Red Prince
Posts: 3686
Joined: 4/8/2011 From: Bangor, Maine, USA Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: Centuur quote:
ORIGINAL: Shannon V. OKeets Peter, I am not sure about your proposal to move the units out of Stalino. Only one of them is organized (the orange dot to the left of the # of units in hex number indicates the unit is disorganized). I thought about "run away" - it was my first instinct - but I believe the USSR can build a strong line to the north and another to the south. My guess is that more units can be saved this way. But of course it depends on where the Germans attack and what their die rolls are. What was the deciding factor for me was the weakness of the Germans in the south. They can't even overrun a single AA unit alone in a clear hex. If they take the gifts, in the south I don't think they can make more than 1 other attack. The German forces in the north are much more fearsome. But even there the armor units are rather few. If the Germans attack any of the stronger hexes (11+ factors), they risk a bad die roll which could disorganize some of their best units. The Stuka can only ground strike one clear hex with mechanized/motorized units. That is a 50-50 proposition. They might want to use that unit for ground support. Even if they succeed and disorganize 1 unit, that was a unit that would die anyway if no attempt is made to drag his butt out of the fire. But, yeah, if the Germans go for risky attacks and roll well, things could get even messier than they are now. But if the Germans make those attacks and fail, ... well, then the defense will be much easier. By the way, I consider this 'tactic' to be offering your opponent more than he can safely bite off and swallow. If he declines, then the USSR gains a lot (vis-a-vis running away immediately). But if he accepts, then all is in the hands of the Dice Gods. I didn't see that disorganised unit in Stalino. It is something which I tend to miss, probably due to the fact that I'm a little colorblind. That changes things indeed. In that case I would probably still move the two other units out into the other hex, to prevent an attack on Kharkov (or at least make it more difficult) The problem I'm having with putting both Koniev and Timoshenko so close to eachother on the front is that I would be tempted as the Germans to try to take them both out. If that succeeds, the USSR are in even deeper trouble that they are in now. It is risky, but if the attack on Kharkov succeeds, it means the end of two USSR HQ's. That's too much. What's the word: don't risk the most terrible result possible, if you can't afford it? That is something which is always used on attacking, but is often disregarded when defending. The turn is young and probably very, very long. I really think the USSR can't afford a "stand and fight" position around the Don. There are actually 2 units disorganized in Stalino, so it's only the top unit in the "clean" image that can move. I don't think Steve was suggesting both Koniev and Timoshenko move to Kharkov. I think he suggested that Koniev go to the forest now occupied by Timoshenko, and Timoshenko moves to Kharkov.
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Always listen to experts. They'll tell you what can't be done and why. Then do it! -Lazarus Long, RAH
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