Cuttlefish
Posts: 2454
Joined: 1/24/2007 From: Oregon, USA Status: offline
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I am going to revive this long-dormant AAR just to give a snapshot of what July 1945 looks like from the Japanese point of view, since I don’t think many PBEMs ever get this far. A year has passed in the game since the last update here, so this covers the period July 1944 to July 1945. Japan is still in the game and still fighting back. I find myself, however, in about the same position that Japan was historically at this point in the war; empire gone, ringed by enemies, and with my cities bombed daily by hordes of Allied aircraft. My possessions at this point consist of Japan itself, most of China, Korea, and Manchuria, as well as Iwo and Chichi Jimi. The past year has featured two main avenues of advance for the Allies. The first was the American effort against first Luzon, then Formosa and the Ryukyus. The second was the British/Indian campaign in Indochina. Luzon was a disappointment to me. I had hoped to make it a fortress, but my opponent landed at Legaspi and once there rolled up the entire island in about a month. The air campaign that preceded the invasion was a lot of fun, though. It took a couple of months before my opponent had the upper hand and could invade. It was the most brutal air battle of the entire war. I had a lot of big air bases there and my opponent had a hard time keeping more than one or two really suppressed. The whole process resembled a really savage game of whack-a-mole, with Allied bombers knocking out one airbase only to find the Japanese planes popping up at another. Air losses were very heavy on both sides, and I think both sides were almost bled white for a time. The campaign also taught my opponent that carrier groups consisting of all or mostly all CVEs were unable to defend themselves adequately against a determined Japanese air strike. But eventually I had to withdraw what was left of my air force from the island and then it was invaded. As the year rolled over to 1945 he was prepping for Formosa and the Ryukyus. There were more weeks of air combat over Formosa before the invasion, again with heavy losses on both sides. Formosa was a tough nut to crack but it was pretty much all over there by April 1945. The Ryukyus campaign was ferocious. My main weapons were fast, light surface forces, small groups of DDs and squadrons of MTBs for the most part, that struck by night and then slipped away. I was scornful of my MTBs but they turned out to be really useful little ships. They sank a fair amount of shipping and hurt a number of capital ships as well. The campaign also featured a major carrier battle, perhaps the last of the war. An American carrier group moved in to the East China Sea, near Amami Oshima. I unleashed my land-based air and also sent in my remaining carriers, four CVs and three CVLs. This was on March 7, 1945. I’m going to post the combat results because I know there has been some debate about late-war air combat and this provides another data point. First, this nighttime surface encounter: Night Time Surface Combat, near Amami Oshima at 97,62, Range 7,000 Yards Japanese Ships DD Ume DD Sakura DD Kikuzuki DD Hayate DD Asanagi, Shell hits 2 Allied Ships CV Hancock CV Randolph CV Ticonderoga CV Bennington, Shell hits 1 CV Shangri-La CV Wasp II BB Wisconsin CB Alaska CL St. Louis CL Vicksburg DD McDermut DD Morrison DD Prichett DD Robinson DD Ross When day came the land-based planes went in first: Morning Air attack on TF, near Amami Oshima at 96,61 Weather in hex: Thunderstorms Raid detected at 120 NM, estimated altitude 12,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 