the threat of the A-bomb but this would have resulted with a possible German withdraw but the Nazi's would have remained in power and eventually would have created a bomb too, probably an ICBM.

National Socialism and the Hitler myth was the greater enemy- This had to be destroyed, wiped out and the earth salted. A Germany with godlike love for Hitler, resources, knowledge, military elan and lack of morals would have eventually either destroyed the US/UK in the future or forced the West's hand and wiped out everyone in a nuclear disaster.

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/4/2004 5:50:02 PM   
CCB


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Thank you for your comments gentlemen.

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/4/2004 5:52:26 PM   
CCB


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Muzrub
National Socialism and the Hitler myth was the greater enemy- This had to be destroyed, wiped out and the earth salted. A Germany with godlike love for Hitler, resources, knowledge, military elan and lack of morals would have eventually either destroyed the US/UK in the future or forced the West's hand and wiped out everyone in a nuclear disaster.


Fine point Muzrub. But do you feel that Germany was more of a threat to Australia than Japan? After all it wasn't Rommel that overran Malay and those weren't He111s that bombed Darwin. Comment?

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Post #: 34
RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/4/2004 6:13:04 PM   
Frank W.

 

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germany was the more dangerous one without doubt.

but after the dünkirchen, stalingrad + north africa
catastrophes there was no hope for ger anymore.

the only way i could see would be that hitler + his cronies
were killed or arrested by more morale + inteligent german
people and then came to a agreement with the allies.

i doubt, that the soviets would agree to peace though even
under this conditions.

see my " desert reds" SPWAW H2H scen like it could
have been.....

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/4/2004 6:32:20 PM   
Blackhorse


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Most dangerous enemy? Neither / Both

Germany had far and away more effective "war making" powers than Japan. But it was defeated primarily on the Eastern Front by Russia (with a *lot* of help from the western Allies, in terms of both equipment provided, and other military operations; e.g. more Germans surrendered in Tunisia, than at Stalingrad). Even if Germany had managed to knock Russia out of the war, in the long run it would not have been a match for the combined military and economic might of the U.S. and the Commonwealth countries.

Had Germany and Japan coordinated their military campaigns . . . Japan attacking Russia in 1941, for example, instead of the US, and then coordinating a campaign to threaten British possessions from Southeast Asia to the Middle East . . . then there is some chance that they might have eventually been a threat to America. But it's hard to see how that could / would have played out.

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/4/2004 8:13:17 PM   
Mangudai


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Maybe Japan could have taken Hawaii and some Aluetian islands, but there is no way they could establish a permanent foothold on the westcoast. Any invader of the US mainland would face the unpleasant fact that, as Hank Jr. states "them old boys was raised on shotguns". If Japan had not attacked Pearl Harbor, perhaps it could have taken all China, India, SE Asia, and Australia . Given all that it would take decades at least before it could out produce the US.

If Hitler had been cautious he would have focused all his attention on Britian, before launching Barbarrossa. The Germans would have been able to drive the British out of North Africa, then sieze the oilfields of the Middle East. It might take two years or more to prepare the way for Sealion. Without help Britain could not stand forever. Then the Germans could launch Barbarrossa. Probably the Soviet forces would be a little stronger at this later time than they were at the historic beginning of Barbarossa, but it wouldn't matter. The Germans would be a lot stronger with better technology, secure oil supplies, a larger industrial base, and a single front. It might also have been possible to attack USSR from the south, which would make an excellent diversion if not a knockout. Russia would not have been able to win in this scenario.

At this point both Germany and Japan would realize that their forces were being stretched to the limit just holding terrain. If they decided to bully the US a little bit diplomatically, we probably would have done what they wanted. Probably neither of them would attempt to invade the US mainland. They might go somewhere in South America and establish basis there. If the Axis made it a priority, they could eventually build a fleet capable of invading the US given a decade or so. Then it would take years and years of bloody fighting. Eventually the Axis would fall apart because it would have too many rebellions going on all over the world.

If Germany got nukes, however, a supreme global victory is possible.

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/4/2004 8:49:53 PM   
Mangudai


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quote:

Had Germany and Japan coordinated their military campaigns . . . Japan attacking Russia in 1941, for example, instead of the US, and then coordinating a campaign to threaten British possessions from Southeast Asia to the Middle East . . . then there is some chance that they might have eventually been a threat to America. But it's hard to see how that could / would have played out.


