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RE: 1944 July 19 - 7/4/2015 2:46:29 AM   
Lowpe


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Your, what, 3 hexes to cover Chiang Mai? I think that is considered very far away for intercepting transports. Doable I believe. There was a formula posted, once upon a time, I seem to recall it being in Obvert/Joc game. Was is normal range divided by 3? Maybe normal range divided by 2?

The latest official patch also addressed the problem, but I never understood the fix as their is an abbreviation I don't understand (DT or DTs).

I don't think altitude matters when intercepting transports.

Perhaps you know more?


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Post #: 2521
RE: 1944 July 19 - 7/4/2015 4:54:55 AM   
witpqs


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From: Argleton
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Lowpe

Your, what, 3 hexes to cover Chiang Mai? I think that is considered very far away for intercepting transports. Doable I believe. There was a formula posted, once upon a time, I seem to recall it being in Obvert/Joc game. Was is normal range divided by 3? Maybe normal range divided by 2?

The latest official patch also addressed the problem, but I never understood the fix as their is an abbreviation I don't understand (DT or DTs).

I don't think altitude matters when intercepting transports.

Perhaps you know more?



I recall the discussion (and the fix), but like you I forget the formula. Anyway, here is a rundown from the pre-end turn save I just fired up to look. The five squadrons (all using droptanks):

P-40N5 @Toungoo - 3 hexes - 7/8
P-51B @Prome - 5 hexes - 11/13
P-51B @Moulmein - 4 hexes - 11/13
P-47D25 @Moulmein - 4 hexes - 11/13
P-38J @Moulmein - 4 hexes - 13/16

If I need to I'll move things around. There is no real fighter opposition up there (I think some was LRCAP up there but not now).



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Post #: 2522
RE: 1944 July 19 - 7/4/2015 11:23:07 AM   
Drakanel

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: witpqs
Hehe hehe - trade secret! Just kidding.

There are two ways that I know, one semi-direct and the other totally indirect.

First off, there are many dozen auxiliary types there, and there were even more a short time ago. More than 70 planes for search & recon... no way!

Add that to the situation, it is absolutely the thing to do - meaning get as many combat troops as possible out of pockets where they are being destroyed. That's the indirect way.

The semi-direct way is to add the first point (many auxiliaries) to the fact that I saw (in combat reports and/or SigInt reports) a fragment of the unit at Bangkok when the main unit was encircled at Rangoon. It's very safe to assume that the same thing is taking place with units at Chiang Mai now that several units have made it through the jungle to the base.

The 40% LRCAP of ~125 fighters (about 100 of them near best models) with excellent pilots should bag a bunch the first day to tell us the tale.


I see, thank you. Yes, 70 patrol and recon planes in the middle of the jungle would be a bit... weird, would they not? Unless they're hunting for wild tigers to use against your tanks. Tiger riding japanese samurai. Or not.

Also nice that BB washington is doing better now, hope she makes it!

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Post #: 2523
RE: 1944 July 19 - 7/4/2015 3:16:26 PM   
witpqs


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Well... I was being an optimist. She had gone up to 96% flotation damage the day before, and this day she was down to... drum roll please! ...95%!!!

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Post #: 2524
1944 July 20 - 7/5/2015 7:09:12 AM   
witpqs


Posts: 26087
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From: Argleton
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1944 July 20

The Empire captured:


The Allies captured:
Bien Hoa

There were Imperial amphibious or airborne operations at:


There were Allied amphibious or airborne operations at:
Pagan


Naval Bombardments
quote:


None


Our subs had a quiet day.

Quiet in China, too.

