ADavidB
Posts: 2464
Joined: 9/17/2001 From: Toronto, Canada Status: offline
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Here is my analysis of the situation in the game and a review of potential strategies as of mid-September 1942. I've now been at this game for about 9 weeks and things have gone pretty much as I originally predicted, particularly as far as the amount of time that has been required to get ships to the West Coast of the US and then to bring forces and supplies back across the Pacific to the various fronts. The game has been reasonably well-behaved and bug free, apart from the recent Soviet "take over" of a Manchurian base that had just been captured by Chinese troops. The only real major surprise to me has been the inability of my forces in India to slow down the Japanese assaults in any significant manner. The disparity in capabilities in the forces is astonishing and essentially there are no Allied land forces in India that can take on the Japanese LCUs and win. My assessment is as follows: unless the Game Designers make some sort of changes to the "as designed" capability of the Japanese land forces to overwhelm any Allied land forces in India, an early invasion of India is the best means for a Japanese player to gain enough victory points to either win the war outright, or enough to prevent an Allied player from doing better than a "draw" in the long run. I can't imagine the conditions under which an Allied player can come back and re-capture India once it is lost. I also think that if PzB had gone after Karachi much sooner instead of waiting to mop-up the rest of India he could have taken it much more quickly and then starved out the remaining Allied forces faster. Okay, on to the situation in the various theaters. First off, let's look at the West Coast of North America. I've left all of the "West Coast" and "Canadian" command forces in the West Coast - I haven't used political points to free any of them up. I continue to build up all of the bases and fortifications and I have spread out my troops to give general coverage. I have also left the non-West Coast base forces in Los Angeles and San Diego so that I can maintain air units in both bases. My idea for this theater is that if PzB were to take substantial forces out of India and mount a campaign against mainland North American bases I would want to have the local capability to slow down his efforts while I attempted to interfere with his main landings. However, if PzB were to be able to get those experienced divisions out of India and onto the road network in NA, there is nothing much I could do to stop them once they got going. This is area where an aggressive Japanese player could consider winning the game "in style". Next, let's look at Alaska and the Aleutians. I realize that many people ignore that theatre, but again, I'm looking towards the possibility of PzB moving large numbers of Divisions against North America, and the Northern Theater is the closest path between the two opponents. Not only that, but the Aleutian Islands have numerous bases that can be built up to support extended operations. So I've moved all of the forces currently assigned to "North Pacific" command to Alaska and the Aleutians. Anchorage, for example, already has level 9 naval and air bases and its fortifications are at 7 and increasing. Anchorage is significant because it is the only base other than Pearl Harbor that has a level 9 port in the Eastern Pacific and it is relatively close to the West Coast supply bases. Therefore I am building up some of the western bases in the Aleutians and moving the North Pacific RCT units to support the bases. This way, if PzB does decide to attack, I can interfere with his invasions. Also, if he decides to attack elsewhere, or just settles in to defend his current perimeter, I will have a stepping stone of bases pointed right at the Kuriles and Sakhalin Island for invasions of my own in 1943/1944. Remember, heavy bombers in the Sakhalin bases can hit Hokkaido. Also, if PzB either deliberately or accidentally activates the Soviets, the Aleutian bases will allow me to get forces to the Soviet theatre much more readily. Now as far as the Eastern Pacific goes, I am using Hawaii as a staging ground to bring forces and supplies from the West Coast before sending them on to other fronts further west. I've left two divisions in Pearl Harbor to protect against a possible invasion. The other islands are being built up slowly, but I haven't gone out of my way to bring troops in to protect them. It is a calculated risk and I'll take my chances for the meantime. Midway and Johnson Islands are moderately defended and Palmyra is lightly defended. All three bases have been built up to the maximum. I may put an engineering unit into French Frigate Shoals to build it up a bit so that it can act as a staging base for short range fighters and patrol planes. My main focus in the region has been the Gilbert Islands. I have all of the Islands occupied with combat troops, including Baker and Nauru. I have large numbers of engineering units on all of the islands and I am building all of the islands to maximum values as quickly as possible. I am staging large numbers of fighters, tactical bombers and long range bombers in the various air bases and have a fast battleship-lead surface combat TF and a carrier TF in the region, as well as a number of PT boat squadrons. I have been pumping large quantities of supplies and fuel into the bases in order to allow me to sustain extended campaigns from the region. PzB has tried the occasional foray into the Gilberts, but I have repulsed his air raids with significant losses to him, and his naval forays have not come in contact with my forces. I have done bombing campaigns against the southernmost islands in the Marshalls. PzB is currently sending many TFs to Maloelap, and it appears that he intends it to be a major staging base. Because PzB has multiple bases from which he can stage bombers and fighters in the Marshalls I have not attempted any raids or invasions directly into the Marshalls as of yet. But once I start to get P-38s I will have the capability to provide LR CAP to raid and invasion TFs which will change the balance. Speaking of P-38s, I currently have P-39s in the West Coast, Eastern Pacific, Eastern Australia and Northern Australia. I intend to convert the P-39s in the Eastern Pacific first, followed by the ones in Eastern Australia, followed by the ones in Northern Australia. This way I will be able to build up useful air groups before sustaining losses. When I use the P-38s I want to be able to use them en masse to overwhelm the opposition. The South-central Pacific is still lightly defended and lightly developed. I have been depending upon my forces in the Gilberts and in the South Pacific to react to any forays into this region. Controlling Nauru aids me greatly in determining if any threats are trying to sneak into South-central region. I don't see any reason at this time to pursue additional development in the region, other than perhaps sending in an AV and a patrol group to give me a bit better air coverage than I currently have in the region. The Solomons and South Pacific theatre has been quiet and stable. I've been building up my key base at Lunga and have recently started to get additional