RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (Full Version)

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Canoerebel -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/15/2019 3:50:03 PM)

He might be able to draw a little fuel from Victoria Point or Georgetown or Malacca or Oosthaven. Or perhaps he has AOs en route. But fuel should be a concern for him. I have subs and mine-laying subs moving on likely ports and vectors.



Canoerebel -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/15/2019 3:52:56 PM)

3/23/42

Bay of Bengals: Dave has done a fine job of turning the tables on me, with an assist from me for sticking my head in a noose.

But he's also charging around reacting to me, committing forces in ways likely contrary to what he wants to do and needs to do elsewhere.

The outcome is still to be determined - can he pick off my carriers or good combat ships? will my subs get lucky? can I extricate my army before he locks down all escape vectors?


[image]local://upfiles/8143/0084D85B56E946B3857785896C0B7FBB.jpg[/image]



Lokasenna -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/15/2019 8:42:16 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Uncivil Engineer


quote:

ORIGINAL: RangerJoe

He wasted KB invasion bonus time with the Lexington, now he is wasting it reacting to your moves. When the bonus is over, he will have to do more preparation which should slow him down. Very nicely done, although you probably would rather have the Lady Lex floating as well as all of that time wasted.

The KB might need minor repairs which might wait until upgrade time. That might be another opportunity to make some attacks/raids.

Also, he keeps burning precious fuel . . .


Not only is he burning fuel, but where will KB refuel? You still have Singapore and Medan; I don't think CV's can get into Rangoon or Palembang, so he surely must have tankers trailing KB, or he returns to Java/Miri/Cam Ranh Bay (all a long way away). Find the tankers!


He could pull into any port on Malayan peninsula. Georgetown is a level 4 port to start with IIRC (or at least a level 3), and should have accumulated a small amount of fuel on its own.

It will draw more if he sends the ships there to refuel.



Uncivil Engineer -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/16/2019 10:59:57 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Lokasenna


quote:

ORIGINAL: Uncivil Engineer


quote:

ORIGINAL: RangerJoe

He wasted KB invasion bonus time with the Lexington, now he is wasting it reacting to your moves. When the bonus is over, he will have to do more preparation which should slow him down. Very nicely done, although you probably would rather have the Lady Lex floating as well as all of that time wasted.

The KB might need minor repairs which might wait until upgrade time. That might be another opportunity to make some attacks/raids.

Also, he keeps burning precious fuel . . .


Not only is he burning fuel, but where will KB refuel? You still have Singapore and Medan; I don't think CV's can get into Rangoon or Palembang, so he surely must have tankers trailing KB, or he returns to Java/Miri/Cam Ranh Bay (all a long way away). Find the tankers!


He could pull into any port on Malayan peninsula. Georgetown is a level 4 port to start with IIRC (or at least a level 3), and should have accumulated a small amount of fuel on its own.

It will draw more if he sends the ships there to refuel.


Sure, there are lots of places he could draw "a little fuel", and he would have to SIT at Georgetown to draw more. I wouldn't want the KB to SIT anywhere. And you know as well as anyone, the KB sucks A LOT of fuel.



GetAssista -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/16/2019 11:33:10 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Uncivil Engineer
Sure, there are lots of places he could draw "a little fuel", and he would have to SIT at Georgetown to draw more. I wouldn't want the KB to SIT anywhere. And you know as well as anyone, the KB sucks A LOT of fuel.

Drawing can be initiated by assigning a homeport for the KB TF while the latter is still at sea. So fuel will be there already by the time ships come. Port action points for refuelling are still limited though



Bif1961 -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/16/2019 1:33:18 PM)

He can send his smaller vessels CAs down into Rangoon and get fuel from there and refuel his carriers. So how much fuel was left behind when Rangoon fell is the question? Sorties are another issue of course as he needs to get his carriers to a port to build those back and not sure if he has one handy. If you are feeling adventerous you might give him some low value single targets to go after, run him low of sorties and torps then counter-attack with your full carrier force while he is in the middle of the Bay of Bengal. Also using some harassing high altitude bomber naval strikes to stretch his CAP levels and wear them down with fatigue. You will be able to determine how much of the KB he has here as well, it might just be 2-3 fleet carriers and a few CVEs. You stuck your head in a noose but you might be able to reverse the situation and place the noose around his next as he is drawn deeper into the Bay of Bengal.