Pisanuloke is close to falling to us as is Mergui and the attacks will continue at both places. The advance out of Taung Gyi has kicked off with a successful river crossing. The road to Bangkok (just east of Tavoy) is open!
quote:


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ground combat at Mergui (53,62)

Allied Deliberate attack

Attacking force 13796 troops, 249 guns, 337 vehicles, Assault Value = 437

Defending force 6690 troops, 82 guns, 11 vehicles, Assault Value = 92

Allied adjusted assault: 223

Japanese adjusted defense: 115

Allied assault odds: 1 to 1 (fort level 2)

Allied Assault reduces fortifications to 1

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), disruption(-), preparation(-), morale(-)
experience(-)
Attacker:

Japanese ground losses:
384 casualties reported
Squads: 5 destroyed, 25 disabled
Non Combat: 1 destroyed, 6 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
Guns lost 6 (2 destroyed, 4 disabled)

Allied ground losses:
22 casualties reported
Squads: 0 destroyed, 3 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
Vehicles lost 11 (3 destroyed, 8 disabled)

Assaulting units:
4th Burma Battalion
3rd Cavalry Regiment
11th PAVO Regiment
26th Indian Division

Defending units:
9th Infantry Regiment
112th Infantry Regiment
2nd INA Gandhi Regiment
311th Ship Eng Coy
8th JAAF AF Coy
8th Field Construction Battalion
91st JAAF AF Bn
9th JAAF AF Coy


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ground combat at Pisanuloke (58,57)

Allied Deliberate attack

Attacking force 14008 troops, 229 guns, 435 vehicles, Assault Value = 365

Defending force 9849 troops, 99 guns, 73 vehicles, Assault Value = 218

Allied adjusted assault: 203

Japanese adjusted defense: 62

Allied assault odds: 3 to 1 (fort level 3)

Allied Assault reduces fortifications to 2

Combat modifiers
Defender: forts(+), preparation(-), fatigue(-), morale(-)
Attacker:

Japanese ground losses:
497 casualties reported
Squads: 1 destroyed, 30 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 3 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
Guns lost 13 (2 destroyed, 11 disabled)

Allied ground losses:
165 casualties reported
Squads: 2 destroyed, 16 disabled
Non Combat: 1 destroyed, 0 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled
Vehicles lost 3 (1 destroyed, 2 disabled)

Assaulting units:
3rd Carabiniers Regiment
150th RAC Regiment
Gardner's Horse Regiment
2nd British Division

Defending units:
3rd RTA Division
4th RTA Division
21st Ind.Mixed Brigade
I./143rd Infantry Battalion
2nd RTA/C Division
Burma Area Army


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ground combat at 61,50 (near Taung Gyi)

Allied Shock attack

Attacking force 9318 troops, 19 guns, 106 vehicles, Assault Value = 380

Defending force 2043 troops, 18 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 87

Allied adjusted assault: 412

Japanese adjusted defense: 94

Allied assault odds: 4 to 1

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), experience(-)
Attacker: shock(+)

Japanese ground losses:
652 casualties reported
Squads: 27 destroyed, 33 disabled
Non Combat: 9 destroyed, 9 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 2 disabled
Units retreated 1

Allied ground losses:
246 casualties reported
Squads: 1 destroyed, 21 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 6 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 7 disabled

Defeated Japanese Units Retreating!

Assaulting units:
209th Cmbt Engineer Battalion
1st Burma Brigade
16th Light Cavalry Regiment
200th Chinese Division

Defending units:
2nd RTA/A Division


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ground combat at 55,60 (near Tavoy)

Allied Deliberate attack

Attacking force 32961 troops, 353 guns, 1451 vehicles, Assault Value = 1429

Defending force 15946 troops, 108 guns, 57 vehicles, Assault Value = 482

Allied adjusted assault: 833

Japanese adjusted defense: 407

Allied assault odds: 2 to 1

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), experience(-), supply(-)
Attacker:

Japanese ground losses:
3057 casualties reported
Squads: 214 destroyed, 24 disabled
Non Combat: 59 destroyed, 80 disabled
Engineers: 7 destroyed, 5 disabled
Guns lost 27 (16 destroyed, 11 disabled)
Vehicles lost 61 (50 destroyed, 11 disabled)
Units retreated 5

Allied ground losses:
588 casualties reported
Squads: 7 destroyed, 59 disabled
Non Combat: 1 destroyed, 30 disabled
Engineers: 1 destroyed, 4 disabled
Guns lost 19 (2 destroyed, 17 disabled)
Vehicles lost 70 (2 destroyed, 68 disabled)

Defeated Japanese Units Retreating!

