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RE: Das darf nicht var sein!

 
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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/8/2011 5:34:13 PM   
Canoerebel


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I can't believe what I'm seeing on the map for the April 12, 1942 turn. A large enemy TF is boldly steaming into Indian country bound for Port Blair. I cannot believe Japan would risk major assets on a risky mission in territory not controlled.

I don't think Steve knows where my carriers are (they were last employed near Timor six weeks ago). Has he somehow miscalculated they are somewhere other than this theater?

He knows I have battleships in theater, hence it makes sense that he is bringing heavy combat ship escorts. He knows that Port Blair is a level one airfield, so he's not worried about Allied LBA. And he probably is counting on very long-range LRCAP to handle his CAP needs....but how has he dismissed the Allied carriers?

Allied patrols report what is almost certainly most of the KB north of Borneo; other IJ carriers are known active in the Kuriles. It is possible that he has some carriers escorting this invasion force, though I haven't caught a whiff of them. And I doubt he would risk a few carriers here when he would have to assume the Allies could have as many as four to six carriers (USN and RN).

The Allies will, of course, send all carriers to intercept. I may have missed something, or Steve may have orchestrated a masterful ambush, but from all appearances this has the makings of an important opportunity for the Allies to strike hard.

The Sabang invasion may have led directly to this situation. If the enemy still held Sabang and had long-range patrols operating from the base, the situation would be very, very different.




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< Message edited by Canoerebel -- 6/8/2011 5:35:49 PM >

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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/8/2011 5:39:42 PM   
GreyJoy


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I've been following with interest this game CR...I really think your opponent is digging his own grave...mistake after mistake...and this one seems just the biggest of a long serie started with those lone CVLs travels in SRA that costed him all those valuable CVL/CVEs assets.

If this goes well too...i think you simply have won this match, hands down

Kudos!!

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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/8/2011 5:41:41 PM   
paullus99


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You have an opportunity here to trap & destroy that entire force, based on where your carriers are coming from - he's steaming into hostile waters with little or no air support. Don't get cold feet - you might be able to end the war right here.

If you are able to either sink or severely disable his escorts (BBs & CAs) there is no way he'll be able to stage a successful amphibious operation in the face of your CDs on Sumatra. This is the time to throw caution to the wind & end him.

< Message edited by paullus99 -- 6/8/2011 5:45:33 PM >


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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/8/2011 5:47:18 PM   
Canoerebel


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I agree. Looking at it from a best case scenario standpoint for just a moment (bear in mind this is just one analysis - I'm also considering others including worst case scenarios, so I'm not already counting chickens and making assumptions), Japan could be making the biggest mistake of the war.

The Allies may be able to put four carriers between the enemy invasion force and friendly ports. If that happens, the only thing that will save the Japanese force from anihilation will be lack of mission sorties on the part of Allied strike aircraft.

I do have to worry about Japanese LBA from Kota Bharu and other Malayan bases, but I'm willing to take some chances here as this is a critical opportunity - a major blow might seriously hurt Steve's ability to effectively invade Sumatra, might keep Port Blair in Allied hands, and might allow the Allies to invade Burma in a few weeks.

< Message edited by Canoerebel -- 6/8/2011 5:49:48 PM >

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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/8/2011 5:58:07 PM   
SqzMyLemon


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The JFB inside of me is simply cringing.

If Port Blair is only a level one airfield why invade? I believe Sabang is a level three airbase and he'd be able to interdict your movements much more effectively from there than Port Blair. Unless he suspects your move on either Malaya and Burma, that would be the only reason I see him trying to occupy Port Blair.

I'd be wary of KB trailing at some point. Could they be at Singapore right now CR? If so...perhaps he plans on sending them at full speed to support the invasion TF and just didn't want to show his carriers yet.

My spidey sense tells me KB is not going to be in a position to interdict and your carriers are going to have a field day. Sigh...

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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/8/2011 6:12:34 PM   
Q-Ball


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Are there known Betty bases on the Malayan coast? That is the only threat really as you point out, but even then, not so much. You can set most of your fighters to CAP.

If you don't know where the other guy's carriers are, you have to operate as if they are there at all times. If you are using units you can afford to lose like AKs or something, no big deal, but using BBs or CAs.....the IJN can't afford that.

Port Blair is useful, but it's not worth that kind of roll of the dice.

