AllenK
Posts: 7259
Joined: 2/17/2014 From: England Status: offline
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M/A 1945 Allies 2: Invasion The US Admiral has a tactical decision to make. The original plan was to take Eniwetok only. The two Mar corps and two Mar divs plus gunfire and air support would make this pretty sure (+20 ish). If the Japs committed the Ginga at Truk and it got through the P-38 screen, the odds would reduce but still be healthy. However, that leaves the three potent Navs at Majuro untouched and just gunning for a crack at the US fleet from the 4-box, supported by the IJN fleet arriving from Truk (probably 2-box). The US CVP A2A values are not much different to the Ginga at Majuro, so it would initially be a pretty even fight. If the IJN arrives in time (makes the search roll) it could get tricky as their fighters outclass whatever the USN can put up. The alternative is to invade both Eniwetok and Majuro, forcing the Japs to commit at least two of the Navs in defence. The odds start at around 5:1 but would come down to 3:1 if the Jap bombers get through. The US is way behind schedule and the chance to get two objectives in one go, rather than waiting another turn for Manjuro, is very tempting. If there is a naval disaster, the opportunity could disappear for quite some time. On the other hand, if the invasions go badly, the US will be set back months. Each invasion would have a Mar Div to absorb the first loss, which would help mitigate the calamity risk.
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