Slitherine

quote:

ORIGINAL: Disgruntled Veteran

He must hold them for a turn.

quote:

ORIGINAL: gingerbread

10 hex command range by-crow, so units were likely in.

It was saper that was unlucky not making the rolls, though it could be a low supply issue as well. By now (T24), the Soviets ought to have exp well above 40 so they will make more of their rolls.

Blizzard guaranteed for the next 9 turns - if saper decides to defend south of the Don you could do some damage.

quote:

ORIGINAL: Harrybanana
Not sure why it says I have 268 Armament factories, I added them up and I have 299. I thought maybe it was because 31 of them were damaged, but in fact I have far more than 31 damaged and far less than 31 more than 50% damaged. Can anyone explain this?

quote:

ORIGINAL: Walloc

quote:

ORIGINAL: Harrybanana
Not sure why it says I have 268 Armament factories, I added them up and I have 299. I thought maybe it was because 31 of them were damaged, but in fact I have far more than 31 damaged and far less than 31 more than 50% damaged. Can anyone explain this?

Its 2:30am and im wacthing the Cowboy vs Redskins might not be the best of time to write stuff for me, but OTOH. The 268 number is what is actually producing this specific turn. Since when factory are below 50% damage there is a roll included in whether it produces or not. If it passes the roll it produce full, if it fails it produce nada. So lets say u had 240 undamaged facs, u here would have 28 of the below 50% damage succeding = 268 per this turn.
So the 268 is what is undamaged plus those damaged below 50% that succeded rolls in this specific turn. If u checked next turn it would prolly be another number depending on those rolls for the below 50% damaged in that turn.

You have 299 in all, but 268 was able to produce this turn per above.

Hope it helps,

Rasmus

quote:

ORIGINAL: janh

For a second I was about to say Saper is cutting it really tight with his pocket south of Rostov just before blizzard, but has the timing perfectly ironed out to retreat once blizzard rules strike. Then I saw you isolated 16th Panzerdivision... Have you managed to destroy it? That would surely be a psychological feat, at least. Saper's try was very ambitious, though.

"Am I winning or is Saper?"

Good question. I have following your AAR regularly, and honestly, Sapers progress and speeds are amazing. The number of operational tanks in his Wehrmacht arsenal speaks that story, as so often for players pushing their mobile formations hard. Very good so, yet what surprises me are your rather low losses. A couple of turns back I had expected you to loose Moscow and be above 4M losses by blizzard. Nada. The game looks still quite open, though of course also his losses are low, but that is perhaps rarher typical for WiTE. So a lot hinges on this blizzard...

Why? Saper only knows. I didn't get why he suddenly began shifting forces away from the strategic Schwerpunkt about 8-10 turns ago, and why then he completely abandoned Moscow and the huge pocket it may have offered about 6 turns ago. See other AARs: often taking Moscow now cuts very tight with December starting, which seems very credible in terms of game balance to me. If Axis succeeds in taking it still in time (or a little late with help of non-affected mountain units), it often yields huge fruits since most Soviet players tend to defend it with very determined major efforts, maybe not always justified by its true economic, manpower or infrastructure value. Maybe its for denying Axis three tier one winter quarters right in reserve range to the front rather than for its direct value.

If Wehrmacht fails, it usually still has sufficient freedom of movement to disengage and do what Saper seems about planning to do for AGS and southern AGC: Disengage and fight a rear-guard action until blizzard rules slacken, or better defensive terrain can be reached. Your choice of Cavalry Corps might do well in the South, though with him having placed major armor formations there and doing a Sir Robin it could be hard to develop exploitable situations. Maybe I'd rather just follow his forces with weak ones of my own there unless Axis minors might become viable targets. Otherwise my eye would be on the Oka and the Tula bend, which looks kind of dangerous. Any terrain around Moscow or towards LG you can recover will make Moscow a much unlikelier and more expensive target for him in 1942...