ITAKLinus
Posts: 630
Joined: 2/22/2018 From: Italy Status: offline
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After the costly mistake of the second day in Palembang, I need to re-assess my situation in the whole map. Next turn it's going to be the latest date I've ever played as Allied. I'm extremely green indeed (I have a match which is in the late game but I took over the allied side on 01/01/1944). Form my perspective, there is little sense in trying a divination of future Japanese moves. I need to find a way to impose my will somewhere. Next turn a new USN CV arrives in San Diego and I'm pondering the possibility to keep it in the Pacific and strike on Midway earlier than I planned. Problem being the low preparation of my troops (won't arrive to 100% until the end of January) but I can wait for a moment. I have 4 USN CVs and a British one arriving in few days for a gran total of 4 USN CVs + 1 UK CV + 1 UK CVL (the Hermes...). Saratoga somehow managed to resize a USMC fighter group to 90, not that I have enough airframes in pool currently. It'll take a while to fill it up completely. I plan to split it in 3 and spread the three groups on the 3 USN CVs currently in the Indian Ocean. Now I don't have the game in front of me, but IIRC I should be able to populate the group with a total of roughly 50-60 a/c (awful Buffaloes). It's going to be completely filled up as soon as I can upgrade another embarked group from Buffalo to Wwildcat. Ok that they are terrible planes, but it's nevertheless additional protection in CAP or escort in strikes. I can, in the meanwhile, organize something in the Aleutinians which I suspect being almost empty. Broadly speaking, I need to review a little bit the entire strategic posture. In China I'm getting nailed quite badly on the ground and I have the ongoing Ankang-crisis going on. I. NOPAC Here I do believe Omar hasn't reinforced the area after his initial conquests. It also doesn't seem to be heavily protected by air and naval assets. This sector basically deletes the threat on the entire Kurili/Hokkaido/Sakhalin area and therefore it's strategically important to set my forces up for a slow movement forward. I don't plan to allocate relevant assets to the place, so it will be a slow grinding forward. We're still in winter so I suspect he hasn't brought up any fortification (he hadn't developed any AF/port either) and my intention is to start moving forward as soon as we're approaching the end of winter. Don't have any free unit to do anything earlier. II. CENPAC Here I've lost Midway, which is problematic. I'm keeping Johnston Island, Hawaii and the important Line Islands. A veil of troops is available and my naval assets are very few. The basic logic is that I don't have neither the infrastructure to support constant naval operations in the area nor the strength to oppose or even threat a Japanese move. The fall of Canton Island is a problem, but my intention is to move against Midway. Midway is a thorn in my flank and the dual move Midway-Aleutinians should encourage the Japanese to move assets in his northern flank, which I do welcome for many reasons I won't list. Midway itself is apparently protected by a SNLF and a tank battalion. At least, that's what the SigInt tells me. III. SOPAC In the SOPAC the situation is fluid. I think in the very next turns I'll witness the assault on Noumea, which I cannot credibly prevent or stop with KB lurking around. With the fall of Canton Island, I have a problem in the entire area. I do believe the sector is impossible to defend in '41 and early '42, so there is no point for me to even try. I've reinforced Suva, however. It looks like it would require at least a divisional assault now. It's somehow vital not to lose PM in case he goes for Noumea AND Suva. At that point, with Line Islands and PM in my possession, I'd be quite well placed to cut the Japanese supply routes farther north, making a defense of the New Caledonia / Fiji / Luganville area pointless for the Japanese. This, however, presumes the ability of the Allied side of defending BOTH N-E Australia AND PM, something I'm not sure at all I'm able to do (actually, I quite doubt so). Bottom line is that I deem Noumea lost and I try to defend Suva and PM. IV. DEI Here is where the real game is. I need to defend the DEI as long as I can so that I can gain time all around the map. In like two weeks I start getting heavy reinforcements in Cape Town from East Coast, thus enabling a more than token defense of India. In general, I believe that until I have carriers around, he has problems in assaulting Java, which is a big deal. Java is not vital to the Japanese, but holding it should enable a more vigorous defense of Timor and Darwin, protecting at the same time Australia's West Coast. Containing the Japanese is impossible, but until I keep their advance slow in the DEI protecting India at the same time, it's ok. In line of principle, my speculation is that I cannot stop any Japanese move in the Pacific if it is supported by KB so I prefer to slow him down in the DEI or oblige him to bring KB there, giving a breath to the SOPAC sector. If he invades NZ, I can't hold it in any case whatever I have immediately available there. Same goes with N-E Australia. On the other side, if I keep him at bay in the DEI, I can A) ship stuff to Perth in case of need; redeploy carriers&co to SOPAC with relative ease; C) give time to India to get in shape. I need to see what he does after the fall of Singapore. He currently has a division (33rd) moving into Burma where it will face my Rangoon fellas (600AV of very scared troops with super low morale, no experience and very few heavy equipment) and roughly 