Now with regards to your trapped Aussie divisions. I would strat move them to Pegu and use your recon air assets to determine what he has on every city along the rail lines. I would fake move the small unit at Pegu towards Rangoon, hopefully fooling him that Rangoon is the primary target and freeze his forces there. I am assuming he is at least at garrison requirement level and has at least level 1 forts and building. Once at Pegu keep the two Aussie divisions in start and hopefully the next city along the rail line is lightly defended and I hope you have a paratroop or two units available. If so you can jump in and take it (I believe Toungo,) and then move your stack quickly there and further and further away from his land based bombers. If I were him I would bring in anything that can fly and drop bombers within range and bomb your two isolated divisions, that's why regular road movement would be painfully slow and the least attractive option. If you have been successful to that point then your recon flights over the rest of the rail base cities will tell you the most likely target for your next para jump, if you have any paras left to jump. If Magwe is lightly defended and you have the paras left to take it then you can move the Aussie stack there via strat. At that point you can decide to change movement mode and either move on Mandalay and cut off his 33rd Inf Div in upper Burma and make a stand there, flying in base forces and supplies and out units you want to save, or cross the river from Magwe in a NW direction get into the jungle and march into your lines from there. Of course all this will be determined on your recon flights over those rail cities in Burma, how well they are defended and how many para units you have withing range with transports to take them. Another option starts the same way with a quick rail movement into Pegu, with the unit already there fake moving towards Rangoon. If you determine there is not much more in Rangoon then a base garrison and level 1 forts your combined stack might be able to move into it and take it then para Jump into Prome if lightly defended and strat move into Prome and then cross the river in normal movement and head up the coastal road towards your lines. His priority is to destroy what you left behind because these two Aussie Divisions is your major reinforcements to CBI, besides the 18th Brit Division, where ever you left it. Hunting down your fleeing fleet would be a secondary concern to me as you ability to rebuild these two good units is very limited and might open up opportunities to him later after Singapore eventually falls. I hope my thoughts on the mater at hand are helpful and not depressing. Only you know your abilities to rescue these trapped forces and how.



Canoerebel -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/16/2019 2:30:39 PM)

Oops, posted in wrong AAR.

Dave and I have flipped a bunch more turns. I'll post later. Suffice to say that KB vanished without a trace, somewhere in the Bay of Bengal or Andaman Sea. Things have stabilized, for the moment.



adarbrauner -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/16/2019 4:12:36 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

The Chinese have a decent army at Sian and more at key points in the rough terrain to the NW. So this theater still has hope.


It depends. You know that thr greatest concern within the Chinese army is replacements for they depleted corps, which are never enough or up the pace of sustained engagement.if you keep looking for continous attrition with IJA you may very soon turn out of replacements (you already should be), with a cascade effect of colossal proportions, if IJAshall keep pushing.

When commanding China, you need be paying supreme attention to economy.



Canoerebel -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/17/2019 5:47:50 PM)

3/24/42 to 3/29/42

I sticks my head in the noose and Dave is yanking the rope while I kick him in the shins. Or something like that.

Bay of Bengal: KB came, saw and restored order for the Japanese in this region (Dave did a fine job and I misjudged KB's likely destination badly). My little expeditionary army is isolated. Death Star made it safely to Madras and is protected there by a large group of fighters. I think it's safe. Meanwhile, Dave is leaning this way, which I hope has some positive results elsewhere. I need to balance the ledger sheet.

Singers: With him focusing so heavily on the threat in the Bay, forts here continue rising steadily. Now at 5.61. I hope he remains distracted a bit longer and doesn't try another attack until he can bring in divisions from Java, the Philippines or whatever. He has 2900 AV at Singers; I have 1400 with 155k supply.

China: His army is adjacent to Sian but shows no movement yet. A secondary MLR is now in place.

DEI: Allies still hold western (northern) Sumatra, Batavia (by skin of teeth) and Soerabaja. Dave's methodically rolling through this territory and picking up various islands and outposts.

Philippines: Allied army still holding at Clark Field. I never thought it would still be there as April approached. It won't be much longer.

