mdsmall -> RE: To Lenin or not to Lenin, that is the question (8/29/2021 9:36:12 PM)
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Britain and France take the same NM hit if Russia withdraws from the war (by accepting Brest-Litovsk) or it surrenders (if Brest-Litovsk never triggers, or Germany refuses it). But the three Central Powers all get a NM bonus if Russia surrenders. See the National Morale crib-sheet I posted in this Forum in July. You should also read the thread I started on 3/28/2021 in this Forum on "Refusing Brest-Litovsk", in particular my last post where I reported on what happened when I succeeded as Germany in pushing Russia to a military surrender by capturing its capitals. While the MPP pay-off is incredible for Germany if they can pull that off, the strategic price they pay by committing the troops to do so is way too risky in my view unless the Western allies are on their last legs. And if Russia surrenders due to its NM hitting zero before the CP can capture both Russian capitals, then Germany gets no plunder as a reward. The only reason can see not to send Lenin is to avoid Bolshevik agitation from spreading to Germany and Austria-Hungary after Russia surrenders. But then Russia will fight on until it is defeated; whereas if Lenin is sent, they will offer a peace treaty once their NM hits 12,000. That makes a big difference to the CP's ability to reallocate experienced troops to other fronts.
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