mind_messing -> RE: Scots Are they free (9/23/2014 6:56:48 PM)
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ORIGINAL: warspite1 quote:
ORIGINAL: Mobius From a Scot over here says that the vote was skewed as many young Scots had to go to England to find work and could not vote. At the same time retired English people moved to Scotland and could vote. But her hometown of Dundee went 'Yes'. warspite1 Skewed? Well yes, except not in the way the Scot over there thinks. She is conveniently forgetting the Scots young or not that have moved to other parts of UK or elsewhere to find work and most certainly didn't want a Yes vote (why does she assume that all such would have voted Yes?). I can honestly say I know of no one - and I spoke to a great many Scots - who wanted a Yes vote. Not one. The best I got for the Yes vote was one who could not make up his mind - the others numbering around 30 were vehemently opposed. Anecdotal evidence is bound to be skewed. I can assure you that the common feeling where you live isn't the common feeling where I live. quote:
ORIGINAL: IronDuke quote:
From what I'm seeing and hearing on the ground, I'm not so sure. It was the older vote that swung this election, and the strongest independence support came from younger voters. There's 45% of Scottish people who are outright unhappy with the situation at present, and no doubt there's a fair chunk of the 55% of No voters who're waiting for the promised powers. Depending on how (or if) these powers are delivered will determine if the demand for another referedum persists. Then you've the spectral issue of EU membership to consider in a few years time as well... But this assumes that the young don't change as they get older... My understanding was that yes won amongst the 25-50 (ish) age group, but younger than that were evenly split. Those working age people will have a different slant on life in 25 years time, as it will be their pensions on the line etc. "Yes" never got a grip of the "its the economy, stupid" truism. Nobody doubted Scotland would survive and maybe even prosper, but is seemed clear it might come at the cost of a generation of economic birthing pains. It's older people in general who have no appetite for that, so current demographics showing 35 year olds are up for it, doesn't equate to saying they'll all be up for it in 25 years at 60. As I said, at that point, the end is nigh for the oil and Scotland has bigger fish to fry than they do now. See for yourself and judge - http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/sep/20/scottish-independence-lord-ashcroft-poll The 18-24's exempt, the under 55's were all fairly solid in their support for independence. I'll not go in to the issue of the "end is nigh!" for the oil, because how long is left depends on who you ask. The only truth is that there's still deposits out there that haven't even been touched yet. I just hope that we can get a sovreign wealth fund set up for oil revenues while there's still time. quote:
As for the EU, Scotland has recently swung to yes, but I suspect that was partly because the country swung towards yes over independence. Scotland outside the UK is always going to see the EU as more attractive. Over the wider issue, if Cameron is returned, he'll renegotiate something, and probably win a vote to stay in. It will destroy the Tories, but attitudes are softer centre left where the majority is. Scotland would have a rethink if it was a vote to leave, but their core issue over the EU is Spain, not the UK, so I'd be surprised if that single issue re-galvanised the debate. I have never felt the EU as an issue ranked all that high for most people. UKIP's core issue is immigration amongst the grass roots. It is higher for the Leadership, but then the same is true for the Tories. It's a red line for parliamentary tories but further down the list for most voters. If Milliband is returned, or LIB-LAB get their act together and work something out, I doubt they'll actually be a vote, and if they take measures on immigration and the economy continues to recover, there won't be riots in the streets over it. UK membership in the EU is the perfect issue to re-galvanise the debate! It sums up the issue most Scots have with the Union at present - England wants to leave the EU, Scotland doesn't. If it comes to a UK-wide referendum then the Scottish, Northern Irish and Welsh voices will be drowned out by those in England. Yes - that's how representative democracy works, but it's wrong for England to force the rest of the UK to follow it in the event that Scotland, Wales or NI disagree on the matter. I frankly don't know enough about EU law to comment on how things would work out if England does vote to leave the EU and Scotland doesn't. If Spain's opposition persists, there's nothing (and never was anything) to stop Scotland from voluntarily signing up to the EU treaties without actual formal membership (a la Norway, IIRC). I, for one, would think it a great shame if the UK was to decide to withdraw from the EU. The next year or two is going to be very interesting in terms of politics... quote:
ORIGINAL: EUBanana The EU is a classic example of how there is not a common demos, the views of Scotland and the views of England on this matter are diametrically opposed. The solution to this sort of thing is to have two states, which keeps everybody happy. I might point out that an independent Scotland is not the same thing as rebuilding Hadrians Wall and putting up the razor wire. There is no reason why we can't have an open border, free movement, mutual defence arrangements and so on. This sort of thing happened after Irish independence, and gawd knows if there was an excuse to put up razor wire it'd be that history. Didn't happen. Wouldn't happen after Scottish independence. From the stance taken by the Westminister government in the run up to the referendum, that was sure what it sounded like!
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