Pacific: No real enemy moves anywhere in this theater. I've maximized defenses at Midway and have a good speed bump at Luganville. Smaller efforts are in place at Dutch Harbor and at Efate.
Pacif

[image]local://upfiles/8143/F054105E116349C1A8CEA480D0F47FE8.jpg[/image]



RangerJoe -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/19/2019 1:47:45 AM)

If you can, try to bring out a piece of every unit from the Moulmein/Pegu area by flying boat so you won't have to buy the unit out if you can't rescue the main unit. It will save months waiting for the unit to return.

At least you know where the KB is and you have it reacting to you. Do you think that you can hurt it? Your subs should be in a nice blocking position and fully armed if I understand your post correctly.



Canoerebel -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/19/2019 1:51:31 AM)

[Edited: This was meant for my other AAR, but I'll leave it here since RangerJoe replied and humorously so!]


Erik sent vague (very vague) word that he'd encountered some major glitch when trying to run the turn. He didn't say what the glitch was or hint in any way about it's nature. He only said it wasn't user error.

May I just say right here that it seems that we men are, as our women tell us, atrocious at communicating?

I suspect this is the issue- I bet Erik set his air force to strike and it hasn't, either day. If that's the case, it might be weather. He's already flown one mega-strike and lots of smaller strikes against Death Star. So I don't know of there being any organic issues.

Of course, that's sheer speculation. But that's all I can do - speculate - given lack of information.



RangerJoe -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/19/2019 2:51:08 AM)

OOOPS! Wrong thread! [:@]

If your American CVs are not busy, you might want to have them resize some extra FAA air units for large training units. I don't think that the RAF units can resize, even with carrier capable airframes. Torpedo bombers can always train LBA bomber pilots.



Bif1961 -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/20/2019 1:37:41 AM)

I have had those weather non-strikes happen for a few days. However, if they are from his carriers he might have too many in the same TF and going beyond the coordination thresh hold, causing strikes to not be flown. I had that happen early in 1942, until I broke up my carriers into smaller TFs following each other instead of one mega carrier TF.



RangerJoe -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/20/2019 3:28:48 AM)

This was my reply:

quote:

. . . May I just say right here that it seems that we men are, as our women tell us, atrocious at communicating?


Wife to husband: "Do you love me?"

Husband: "Of course I do."

Wife: "You don't say so!"

Husband: "Yes, I did!"

Wife: "Once, twenty years ago!"

Husband: "If something had changed, I would have told you!"

*******************************************************************

If your American CVs are not busy, you might want to have them resize some extra FAA air units for large training units. I don't think that the RAF units can resize, even with carrier capable airframes. Torpedo bombers can always train LBA bomber pilots.



Canoerebel -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/20/2019 7:53:37 PM)

3/30/42 to 4/9/42

Almost everything I'm doing now is to milk time and draw Dave's attention so that Singapore's forts can make it to six. It's quite a undertaking!

Bay of Bengal: KB is patrolling the Bay of Bengal as Dave brings in reinforcement convoys. He's taken control of the theater. My intrepid expeditionary army that mistimed is operation badly (due to commander error) is trying to retreat into the jungle. It's probably go to die an ignominious death but it is drawing bombers every day, which helps Singapore. Nealry a third of one divsiion and a fourth of the other is at Madras (these were the troops that weren't unable to unload before KB arrived).

China: Dave has a big stack between Sian and the rough hex two hexes NW. Everywhere else, things remain mostly stable. The Chinese still have a viable MLR but are pressed mainly at Sian and possibly way over near Liuchow.

Philippines: The Allies still hold at Clark, which is remarkable. My guys have no supply. Defenses will collapse as soon as Dave gives a good push.

Singapore: Dave tried a costly deliberate attack on 3/31 - just his second there - that didn't touch my forts. I think he felt chastened and probably won't try again until he can bring in another division or three. Forts are at 5.89. You can bet I'm ruing the eight or ten days that I had fort building switched off, just after they reached level 5. Dave is bombing more frequently, so fort building is slowing. I need about three to six days at current bombing levels. Whether I get that may depend on what's going on in the DEI.

DEI: The Allies still hold Batavia and Soerabaja by the skin of their teetch. Either or both may fall tomorrow. Dave has been daily bombing Batavia for ten days, after he suffered a series of costly shock attack repulses that drove down his AV badly. My guys were toast - just 50 AV - but Dave's had to rest his for a week now. Elsehwere in the DEI, he's rolling across Sumatra and he's nearly taken all the small bases on Java, Borneo, and the islands to the east.

SoPac: It's been very quiet. The Allies are building a decent position at Luganville and are just beginning one at Efate.

