ADavidB
Posts: 2464
Joined: 9/17/2001 From: Toronto, Canada Status: offline
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As mentioned in the previous post, we've completed six game-months and I wanted to give a review of the progress from the point of view of my original strategy, as well as to discuss what I am planning to do next. I have met my original objectives: I minimized Allied losses while maintaining the key regions from which my reinforcements and supplies originate. I assured the safety of the US West Coast, South-eastern Australia and India. I am in a position to cause significant losses to the Enemy if there are attacks on key forward positions such as the Hawaiian Islands and Alaska. Finally, I found opportunities to raid as they presented themselves while for the most part not risking my forces against superior Enemy forces. Luzon held out until April and a couple of bases still resist in the Philippines. Singapore held out until May. Soerabaja still holds out as do a number of other bases in the DEI including two bases in Timor. Only two bases have been captured by the Japanese in China. Burma remains stalemated. There have been no attacks on Australia or India. The US Pacific Fleet has not lost any significant ships since the attack on Pearl Harbor. The Royal Navy hasn't lost any ships. All air units are filled up and have reserves with the exception of P-40Bs which are only two more replacements away from starting to build up reserves. So given that I've accomplished all of my original goals, where do I want to go from here? My strategy for the next six months will be a continuation of the strategy of the first six months, but with some controlled expansion as allowed by my forces, particularly the availability of advanced air units. June brings the arrival of Spitfires. I will replace the British Buffalo fighters with Spitfires and then start to build up a reserve of Spits. Those British and Australian air units which currently have Hurricanes will continue flying Hurricanes. As mentioned above, the last unfilled P-40B group needs only two more planes to be full, after which I will start to build a reserve of P-40Bs. I currently have a reserve of around 50 P-40Es. A reinforcement air group that is supposed to enter service with P-40Bs is due in a month in India. If this unit does come with P-40Bs I will upgrade it to P-40Es and allow the excess P-40Bs to go into reserves. BTW - the AVG is still flying P-40Bs and will continue to do so for the foreseeable future. July brings the arrival of Avengers, the arrival of the Wasp, and the ability to start to upgrade Dutch air units. It will take two months to upgrade all of my carrier-based Devastators to Avengers and have the squadrons ready for action. This means that I won't use the US carriers unless I absolutely have to until September at the earliest. I don't want to commit the US Naval Air Combat forces while a third of their attack capability is effectively useless. The upgrade of the Dutch air units is a marginal benefit. Most Dutch air units have very low experience after being rebuilt subsequent to being decimated by the Japanese in the DEI. Dutch fighter units also don't upgrade to anything worthwhile until mid-1943. So I'll upgrade the Dutch bomber units because I have plenty of B-25Cs in reserve, but I will only use them for patrol unless I am forced to send them into an attack or unless a "soft" Japanese ground unit comes into a location that I can bomb with no chance of opposition. There are a number of unoccupied bases which provide the opportunity to project forces forward without having to do an invasion. The pros and cons of these opportunities are as follows: Akyab - This is a P0(1), A3(3) base that is malarial, jungle-bound, and close to the Enemy air bases at Mandalay, Rangoon and others in Burma/Malaya. Getting non-trivial quantities of units and supplies into Akyab requires putting shipping at risk. It is possible to fly in the air support components of base forces, which would allow CAP to be supported in Akyab and thus improve the ability to protect incoming shipping. But Akyab is also within Tokyo Express range of Rangoon, which means that Japanese cruiser and fast battleship TFs can come in to attack supply TFs and the base itself at night. On the other hand, if the Japanese take Akyab, they have to deal with the fact that six big, non-malarial air bases in the Ganges Delta along with four smaller fighter-capable air fields along the Burmese/Indian border are capable of sending very heavy air attacks against Akyab on a daily basis. Therefore I am not planning to put forces into Akyab in 1942. Andaman Islands - This is a P2(1), A1 (1) island base that is close to all of the bases in Malaya and Burma. Most Allied fighters cannot fly to this base from India. Allied forces that were placed in this base would not only be subject to aerial and naval bombardments but also to invasions that can't be readily stopped from India because the Japanese player can place Air Combat TFs between Andaman and India to prevent task forces from sailing between the two. Therefore I am not planning to put forces in Andaman in 1942. Timor and Vicinity - I still have control of two bases in Timor and a base on a nearby island to the East, but the Enemy has control over the air and water in the region. In order to bring useful land forces into the islands in this region I would have to commit large quantities of air and naval forces to an area that doesn't