Assaulting units:
255th Indian Tank Brigade
50th Tank Brigade
254th Armoured Brigade
637th Tank Destroyer Battalion
18th Cavalry Regiment
Provisionl Tank Brigade
192nd Tank Battalion
4th Marine Division
82nd (West African) Division

Defending units:
38th/A Division
4th Tank Regiment
64th Inf Group Brigade
7th RTA/C Division
7th RTA/A Division


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

There were no transport aircraft intercepted by our LRCAP. Auxiliary types at Bangkok are down to 31, so it seems we missed our opportunity!

Bien Hoa is ours and the battered defenders will be chased to Kratie. The small support unit near Pakse was kept disrupted and will be attacked tomorrow with much more force (the TD Bn just arrived and did not attack).
quote:


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ground combat at Bien Hoa (61,70)

Allied Deliberate attack

Attacking force 35585 troops, 556 guns, 706 vehicles, Assault Value = 1350

Defending force 16842 troops, 162 guns, 31 vehicles, Assault Value = 317

Allied engineers reduce fortifications to 0

Allied adjusted assault: 612

Japanese adjusted defense: 303

Allied assault odds: 2 to 1 (fort level 0)

Allied forces CAPTURE Bien Hoa !!!

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), preparation(-), fatigue(-), supply(-)
Attacker:

Japanese ground losses:
2720 casualties reported
Squads: 237 destroyed, 55 disabled
Non Combat: 168 destroyed, 30 disabled
Engineers: 33 destroyed, 0 disabled
Guns lost 75 (68 destroyed, 7 disabled)
Vehicles lost 23 (23 destroyed, 0 disabled)
Units retreated 11

Allied ground losses:
332 casualties reported
Squads: 1 destroyed, 41 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 5 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 1 disabled

Defeated Japanese Units Retreating!

Assaulting units:
11th Airborne Division
1st Australian Division
711th Tank Battalion
706th Tank Battalion
31st Infantry Division
2/6th Armoured Regiment
5th Australian Division
1st Medium Regiment
2nd Medium Regiment

Defending units:
33rd Division
17th Ind.Mixed Brigade
2nd Ind.Mixed Brigade
47th Infantry Regiment
104th/A Div /1
113th JAAF AF Bn
12th Base Force
23rd AA Regiment
104th/C Div /1
109th JAAF AF Bn
33rd Army /1


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ground combat at 63,65 (near Pakse)

Allied Deliberate attack

Attacking force 468 troops, 0 guns, 64 vehicles, Assault Value = 90

Defending force 1072 troops, 0 guns, 0 vehicles, Assault Value = 1

Allied adjusted assault: 18

Japanese adjusted defense: 13

Allied assault odds: 1 to 1

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+)
Attacker:

Japanese ground losses:
23 casualties reported
Squads: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 2 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled

Assaulting units:
632nd Tank Destroyer Battalion
2/11th Armoured Car Regiment

Defending units:
28th Air Flotilla


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Two armoured Rgts will make the first attack alone at Tourane tomorrow. The 671st TD Bn will make the first attack at Kompong Chnang tomorrow as other units catch up. We bring more and more SWPac air power into Indochina. Four B-25D1 groups are just moving into Saigon and will aid the attack aimed at cutting the rail line to Udon Thani.

Washington continues to struggle with flooding. There was one DB (perhaps kami?) attack without escort and it was destroyed entirely. Various construction units are moving from Cam Ranh Bay (not yet fully built out) to Quinhon to hasten the commencement of LI and HI bombing of Hong Kong and Canton.

The invasions of Dili and Pagan continue in slow motion.