42 minutes Japanese aircraft A6M2 Zero x 12 A6M5 Zero x 75 A6M5c Zero x 13 G4M1 Betty x 18 G4M2 Betty x 12 N1K1-J George x 61 Ki-45 KAIc Nick x 33 Ki-84a Frank x 23 Allied aircraft F4U-1D Corsair x 37 F6F-5 Hellcat x 72 Japanese aircraft losses A6M2 Zero: 1 destroyed A6M5 Zero: 1 destroyed A6M5c Zero: 2 destroyed G4M1 Betty: 7 destroyed G4M1 Betty: 3 destroyed by flak G4M2 Betty: 4 destroyed, 1 damaged G4M2 Betty: 4 destroyed by flak N1K1-J George: 5 destroyed Ki-45 KAIc Nick: 3 destroyed Ki-84a Frank: 1 destroyed Allied aircraft losses F4U-1D Corsair: 1 destroyed F6F-5 Hellcat: 1 destroyed Allied Ships BB Wisconsin CV Wasp II CV Shangri-La CV Randolph Aircraft Attacking: 5 x G4M2 Betty launching torpedoes at 200 feet Naval Attack: 1 x 18in Type 91 Torpedo 1 x G4M1 Betty launching torpedoes at 200 feet Naval Attack: 1 x 18in Type 91 Torpedo Morning Air attack on TF, near Amami Oshima at 96,61 Weather in hex: Thunderstorms Raid detected at 120 NM, estimated altitude 16,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 42 minutes Japanese aircraft A6M2 Zero x 35 G4M1 Betty x 18 Allied aircraft F4U-1D Corsair x 22 F6F-5 Hellcat x 64 Japanese aircraft losses A6M2 Zero: 16 destroyed G4M1 Betty: 10 destroyed G4M1 Betty: 2 destroyed by flak No Allied losses Allied Ships CB Alaska CV Bennington CV Randolph Aircraft Attacking: 2 x G4M1 Betty launching torpedoes at 200 feet Naval Attack: 1 x 18in Type 91 Torpedo Morning Air attack on TF, near Amami Oshima at 96,61 Weather in hex: Thunderstorms Raid detected at 112 NM, estimated altitude 10,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 48 minutes Japanese aircraft B5N1 Kate x 24 Allied aircraft F4U-1D Corsair x 12 F6F-5 Hellcat x 30 Japanese aircraft losses B5N1 Kate: 7 destroyed No Allied losses A couple of kamikaze groups decide to give it a go: Morning Air attack on TF, near Amami Oshima at 96,61 Weather in hex: Thunderstorms Raid detected at 80 NM, estimated altitude 9,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 26 minutes Japanese aircraft A6M2 Sen Baku x 36 A6M5c Zero x 12 Ki-48-Ib Lily x 25 Allied aircraft F4U-1D Corsair x 9 F6F-5 Hellcat x 24 Japanese aircraft losses A6M2 Sen Baku: 18 destroyed A6M2 Sen Baku: 4 destroyed by flak A6M5c Zero: 5 destroyed Ki-48-Ib Lily: 11 destroyed Ki-48-Ib Lily: 3 destroyed by flak No Allied losses Allied Ships BB Wisconsin CV Randolph CV Shangri-La CV Wasp II CV Bennington CV Hancock CB Alaska CV Ticonderoga Aircraft Attacking: 30 x A6M2 Sen Baku flying as kamikaze Kamikaze: 1 x 250 kg GP Bomb 20 x Ki-48-Ib Lily flying as kamikaze Kamikaze: 4 x 100 kg GP Bomb My carriers launch their strike: Morning Air attack on TF, near Amami Oshima at 96,61 Weather in hex: Thunderstorms Raid detected at 120 NM, estimated altitude 12,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 31 minutes Japanese aircraft A6M5 Zero x 19 A6M5b Zero x 34 A6M5c Zero x 25 B6N2 Jill x 32 B6N2a Jill x 4 D4Y1 Judy x 18 D4Y3 Judy x 27 Allied aircraft F4U-1D Corsair x 4 F6F-5 Hellcat x 17 Japanese aircraft losses A6M5 Zero: 3 destroyed A6M5b Zero: 3 destroyed B6N2 Jill: 8 destroyed, 7 damaged B6N2 Jill: 7 destroyed by flak B6N2a Jill: 2 damaged D4Y1 Judy: 2 destroyed D4Y1 Judy: 1 destroyed by flak D4Y3 Judy: 4 damaged Allied aircraft losses F4U-1D Corsair: 1 destroyed Allied Ships BB Wisconsin, Kamikaze hits 3, on fire CV Randolph CV Ticonderoga CV Bennington CV Hancock CV Wasp II CB Alaska, Bomb hits 1 CV Shangri-La, Bomb hits 1, on fire Banzai! - Maki C. in a B6N2 Jill is willing to die for the Emperor Banzai! - Imamura F. in a B6N2 Jill is willing to die for the Emperor Banzai! - Oyama U. in a B6N2 Jill is willing to die for the Emperor