CenPac: No enemy activity. Midway continues to build forts and supply stockpiles. No enemy subs seen in a month except at Christmas Island.

NoPac: Dave's never made an apperance here. Allied troops are about to garrison Adak Island to build forts. This is too far too soon, but he's stretched pretty thin and can't be everywhere. He can, of course, be here and in other places, but let's see if the base-building ongoing reaches a point where he truly can't handle them all.
SigInt today reports 53rd and 54th IJA divisions prepping for Anchorage. Those are both restricted Home Island divisions. This could be legit but feels like misinformation.






BBfanboy -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/20/2019 7:59:56 PM)

Preparing for Anchorage without prepping for Kodiak and Seward seems pretty unrealistic.



Lokasenna -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/20/2019 8:35:34 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: BBfanboy

Preparing for Anchorage without prepping for Kodiak and Seward seems pretty unrealistic.


I captured Anchorage by way of landing at the small base just east of there. Whittier, I think...

Also, just because SIGINT showed prep for Anchorage only doesn't mean he isn't prepping for other bases.



RangerJoe -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/20/2019 8:44:20 PM)

quote:

Bay of Bengal: KB is patrolling the Bay of Bengal as Dave brings in reinforcement convoys. He's taken control of the theater. My intrepid expeditionary army that mistimed is operation badly (due to commander error) is trying to retreat into the jungle. It's probably go to die an ignominious death but it is drawing bombers every day, which helps Singapore. Nealry a third of one divsiion and a fourth of the other is at Madras (these were the troops that weren't unable to unload before KB arrived).


That sound just like the real "Operation Shoestring" with the 1st Marine Division at Guadalcanal. Then, of course, the ever courageous Admiral Fletcher decided to leave too early . . .

quote:

Singapore: Dave tried a costly deliberate attack on 3/31 - just his second there - that didn't touch my forts. I think he felt chastened and probably won't try again until he can bring in another division or three. Forts are at 5.89. You can bet I'm ruing the eight or ten days that I had fort building switched off, just after they reached level 5. Dave is bombing more frequently, so fort building is slowing. I need about three to six days at current bombing levels. Whether I get that may depend on what's going on in the DEI.


Maybe a player should figure out just how much would be needed to build a smaller level of fortification, leave the fort building on until a certain percentage is reached, then stop the fort building. That way, as soon as you lose a level, you can restart and regain a level back. That is, if there is an excess cost of going from level 5 to 6 compared to going from level 4 to 5. Anyways, the bigger the forts the better as long as the enemy has to fight to take the base and can't just bypass it.

quote:

Philippines: The Allies still hold at Clark, which is remarkable. My guys have no supply. Defenses will collapse as soon as Dave gives a good push.


If you have a submarine hauling supplies to Bataan instead of those using those excellent Mark 14 torpedoes against enemy shipping, that might be a more effective use for them. One submarine load of supplies so the main units will have even just ONE unit of supply will render them fully combat effective. It may be gamey but that is how it works in the game.



Canoerebel -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/20/2019 8:46:18 PM)

I knew what BBfanboy meant. [:)]

Given time a major enemy op into mainland Alaska would like include troops prepping for Whittier or Seward in addition to Anchorage. For SigInt to reference Anchorage alone on a single day wouldn't be odd but it would be over the course of a week or three.



Canoerebel -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/21/2019 12:52:01 PM)

4/10/42

The Allies still hold Batavia, Soerabaja and Clark Field by the skin of their teeth. The tenuous MLR in China remains intact. The Japanese are working to surround the isolated Allied expeditionary army in Burma. Japanese bombers are working all these areas. The fighting today was routine, so that the only thing that really matters:

Singapore: Forts to 5.91.

That's up two with modest enemy bombing. Supplies are currently 140k, so should be in the 130s when forts reach 6. I'll have to shut down fort building then. Allied subs reporting to Colombo will be switching over to supply runs to Singers, beginning tomorrow.



Canoerebel -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/21/2019 2:38:59 PM)

4/11/42

Singapore: 5.93

[sm=innocent0001.gif]



Canoerebel -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/21/2019 4:34:09 PM)

4/12/42

Singapore: 5.95. [sm=innocent0009.gif]

At Singers, an RAF heavy AA unit upgraded to bigger guns.