Here is a look at Thailand/Indochina after today's breakthroughs. Notice movement of Imperial forces seen: at Chiang Mai on the northeast road and the southeast rail bed; at Nakhon Ratchasima to the east; at Ayuthia to the east; at Bangkok to the northeast and the northwest (that one might be rail movement down the peninsula); at Mergui to the southeast.




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Post #: 2525
RE: 1944 July 20 - 7/5/2015 7:09:43 AM   
witpqs


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More strategic points.




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Post #: 2526
RE: 1944 July 20 - 7/5/2015 7:10:03 AM   
witpqs


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From: Argleton
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Tokyo still racking up damage!




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Post #: 2527
RE: 1944 July 20 - 7/5/2015 11:52:48 AM   
BBfanboy


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You have sunk nearly double the number of his ships vs. your own losses, and got double the points! Most excellent work!

Now if you can get double the number of LCU points over losses - should only require destruction of 80 divisions or so.

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Post #: 2528
RE: 1944 July 20 - 7/5/2015 4:06:41 PM   
Drakanel

 

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Nice progress all around. I really like that you will be able to cut off the road/railrod near Bangkok as soon as your troops march there!

I am a bit puzzled by the troops moving to the northeast road from Chang Mai. Where can he possibly go from there? The road to china is blocked, I can see your troops in the upper right corner of the map. Crossing the mountain/jungles doesn't seem feasible. Perhaps he just want to avoid being encircled, and so he positions something in that hex?

Also... about BB Washington, how far is she from the safety of Cam Ranh Bay?

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Post #: 2529
RE: 1944 July 20 - 7/5/2015 5:02:59 PM   
witpqs


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quote:

ORIGINAL: BBfanboy

You have sunk nearly double the number of his ships vs. your own losses, and got double the points! Most excellent work!

Now if you can get double the number of LCU points over losses - should only require destruction of 80 divisions or so.

Oh - that's a tall order! Let me ask the chef...

IIRC I was struggling to claw back up to 1 to 3 in ground losses. The ratio is moving fast enough that I am hoping I can actually pass 1 to 1 before game's end.

We've been doing well in the naval department. Part of that was some early lucky battles coupled with being careful enough (not many Washingtons!) to preserve that advantage. I'm not sure how many points are due to the success of the submarine campaign, but Walter has seen it as a genuine pain in the posterior for the Empire.

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Post #: 2530
RE: 1944 July 20 - 7/5/2015 5:20:52 PM   
witpqs


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From: Argleton
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Drakanel

Nice progress all around. I really like that you will be able to cut off the road/railrod near Bangkok as soon as your troops march there!

I am a bit puzzled by the troops moving to the northeast road from Chang Mai. Where can he possibly go from there? The road to china is blocked, I can see your troops in the upper right corner of the map. Crossing the mountain/jungles doesn't seem feasible. Perhaps he just want to avoid being encircled, and so he positions something in that hex?

Also... about BB Washington, how far is she from the safety of Cam Ranh Bay?

All the troops that just pushed the road clear are heading SE in move mode. There are enough armour units that maybe one of them will make it in one turn, but fatigue, disruption, and morale hits from combat might slow them enough to require a second day.

At Chiang Mai I think he is just spreading out the withdrawal so the whole army doesn't get trapped in one spot. I would have to check the stacking limits on the countryside hexes up there but there are still around 85,000 troops (by recon) in and heading to Chiang Mai. If they all got stuck in the same hex all supply would vaporize. Basically, they've got to escape and using multiple avenues is almost mandatory for supply and for keeping alternate routes open if/when I succeed in blocking other routes. I do think I will be able to trap them because I have enough air power to keep slowing their movement, while my troops will not be subject to the same level of harassment.

Washington - at least 10 days I think because she is only making a hex a day, might even have made none this last day (I didn't compare positions but it looked that way). Back up to 96% flotation damage.