Fujiwara A. gives his life for the Emperor by ramming BB Wisconsin Oyama U. gives his life for the Emperor by ramming BB Wisconsin Banzai! - Ikura T. in a B6N2 Jill is willing to die for the Emperor Kawakubo D. gives his life for the Emperor by ramming BB Wisconsin Ammo storage explosion on CV Shangri-La One last land-based strike, with level bombers: Morning Air attack on TF, near Amami Oshima at 96,61 Weather in hex: Thunderstorms Raid detected at 118 NM, estimated altitude 10,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 37 minutes Japanese aircraft Ki-49-IIb Helen x 19 Ki-67-Ia Peggy x 27 Ki-84a Frank x 40 Allied aircraft F4U-1D Corsair x 1 F6F-5 Hellcat x 5 Japanese aircraft losses Ki-49-IIb Helen: 10 damaged Ki-49-IIb Helen: 1 destroyed by flak Ki-67-Ia Peggy: 5 destroyed, 9 damaged Ki-67-Ia Peggy: 2 destroyed by flak Ki-84a Frank: 1 destroyed Allied aircraft losses F6F-5 Hellcat: 1 destroyed Allied Ships CV Bennington CV Wasp II CV Randolph, Kamikaze hits 1 CB Alaska CV Hancock CV Ticonderoga BB Wisconsin, on fire Banzai! - Bunkichi W. in a Ki-67-Ia Peggy is willing to die for the Emperor Fuel storage explosion on CV Randolph The Allied counter-attack: Morning Air attack on TF, near Wenchow at 92,60 Weather in hex: Severe storms Raid detected at 80 NM, estimated altitude 12,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 34 minutes Japanese aircraft A6M5 Zero x 13 A6M5b Zero x 32 A6M5c Zero x 27 Allied aircraft F4U-1D Corsair x 36 F6F-5 Hellcat x 72 SB2C-3 Helldiver x 15 SB2C-4 Helldiver x 91 TBM-1C Avenger x 15 TBM-3 Avenger x 57 Japanese aircraft losses A6M5b Zero: 1 destroyed A6M5c Zero: 1 destroyed Allied aircraft losses F4U-1D Corsair: 5 destroyed F6F-5 Hellcat: 7 destroyed SB2C-3 Helldiver: 1 destroyed by flak SB2C-4 Helldiver: 2 destroyed, 16 damaged SB2C-4 Helldiver: 1 destroyed by flak TBM-1C Avenger: 1 damaged TBM-3 Avenger: 2 destroyed, 5 damaged TBM-3 Avenger: 1 destroyed by flak Japanese Ships CVL Nisshin CV Katsuragi, Bomb hits 6, heavy fires CV Akagi, Bomb hits 8, on fire CV Kasagi, Bomb hits 4, heavy fires CV Amagi DD Nowaki DD Suzukaze DD Naganami CL Kiso DD Suzunami, Bomb hits 4, heavy fires, heavy damage CVL Chitose DD Kiyoshimo It was obviously not the best day for the Empire, with a lot of planes lost for little result. The only good news is that I did enough damage to force the Allied carriers to withdraw and was thus able to save all but one of my carriers. I got planes through on every strike, more as the attacks went on and his CAP wore down. But very few hits were scored. My impression is that Allied flak was responsible for a lot of that. Another factor was probably the fact that the weather over the target was thunderstorms. My pilots were all good ones; naval attack skill of at least 70, and the carrier pilots in particular were better than that. But the ability of the Allied CAP to keep vectoring planes into the battle is maddening to watch. Realistic, but maddening. Just when it looks like the strike is about to break through fresh waves of defending fighters show up. If I understand TheElf correctly this is a function of early detection. If a strike managed to get close before the Allied carriers picked it up there would be a lot less of that, but Allied radar makes that unlikely. One can dream, though, and I suppose it happens occasionally. In other words, I view these results as fairly realistic. Reasonable numbers of aircraft were involved, producing plausible results. Which is not good, if you're playing Japan in ’45! The only battleship duel of the period, again at Amami Oshima, went better for me. This was during the invasion, on April 3: Night Time Surface Combat, near Amami