06 Maestro
Posts: 3989
Joined: 10/12/2005 From: Nevada, USA Status: offline
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Hi Zap Spain is in a real pickle. France is arming rapidly-and it has a much higher mob limit-although as the Spanish Fleet is no more, that will help Spain's army a bit with possible builds. I am guessing that early '05 the "fecal matter" is going to "hit the fan" with France and Spain. Spain has a treaty-maybe an alliance with Prussia-but Russia has a bone to pick with Prussia lol. So, France will likely have a two front war, but so will Prussia. Prussia's forces split between east and west will guarantee its defeat. Actually, I doubt Prussia will be able to stand up to Russia even with all its forces combined. This leaves Spain in a not very good position-without even including the possibility of Turkey attacking in N Africa. GB is also a factor here. GB will have even more to gain than I will by knocking down Spain again-it can gain more provinces in Italy-Which I cannot do. England will not be pleased, or perhaps not willing to accept, the defeat of Prussia, but it will have to make a choice. It cannot effectively join in the war against Spain and actively support Prussia by DoWing Russia. I think Russia is due for at least one big victory. Austria is up-gunning more and more. Jumping ahead a few months; Austria took the doctrine that allows for a 10% increase in mobilization limits. Emperor Matto is worried about somethings. :) It is almost a given that Austria and Turkey will tangle again-and it will exceed the last one which ended with a "slaughter rate" of over 400-each-very high. At this point in time I am casually increasing strength-I'm in no hurry. My unit cost index is slowly dropping, but it will not be back to zero before the next war-too bad. I will be engaging in some buildup myself before '04 is done. I do not think this next round of wars will end in a stalemate-or be stuck in that mode for very long. I think everyone will be drawn in with the likely exception of Sweden (that has something to gain form attacking GB). It is entirely possible that the big war will come and go-and no one joining either Austria or Turkey-thus leaving us stuck in a stalemate again. However, that is doubtful. Austria needs to be defeated-it is in the lead and getting stronger all the time. I think they will go down in the next war, but I need help from France or Russia to make it easy. Otherwise it will be a long, long road to victory. If GB does not join in the war against Austria-and I win, I will be in a somewhat untenable position of having the greatest "glory". I'm afraid it won't last long. :) However-history is not approaching the end of times just yet....
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Banking establishments are more dangerous than standing armies. Thomas Jefferson
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