It's interesting to think how this might have played out. Sure the Japs could take Vladivostok and then some, and then what would they do. It's a long walk to Moscow, with not enough goodies along the way. Imagine the Germans sending a message "We need you guys to commit a few million troops in Siberia so that we can take Moscow, etc."
Since the Jap tanks sucked, it probably would have been an infantry war with some trucks and horses, etc, and plenty of jap aircraft. The terrain is so remote that trench lines would not be a prominent feature, and concentrated artillery would have a minor role. Both Japs and Ruskies would feed the human meat grinder with little gained. Occasionally a new Russian tank would inflict serious losses, but the Russians would not have enough tanks to fully exploit this with Germany breathing down their neck. Japs would eventually get good at tank warfare, but the first couple years would be terrible.

This scenario could definitely tip the balance in favor of Germany, but I can't see how it would benefit Japan. How do you like the prospect of freezing to death in a land that was considered unhospitable even before the Ruskies scorched it? Or maybe the Japs would just take the Russian far east and then switch to a defensive posture, that is more plausible. Even then, Japan would have to postpone offensives in southern China, India, and Australia because too much of their army would be tied up. These three targets look much more appealing from the Japanese perspective.

< Message edited by Mangudai -- 6/4/2004 9:53:17 PM >

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/5/2004 9:24:05 AM   
Muzrub


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quote:

Fine point Muzrub. But do you feel that Germany was more of a threat to Australia than Japan? After all it wasn't Rommel that overran Malay and those weren't He111s that bombed Darwin. Comment?


We had German ships laying mines off the Western Australian coast.....but thats another story.
The Japanese for Australia no doubt.
Australia could have survived the loss of Britain if we had another large friend to keep us under their wing, ie the US.
Without either the US or UK we would have been in trouble.
At the time though the Australian governemt considered the Japanese the greater threat and withdrew our troops from the middle east.

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/13/2004 3:36:56 AM   
Kraut


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Fallschirmjager

Neither one was a danger. Somewhere in 60 years they have glamorized the war into some sort of struggle. The United States once she entered the war was an unstopabble juggernaught. She only had to wish to do something and the axis powers feebly resisted but couldnt stop it.
...

We nearly wiped out one entire generation of young men in each of the two nations.
There never was any threat. When the Unites States entered the war it was simply a matter of time and how high the body count had to go until we won.


The Allied industrial capacity was six times the Axis powers' industrial capacity. America fought a rich man's war. Without American material support (lend and lease etc) the Soviet Union would have collapsed in '42 at the latest.

One interesting factor: The Nazi leadership thought in '41 that they basically already had won, so they actually reduced weapons production in the middle of the war.

Btw, Germany didn't lost that many soldiers fighting Americans, the vast majority was lost in the East.

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/13/2004 3:43:05 AM   
Kraut


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quote:

ORIGINAL: CCB

Who do you consider was America's most dangerous enemy of WW2 - Germany or Japan?

I say Japan because they had a vastly larger more potent navy than the Germans. And Japan inflicted more death and destruction on the US than Germany.


Something I forgot: Germans are much more likely than Japanese to seduce American women, So I'd say we'd always be the more dangerous rival, too.

It was really surprising how many women in the occupied countries felkl for German soldiers. That was even more common in Norway than in France. Germany also occupied some of the smaller British islands in the channel, and the British women often reacted that way too. It seems that the German soldiers were much more politie and considerate
than the local guys. And better looking, too.

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/13/2004 9:58:54 AM   
Bill Durrant


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And better at Football

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/13/2004 12:21:38 PM   
Kraut


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Durrant

And better at Football


Point taken. Listen, I wasn't slamming the British here, just pointing out how handsome we are.

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/13/2004 7:34:24 PM   
riverbravo


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I wouldnt call Russia an Allie.

A necessary evil maybe.

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/13/2004 10:39:18 PM   
EricGuitarJames

 

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quote:

Btw, Germany didn't lost that many soldiers fighting Americans, the vast majority was lost in the East.


80% of all German battle casualties (not just the Army note!) were inflicted by the Soviets on the Eastern Front. Logistical assistance notwithstanding it was the Red Army that brought Nazi Germany to its knees.

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/13/2004 11:17:29 PM   
Cap Mandrake


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Kraut

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Durrant

And better at Football


Point taken. Listen, I wasn't slamming the British here, just pointing out how handsome we are.


Kraut;

You don't think the dating choices of the women of the occupied countries might have had something to with the fact the native men were either dead or out of town working (for free) for Krupp or building the Atlantic Wall for Rommel?

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/14/2004 1:44:32 AM   
Kraut


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake

quote:

ORIGINAL: Kraut

quote:

ORIGINAL: Bill Durrant

And better at Football


Point taken. Listen, I wasn't slamming the British here, just pointing out how handsome we are.