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Post #: 2531
RE: 1944 July 20 - 7/5/2015 5:30:45 PM   
Crackaces


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quote:

At Chiang Mai I think he is just spreading out the withdrawal so the whole army doesn't get trapped in one spot.
I would have to check the stacking limits on the countryside hexes up there but there are still around 85,000 troops (by recon) in and heading to Chiang Mai.
If they all got stuck in the same hex all supply would vaporize.
Basically, they've got to escape and using multiple avenues is almost mandatory for supply and for keeping alternate routes open if/when I succeed in blocking other routes.
I do think I will be able to trap them because I have enough air power to keep slowing their movement, while my troops will not be subject to the same level of harassment.


Don't forget it is monsoon season and the effects of Malaria zone ... I believe Monsoon sucks up more supplies?
An unintended consequence is the random disabled squad and destroyed squad made worse by the lack of supplies ...

I have seen this movie before and it is not pretty for the IJ ... things go downhill rather quickly ..

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Post #: 2532
RE: 1944 July 20 - 7/5/2015 5:54:17 PM   
witpqs


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Here is a little updated info on current movement and planned movement after upcoming combats. Haven't bothered listing forces for the larger concentrations. Also, in about 5 or 6 days we will make a BDE para drop on Nakhon Ratchasima (east of Ayuthia).

Expected IJ retreat directions are shown in red. As soon as the Imperials are cleared out of Kratie (north of Saigon/Bien Hoa) those powerful Sherman units will race north to join other armor cutting the main roads to make the eastern side of the second pocket (the one that includes Bangkok).




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Post #: 2533
RE: 1944 July 20 - 7/5/2015 6:02:22 PM   
witpqs


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From: Argleton
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Crackaces

quote:

At Chiang Mai I think he is just spreading out the withdrawal so the whole army doesn't get trapped in one spot.
I would have to check the stacking limits on the countryside hexes up there but there are still around 85,000 troops (by recon) in and heading to Chiang Mai.
If they all got stuck in the same hex all supply would vaporize.
Basically, they've got to escape and using multiple avenues is almost mandatory for supply and for keeping alternate routes open if/when I succeed in blocking other routes.
I do think I will be able to trap them because I have enough air power to keep slowing their movement, while my troops will not be subject to the same level of harassment.


Don't forget it is monsoon season and the effects of Malaria zone ... I believe Monsoon sucks up more supplies?
An unintended consequence is the random disabled squad and destroyed squad made worse by the lack of supplies ...

I have seen this movie before and it is not pretty for the IJ ... things go downhill rather quickly ..

Malaria - yeah! Monsoon limits the amount of supply that some bases (configured that way in the editor) can receive each turn (not counting air drops and ship unloading). By cutting off Chiang Mai there are no supplies going in anyway. Malaria should help us. Those disabled squads will not be getting back on line!

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Post #: 2534
RE: 1944 July 20 - 7/5/2015 7:11:59 PM   
Crackaces


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quote:

By cutting off Chiang Mai there are no supplies going in anyway.


I was not thinking going in .. but supplies maybe going out to the units North Northwest ..but I think the Monsoon
modifiers messes with the supply pulses, and units out of a base really hurt during monsoons .. add Malaria and each
squad will take a die roll for disruptions .. disrupted units failing are destroyed ..

Simply units out of supply .. out of a base ... are the subject of the grim reaper .. and it's horrific in short order ..

BTW) (you know this already but for the readers) Mosquitos know no friends .. the Allies are subject to Malaria too ...
but .. supplied units can recover disablements and thus the second deadly die roll of a disabled squad testing the Malaria rule is less likely ..



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Post #: 2535
RE: 1944 July 20 - 7/5/2015 10:28:57 PM   
witpqs


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As far as the monsoon, the only effect that I am am aware of is the daily received-supply cap from other bases imposed on bases so configured.