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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/8/2011 6:16:50 PM   
Canoerebel


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Here's why I don't think the KB can be involved in the Japanese move into the Bay of Bengal. The KB, or a goodly part of it, was sighted off Borneo's northern tip, consistent with the patrol reports from yesterday (see map posted yesterday). Also, enemy carrier strikes involving 54 Kates took place in the Kuriles a week ago.

I have seen reports of enemy carriers around Singapore within the past week, but all reports showed just 10 aux. aircraft. I think this was probably a CS.

Allied patrol aircraft are operating out of Port Blair, Padang, Palembang and other ports. so a major enemy carrier presence almost certainly would have been detected.

This is one of those situations where you fret over worst case scenarios, miscalculation, or clever enemy ambush, but it's also one of those sitatuions where you act on the best available information and strike.




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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/8/2011 6:25:51 PM   
Cribtop


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Cough -- that Cribtop fellow was right -- Cough. [shuffles off stage right]

Let the pounding commence!

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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/8/2011 6:32:25 PM   
paullus99


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That would pretty much confirm one carrier division in the Kuriles (2 Carriers) & two carrier divisions (4 Carriers) north of Borneo. Since he lost all his CVLs, he hasn't much, if anything that is undetected at this point that could interfere.

His strategic focus has definitely been distracted - his operations in the SW Pacific don't make a lot of sense unless he was committing full bore, but dispersing his carriers as he had, there isn't any sort of focus right now. I have a feeling that he is underestimating your forces and is about to pay dearly for that again.

The destruction of the mini-KB should have been a wake-up call, but I think he hit the snooze button.

< Message edited by paullus99 -- 6/8/2011 6:33:16 PM >


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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/8/2011 6:54:32 PM   
SqzMyLemon


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Cribtop

Cough -- that Cribtop fellow was right -- Cough. [shuffles off stage right]

Let the pounding commence!


In this case I don't mind being wrong. Let the fireworks begin and I echo Paullus's comments, this is a golden opportunity to finish your opponent's hopes and aspirations. Too many lessons not learnt. Good luck CR, but I don't think you will have much to worry about.

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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/8/2011 7:05:10 PM   
Canoerebel


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After further thought, I can come up with only one way in which this operation would make sense.

Steve might make a large sacrifice of ships to draw the Allied carriers out of position, also reducing missions sorties so that the ships have to retire to Ceylon, in order to give him a chance to invade Sumatra on better terms.

That would be a pretty good sacrifice on his part, but I doubt that's what's happening.  The Japanese TFs are too strong, and the the carriers are a bit out of position, to make it work that way.  He'd want to immediately move on Sumatra at the same time the Allied carriers were out of position.

So the Allies will commit the carriers.  It will probably be two more turns before they are in position to strike.

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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/8/2011 7:06:21 PM   
crsutton


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quote:

ORIGINAL: SqzMyLemon

The JFB inside of me is simply cringing.

If Port Blair is only a level one airfield why invade? I believe Sabang is a level three airbase and he'd be able to interdict your movements much more effectively from there than Port Blair. Unless he suspects your move on either Malaya and Burma, that would be the only reason I see him trying to occupy Port Blair.

I'd be wary of KB trailing at some point. Could they be at Singapore right now CR? If so...perhaps he plans on sending them at full speed to support the invasion TF and just didn't want to show his carriers yet.

My spidey sense tells me KB is not going to be in a position to interdict and your carriers are going to have a field day. Sigh...


Agreed. Quite simply Port Blair has no value at all if you hold Sabang- a base that can be built up to level 9. If the Allies hold Sabang then Port Blair can't be supplied over the long term.




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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/8/2011 7:31:34 PM   
SqzMyLemon


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

After further thought, I can come up with only one way in which this operation would make sense.

Steve might make a large sacrifice of ships to draw the Allied carriers out of position, also reducing missions sorties so that the ships have to retire to Ceylon, in order to give him a chance to invade Sumatra on better terms.

That would be a pretty good sacrifice on his part, but I doubt that's what's happening.  The Japanese TFs are too strong, and the the carriers are a bit out of position, to make it work that way.  He'd want to immediately move on Sumatra at the same time the Allied carriers were out of position.



I think you are intentionally trying to soften the coming blow by trying to justify the whooping you are about to lay on your opponent as some kind of worthy diversion on his part. This Port Blair operation is folly...plain and simple. If KB is indeed where you've indicated it is, it might as well be in the Atlantic for all the impact it's going to have. He's going to lose much of his battlefleet while his carriers are covering at best an invasion of Eastern Java. A needless sacrifice.

If a masterful diversion...to what end? I doubt he'll be landing at Oosthaven anytime soon. I'm guessing he's supporting a Java operation as anything else does nothing to further his cause.

