Alfred
Posts: 6685
Joined: 9/28/2006 Status: offline
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Canoerebel, For the two reasons I said, I don't think India is in any immediate danger. For a sea borne invasion he needs the KB, which currently is well out of position off Alaska. He also needs to use the infantry which is currently occupied at Clark. What I am suggesting is that once those two operations achieve their objectives and in the process free up the KB and the 8 infantry divisions, then India becomes a possibility even if Singapore remains Allied. For by that stage the health of the Allied air force at Singapore should be quite poor, and the supply stockpile diminished. Ask yourself this simple question. Why has Japan shown no willingness to cross the causeway? For a supplementary question, why is the Imperial Guards division actually being moved away from Malaya. One answer which applies equally to both questions is because Japan has no intention to capture Singapore at this stage. If Japan controls the skies over Singapore, then it really represents no real threat to the Empire. Instead a very large POW camp is established. By not destroying the Allied units located at Singapore, the destroyed units cannot be resurrected to participate in the defence of India, or Australia, or elsewhere. With Japanese air superiority over Singapore, how many Allied players would attempt a Dunkirk to move the units to more worthwhile locations. Or being more creative how many Allied players would consider a breakout across the causeway against what might be only skelleton Japanese forces on the other side (afterall, by not crossing the causeway you really don't know what is there)? In the interim, by employing a great economy in prison guards, the surplus forces of the 25th Army are available for operations elsewhere. All that they await is the return of the KB, and frankly the KB will soon not be required up there in the North Pacific, if it ever really was needed there at all. Now in this posible scenario, with an enemy invasion fleet transiting the Sunda Strait and going deep into blue ocean appearing out of the blue when it reaches Karachi (or if more conservative Bombay), an Allied presence at Sabang will be meaningless. For the Sabang and Andaman island garrisons will be garnered from India. The end result is a very weakened Indian garrison which will not be able to hold. Once India is captured, the Japanese invasion force will be able to live off the Indian supply generating capacity. Nor do I think that a strategic bombing campaign against the West Coast automatically precludes moving on India, or Australia for that matter although in the latter's case, the restricted units there which cannot be forward deployed, as can those in India after PPs are paid, means the investment of Japanese assets would be a substantial problem. The trick for Japan would be to have large Allied force concentrations tied to irrelevant locations and Japan hitting largely empty air but gaining priceless areas. If your opponent has India in mind, I definitely don't expect him to commit the errors which previous opponent's or you have committed. You must assume, until compelling evidence to the contrary is presented, that you are playing Nemo lite, or at the very least an opponent who considers himself to be a match for Nemo. Alfred
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