ADavidB
Posts: 2464
Joined: 9/17/2001 From: Toronto, Canada Status: offline
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July 18 - Tophat has gone back to flying his bombers at higher altitudes, presumably to cut down on flak damage and the associated operational losses. So that means that the effectiveness of his aerial bombardments has gone down a bit too. However, because most of his bomber pilots are now well experienced the loss of accuracy is not as much as it would be with rookie pilots. I'm mainly raiding troops right now, so I don't have as much to worry about as far as flak goes. Therefore, my Wellingtons went into Hengchow at 6K feet and hit Tophat's besieging troops quite hard. Not only that, but Tophat didn't have any LR CAP in place either - he is probably spreading out some of his fighters to protect his air fields. I'm almost done with pulling my fighters out of Sian. This has multiple benefits: - The planes are back away from the fray so they aren't being hammered by sweeps of ace Japanese air units - The rear bases have much more in the ways of supplies and support which allow the squadrons to rebuild more quickly - The Indian bases are in range so I can transfer out the squadrons that have lost a lot of experience and train them in safety - The supply going into Sian can be used to build up the base and pass some along to Homan I have to admit that I am taking full advantage of the weather situation - unless the weather changes its current pattern I can count on it to prevent Tophat from establishing a continuous air offensive. Since my air counter-offensive is designed to be more of a "hit and run" approach I am not affected as much by the occasional "rain out" because I don't want to fly every day. Tophat didn't send his ships out to hit Soerabaja this turn, although a number of air attacks occurred. Then the Tabbys tried to fly through the flak, but they suffered a lot of damaged and destroyed planes. Finally Tophat tried another deliberate attack: -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Ground combat at Soerabaja Japanese Deliberate attack Attacking force 156703 troops, 1468 guns, 73 vehicles Defending force 40396 troops, 148 guns, 27 vehicles Japanese engineers reduce fortifications to 6 Japanese assault odds: 2 to 1 (fort level 6) Japanese Assault reduces fortifications to 6 Japanese ground losses: 2507 casualties reported Guns lost 23 Vehicles lost 2 Allied ground losses: 1019 casualties reported Guns lost 41 Vehicles lost 2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Despite the positive results, the end is obviously near. All Tophat has to do now is to be persistent and Soerabaja will likely be his before the end of July. Tophat didn't try another assault on Lautem, nor did he try to land more troops. Another empty base, Wetar, received automatic occupation by the Japanese this turn. So in light of Tophat's imminent capture of Soerabaja and the associated "clean up" of the remaining Allied bases in the DEI I am now working on the next phase of my strategy as I attempt to anticipate Tophat's next moves. The question is - where will the Japanese forces be sent next? I expect Tophat to continue with his offensive in China. If he moves to China the bombers and fighters that are currently committed to the DEI offensive then I will definitely be unable to stop his air attacks. Tophat has too many air bases in China for me to be able to stand up to a bigger air assault there. I would be very surprised if Tophat attempted to move into India at this late date. I now have large numbers of troops, combat ships and aircraft in India and all of my bases are well built up and heavily defended. Tophat would have to commit a sizable percentage of the Combined Fleet to an Indian Invasion, including a number of CVs. And the moment he tries that I will hit the Central Pacific with the full strength of the US Naval, Air and Ground forces. Tophat could follow up on this conquest of the DEI with an attack on Northern Australia. I haven't brought more troops into the three malarial bases beyond the base forces that started in each. And while Darwin has level 9 fortifications I haven't kept troops in beyond the original troops either. The units that I evacuated from the Philippines into Darwin have long since been moved to non-malarial bases in Eastern and Southern Australia. Therefore, if Tophat decides to invade the bases in Northern Australia I won't fight "to the death". I will immediately pull out those isolated base forces in the malarial bases if they are threatened. And if it appears that there is a threat to cut off the forces in Darwin they will be pulled back too. The major reason for not trying to defend Northern Australia in 1942 is because of the distances between the four bases, and their distances from the rest of Australia. It is too hard to supply those bases and there is no way to set up the sort of mutually-supporting defense that is needed to stop a serious attack. If the game allowed for the establishment of new bases at locations of your choosing then I would have been busy in the surrounding territory building up air bases that are away from the sea. But that isn't an option, so I don't want to waste good forces against the full-brunt of a Japanese combined attack if I can't do something to blunt it. I don’t expect Tophat to bother with any serious invasion of Alaska; however, I have all of the Northern Command forces in Alaska just in case. It won't be long before Winter Weather arrives again and that will slow down any offensive in that region. I expect Tophat to start to expand in Eastern PNG and the South Seas, particularly when he frees up the troops that are in the DEI. Therefore, I am moving forces into that region that can disrupt probing attacks and thus force Tophat to commit large attacks on relatively trivial targets. BTW - in support of this, Auckland is now a level 9 port, so I can provide full support to my naval forces in the region. As well, I am also spreading support ships through the region. And the first of the upcoming swarm of US engineering units are starting to arrive at the more easterly of the South Seas bases. I have maintained a "nuisance defense" at Midway, Johnson and Palmyra Islands. I have and RCT, CD, AA, and Base Force in each and the bases are nearly fully "maxed out", including fortifications. My strategy is to prevent Tophat from trying a "nuisance" invasion with a couple of NLF units - he will have to commit a Divisional-strength attack. Any Divisional strength attack will take some time to get organized, and time is no longer on Tophat's side. By mid August all of six of my fleet carriers will have Avengers on them. I am also busily building up French Frigate Shoals as a fighter way-station to allow fighters to shuttle in and out of Midway. In addition, I have built up Christmas Island as my major supply base in the Eastern South Pacific, and am building up another "shuttle base" on a dot island between the Line Islands and Pago-Pago/Canton. BTW - in case you are wondering, I currently have 8 full-strength combat divisions in the Hawaiian Islands, along with all kinds of other combat and support troops. The only troops left on the West Coast are the dedicated West Coast and Canadian troops. I also have over 1200 combat aircraft in the Central Pacific, not counting the carrier aircraft. All of the Hawaiian bases are built up to full capacity in order to hold and support these forces. And I have only lost a handful of APs so far in the Game, so I have all the transport capability that I need for a naval blitzkrieg. Therefore, "Plan Orange" is never far from my mind if I am given the opportunity. But this all depends upon what Tophat does; I won't throw my forces against the KB unless I can clearly prevail, which won't be the case until mid-1943. But if the KB is committed to battle three or four weeks sailing away, I will strike! Dave Baranyi
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