forces in the region. I will put forces in Tulagi and Russell Islands and build them up to give me the mutual support that I like to have around key bases. It appears that most of the rest of the Solomons that are still in Japanese hands are lightly defended or empty. There is a tremendous potential here and I want to bring more combat forces to the region to allow me to take advantage of this situation before PzB brings troops back into the region. Therefore I am going to actively interfere with any attempts that PzB might make to reinforce his current bases. Fortunately, PzB has not built up the air base at Shortlands and I have been able to bomb the airfields at Rabaul with relative ease from Port Moresby. Once I get an additional air support unit at PM in the next couple of days I will be able to sustain more a consistent air campaign against Rabaul, which will allow me to start to advance up the Solomons. Eastern Australia and PNG are also stable. PzB has attempted no attacks against PM and has essentially given me total freedom of action in the region. I have thus focussed upon continuously bombing Buna and Lae to rob PzB of their usefulness, as well as occasionally bombing Rabaul just to let PzB know that I can. It appears that PzB has been building up the Admiralty Islands as an alternative/back up to Rabaul. I'll start to bomb there too, just to discourage him from that idea. The manpower, base development, air power, supply and fuel situation in Eastern Australia are all stable, so I am now moving troops into position to support operations in PNG as well as Northern Australia. It appears that Gili-Gili is no longer occupied by enemy troops; therefore I will send an invasion force in to take it and to secure that part of my front. I will also send a base force and engineers to Rossel Island so that I can "close the gap" in coverage between my bases in the Solomons and in PNG. Northern Australia is temporarily stable, pending PzB's decision on what to do with the forces that he is withdrawing from India. My air forces continue to suppress PzB's air bases in Koepang, Ambonia and Kendari. My capture of Lautem and Dili put pressure on PzB to act, which in turn gives me opportunities to "act" upon PzB, particularly since PzB has so far acted in a piecemeal fashion in the region, which has allowed my forces greater freedom of action and effectiveness. I still don't have the quality of forces that I would like to have in the region, but I am starting to get some new forces in and have more on the way. In particular, I need to get more air support forces into the region so that I can sustain better air campaigns as well as spread out my air forces on to more bases. I need to be able to threaten any of PzB's naval forces in the region from multiple locations so that he can't simply come in with one overwhelming surface or air combat force and shut down my most important base. The situation on Java is still static. PzB hasn't attempted to assault any of my bases and I haven't threatened his bases with my land units either. I've been happy to build up the air bases and fortifications of the bases that I do hold. Unfortunately, I don't have sufficient air support forces to allow an air campaign that can stop PzB's air campaigns. In addition, all but one of my bases in Java are subject to naval bombardments, therefore PzB can close them down when he pleases because he has combined air and naval superiority in the area, analogous to what I have between Northern Australia and Timor. I also don’t have "stepping-stone" bases to allow me to bring short-range air units in-and-out of Java to allow them to rebuild from losses. I don't know if PzB will give me the time to grab one of the empty bases on the other side of Timor that will allow me to leverage off of my existing bases in Timor, but if he does, I'm going after one or more of them as soon as I can. This is where the P-39 to P-38 conversion will definitely help shift the balance of power and I don't want to rush things and waste the opportunity. I can use up a replacement rate of 80 P-38s per month pretty quickly if I get into an air war of attrition before I am prepared for it. It appears that malaria has levelled-out the situation in Burma. PzB and I have troops in contact, but neither of us is attacking. Certainly my troops are too weak, and I expect that PzBs troops are equally weak. PzB just uses my troops are target practice for his inexperienced air units. I'm not happy about the fact that the AVG will eventually return to action in isolated Mandalay. This business of allowing units to "magically" appear in isolated bases is effectively a bug, although it is working "as currently designed" and it should be changed to either hold back the release of the units or move the release to a different, non-isolated base. The problem of forces appearing in isolated bases is much more than an "irritation" in India, where forces continue to appear "out of nowhere" to either be slaughtered instantly or to be trapped for eventual slaughter. Now that the Developers have seen that this can happen, they need to change the code to prevent it from happening in future revisions of the game. The current "as designed" conditions for India are just so terrible that I can't really get interested in that area any more. I'll try to move around the eventual survivors of Karachi as "partisans", but the movement and combat rules are so bad that it is really just a test to determine just how bad the rules really are, rather than any serious sort of game playing. As I said at the beginning, Japanese players ought to invade India at the earliest possible point in the game, and in particular go right after Karachi, if only to more quickly save the Allied player from wasting time on that theatre. I see the Indian situation as currently modelled in the game as analogous to the Philippines Islands in December 1941. PzB has ignored land operations in China and focussed instead on training inexperienced air groups by bombing isolated Chinese units that are out in the open. This has allowed me to extricate large numbers of Chinese units that were stuck on a mountain in the middle of nowhere. Unfortunately, these units are not regaining morale so their usefulness is very limited. I've spread out a number of units on the roads leading to the remaining Chinese bases in order to slow down any land attack that PzB might make. The one bright spot of the Chinese situation is that the bombers that escaped from India have been able to hit various Japanese bases in Chinese and do pose a minor but real threat if PzB isn't careful. I'm just disappointed that the "Soviet takeover" bug has robbed me of the ability to take advantage of PzB cleaning out his troops in central Manchuria. Once again, now that the Developers are aware of this, they owe it to the Customers to fix this. The situation in the Soviet Union is static. PzB doesn't appear to want to invade, so my forces are simply building bases. There aren't a lot of forces there - if PzB were to bring his Indian veterans to Siberia he could probably roll over the mainland Soviet forces quite quickly. But I would certainly do my best to get forces into Petropavlask and beyond to try to interfere if he did invade. Dave Baranyi
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