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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 10:04:49 PM   
Canoerebel


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Sapporo: Spits from Toyohara throw a shutout.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 10:08:35 PM   
Canoerebel


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Sapporo: High-altitude Corsair sweeps score very well. Keep this up, add in the escorted 4EB missions, and toss in another large carrier strike, and there should be some excitement!






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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 10:11:26 PM   
Canoerebel


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Toyohara: This mission at 20k does well.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 10:14:42 PM   
Canoerebel


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Sapporo: Another good mission. I hope there are lots more to come, because Erik still have about 250 fighters in the air. Wear them out, boys, wear them out!






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< Message edited by Canoerebel -- 8/29/2018 10:15:01 PM >

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 10:19:33 PM   
Canoerebel


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Sapporo: Darn, the early sweeps (those before the bombers) are done. Here come the escorted bombers. The first mission is a small one but fares decently. Enemy CAP down to about 225 at the start of this mission. Again, I'm more concerned about fighter losses than bomber losses.






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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 10:22:52 PM   
Canoerebel


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Sapporo: This group finds about 225 fighters on CAP.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 10:27:33 PM   
Canoerebel


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Sapporo: These Marine Corsairs come in high and face about 175 fighters, scoring well. The Marine fighters always come in after the PBYs and before the B-24s. The Army fighters always come after the B-24s.

It sure looks good thus far. Sweepers and escorted bombers are handling the enemy CAP, weakening it steadily.







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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 10:31:34 PM   
Canoerebel


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Sapporo: The first Army bombers come in, facing 175 enemy fighters.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 10:34:23 PM   
Canoerebel


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Sapporo: This raid faces 140 fighters and scores well.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 10:37:16 PM   
Canoerebel


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Sapporo: Army fighters come in high, facing 120 fighters, and do well.

Oh, man, I sure hope Death Star is going to launch an afternoon strike!





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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 10:39:32 PM   
Canoerebel


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Sapporo: Small raid faces 89 fighters and does pretty well.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 10:41:03 PM   
Canoerebel


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Sapporo: Mustangs face 69 fighters and deal them a blow.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 10:43:24 PM   
Canoerebel


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Sapporo: Lightings face 46 fighters and perform well.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 10:48:09 PM   
Canoerebel


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Sapporo: Death Star strikes against just 56 enemy fighters! The plan worked!





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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 10:52:31 PM   
Canoerebel


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Sapporo: And Death Star finds this prey in port, protected by just those 56 fighters and flak.




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 10:55:32 PM   
Canoerebel


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Sapporo: And Death Star whiffs!

Arg! Arg! Arg!

There are only about 40 Avengers involved and no divebombers. I don't know why, as all were set identically.

Arg!

(P.S. I bet Erik had a heart attack and an unexpectedly joyful revival during this replay.)





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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 10:59:28 PM   
Canoerebel


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Sapporo: LBA from Toyohara gets in on the action, facing minimal opposition, and selects these targets.

Somewhere, the Wizard of AE is laughing, as he pulls funny levers behind a curtain shrouded in smoke wafting from his bong.





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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 11:02:01 PM   
Canoerebel


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AE Wizard: <chortle>




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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 11:09:32 PM   
Canoerebel


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And thus endenth the main events around Sapporo.

AE Wizard: <chortle, chortle>

Important things:

1. Allied fighters scored a 95:19 victory during sweeps (not counting whatever fighters are lost to ops). That's a great day and bodes well (I think) for the future. It is possible that Erik relied on big numbers of planes to create the appearance of invicibility, and used all his elite pilots elsewhere, but no matter what this was a key Allied victory. The fighter war is key to the balance of the game.

2. The Allies lost a signficant number of aircraft, as did Japan, but not nearly enough to threaten future amphibious plans (pending future events).

3. The plan was (mostly) a good one and caught Erik offguard (I think).

4. Erik's Sapporo ships are now "isolated" or "hemmed in," to an extent. Most of my thinking today was devoted to what he might do now and how I can best cover various contingencies.

5. The failure to strike a telling blow agianst his cruisers was, as you might imagine, disappointing. <chortle>

6. Erik won't be surpised tomorrow. Hitting a fully-aroused enemy of his caliber is risky but his capital ships are indeed in harm's way. It's going to take alot of time to decide what to do tomorrow, beginning with the first decision: Offense or defense? I'm leaning towards the former.




< Message edited by Canoerebel -- 8/29/2018 11:13:14 PM >

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 11:20:56 PM   
Canoerebel


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Intel Screen: Hey, air losses look much closer to even than I had expected. I was prepared for a reverse Marianas Turkey Shoot, but that definitely didn't happen.

