|
Cribtop -> RE: Wait, I can't read Cuttlefish's new AAR? - Cribtop (J) vs CF (A) (4/5/2012 5:10:30 PM)
|
Obvert,
Candidly I still would expect a 50/50 chance of an abort. The whole Op is premised on the almost inexplicable lack of search planes in the area. I've had subs and PBs combing back and forth through the approach for weeks and not one has been sighted, but it's still hard to believe. However, this same pattern occurred in other instances in this game. I may have to change the AAR title to "The Port Attack War." [:D]
I am concerned that the approach will be detected, we will abort, and thus give up the location of KB for no real gain. However, if we do slip through, the payoff could be substantial in terms of destroying shipping, particularly assault shipping, and delaying an enemy offensive.
As to the AMCs, yes they are valuable ships, but they will sweep down toward "Point Neptune" in such a way that they will be outside DB range of any base. The hope is to re-confirm lack of search a/c or, if spotted, to avoid giving away KB's position.
Finally, the intention is to re-fuel, then make a flank speed move to a 7 hex range from Sydney on D-Day. This will hopefully minimize the chance of a last second spotting. On D minus one we will have two Glens recon Sydney to re-confirm lack of CAP (also inexplicable, IMHO), and just for fun will send in a mini sub on D-Day as well.
I am wrestling with the thought that we are just "doing something" because CF has not moved over to the offensive yet. However, weighing against that is the fact that there are at least cruisers and in all probability assault ships present in numbers. Further, if you look at the map, Sydney is the only large concentration of Allied LCUs spotted between Pearl and India. Sounds like the gathering point for whatever CF has in the works to me.
Oddly, by waiting he is making an error. We're almost finished with Changsha. Capture will release 4 crack divisions to our strategic reserve and will set conditions of supply in China to the point that over time we can draw out multiple divisions to the perimeter. Further, capture of Changsha will get the land route open for war material to move on "unsinkable transports" to Fusan. IMHO CF would have been better served launching an Operation Watchtower type move prior to the fall of Bataan. He let me get away with leaving the PI uncaptured until July, in effect.
|
|
|
|