Oshima at 98,64, Range 1,000 Yards Allied aircraft no flights Allied aircraft losses OS2U-3 Kingfisher: 4 destroyed Japanese Ships BB Kongo, Shell hits 26, Torpedo hits 1, on fire CA Tone, Shell hits 3 CA Nachi CL Natori, Shell hits 5 DD Takanami, Shell hits 1 DD Onami DD Kuroshio, Shell hits 4, heavy fires DD Oyashio, Shell hits 6, heavy fires DD Shiranui DD Amatsukaze DD Arashi Allied Ships BB Arizona, Shell hits 46, Torpedo hits 6, and is sunk CL Detroit, Shell hits 5, Torpedo hits 1 CL Trenton, Shell hits 38, and is sunk CL Concord, Shell hits 30, and is sunk DD Allen M. Sumner DD Mannert Abele DD Ault, Shell hits 7, Torpedo hits 1, and is sunk DD Collett, Shell hits 2, on fire DD Converse, Shell hits 2 DD Hall, Shell hits 2, on fire DD Lewis Hancock DD Haraden APA Hunter Liggett, Shell hits 2, on fire APA American Legion APA Monrovia APA Warren APA Knox APA Leon APA Windsor APA Adair APA Dauphin, heavy damage APA Haskell APA Bowie APA Sarasota APA Laurens AKA Capricornus, Shell hits 5, Torpedo hits 4, and is sunk LSD Gunston Hall, Shell hits 7, heavy fires, heavy damage AP Gen. A.E.Anderson, Shell hits 2 AP Gen. G.M.Randall AP Gen. T.H.Bliss AP Gen. J.R.Brooke I unleashed my LBA again as well, with better results: Morning Air attack on TF, near Amami Oshima at 99,65 Weather in hex: Partial cloud Raid detected at 120 NM, estimated altitude 9,000 feet. Estimated time to target is 42 minutes Japanese aircraft A6M2 Zero x 18 A6M5 Zero x 48 A6M5c Zero x 10 G4M1 Betty x 28 G4M2 Betty x 13 G4M2a Betty x 6 G4M3a Betty x 28 N1K1-J George x 24 N1K2-J George x 22 Ki-84a Frank x 14 Allied aircraft F4U-1D Corsair x 177 F6F-5 Hellcat x 71 Japanese aircraft losses A6M2 Zero: 4 destroyed A6M5 Zero: 17 destroyed A6M5c Zero: 3 destroyed G4M1 Betty: 11 destroyed, 3 damaged G4M1 Betty: 4 destroyed by flak G4M2 Betty: 6 destroyed G4M2 Betty: 1 destroyed by flak G4M2a Betty: 2 destroyed G4M2a Betty: 1 destroyed by flak G4M3a Betty: 8 destroyed G4M3a Betty: 4 destroyed by flak N1K1-J George: 10 destroyed N1K2-J George: 4 destroyed Ki-84a Frank: 8 destroyed Allied aircraft losses F4U-1D Corsair: 3 destroyed F6F-5 Hellcat: 1 destroyed Allied Ships BB Texas CV Franklin CV Hornet, Kamikaze hits 2, on fire BB Arkansas, Torpedo hits 2 CV Yorktown CV Intrepid CA Astoria Aircraft Attacking: 6 x G4M1 Betty launching torpedoes at 200 feet Naval Attack: 1 x 18in Type 91 Torpedo 4 x G4M2 Betty launching torpedoes at 200 feet Naval Attack: 1 x 18in Type 91 Torpedo 1 x G4M3a Betty launching torpedoes at 200 feet Naval Attack: 1 x 18in Type 91 Torpedo Banzai! - Hagiri G. in a G4M1 Betty is willing to die for the Emperor Banzai! - Fujiwara K. in a G4M2 Betty is willing to die for the Emperor Ammo storage explosion on CV Hornet Fuel storage explosion on CV Hornet Fuel storage explosion on CV Hornet Note that the weather this time was partial cloud, which probably accounts for the higher ratio of hits. None of this saved Amami Oshima but it’s an example of what’s really important from my point of view, which is that Japan is still in the game and still fighting back. You have to find some reason as Japan at this point in the war to keep running the turns and sending them back other than just dogged determination. That turns the game into a chore. Retaining the ability to harass the Allied player, to make him work a little for his victory, keeps the game fun. Right now the Allies are probably awaiting the impending Soviet activation and the arrival of the first A-bomb. I don’t doubt that there is some kind of plan in the works to invade Japan, as well. I still have a considerable air force left, enough at least for one massive attack. Right now I have dispersed my planes