Oops, I just noticed the carriers were reported moving N.W. so that probably rules out any Java operation. If they are heading towards Sumatra they'll be late to the party.

< Message edited by SqzMyLemon -- 6/8/2011 7:57:36 PM >

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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/8/2011 8:18:02 PM   
Nemo121


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When we disrupt an opponent's OODA cycle the result is that they make decisions based on what the situation USED to be. Those decisions and the actions which follow them are inappropriate to the actual situation as we know it to be, but they appear appropriate to the addled opponent.

It isn't a diversion, it is what it is.... an inappropriate move due to your opponent's loss of at least one cycle.



As to Burma...
You are focusing on territory. The narrative and disruption to his OODA cycle is going to win you cheap victories such as what is going to happen at Port Blair. Narratives are all about mixing action ( or the appearance of action ) with the right timing/phasing in order to tell the story you wish your opponent to hear - ideally that story disrupts the Orient portion of the cycle - and lead your opponent into inappropriate decisions and actions based on an incorrect orientation.

Taking Burma is simple and very direct. It also, IMO, invites a simple counter-punch - an IJA landing behind your troops to cut them off from the sea while the inland army holds its positions and you, de facto, find yourself encircled.

However, landing in Malaysia a week after your opponent has finally shown his hand in Java/Sumatra at a time when Singapore has been largely emptied of troops.... Well, that requires a significant re-apportioning of troops, opportunities for order, counter-order and disorder etc. The key of course is fitting that into the narrative and phasing it. I've pointed out, previously, the benefits of mounting an operation just after one of your opponent's operations has run into trouble and his reserve has been committed.... Malaysia makes sense at THAT time, and not at any other.

If you can judge that time properly Malaysia would be a devastating blow. If you aren't sure if you can then Burma is still useful, albeit very direct and not really playing the OODA game. It is just very positional and attritional. With that said people still win the game by 1944 with positional and attritional approaches. They don't, however, win the game in 1942 with such approaches. Part of this is style as well. I'd rather lose a game while trying to do something skillful or difficult than win it with simple attritional play anyone could do. Obviously in a real war or with real money I'd play to win no matter the artfulness of it. But the lack of repercussions in the game allows for an emphasis on the art of strategic and operational art as opposed to merely grinding out a win in the long run.

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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/8/2011 8:42:45 PM   
Canoerebel


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4/11/42
 
Bay of Bengal:  The three enemy TFs making for the Bay of Bengal are either an invasion force or possibly bombardment of combat TFs.  Cursor recon of the three TFs shows only combat ships, so it's possible Steve is up to something else.  It's also possible the Allied carriers could blunder into the enemy combat TFs, should they juke west, or that the carriers will have a hard time closing on them if they bombard Port Blair and quickly retire.  So I have to take caution in issuing orders tomorrow - get my carriers close enough to strike the day after tomorrow, but not too close to enemy fields at Alor Star, Georgetown, etc.  I'm close to choosing a hex west of the Nicobars and 13 hexes from Victoria Point, which has a level four airfield.  Anything - including pretty much nothing - may happen tomorrow or the next day, but if the enemy is planning to invade Port Blair, a big battle will take place in two days.

Sumatra/Java:  I've moved the B-17s back to Palembang so that they will be in position to hit something over the next few days.  In particular, an enemy TF is moving on Denpassar - probably reinforcements or supply.  An Allied CA/DD TF will sortie from Soerabaja on an intercept mission.  The plan is to do an airfield raid with B-17s, LRCAP the ships, and strike the enemy shipping.  At the moment there doesn't appear to be a direct threat to Java or eastern Sumatra, especially with the KB or part of it north of Borneo.

China:  The Allied army withdrawing from Kukong seems to be making good time.  I think all or most of the units will vacate the hex to the north before the enemy arrives.  At that point, the troops will be much closer to the AVG LRCAP that can fly from Hengyang.  An Allied army has arrived at Loyang, defended by just one unit.  They will deliberate attack tomorrow on the basis that even an enemy division should be vulnerable to an attack by 2,100 AV.  Another Chinese army is closing on the adjacent base (Chengchow) defended by two units, one of which is a mixed brigade.  Steve has suddenly drawn down his Changsha army, diverting a division to the east, probably in reaction to the sudden Chinese advance toward Loyang.  :)

SoPac:  The enemy invasion of Pago Pago doesn't seem to be going very well.  The shore guns tore up three more xAP (bringing the total likely sunk to five).  68 squads, mostly non combat, were destroyed today, bringing the total thus far to 108.  That most are non combat suggests the Japanese got most combat troops ashore yestreday, but are having trouble getting support squads, guns and vehicles ashore.  Indeed, some 17 guns were destroyed, and the enemy AV is about the same today as yesterday - 250.  The Allies have 137 AV behind three forts.  The troops are in great shape and well supplied, so the Japanese may have to bring reinforcements.

