Kitakami -> RE: BTS/BTSL against John 3rd: What was Kitakami thinking?!?!?!? (5/9/2018 11:19:58 PM)
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Ok... I have had the turn since yesterday, but this week is being rather heavy with work-related stuff. Here are a few thoughts to get the discussion going: 1. At the beginning of turn three, the following bases are short (of double monthly requirements) on supply: --- Seattle, Short 5378 --- Tacoma, Short 3018 --- Victoria, Short 8462 --- Alameda,Short 2558 --- Chengchow, Short 1006 --- Nanyang, Short 1107 --- Sining, Short 981 --- Tsiaotso, Short 2982 --- Yenan, Short 950 --- Chuhsien, Short 38 --- Ankang, Short 148 2. At the beginning of turn three, the following industries lack raw materials: --- Komsomolsk, Short 800 oil --- Hong Kong, Short 4375 resources --- Calcutta, Short 12602 resources --- Madras, Short 2529 resources --- Melbourne, Short 12132 resources --- Sydney, Short 16362 resources --- Vancouver, Short 1788 resources --- San Francisco, Short 828 resources --- Naga, Short 240 resources --- Hong Kong, Short 4375 resources --- Bombay, Short 7346 resources --- Calcutta, Short 12602 resources --- Delhi, Short 185 resources --- Hyderabad, Short 294 resources --- Lahore, Short 200 resources --- Madras, Short 2529 resources --- Melbourne, Short 12132 resources --- Sydney, Short 16362 resources --- Vancouver, Short 1788 resources --- Winnipeg, Short 2598 resources --- Chungking, Short 5506 resources --- Kunming, Short 1876 resources --- Tjilatjap, Short 375 resources --- Balikpapan, Short 375 resources --- Kwangchowan, Short 128 resources --- Soviet Union, Short 13359 resources 3. I lost Itbayat Island and Kuantan last turn. Kuantan worries me, a LOT, because Kota Bharu has not been invaded. 4. The following ships were lost last turn: --- AS Holland, AS Janssens --- TK Djirak --- AO Pecos --- xAP Hong Siang, xAP Kedah, xAP Kelantan, xAP Poelau Laut --- xAK Chilka, xAK Wing Sang, xAK Capillo --- xAKL Chaksang, xAKL Lematang, xAKL Escalante, xAKL Sarangami, xAKL Compagnia Filipinas, xAKL Fortuna 5. According to Tracker, these were the plane losses for the turn: --- G4M1 Betty 12 --- A6M2 Zero 9 --- Hudson I 8 --- P-40E Warhawk 8 --- P-40B Warhawk 7 --- P-36A Mohawk 6 --- B-17E Fortress 4 --- Blenheim I 3 --- B-17D Fortress 3 --- E13A1 Jake 2 --- Ki-27b Nate 2 --- Ki-43-Ib Oscar 2 --- Beaufort V (PR) 1 --- F4F-3 Wildcat 1 --- B5N2-C Kate 1 --- C5M2 Babs 1 --- H6K4 Mavis 1 --- Ki-21-IIa Sally 1 Total losses for the turn are reported as 31 Japanese for 41 Allied. 6. Turn 1 saw a net loss of 153 VP. Turn 2 saw a net loss of 173 VP. These are the things that worry me: A. KB is still 7 hexes SE of Pearl. There is a number of USN subs in the area, but I have no hope of them hitting a barn. I also have B-17s on naval attack, but it would be a major miracle if they hit anything too. I am afraid PH will be attacked again, either this turn or next, and there is nothing I can do about it. B. I expect an invasion at Mersing either this turn or next. I have 2x Aus Inf Bdes there, but if 2 or more IJA divisions land there, I am toast. This leads me to... C. The 1st Raiding Rgt (para) starts at Kompong Trach. It has not been dropped anywhere (common 1st-turn drop, Victoria Point). In my other game, my esteemed opponent Falken just dropped the 1st Para Assault Div on a lightly defended airfield in Java. I fear John wants to do the same with this unit. The question is where, and how ccan I best defend against it? Any and all opinions welcome!
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