Canoerebel
Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002 From: Northwestern Georgia, USA Status: offline
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12/28/44 L+7: A small amphibious TF unloads at Wakkanai - the objective being to trigger an enemy bombardment. This is an interesting turn, but not for combat reasons. I pulled Death Star and most amphibs back, to regroup a bit and on the possibility that Erik might order an all-out air strike. Erik either decided to stand down his forces or weather made that decision for him. So it was quiet from that standpoint. But two major things are underway that require some chance-taking and thorough analysis: 1. It is critical to land the reinforcements tomorrow. Both amphib transports were ordered forward to rendezvous with DS. Based upon the "lay of the land," I must choose whether to send them in to the wooded hex or to Wakkanai tomorrow. Many factors will influence the decision but in the end it will come down to a hunch. 2. An armada is inbound from the Aleutians and CenPac, including a carrier TF, lots of reinforcements, and more supply. Erik got some 1/0 detection on the CenPac group (including the carriers) the past few days, making me increasingly apprehensive about continuing with this insertion in the absence of Death Star. I considered detaching Death STar to steam east yesterday, but ultimately decided the Wakkanai/woods hex missions were more important. I steered the ingressers further north, hoping to avoid any combat ship/carrier trap Erik might spring from the Home Islands (I put the odds at 25% or so). But Parmushiro shows 75 "other" aircraft and Erik increased patrols substantially. The fear was that he might load up Para, Onnekotan and Shimishura with hundreds of aircraft that might overwhelm the carrier TF. The fact that it shows no detection and should come no closer than 8 or 9 hexes today gave me enough confidence to continue the mission. This morning, when I awoke, I had immediate regrets. I should've stood down the ingessers and pulled them back to the Aleutians, until DS is available. So let's see what happens.
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