NoPac:  No counterinvasion of Onnekotan Jima.  All the IJN ships have withdrawn.  I'm not sure what the enemy is doing here at the moment, but I'm glad for the reprieve.  A USN TF with two BBs is steaming in circles well to the NE if needed. 

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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/8/2011 8:49:44 PM   
paullus99


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Well, you know where he has to go to get home, so if you can arrange it to "cover the exits" as well, you'll be in good shape regardless of where he goes.

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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/8/2011 9:56:03 PM   
njp72

 

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Watching from the sidelines pretty amazing stuff.

Yes his decision cycle has been thrown out of the window and it appears to be a crazy attempt to regain momentum.

Great to see you have your carriers poised for that killer blow.

I am currently reading some civil war literature, it looks like a Pickett's charge moment from clearly a previously capable opponent. His blood is up and after so many stinging defeats he either has become fatalistic or failing to understand the enemy's COA options.

(Now I know you will hate this as a Southerner), but post this massacre as Meade I hope we are not going to sit on the hill and let him regain his balance.

No mercy now Dan, who knows a subsequent invasion at the right location may see KB come rushing in and impale itself on Allied LBA.

well played


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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/8/2011 10:01:48 PM   
Canoerebel


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Okay, orders have been issued and I should get the turn back in about eight hours.  Major decisions:

1.  The three Allied carriers and one CVL are to meet at a point southwest (true map) of Sabang.  This will put the carriers in position to cut off the enemy TF's path of retreat should they be heading to Port Blair.  If, however, this is an enemy raid around the tip of Sumatra to threat the island from the south, my ships are going to be uncomfortably close to the enemy ships.  I'll be sweating this possibility...

2.  Three Allied CA and BB/CA TFs are steaming into the area, including a good CA force that was on patrol west of the Andamas, the Ramilles group that was retiring to Colombo after the recent skirmish with three IJN DDs (this is too important to miss), and a small BB/DD force steaming west from the southern side of Sumatra.  In addition, Prince of Wales is on duty with Enterprise and Yorktown.

3.  Three Allied BBs will remain on station near Oosthaven just in case the enemy gets frisky.

4.  Allied CL/DD force at Palembang to raid enemy shipping at Singapore (this may be nasty, but let's try to stir things up a bit).

5.  Chinese at Loyang to deliberate attack - 2200 AV vs. one unit, which might be an enemy division, but it's probably something smaller.

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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/8/2011 10:22:04 PM   
SqzMyLemon


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Eight hours!

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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/8/2011 10:44:27 PM   
paullus99


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It'll be an interesting recap, I'm sure. I am fully in support of the raid on Singapore - it'll remind him how vulnerable he is & may force an additional pull-back on his part - perhaps even bring his combat ships back into your range as well.

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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/9/2011 12:04:58 AM   
Cribtop


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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/9/2011 2:29:58 AM   
Nemo121


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Khorne would be leased

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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/9/2011 3:29:16 AM   
Cribtop


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quote:

ORIGINAL: SqzMyLemon

quote:

ORIGINAL: Cribtop

Cough -- that Cribtop fellow was right -- Cough. [shuffles off stage right]

Let the pounding commence!


In this case I don't mind being wrong. Let the fireworks begin and I echo Paullus's comments, this is a golden opportunity to finish your opponent's hopes and aspirations. Too many lessons not learnt. Good luck CR, but I don't think you will have much to worry about.


Just teasin' you, Sqz. We Texans have a bad habit of pointing out when we're right. When we're wrong, of course, we just edit our prior posts.

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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/9/2011 6:58:41 AM   
witpqs


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CR,

Just a caution about SigInt. The display is from Tracker - two different troop counts for the same base in the same turn!





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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/9/2011 7:02:50 AM   
GreyJoy


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Have these 8 hours passed?
We're all wating....