Let's see next if most of the Japanse losses are fighters, and disproportionate (I hope) to Allied fighter losses. That's the key to my evaluation of the turn.





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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 11:24:11 PM   
Canoerebel


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Air Losses: This screen shows 190 enemy fighters downed to 112 Allied fighters. That's not as good a spread as I had hoped for, but it's decent.

My main concern is my Hellcats. If most of those losses came from Death Star, I'll need to bring in some reinforcements.






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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 11:29:30 PM   
dave sindel

 

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Status: offline 		Really enjoyed the play-by-play narrative.

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 11:37:25 PM   
Canoerebel


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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/29/2018 11:51:46 PM   
Canoerebel


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Status: offline 		I can think of five basic plans Erik might employ here:

1. Disband his ships at Sapporo under maximum CAP (unlikely, because he'll be worried about naval bombardment wrecking his airfiled)
2. Send all his ships fleeing to Ominato or other safe harbor, chancing mid-ocean intercepts by Allied combat TFs, and withdrawing all his CAP, thus chancing an Allied bombardment against a mostly vacant base.
3. Post all his combat ships (plus whatever else he has) on patrol in Sapporo under maximum CAP, hoping he can ward off Allied combat ships and bombardment TFs.
4. The same as #3, but sortie some combat TFs to try to intercept DS and its accompanying combat TFs in a spoiling attack, leaving CAP in place over Sapporo.
5. Sortie all combat ships against DS, hoping for surface combat that knocks out some of my carriers.

There are variations of these.

Now I'm trying to figure out if there's one Allied plan that I really like. If not, I'll try to come up with a plan that thwarts/neutralizes as many of his as possible.

My biggest concern is a mid-ocean intercept in which his cruisers gang up on my carriers. That's a possibility no matter where I deploy DS. So I'm almost certainly going to send some Allied combat TFs to Sapporo, in a spoiling maneuver, no matter what overall plan I come up with.

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/30/2018 12:06:27 AM   
JohnDillworth


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Status: offline 		That's a best frustrating. Got off a big, well coordinated strike and didn't manage to hit the big fellas. Guess if you get the planes you might consider going again.This is perplexing. Night port strikes or night airfield strikes

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/30/2018 12:58:31 AM   
Canoerebel


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Status: offline 		Working plan for tomorrow: Commit subs, PT TFs, DD Tfs, and perhaps one or more CA TFs to raid Sapporo, looking for combat. Pull Death Star back a few hexes towards Wakkanai. Stand down strike aircraft (I rate it unlikely that a bombardment TF would succeed in neutralizing Sapporo airfield and highly likely that Death Star strike would impale itself against Erik's CAP, now that he's aroused.

If Allied ships managed to hit and cripple some/most of Erik's combat ships, a strike would be ready the next day. If nothing materializes worthwile, DS will be in a position to proceed with the next amphibious op.

Allied LBA will sweep and bomb Sapporo airfield and shipping again.

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/30/2018 2:31:01 AM   
BBfanboy


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

Working plan for tomorrow: Commit subs, PT TFs, DD Tfs, and perhaps one or more CA TFs to raid Sapporo, looking for combat. Pull Death Star back a few hexes towards Wakkanai. Stand down strike aircraft (I rate it unlikely that a bombardment TF would succeed in neutralizing Sapporo airfield and highly likely that Death Star strike would impale itself against Erik's CAP, now that he's aroused.

If Allied ships managed to hit and cripple some/most of Erik's combat ships, a strike would be ready the next day. If nothing materializes worthwile, DS will be in a position to proceed with the next amphibious op.

Allied LBA will sweep and bomb Sapporo airfield and shipping again.

If he loads up Ominato, Hirosaki/Aomori, Akita and Sapporo with naval strike bombers, could they overwhelm DS CAP tomorrow?

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/30/2018 2:35:41 AM   
Canoerebel


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Status: offline 		That's the risk, though the most likely outcome of an all-out attack would be his air force would be impailed for modest return.

Death Star will pull back a hex and thus have the benefit of more LRCAP from Wakkanai, which will be a hex distant.

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/30/2018 3:12:33 AM   
CaptBeefheart


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Status: offline 		I love the way you built up expectations, only to suffer a Charlie Brown moment at the end. Well done, sir!

Cheers,
CB

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RE: Notes from a Small Island - 8/30/2018 4:02:11 AM   
T Rav

 

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Status: offline 		A good turn for a reasonable gain and recoverable losses.

What reader would want less effort day-to-day; what player could expect more results day-to-day?

Part of the fun for me is to try to guess what's next.

Thanks and Kudos,
T-Rav

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