OT-War cycles

OT-War cycles (Full Version)

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bigred -> OT-War cycles (5/13/2013 3:22:21 PM)
Got this jpeg from a solicitor... [image]local://upfiles/27655/3AD3820B723B4F6CAAD4B465FFC8AC9A.jpg[/image]

dcpollay -> RE: OT-War cycles (5/13/2013 5:07:34 PM)
[:)] Ahh, predictive modelling. I love how it takes a big downturn right around 2002. Wait....I think that chart is my stock portfolio! Big things are coming my way soon!

czert2 -> RE: OT-War cycles (5/13/2013 8:27:52 PM)
time to invest in weapons and ammo companyies.

Hiltibrant -> RE: OT-War cycles (5/14/2013 1:04:09 PM)
Why is the value on the y-Axis mostly running in the negative? Or is that a graphical representation of the war deficit, i.e. there not being enough wars?

Chickenboy -> RE: OT-War cycles (5/14/2013 2:55:15 PM)
Patent rubbish. No really. Your friend should patent this algorithm for its rubbishness. Given about 3 minutes on MS Excel, I could also draw up some oddball formula and graph it over fictitious years. That would hardly constitute any circulable 'truth'.

Lokasenna -> RE: OT-War cycles (5/14/2013 4:40:56 PM)
quote: ORIGINAL: Chickenboy Patent rubbish. No really. Your friend should patent this algorithm for its rubbishness. Given about 3 minutes on MS Excel, I could also draw up some oddball formula and graph it over fictitious years. That would hardly constitute any circulable 'truth'. I've been thinking of it as a joke [:'(]. It's so far from serious that it can't be anything but! Although when I first opened the thread, I thought maybe it would be something about historical world systems/cycles, which would've been interesting. I heard somebody speculate the other day about major societal changes/shifts occurring every 80 years or so, at least for the past couple of centuries. It was interesting to think about.

Canoerebel -> RE: OT-War cycles (5/14/2013 5:17:33 PM)
There have been some interesting correlations between weather and wars - many wars seem to coincide with "the coldest winter in xx-umpteen years." (Or perhaps it's a matter of perspective - the footsoldier huddled in a foxhole at Bastogne or in a tent at Harper's Ferry isn't likely to feel a warm glow.)

dazoline II -> RE: OT-War cycles (5/14/2013 6:07:40 PM)
The original posting: http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/wwiii-has-already-started-51841 Trying not to be the pot calling the kettle black the guy that wrote that in my opinion has no understanding of a real shooting war. Although he maybe on to somthing with mesuring the interestingness in the world as defined by a certain Chinese curse.

Chickenboy -> RE: OT-War cycles (5/14/2013 6:38:43 PM)
quote: ORIGINAL: Lokasenna quote: ORIGINAL: Chickenboy Patent rubbish. No really. Your friend should patent this algorithm for its rubbishness. Given about 3 minutes on MS Excel, I could also draw up some oddball formula and graph it over fictitious years. That would hardly constitute any circulable 'truth'. I've been thinking of it as a joke [:'(]. It's so far from serious that it can't be anything but! Although when I first opened the thread, I thought maybe it would be something about historical world systems/cycles, which would've been interesting. I heard somebody speculate the other day about major societal changes/shifts occurring every 80 years or so, at least for the past couple of centuries. It was interesting to think about. Got it. That makes more sense. Sorry if I was snippish. I think the trend for warfare amongst mankind would be decidely lowering toward the right. Never-ending warfare is increasingly uncommon. People (in general) are very unlikely to die as a result of warfare or terrorism. Sure, there are exceptions, but this is moving in the right direction. I agree with Plato that "only the dead have seen the end of war". Still, less war killing less people over the next two centuries (forward-looking)? I'll take it as progress.

Lokasenna -> RE: OT-War cycles (5/15/2013 3:05:05 AM)
quote: ORIGINAL: dazoline II The original posting: http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/wwiii-has-already-started-51841 Trying not to be the pot calling the kettle black the guy that wrote that in my opinion has no understanding of a real shooting war. Although he maybe on to somthing with mesuring the interestingness in the world as defined by a certain Chinese curse. Several (most?) of the things he "checks" on his list aren't actually "checked" at all [&:]. Citations needed.

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