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RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/9/2011 12:52:09 PM   
Canoerebel


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4/12/42 (Preliminary Report)
 
Since I teased you guys with the "we'll know in eight hours" comment yesterday, I'll go ahead and tell you what happened around Sumatra.  I've only seen the actual combat report to this point - I haven't watched the combat replay or seen the new turn file - so I only have the highlights.  I'll say this - it was a good day for the Allies, though not exactly in ways I might have foreseen:

Invasion of Port Blair (?):  There's nothing in the combat report about any Allied carriers going into action, nor about any enemy ships heading toward Port Blair or elsewhere.  That's not a huge surprise as I didn't expect my carriers to be within range today.  Until I open the turn file, I won't know if the enemy ships are still headed for Port Blair, retired back towards Singapore, took a left turn to round Sumatra, or took a right turn towards Rangoon.  I also don't know if enemy patrols caught wind of the Allied carriers.  I do know that enemy bombers didn't sortie against them and that they didn't have the bad luck to go into a surface engagement with enemy combat ships.  I'll post more about this in a few hours, as soon as I've seen the combat and turn files.

Battle of Singapore:  This was the scene of the major battle of the day.  An Allied TF led by two CL and a handful of DDs raided this port and found it underprotected.  The result was a decisive Allied victory as follows:

AFTER ACTION REPORTS FOR Apr 12, 42
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Night Time Surface Combat, near Singapore at 50,84, Range 2,000 Yards

Japanese Ships
     PB Kyo Maru #11, Shell hits 4, and is sunk
     PB Kyo Maru #12, Shell hits 2
     AO Erimo, Torpedo hits 3, and is sunk
     AO Notoro, Shell hits 7, Torpedo hits 1, and is sunk

Allied Ships
     CL Capetown
     CL Colombo
     DD Barker
     DD Bulmer
     DD Paul Jones
     DD Stewart
     DD Stuart

Night Time Surface Combat, near Singapore at 50,84, Range 9,000 Yards

Japanese Ships
     CL Kashii, Shell hits 2
     CL Kitakami, Shell hits 15, Torpedo hits 2, and is sunk
     DD Usugumo, Shell hits 7,  on fire
     DD Tachikaze, Shell hits 7,  heavy fires,  heavy damage
     DD Wakatake, Shell hits 14, and is sunk
     DD Hasu, Shell hits 4,  on fire
     TB Otori, Shell hits 4,  heavy fires,  heavy damage
     PB Kyo Maru #2
     AV Sagara Maru
     xAK Enju Maru, Shell hits 2,  heavy fires
     xAK Hikosan Maru
     xAK Hokko Maru, Shell hits 2,  on fire
     xAK Hokusho Maru, Shell hits 5,  heavy fires,  heavy damage
     xAK Iwaki Maru, Shell hits 3
     xAK Josho Maru
     xAK Kurohime Maru, Shell hits 1,  on fire
     xAK Meisho Maru
     xAK Midori Maru
     xAK Nittei Maru
     xAK Ryujo Maru
     xAK Sanuki Maru
     xAK Taibun Maru
     xAK Tatsuho Maru, Shell hits 1,  on fire
     xAK Tone Maru
     xAK Ume Maru

Allied Ships
     CL Capetown, Shell hits 3, Torpedo hits 1,  on fire,  heavy damage
     CL Colombo, Shell hits 1
     DD Barker
     DD Bulmer
     DD Paul Jones
     DD Stewart
     DD Stuart

Enemy air later sortied against the brave little Allied ships, with this result:

Afternoon Air attack on TF, near Muntok at 49,89

Weather in hex: Overcast

Raid detected at 40 NM, estimated altitude 16,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 15 minutes

Japanese aircraft
     A6M2 Zero x 24
     G3M2 Nell x 9 

Allied aircraft
     Hurricane IIb Trop x 6
     P-39D Airacobra x 4
     P-40E Warhawk x 16
     F2A-3 Buffalo x 6 

Japanese aircraft losses
     A6M2 Zero: 3 destroyed
     G3M2 Nell: 4 destroyed

Allied aircraft losses
     Hurricane IIb Trop: 1 destroyed

Allied Ships
     CL Capetown, Torpedo hits 1,  heavy damage

China:  The Chinese attack at Loyang game in at Seven Billion to One odds as 2200 AV destroyed 100 squads of 101st NCPC Route Brigade.  It looks like the Japanese are weak in this region, and Steve seems to be drawing down his Changsha stack to reinforce.  Over the next few weeks, the Chinese will seek chances to overwhelm small Japanese units.  Eventually, the Chinese will have to pull back and give up most of all of the advance bases reclaimed temporarily, but the Chinese army is growing strong enough on two fronts (Changsha and Sian) to continue this pattern of striking weak enemy armies.