and am waiting for an opportunity. Just in the last week of June carrier planes began attacking ports and airfields in mainland Japan. I’m not responding. Instead I am feigning (well, not entirely feigning) weakness and awaiting Operation Downfall. He’s sinking bunches of small craft and merchant ships, but I can live with that. I have nothing to ship and nowhere to ship it to. I also have a handful of carriers, five battleships, four heavy cruisers, a few light cruisers and about three dozen destroyers. These are also hidden away, awaiting the glorious Decisive Battle when the Allies will be crushed and Japan saved! Heh heh. Right. One of the main Allied weapons of victory has been the four-engine bomber, specifically the B-24J and the B-29s. He used them to hammer my airfields during the battles on Luzon and Formosa. For the last few months they have been attacking airfields, shipyards, aircraft factories, and industry in Japan. Charbroiled very rarely uses his heavies to attack ground troops. I keep shooting them down and shooting them down and they just keep coming. I know my opponent has lost about 800 B-24Js, and around 400 B29s. But they shake off their losses and keep coming back. Even after suffering 25% losses in a raid the crews cheerfully climb back into their bombers the next day and try again. And again. Mainland Asia has seen constant combat this past year. As Malaya fell I pulled my army (about eight or nine divisions) out of Thailand and into Indochina. The battle for Indochina was long, intense, and interesting. The Allies eventually took Bangkok and made landings at weakly-defended bases in Indochina. What followed was maybe my best campaign as an AE player; a fighting withdrawal, filled with gallant stands, savage little counter-attacks, and desperate retreats. In the end I extricated almost my entire army intact. This was bad news for the Allies. A massive force consisting mostly of British and Indian divisions formed up and came at me head-on. They got their nose badly bloodied at Hanoi, and then I fell back. They suffered more heavy losses at Nanning. Losses so heavy, in fact, that a Japanese counter-attack came within a whisker of forcing them all to retreat. If that had happened I might have been able to take the offensive again. As it is I fell back once more and eventually they came on, though more weakly, suffering further losses as I withdrew deeper into China. As it stands now I think the Commonwealth Army is finished as an offensive force in this game. Most of their divisions are barely at brigade strength and they’ve lost thousands of combat squads. The main threat in China now comes from the Americans. Once Formosa was secured they landed north of Hong Kong and have now established a bit of a perimeter, though they haven’t been able to drive too deeply into the interior. As far as industry goes, my reserve of 1.4 million HI ran out in the fall of ’44. Since then I have limped along on modest amounts of oil shipped in from here and there. Everything is shut off except for aircraft manufacture and I am still producing a very modest number of planes, almost all fighters. Not nearly enough to replace my losses, of course. I have lots of highly trained pilots in reserve, in fact, and no planes to put them in. Had I been able to keep building planes at a full pace into 1945 I would have been a lot better off. That’s going to be my goal for next game, to try and amass enough HI to last more than a year once the DEI spigot is shut off. I didn’t do badly this game, but there is room for improvement. Here is what the victory screen looks like on July 1, 1945:
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