BossGnome -> RE: WITP2: The Struggle Against China 2011-2018? (12/8/2005 2:11:35 PM)
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I remember hearing somewhere that china planned to build their first carrier fairly soon. But honestly, I think a trade war with the west would cripple her (and america!) America WAS self sufficient, but now with its huge trade deficit, it NEEDS people to give it cheap goods (aka: china), and china NEEDS people to buy its cheap goods. Both countries need each other, and basically, if there ever was a chinese american war, who would benefit most? RUSSIA [:D] You guys should read Emmanuel Todd: Le Déclin de L'Amérique (translated into English i think its something like "The downfall of America") This guy has a pretty original view in that he expounds that in the next 50 years the new superpower might actually be russia. Russia right now is one of the most oil-rich and self sufficient countries in the world. Over 60% of its trade is conducted with former satellites (Ukraine, Khazakhstan, etc), and so if Russia can just grow again to the point where it can exert indirect influence over its past satellites, it could in fact regain a lot of its lost power, especially if china and america are meanwhile busy holding knives at each other's throats...
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