Red Prince
Posts: 3686
Joined: 4/8/2011 From: Bangor, Maine, USA Status: offline
|
At Novgorod, Mannerheim attempts to provide HQ Support, and I add 2.5 Factors of Ground Support, with a fighter flying escort. The other northern attack gets 1.75 Factors. Near Tula, 3.5 Factors are added, with another fighter flying escort. And in my attempt to finally break into the rear, 2 Factors of Ground Support are added. Yes, my entire airforce is committed: 7 bombers and 1 fighter-bomber, and 2 escorting fighters. Only the Finnish fighter remains on the ground, but it is ready to intercept at Novgorod, if needed. Perhaps this is reckless, but if I succeed in these attacks, I'm hoping that final victory is assured. Orm can't get enough bombers to Novgorod to make any real difference, so he ignores it. It would take 2 bombers to reduce the other attack in the north to a 5:1 Blitz, which still only gives the Irkutsk Militia a 10% chance of surviving, so that is also ignored. In the south, the Su-2M stationed in Stavropol alone can reduce my breakthrough attempt from a 7:1 (5:1) Blitz down to a 3:1 (3:2) Blitz, with a 50/50 chance at 4:1 (2:1), so it is given the assignment. And, near Tula, it's hard to figure. With the Ground Support and the Snow, this ends up as a 4:1 with a miniscule chance at 5:1. One bomber can reduce that to 3:1 with a 1 in 4 chance of 4:1, and 2 bombers can reduce it to 2:1 with about a 60% chance at 3:1. Anything more than that gets diminishing results. The best possible reduction would be to 3:2, with a 70% chance at 2:1. That would use up all 5 of Orm's bombers, and since the attack doesn't really benefit me that much if I succeed, the 2-bomber option seems best. It almost gauruntees that all attacking units will become disorganized. It does mean that his MiG is going to have to fly interception vs. my Bf-109.
_____________________________
Always listen to experts. They'll tell you what can't be done and why. Then do it! -Lazarus Long, RAH
|