IdahoNYer
Posts: 2616
Joined: 9/6/2009 From: NYer living in Boise, ID Status: offline
|
Aug 44 Summary Another very positive month for the Allied Cause, highlighted of course by the East China Sea Furball - the signature event of the month, if not the war! In that single day long fight, Japan lost more aircraft than in the previous 2+ months combined. Across most Theaters, significant gains were made: SOPAC’s CV TFs raided the Japanese mainland, held off massive air attacks in the Furball, and is now postured to begin the Formosa campaign. The Fleet is also prepared to support additional island hopping toward Okinawa, and is once again prepared to enter the East China Sea looking for trouble. In SWPAC, the campaign to secure the PI progressed extremely well, culminating with the siege of Manila as well as some northern islands secured well ahead of schedule. In CENPAC, Guam was invaded and the fight there continues toward its inevitable successful conclusion. NOPAC remained quiet and is about to have a major change of plans going forward - the landings in the Kuriles are postponed until spring ’45. In China events are picking up as the IJA appears to be consolidating and withdrawing in unexpected places - such as central China. SE Asia troops in Indochina built up combat power near Vinh and will begin that offensive shortly in Sep towards Hanoi. Landing at Kwangchowan, other SE Asia troops linked up with Chinese troops and are preparing to advance on Hanoi from the east as well. Lastly, SE Asia troops continue the slow but effective grind towards Singapore in the Malay Peninsula. At sea, while the KB showed itself during the East China Sea Furball, it was not brought to combat and remains a threat. Naval losses for the month were light to both sides; the IJN reportedly lost 3E and a MTB, compared to the Allies losing 5SS to the increasingly effective ASW effort. In the air, it was all about that one day in August - 1737 for Jpn to 473 Allied for the month’s tallies. Also noteworthy is that August was the month the Allies gained a “minor victory” in victory points tally. Now to keep it going! INTEL: I’m still not sure how much L_S_T will bring to bear during the upcoming Formosa Campaign. The US Fleet sortie into the East China Sea did bring the KB out from hiding, but its sortie was limited and remained just off Korea. At this point, I don’t think major IJN surface elements will sortie south toward Formosa, but wait until the US Fleet is once again close to Japan. What L_S_T did reveal was that Japan’s combat power is far from finished. Being able to mount such a massive attack on a single day was “troublesome”. Even though that threat was handled (with more luck than skill!), rest assured that a similar threat will appear again at some point in the near future. I’m betting Okinawa rather than Formosa landings will be the next trigger. What has me puzzled is the pullback in China - the lines have been very static, why abandon them without a fight - especially those along river lines? SUBWAR: I keep pushing Allied subs to patrol with minimal results. Jpn ASW is more formidable than ever, and as the hunting grounds shrink towards the coastal waters near Japan itself, more subs become the hunted rather than hunters. Still, the subs are kept at sea, and do occasionally pick off a merchant or support ship. Also, need to keep the subs at sea just in case the IJN sorties - that said, I am keeping an ever growing number of subs at home ports, around 50% of available subs. As for the IJN sub - none have been recently seen, less the rare supply transport sub. West Coast/USA/Rear Areas: Fighter production increases to 895 in Sep with the addition of the latest version of the Corsair, the US Navy’s F4U-1D - which looks to be a downgrade from the -1A version, although more reliable. Pilot pools are short for US bomber pilots, and it will take another month or so before that is fixed. US Navy and USMC fighter pools got a big quality boost from the East China Sea Furball - many new aces were made that day, and quite a few were reassigned across the fleet and into the reserve pool. Two new Essex class CVs joined the Pacific Theater in August, the last two before December. Also of note, the numerous Casablanca class CVEs are due for a 21 day refit in Sep, and I will shuttle them through refits as missions permit. NOPAC. I’ve decided on a major change in NOPAC. The plan was to shift the main axis of attack in the Pacific to the Kuriles in September, while ground forces fought to secure Luzon and Formosa. That plan was based on a hard, long