Agree totally about supply: I'm being very careful about it. The Rahaeng, Uttaradit, Pisanuloke area is not yet getting enough (but I am sure they have enough to clear Pisanoluke). The attention given to destroying/evicting that small support unit near Pakse is 99% for the purpose of keeping Allied supply lines in the area clear. The same with the sequence of movement and attack Saigon/Bien Hoa/Kratie. There will be a unit on the road NW Bien Hoa/W Kratie when the IJ units at Kratie are evicted so that they must move to an off-road hex.

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Post #: 2536
RE: 1944 July 17 - 7/6/2015 12:45:57 PM   
cdnice


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quote:

ORIGINAL: BBfanboy


quote:

ORIGINAL: witpqs

First an aside - I don't use a mine sweeping task force anymore for most operations because the defense's guns just sink them all! I put mine sweeping assets in the invasion TFs instead. That does mean the minefields are around longer and have to be swept once the base is captured (defense guns don't fire on them when it's your own base), but the alternative is to start running out of mine sweepers.

I don't use 'follow'; I just order each TF by itself! Takes longer, might forget one, and I'm sure it's not foolproof either.


In the Marianas scenario where there are Amphib, CVE and ASW TFs to coordinate I just used the speed of the slowest TFs (amphib) to determine how many hexes it would move during the turn and set all the TFs to go to the hex that it would end up in. Exception: one ASW TF goes one hex further to "sweep" ahead of the rest. As witpqs said, it means giving orders to each TF each turn but when they are clustered together it is easy to do. I monitor fuel states and do a "Refuel TF at Sea" if needed before determining where the slowest TF will end up.


Thank you, that helps!

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Post #: 2537
RE: 1944 July 17 - 7/6/2015 1:32:55 PM   
Lowpe


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Any paratroopers left? Vientiane might be empty. Then again, your tanks and armored cars will move very fast.

This is just really ugly to watch.


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Post #: 2538
RE: 1944 July 17 - 7/6/2015 3:02:46 PM   
witpqs


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Lowpe

Any paratroopers left? Vientiane might be empty. Then again, your tanks and armored cars will move very fast.

This is just really ugly to watch.



Some LRP BDE (one for Nakhon Ratchasima) and that USA para Rgt. The problem is a place to fly them from because it requires so many transport planes to insert a unit that can really fight. The LRP Bde that I plan to drop is at Moulmein but that's at size 8 and moving to size 9 too slowly. So I'm railing it to Bassein (I don't want to stand down combat aircraft at Moulmein), otherwise I would have dropped it already. The USA para Rgt was not marked on that recent map, but is at Saigon changing to strat mode. They will rail to Tourane/Hue and are preparing for Vinh but will walk in, not drop.

My guess is Vientiane is empty, but it will only be a factor if units retreat that way from Udon Thani.

It seems obvious that there is a general withdrawal from Bangkok in progress. There really is no hope of holding the area for more than a few days with the weight of Allied units pressing in on it.

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Post #: 2539
RE: 1944 July 17 - 7/6/2015 3:07:52 PM   
BBfanboy


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And in a reprise of Dec. 1941, units retreating down the Malay peninsula are just trapping themselves for later disposal. Payback's awesome when you are the one delivering ...

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Post #: 2540
RE: 1944 July 17 - 7/6/2015 3:08:58 PM   
witpqs


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quote:

ORIGINAL: BBfanboy

And in a reprise of Dec. 1941, units retreating down the Malay peninsula are just trapping themselves for later disposal. Payback's awesome when you are the one delivering ...

I'm thinking more about this making up for the even larger debacle in China!

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Post #: 2541
RE: 1944 July 17 - 7/6/2015 4:33:01 PM   
Lowpe


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That begs the question: How hard should Japan defend Singers, and how hard should the Allies divert to take Singers?


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Post #: 2542
RE: 1944 July 17 - 7/6/2015 4:41:48 PM   
Crackaces


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Lowpe

That begs the question: How hard should Japan defend Singers, and how hard should the Allies divert to take Singers?




If I might comment ...