Kraut;

You don't think the dating choices of the women of the occupied countries might have had something to with the fact the native men were either dead or out of town working (for free) for Krupp or building the Atlantic Wall for Rommel?


In Norway, France and the occupied Islands relatively few men were pressed into service.
Anyway, we simply look damn good.

Behold our beauty:




Attachment (1)

< Message edited by Kraut -- 6/14/2004 1:53:06 AM >

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/14/2004 2:42:45 AM   
IronDuke_slith

 

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It was Germany by far. Although the Japanese had a skilled Navy, American material might would overwhelm them sooner or later, and as their economy collapsed and the quality of her air arm deteriorated, then she was finished. She didn't have the shipping to supply her defensive perimeter and with or without Midway, it was only a matter of time before the sheer number of Essex Class Carriers being produced overwhelmed her.

Germany presented a number of bigger problems. She was a land power and the quality of her ground forces was without peer for most of the war. America only put 89 divisions into the field, so would never have been able to overwhelm her without a far greater effort which would have taken longer to assemble.
Even had the extra troops been assembled, a Wehrmacht not burdened with the war in the east would have repulsed it.

It's right to say the US didn't defeat Germany, merely create the right circumstances in which Western Europe could be liberated by the Democratic powers rather than the Red Army.

Lots of interesting points, here, though.

quote:

Also by overrunning the Dutch Indies, Burma, Indo China, etc, Japan had all the natural resources she needed to wage war with the US.


Yes, but not the shipping to keep the bases supplied, the troops rotating and the raw materials flowing. Certainly not when the Submarine offensive began to take its toll. Japan retained much of these resources until 1944, but never got enough of them back to keep production on a high.

quote:

Neither one was a danger. Somewhere in 60 years they have glamorized the war into some sort of struggle. The United States once she entered the war was an unstopabble juggernaught. She only had to wish to do something and the axis powers feebly resisted but couldnt stop it. We so completly crushed all three of the major axis nations. Amphibious landings before the war were considered extremly risky. The United States conducted dozens of these and never failed in a single attempt.


Yes, but there are scenarios in which it is difficult to win against Germany. The bombing offensives weren't clever enough, and in the form they took would not have won the war. Again a Wehrmacht not bogged down in the east would have stopped the Allied invasion. Tarawa and Omaha show what can happen against even moderate opposition. So, whilst the US helped pioneer the amphibious attack, there are limits to what it would have been able to achieve. It succeeded in Normandy, because the Allies won the battle of the Build up.

quote:

There were many Germal generals that wanted peace with Britain and America to concentrate on Russia because they saw a chance to defeat Russia.
Again, I dont want to say you're wrong, but concentrating on D-Day alone is just too simple.


Once the initial campaign had (understandably failed) the Germans were lost in the east. I can see scenarios in which they can win a bloody stalemate, but these disappear after Kursk. Blitzkrieg (whatever that meant) was over by 1941, so even on the offensive, they were no longer inflicting offensive losses on the scale of 1941. This would have made it difficult for them against the Soviets and a draw, constantly blunting and destroying breakthroughs was the best they could have achieved, as they still had a degree of operational and tactical advantage.

quote:

If Hitler had been cautious he would have focused all his attention on Britian, before launching Barbarrossa. The Germans would have been able to drive the British out of North Africa, then sieze the oilfields of the Middle East. It might take two years or more to prepare the way for Sealion. Without help Britain could not stand forever. Then the Germans could launch Barbarrossa. Probably the Soviet forces would be a little stronger at this later time than they were at the historic beginning of Barbarossa, but it wouldn't matter. The Germans would be a lot stronger with better technology, secure oil supplies, a larger industrial base, and a single front. It might also have been possible to attack USSR from the south, which would make an excellent diversion if not a knockout. Russia would not have been able to win in this scenario


Britian was outproducing Germany in Fighter aircraft in 1940, and it would have taken Germany more than two years to build the necessary Naval vessels to threaten Britain. I see no scenario in which Sealion was ever feasible. The entire Wehrmacht could have been allotted to the task but Germany had neither the shipping to get it across the channel, the Navy to escort it, nor the planes to guarantee air supremacy.

Hitler turned his attention to the Soviet Union because he understood Britain would never be an offensive threat on it's own, but he could not knock it out of the war with direct action. Only the hopelessly under-resourced u-boat arm offered any hope.

quote:

If the Axis made it a priority, they could eventually build a fleet capable of invading the US given a decade or so


I don't think this was ever possible. The idea a fleet along could launch and then re-supply an invasion across the Atlantic is a step too far. It was never a possibility.

quote:

The Allied industrial capacity was six times the Axis powers' industrial capacity. America fought a rich man's war. Without American material support (lend and lease etc) the Soviet Union would have collapsed in '42 at the latest.