fight in Luzon and time needed before troops could be released for Okinawa. Well, with the IJA troops are under siege in Manila, the rest of the PI cleared. Troops are also almost fully prepared for Okinawa and other supporting islands - so I’ve decided to maintain the momentum to gain fighter bases to range Kyushu rather than shifting assets for probably at least 2 months to gain the Kuriles, which recon has reported to be increasingly well defended. So, NOPAC will have to wait until spring ’45. The two US divisions (6th Mar Div and 6th IN plus support will remain, and will likely be reinforced prior to any landings in the spring. CENPAC. The Guam operation has been going pretty much as planned, although the level 6 forts were a bit of a surprise. Guam will be secured in September, but that is as far as clearing the Marianas will go. If Guam is at level 6 fort, I have to assume both Saipan and Tinian forts are built up as well - with more troops defending as well. Just don’t see the gain to secure either of these two islands. A limited Strat Bombing campaign against central Japan can be accomplished from Guam, hopefully beginning by Oct. The three US divisions engaged on Guam will redeploy to other Theaters (TBD). SOPAC. The Fleet was fortunate to extract itself from the East China Sea after the Furball with only two carriers damaged - neither seriously. The Fleet remains in great shape, and the incoming two Essex class CVs and the recently refitted British CV Indomitable joining the Fleet in a few weeks more than makes up for the required paint and body work on Belleau Wood and Long Island II. The focus will be Formosa and then the islands approaching Japan, culminating with landings on Okinawa possibly by the end of the month, or beginning of October. The Fleet will remain in support, and will again sortie in the East China Sea to seek out targets of opportunity, provide fighter cover for the Amphib operations as well as providing sweeps in support of LBA bombers over mainland Japanese bases before the month is out. All of that beyond Formosa really depends on whether or not Formosa is bitterly defended by air and IJN fleet assets. SWPAC. Securing Luzon’s northern airfields was accomplished much quicker and with much less force than planned. By month’s end, Manila is under siege and most outer islands are fully secure. This has released the entire Aus I Corps for further operations much earlier than planned, and they will be employed to secure the island approaches to Okinawa. Manila will remain under siege, with ground and air bombardments continuing for the most of September. Once Guam is secured, will look to add BBs to bombarding Manila as well. Will decide, based on the effectiveness of those bombardments, when to begin the ground assault - not earlier than the last two weeks of Sep at the earliest. Additional troops and artillery are still enroute, and frankly, there is no rush to secure Manila. The real prize in the PI are the level 7 airbases in Luzon. They are secured and are already expanding. The goal remains to begin the strategic bombing campaign of Japan from these bases before the end of Sep. China. Events are starting to pick up in China. Surprisingly so! For example, the IJA looks to be pulling back in a number of places - near Kweiyang where the front has been static for quite a long time. With Pakhoi and Kwangchowan in Allied hands, supply flow into mainland China will increase and should top 200k during Sep. Chinese forces will advance to contact as the IJA pulls back. I have no firm plans for a Chinese based offensive, but rather its more of a wait and see where the IJA pulls back to. In any case, Allied Air will be increasingly brought to bear to interdict withdrawing IJA troops throughout the Chinese mainland. SE Asia. The landings at Kwangchowan and Kiungshan, as well as securing Samah, were the culminating events of the month, and although the main body of IJA troops have moved east, the landings effectively cut off over an estimated 75k IJA troops remaining in Vietnam. Their reduction will be the focus in Sep, with attacks coming in from the west at Vinh and the east toward Haiphong. The Indian XV Corps will continue its progress in Malaya, slowly grinding toward Singapore. The real question in SE Asia is what’s next once Vietnam is secured? That is undecided at this point. Options include coastal landings on China’s SE coast, reinforcing a Chinese attack to liberate Chungking or perhaps a landing in Korea. All of these potential decisions, and perhaps others, are still a while away.
Attachment (1)
|