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Canoerebel -> RE: The Good The Bad & The Indifferent (10/7/2017 5:28:42 PM)
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John's supply interdiction plan is a good one, but seriously mis-timed so that it's unlikely to accomplish much.
For those just catching up, a big Allied supply TF just made it to Formosa and China a few weeks back. I should be able to maintain the current pace of operations - most importantly, air ops against Japan and army ops in Coastal China - into late winter. There's an outside chance I have enough supply to make it until game's end, though I'm not counting on that (a majority of the Peanut Gallery is not nearly as optimistic, I think).
With supply flush, the Allies can afford to "stand down" the big supply convoys temporarily. That's why I think John's efforts are mis-timed. He's anxiously patrolling, seeking targets whom he may devour. But, for the most part, the Allied merchant fleet has holed up (in the DEI) or moved far south (in the Coral Sea and SoPac).
Even so, convoys are still running supply from Hawaii to Oz. Then the empties retire back to Pearl to do it again. The supply moves inland to ports like Normanton, on the Gulf of Carpetnaria, where empties at Boela will eventually pick it up in time for another great convoy to Formosa and vicinity.
Oz currently has more than 1.5 million supply - well over double what it had just a month ago.
So the Allies have a complex, layered, dispersed and efficient supply delivery system that will be hard for John to seriously.
For that reason, the more assets (subs, carriers, aircraft) he has down here, the better.
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