3,000AV in Singapore campaign. He might very well move those 3,000AV directly into India, which, honestly, would suck. But it might very well be that he sends some of them to Java and the rest to finish the work in Luzon (where I estimate he has 2 infantry divisions). In that case, it is interesting to keep many assets in the area, since he would need KB to move on Java (and it's a 2-weeks trip from SOUTH of Noumea where it is now). If he moves straight into India, well, I'm gonna face complex dilemmas but I should be able to pull out a decent defense for when he lands. Celyon is lost, however. Therefore, strategically, my position in Java has to remain strong so that I can gain time and elicit a response from Mr. Nagumo and his carriers and make him lose momentum in the SOPAC. Clearly, he can simply decide to rush toward Java no matter the allied presence in force. Or he can continue his operations in the SOPAC, complete them and then move into a full assault on Java later on. Currently, I'm mostly for containing him as long as I can and that's it. V. CBI In China I'm in dire straits around Sian, where I need to create a solid defense and study the terrain better. Surprisingly, I'm so far ok in the skies and my troops aren't suffering too much from IJ bombers. Burma road is still open and I'm sending reinforcements into China as quickly as humanly feasible. Rangoon itself is impossible to defend, especially considering the imminent fall of Singapore. My aim is to set myself up for an early coutner-attack in the theater, with the final target of re-opening the Burma Road. It's difficult but possible to be accomplished. Due to our HRs Thai troops cannot go into Burma and it's quite relevant, given that those 1,500AV are quite handy in defending from infiltrations. I think it's not impossible to take back Burma in a reasonable time-frame. Many reinforcements are arriving to Cape Town and they will be useful for both the initial defense of the area and the subsequent counterattack. Americans are quite reliable at this stage of the game accordingly to my experiences on the other side of the hill and they'll be employed there in good numbers. GENERAL My strategic posture can be summarized as: - NOPAC Objective(s): retaking the Aleutinians. Rationale: threatening the Kurili/Hokkaido/Sakhalin area and entailing a vigorous defense from the Japanese side Forces: minor Carrier support: feeble - CENPAC Objective(s): holding the Line Islands and Johnston Island. Retaking Midway. Move against Canton Island or, if possible, Gilberts directly. Rationale: Midway covers the southern flank of my operations in the Aleutinians and it's a pain in the @ss for my entire northern CENPAC area. Gilberts/Phoenix Islands/Ellice Islands make an eventual defense of Figi/Noumea very difficult.This should create the need for the Japanese player to possibly abandon Figi/Noumea and especially strongly defend Rabaul/Salomons/Marshalls. It also threatens to cutoff any eventual Australian adventure. Forces: this will fall on the USMC due to the amount of amph landings needed. Carrier support: heavy - SOPAC Objective(s): variable, ideally keeping Suva+Australia+PM+NZ. More realistically, I need to be prepared to be enclosed in two long sieges in Sydney and Melbourne in case IJA goes wild. From my direct experience, it requires months to reduce a 2,000AV fortress Sidney/Melbourne. And, more importantly, it blocks a dozen IJA divisions and all BBs/CAs for the time being. Rationale: supporting CENPAC line of advance creating both threats to the western japanese flank and obliging the Japanese to further spread his forces Forces: Australians and 3xUSArmy divisions (24th+25th+Americal) Carrier support: feeble Bonus: creating a threat on the Perth-Java axis - DEI Objective(s): hold as long as possible Rationale: slowing down IJA and requiring KB intervention in the sector in order to gain time for my forces to be deployed around the map Forces: what's initially there plus USN CVs and CAs Carrier support: heavy - CBI Objective(s): counterattack and allow supplies to flow into China Rationale: keeping China alive Forces: a multi-national force with all the available reinforcements present around the map. Roughly, USMC + 3xUSArmy ID will be devoted to CENPAC and SOPAC, the rest goes here Carrier support: feeble Bottom line is that I plan to spread japanese forces as much as possible and be heavily involved in supply-intensive theaters, where I can credibly erode his supply pool. China supplied would be a game changer, since I can block an insane amount of IJA troops and planes and especially make him consume immense quantities of supplies. Burma itself is a black hole for IJ supplies and shouldn't be discarded as an effect on IJ economy. The likely early massacre of Magwe's oil wells is a very good point as well. The northern axis of advance is just noise and to compel him to fortify his positions in the Hokkaido/Kurili/Sakhalin sector. Also, he would be somewhat pushed to defend Marshalls. SOPAC is mostly to burden his logistics and stretch his forces in a very remote area of the map. The main problem is how to conciliate this strategy with keeping Australia safe. I think that 3 USArmy divisions and masses of support units should be more than enough for Australia to be safe in the mid-term. I'm very inexperienced as Allied player, but to me this strategy makes sense. Spreading the Japanese, hurting their supply and creating threats to vital assets. Does anyone have suggestions and thoughts to share?
< Message edited by ITAKLinus -- 8/16/2021 10:16:02 AM >
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Francesco
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