currently have any great strategic significance to me. Also, Darwin itself is fairly isolated and would be difficult to keep from being flanked if superior forces were landed nearby. So I am not going to put more forces into the Southern DEI in 1942. Norfolk Island - This is an interesting P0(0), A1(0) base that has the potential to act as a stepping stone between New Zealand and New Caledonian. But "0" level bases are very hard to develop and this base is far enough away from New Zealand to be very difficult to defend. Right now I have no plans for the South Pacific other than the defense of New Zealand, so I won't be expanding Norfolk Island in 1942. PNG/Solomon Islands - The Japanese offensive in this region has been very cautious and deliberate. I have made the occasional "demonstration in force" in the region to imply that I have more interest in this theatre than I do. But I don't care how many malarial bases are taken by the Japanese. If the bases are garrisoned those Japanese troops will be worn down by the conditions and won't be on the defensive elsewhere. If they aren't garrisoned then I can recapture them any time that I please. And if the Japanese capture Port Moresby I will simply bomb it from Australia. So I have no intention of putting troops into either area in 1942. South Pacific Islands - The Islands between New Caledonia and the Line Islands are significant because they lie astride the current safe shipping routes from the West Coast to Australia/New Zealand. There are many islands in the region that can be developed to be mutually-supporting but this will require a non-trivial commitment of land, air and naval units. The fundamental question here is - do I really care if I have unopposed supply lines to Australia? At this point I don't believe that I need to send more units and supplies to the ANZAC region because I am not planning any offensives in the area in 1942 and my defense in Australia is already built up significantly. Any serious Japanese offensive in Eastern/Southern Australia will have to commit such a large portion of the Japanese offensive capability that the balance of power in the Central Pacific will shift in my favour. So I will not put more troops into the South Pacific Islands than I already have there, and will only react to nuisance invasions - major commitments of Enemy troops will be ignored and isolated in 1942. Baker Island - This P1(1), A1(1) base is still unoccupied. Baker is the stepping stone into the Gilberts. Once I start to bring troops to Baker my intentions in the region will be clear. Baker is also within LBA range of Tarawa, so I will need to be able to get air support units in quickly via fast transport and provide air cover for additional troops. Since Baker is a single base it is subject to the "3 Division Rule" which means that it is very difficult to defend it from a determined, strong invasion. There is one "dot" base nearby at Howland Island, but that is a P0(1), A0(0) base which will be very difficult to build up. Both Palmyra and Johnson Island are a couple of days sailing away from Baker and not within fighter range. Never-the-less, the Gilberts are my first objectives for the return of the US to the offensive, therefore I must expand to Baker and Howland in order to be able to take the Gilberts. Thus, Baker and Howland are in my plans for early Q3-1942. I intend to move a base force into Baker via fast transport to allow a fighter squadron to be flown in, and then follow immediately with landings of addition base forces, a CD unit, engineering units and an RCT under the air cover provided by my US carriers. I'll also base PT boats at Baker with a fast combat TF at Palmyra and mine Baker constantly. Once I get the air base up to level two I'll put more fighters in place and base a combat TF there to discourage Tokyo Express bombardments. At the same time I'll move Seabee units into Howland to start to build it up in parallel. Unless the KB is brought up to interfere with this effort I will then attack all three bases in the Gilberts simultaneously. By the end of Q3-1942 I want to have Baker, Howland and the three islands in the Gilberts under my control, full of troops, ships and planes, and threatening the Marshalls. French Frigate Shoals - The "FFS" is a P0(1), A0(1) base that is important as a potential stepping stone for fighter planes between Hawaii and Midway. With work well underway on the six non-dot bases in the main Hawaiian Islands I intend to move troops to FFS as soon as the Marine Divisions get to the Big Island. Building FFS to a "4,4" base will allow me to not only defend Midway but also set the stage for further advances into the Central Pacific. I intend to start to land troops in FFS before the end of June. The Aleutians - Although I have built up Anchorage extensively I haven't moved any of my Northern Pacific troops further west than they currently sit. Once Anchorage reaches a full "3-nines" status I will move the engineering units out to Dutch Harbor and Kiska and start to accelerate the base building there. As new Northern Pacific land unit reinforcements arrive I will continue to ship them to Anchorage. Because of the Winter weather I will not attempt any additional operations in this region in 1942. In Q2-1943 I will start to move land units to the outer Aleutians and start to build up the bases there. Then in Q2-1944 I will start an invasion of the Kuriles from the Aleutians. Dave Baranyi
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