Mardonius
Posts: 654
Joined: 4/9/2007 From: East Coast Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: Marshall Ellis As in case of the NFL play review, I need some overwhelming evidence to overturn! LOL! Actually, I never remember us rolling every ECO phase and even if we were suppost to then we forgot! Hi Marshall: I appreciate your attention here. I understand how a group or groups might have missed this rule (and others), as if read in isolation of the step sequence, it is easy to miss. I have already pointed out the iterative step function of the rules above so won't readdress that tack here, though I think it is by itself convincing. So please look at it if you have not already. From another tack, look at the historical situation. There was a big risk to UK and European Commerce from an American War. This risk did not appear just once, the pressure and diplomatic pressures to stop interfering with US Trade were a large issue in the many US and some UK circles until such time as the war did result. The game recreates this by having the chance of a war starting occur every time the UK player elects to stop (or seize, as he gets the trade) each economic phase. Also look at the math. The way things are now, mathematically it is a no-brainer to stop US Trade fro at lest France as the risk is very small and the gain is large (6 trade lost by France; 6 gained by GB = 12 net income difference). For a 1 in 6 chance of losing 15 Money the decision is not even close. One would have to have a chance of losing $72 (6 times 12), for this to be a breaken decision. And this decision is based on only a one run of the equation. The ease of the decision is far greater as the $57 average risk return does not occur just once, but every time an economic phase comes up. So why woudl anyone not stop France's Trade? However, if the risk comes up every turn and that risk of losing $15 and the risk to the coalition allies and neutral of losing their American trade is there every economic phase (say Prussia loses $6, Russia $6 and Austria $6 and Turkey $4 and Spain $6 as well) , then the Stopping US Trade becomes a very big decision and an vital aspect of the game. I woulkd think that the iterative layout step methodology of the rules, the math, and the vital aspects would provide you with your overwhelming evidence. What is more, the NFL rules were not decided by one man. Once these things are nailed down, then yes, I woudl agree with your overwhelming precept. But they are not. This game -- the EiANW -- is still in the developing stages, which I think you may agree with. Respectfully, Mardonius
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"Crisis is the rallying cry of the tyrant" -- James Madison "Yes, you will win most battles, but if you loose to me you will loose oh so badly that it causes me pain (chortle) just to think of it" - P. Khan
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