I suspect it was more than six in many areas, but I'm not sure the Soviet Union would have collapsed. It stopped the Germans all on it's own and if it was American trucks that carried Soviet infantry in the great offensives later in the war, these trucks were not instrumental in building the initial stalemate. Russian blood did that.

Great thread.

Regards,
IronDuke

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/14/2004 2:56:34 AM   
Kraut


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quote:

ORIGINAL: IronDuke

I suspect it was more than six in many areas, but I'm not sure the Soviet Union would have collapsed. It stopped the Germans all on it's own and if it was American trucks that carried Soviet infantry in the great offensives later in the war, these trucks were not instrumental in building the initial stalemate. Russian blood did that.


They needed the transport capacity to ship their production facilities Eastwards. If they had left that were it was it would have been captured by the German troops. It was a very narrow escape for them even so. They were almost knocked out in '41.

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/14/2004 3:02:32 AM   
IronDuke_slith

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Kraut

quote:

ORIGINAL: IronDuke

I suspect it was more than six in many areas, but I'm not sure the Soviet Union would have collapsed. It stopped the Germans all on it's own and if it was American trucks that carried Soviet infantry in the great offensives later in the war, these trucks were not instrumental in building the initial stalemate. Russian blood did that.


They needed the transport capacity to ship their production facilities Eastwards. If they had left that were it was it would have been captured by the German troops. It was a very narrow escape for them even so. They were almost knocked out in '41.


I'm not sure about this point. When did US shipments start, and what levels did it achieve? The Russians were shipping factories east from late summer/Autumn if memory serves, I'd be surprised if the US had been able to ship them the necessary trucks to do this by then? The US was not at war until December. Britain would also have been taking much of the early equipment for the North African desert.

The shipping of factories hundreds or thousands of miles sounds impractical by truck as well. Heavy equipment would probably need moving by train, so I'd guess that the Russian rail network was more instrumental in seeing this project through. However, it isn't something I've looked at so I'm happy to be corrected if anyone has statistics to illustrate the point?

Regards,
Ironduke

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/14/2004 4:18:45 AM   
EricGuitarJames

 

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Well 'Duke, with the figures I've read the total level of supplies by the Western Allies to the Soviet Union up to the end of 1942 amounted to about 5% of materiel consumed (Richard Overy - 'Russia's War' - pp. 195-7). From there we can probably assume that the Soviet Union could have stalemated the Wehrmacht but would have found it very difficult to launch the kind of offensive operations they did from 1943 onwards. It was the vast quantities of trucks, radios, railway equipment and engines etc. supplied from the end of 1942 onwards that gave the Red Army the logistical capacity to take to the offensive.

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/15/2004 1:57:34 AM   
IronDuke_slith

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: EricGuitarJames

Well 'Duke, with the figures I've read the total level of supplies by the Western Allies to the Soviet Union up to the end of 1942 amounted to about 5% of materiel consumed (Richard Overy - 'Russia's War' - pp. 195-7). From there we can probably assume that the Soviet Union could have stalemated the Wehrmacht but would have found it very difficult to launch the kind of offensive operations they did from 1943 onwards. It was the vast quantities of trucks, radios, railway equipment and engines etc. supplied from the end of 1942 onwards that gave the Red Army the logistical capacity to take to the offensive.


A fair point. I just think we underrate what the Soviets themselves achieved. No other nation could have achieved it. You're right to suggest their drive westwards was helped by US help. The later model T-34s carried radios in their redesigned turrets (receiving only) which can only have improved tactical performance and their infantry went in American trucks. That said, the prodigious amounts of weaponry they produced makes me think they would have found a way to overwhelm this issue without US help. A large chunk of Russian infantry went west on Russian tanks. Not a particularly clever way to travel, but then the Russians never concerned themselves too much with casualties.

It would certainly have hindered them, though, and made German casualties lighter as they retreated westwards, since the Russians would have found it impossible to build pockets without infantry with the tanks.

regards,
IronDuke

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/15/2004 3:23:19 PM   
DerekP

 

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It has to be Germany.

If you imagine some weird counterfactual world where Japan did not attack the US and the US did not attack Germany or aid the British, what happens?

No Torch landings. No massive build up of forces behind Monty = stalemate in the Western desert. I'll take a flyer and suggest that Britain could still have survived the U-boat campaign but possible at the expense of the bomber war.

Certainly no chance of an Italian or even Sicilian campaign.