(in reply to GreyJoy)
Post #: 986
RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/9/2011 1:45:50 PM   
paullus99


Posts: 1985
Joined: 1/23/2002
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Nice - losing those AO's continues to hurt & inflicting losses on potential escorts is always good. Your CLs are a magnitude better than his, but any warships you can cull as sunk or badly damaged is a good thing.

Very interested to learn where those other SCTFs went.....

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(in reply to Canoerebel)
Post #: 987
RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/9/2011 3:04:00 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002
From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline
4/12/42
 
Bay of Bengal:  The three enemy TFs took a right turn and seem to be heading for Rangoon (and undoubtedly using Victorial Point fighters for LRCAP).  This seems to be a mission to bring supplies and possibly reinforcements to the Burma theater.  I don't like this, because I have some plans of my own in Burma.  And since this is also a juicy prize within range of the Allied carriers, the Allies will continue to press for an engagement.  The carriers are trailing the enemy TFs by fifteen hexes, but seem to have a speed advantage of four hexes per turn.  There's no question the Allied carriers can cut the enemy's path of retirement from Rangoon, though I'm a bit nervous about being in range of the level-four airfield at Victoria Point.  There's also the cost of having my carriers pretty far from Sumatra, and a the same time revealing their location to the enemy, but in weighing everything the Allies have decided to pull the trigger.  It's not often a chance arises to hit a major enemy TF without any risk of enemy carriers in the vicinity.  No strikes should occur tomorrow, assuming the enemy TFs continue on the same course, but after tomorrow the Allies will have interdicted the enemy sea lane.  Also, there is still SigInt that IJA 56th Regiment is aboard a maru bound for Port Blair.  If the three TFs turn left and move on that base, a clash will take place tomorrow.  But the 56th TFs may be trailing somewhere back near Singapore.  Also, Formidable and Lexington are at sea and will join the fray in no more than three days.  Saratoga departs Colombo in two days.

Singapore:  CL Capetown sank, a noble end after an effective mission.  The Japanese seem to have lost one CL, two DD, two AO, one PB, one TB and one xAK, with another ten ships damaged.

Sumatra and Java:  No appearance of an imminent threat.  The Boise/Canberrra TF on a mission from Oosthaven to interdict enemy shipping at Denpasar was sighted.  Five Bettys sortied from Denpasar but missed.  Steve will surely withdraw his ships from that exposed post.  Palembang forts are up to 4.82, on schedule to reach level 5 in less than ten days.  Both Oosthaven and Benkolen forts are nearing 4, at which point their engineering units will move up to Palembang to try to boost progress there to level 6.

Pago Pago:  The Japanese ships have retired.  The Japanese troops aren't even trying to attack, which confirms that the landing didn't go well for them.  Japan will have to bring more to the table - either reinforcements or perhaps a stout bombardment TF.  The Allies are bringing about ten DDs to theater - three on the way from Auckland and the balance from Pearl Harbor.

NoPac:  The enemy is primarily concentrating on reinforcing Shimishura Jima and Shikuka, with a build up of troops reported at Ominato.  Carriers reported in vicinity.  The Japanese seem to be moving slowly, which I much prefer.  The Allies cannot hold these islands against a determined enemy counerattack, but the objective is to hold enemy attention and assets as long as possible.

China:  The Japanese have drawn some of the Changsha garrison a hex to the south, while one division seems to be heading north as though to reinforce in the Loyang sector.  The Chinese army retiring from Kukong on the road to Henyang is making good progress.  The Chinese will continue looking for opportunities to hit dispersed or weak enemy troop concentrations.  Since Japan is ready for its Phase Two operations now that Luzon and Singapore are vanquished, one possibility is that Steve will reinforce his China army.  So the Chinese must be careful not to blunder into a mismatch somewhere.

(in reply to paullus99)
Post #: 988
RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/9/2011 5:10:05 PM   
Cribtop


Posts: 3890
Joined: 8/10/2008
From: Lone Star Nation
Status: offline
Reminiscent of Babeldoab long ago. Fool me once...

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(in reply to Canoerebel)
Post #: 989
RE: Das darf nicht var sein! - 6/9/2011 8:28:03 PM   
Canoerebel


Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002
From: Northwestern Georgia, USA
Status: offline
You have quite a memory, Cribtop.

Here's a map of the developing situation in the Bay of Bengal. The Japanese TFs are being chased, but I don't think they're aware of it yet.




Attachment (1)

(in reply to Cribtop)
Post #: 990
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