Somehow, Batavia and Soerabaja both withstood enemy deliberate attacks. I think Dave will shock attack tomorrow and take both. That'll free up some bombers to target Singers, if he chooses. I have 55 P-40Es at Port Blair that can come into Singers to try to get forts over the hump, but last time they tried they got eaten up.

Now that it's April, I'm seriously considering buying out Percival. Would it make a difference? It could. And at the moment Singers might tie up five or six enemy divisions for another six to eight weeks. If it actually plays out that way, Dave likely will be too late for any big missions into India or Oz (if he ever had such). But summer, the Allies are much more capable of facing the enemy under select circumstances. By late autumn....I was invading Sumatra against John III (way too early but instructive).

RAF 2EB and USAAF 2EB and 4EB hit Magwe's oil, putting 100 points out of commission at a cost of about 20 aircraft (and a handful of enemy fighters). Pretty good day.





RangerJoe -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/21/2019 5:15:35 PM)

Remember, when planes are damaged or there is an ops loss, the pilot loses an experience point - maybe more than one but I read where they lose one. So CAP/LRCAP missions which have increased ops losses can hurt the pilots experience ratings because of the ops losses.



anarchyintheuk -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/21/2019 6:28:06 PM)

If you can spare the pps, I'd buy out Percival.



Canoerebel -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/21/2019 6:36:31 PM)

4/13/42

Singers: 5.98 [sm=scared0008.gif]

Soerabaja fell today. That frees up 70 Betties. I'm crossing my fingers they need a day of rest or that Dave employs them against Batavia or that he simply gets in a hurry so that it doesn't occur to him that Singers might be 2 points and one day from level six forts.

Gulp.



Canoerebel -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/21/2019 6:37:01 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: anarchyintheuk

If you can spare the pps, I'd buy out Percival.


If Singers reaches Forts 6, I think I'll celebrate by replacing Percival. :)



Mark VII -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/21/2019 6:45:09 PM)

Now that you actually have a "Gibraltar of the East", put a better General in there. He may not help but should. Holding Singers for another month or two will really wreck his plans, could even force him to move units out of China.

quote:

ORIGINAL: Canoerebel

4/12/42

Singapore: 5.95. [sm=innocent0009.gif]

At Singers, an RAF heavy AA unit upgraded to bigger guns.

Somehow, Batavia and Soerabaja both withstood enemy deliberate attacks. I think Dave will shock attack tomorrow and take both. That'll free up some bombers to target Singers, if he chooses. I have 55 P-40Es at Port Blair that can come into Singers to try to get forts over the hump, but last time they tried they got eaten up.

Now that it's April, I'm seriously considering buying out Percival. Would it make a difference? It could. And at the moment Singers might tie up five or six enemy divisions for another six to eight weeks. If it actually plays out that way, Dave likely will be too late for any big missions into India or Oz (if he ever had such). But summer, the Allies are much more capable of facing the enemy under select circumstances. By late autumn....I was invading Sumatra against John III (way too early but instructive).

RAF 2EB and USAAF 2EB and 4EB hit Magwe's oil, putting 100 points out of commission at a cost of about 20 aircraft (and a handful of enemy fighters). Pretty good day.







RangerJoe -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/21/2019 6:51:06 PM)

Singapore should have a lot of AAA, check the aggressiveness of their leaders as well as making sure that there is enough radar to detect and track the bombers to increase the effectiveness of the AAA. I remember reading an AAR (was it the one where Stalin complained of some rotten Sushi being dropped of on an isolated coast) where the Japanese AAA did not seem to fire if there weren't enough searchlight and/or radar sets for the night firing of the AAA. A few fighters on night CAP might also help should he decide to bomb at night.



Canoerebel -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/21/2019 8:30:00 PM)

4/14/42

Singers: 6.01 [sm=Cool-049.gif]

Dave turned those 70 Betties against Batavia, which made perfect sense but also helped the cause.

Percival is gone. Slim is in.

When Singers is on the brink of collapse sometime down the road, should I buy out Slim and save him from capture? Is that standard procedure?

[image]local://upfiles/8143/E5A93FBD7E8841549F7936047D91D387.jpg[/image]



BBfanboy -> RE: Intellectus Ex Nihilo (Wal-Mart on Ice) (2/21/2019 8:39:24 PM)

With stats like that, Slim should push the Japanese out of Malaya and not need to be rescued! [:D]



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