Russia meanwhile is on its own, facing many more divsions in 1942 than it would have had to face as the credibility of a Commonwealth only D-Day is nil. With no hope of a second front would Russia have been able to afford a policy of unconditional German surrender. A high probability in this scenario (admitedly far fetched) would be a Russo-German armistice followed by a Cold War. The same might apply between Commonwealth and Germany (although it might never be called an armistice - just a cesation of hostilities).

Give Germany 3-4 years to mould Europe to its will and the resulting Superpower would scare even the US I would suggest. The odds of a WW2 pt 2 would be very high but the probability would be that both (all?) sides would end up with jets / a-bombs and nerve gas. Now that is scary.

Compared to that the Japanese adventures in East Asia are nothing more than a local war

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/19/2004 6:44:33 PM   
CCB


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Another point I'd like to make is that Germany didn't conquer any American territory or possessions like Japan did. The Japanese took the Philippines, Guam, Kiska, Attu, and Wake Island to mention but a few.

Other than Kasserine, the Bulge, and that sticky business at Anzio, the US was always on the offensive against Germany.

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/20/2004 4:07:30 AM   
Mangudai


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Imagine no US involvement in the war. Hitler postpones Barbarrossa and concentrates on bringing Britain to its knees. Production of subs and airplanes in Europe is far more than Britain can deal with. Cut off from its empire and its trading partners, the British economy is subjected to the ultimate hardship. Eventually they lose air superiority. Then at some point one of two things happens 1)sealion, or 2) Britain is allowed to keep its sovereignty, but concedes much of its empire to Germany and is forced to accept arms limitations. Strategic bombing of Germany never happens.

Now see what happens on Barbarrossa. Lets assume that enough Russian blood ultimately brings the blitzkrieg to a halt, just as before. Lets assume the Russians fight just as hard without allied aid. It wouldn't matter. With secure oil supplies, secure industries, etc. Germany's war machine in the East would be vastly stronger than it was historically. They would have more tanks, than historically. They would have far more and better aircraft on the Eastern front. All around the technology gap between Germany and Russia would be wider. The German troops would be more experienced. And, perhaps most importantly they could repair and resupply much more effectively than they did historically.

I'm not downplaying Russia at all. Just don't underestimate how much shortages of gas and ball bearings slowed down the Germans. Not to mention shortages of food and winter clothes.

< Message edited by Mangudai -- 6/20/2004 5:09:25 AM >

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/21/2004 3:25:54 AM   
GameTester


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Germany was the most dangerous enemy. Had they defeated the Russians, the entire course of American history would of changed. Who knows what Hitler would of done with all that power...

Japan never had a chance going up against the likes of China, India, Australia, and the United States at the same time. This was the main reason for the 'Germany First' policy. The Japanese had a nice fleet but that was it.

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RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/21/2004 5:42:56 AM   
Mangudai


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From: The Middle West
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I wouldn't entirely discount the possibility of the western allies winning without Russia. Most of the german occupied countries were eager to collaborate with us. It might require a much larger effort to liberate the "soft underbelly" of Europe, greece, the balkans, etc.

quote:

Japan never had a chance going up against the likes of China, India, Australia, and the United States at the same time. This was the main reason for the 'Germany First' policy. The Japanese had a nice fleet but that was it.


Since you mention the US, you are right. If we were just talking about the other 3, I disagree. Their army was very powerful and their gains in China were enourmous. They could have taken Australia or India, though probably not both at the same time. The threat of an Australian invasion was imminent. If they were able to defend their bases in the south seas and build up, I'm sure they would have went for it.

(in reply to GameTester)
Post #: 57
RE: Most dangerous enemy - 6/24/2004 7:13:37 PM   
maddog0606


Posts: 19
Joined: 6/24/2004
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Blackhorse

Had Germany and Japan coordinated their military campaigns . . . Japan attacking Russia in 1941, for example, instead of the US, and then coordinating a campaign to threaten British possessions from Southeast Asia to the Middle East . . . then there is some chance that they might have eventually been a threat to America. But it's hard to see how that could / would have played out.


I don't know if the Japanese would have done this. I had always thought the reason the Japanese had signed a non-agression pact with the USSR was because they had got their asses handed to em by Zhukov a couple of times in the late 30's. The Japanese were scared (or respectfull, take your pick) of the Russian army, unlike Hitler.

Things might have been different had Hitler taken out Moscow in '41 and Stalingrad in '42. But by then Japan was tied down in the Pacific. Granted Japan had a lot of troops in China but it needed those troops to garrison China and not be used to go after Russia. Heck Japan had a hard enough time has it was keeping its troops on Guadacanal in supply.

(in reply to Blackhorse)
Post #: 58
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