Singapore is a huge IJ point bastion the denominator in the VP formula .. thus the Allies have to gain X2 to equal that in IJ destroyed things ..
Thus the IJ might think about putting enough in Singapore to discourage the Allies ..

What I have found in my limited experience is if the Allies pull of a Burma Blitzkrieg .. Singapore becomes a refugee camp .. a well fortified and supplied refugee camp ..

In my opinion .. The nuance of refineries not providing 10% supply becomes a factor vs. stock becomes a huge factor ..


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Post #: 2543
RE: 1944 July 17 - 7/6/2015 4:52:03 PM   
witpqs


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Lowpe

That begs the question: How hard should Japan defend Singers, and how hard should the Allies divert to take Singers?



Haven't decided yet. BTW last turn and this turn Singapore showed one or more LCU moving out. Is that to reinforce potential Allied landing points? To spread out air support so that strikes & kamis fly when Singapore aerodrome comes under attack?

I've got a bunch of Chinese units that were bought out, some heading down the road from Taung Gyi but most at Rangoon, and I intend to send them into China from Indochina. But what other troops will go with them? Where will SWPac go? Where will SEAC go?

Was thinking about SEAC cuts off the peninsula and makes only minor advances there while bombing industry at Singapore, et al. SWPac is already a long way toward taking out the industry on Java. The bulk of the SEAC troops would stream into China and, together with the Chinese Army, begin the next great liberation and encirclement. SWPac troops would move on to the Philippines and/or Formosa, and be ready to join SoPac and PacAO in the invasion of the Home Islands.

Another option is for SEAC to push hard down the peninsula while SWPac rolls into China along with the Chinese Army.

In either case the Chinese Army would go where it could while the Allied armies would focus on the coastal zone. And, small operations would continue here and there, as would the Okinawa/region operation.

I know there are other ways to slice the cake, these are what I've been thinking so far.

_____________________________


(in reply to Lowpe)
Post #: 2544
RE: 1944 July 17 - 7/6/2015 4:56:42 PM   
witpqs


Posts: 26087
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From: Argleton
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Crackaces


quote:

ORIGINAL: Lowpe

That begs the question: How hard should Japan defend Singers, and how hard should the Allies divert to take Singers?




If I might comment ...

Singapore is a huge IJ point bastion the denominator in the VP formula .. thus the Allies have to gain X2 to equal that in IJ destroyed things ..
Thus the IJ might think about putting enough in Singapore to discourage the Allies ..

What I have found in my limited experience is if the Allies pull of a Burma Blitzkrieg .. Singapore becomes a refugee camp .. a well fortified and supplied refugee camp ..

In my opinion .. The nuance of refineries not providing 10% supply becomes a factor vs. stock becomes a huge factor ..


Interesting. Our posts crossed, but see the second option I am looking at. Regardless of which option I go with, the SEAC and SWPac 4EB will destroy the industry at Hong Kong/Canton, and at Singapore. Whatever else is identified that can supply Singapore will also be targeted.

If I go with the second option then maybe the delay getting down the peninsula will see supply in Singapore greatly diminished.

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Post #: 2545
RE: 1944 July 17 - 7/6/2015 6:20:52 PM   
Crackaces


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quote:

Interesting. Our posts crossed, but see the second option I am looking at.
Regardless of which option I go with, the SEAC and SWPac 4EB will destroy the industry at Hong Kong/Canton,
and at Singapore. Whatever else is identified that can supply Singapore will also be targeted.
............
If I go with the second option then maybe the delay getting down the peninsula will see supply in Singapore greatly diminished.



It would be interesting if your opponent decided to start hording [Stockpiling in game terms] supplies at Singapore or just let them propagate up the peninsula.
If the latter than Singapore might have just the X2 minimum to play out a siege ..

< Message edited by Crackaces -- 7/6/2015 7:22:00 PM >


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"What gets us into trouble is not what we don't know. It's what we know for sure that just ain't so"

(in reply to witpqs)
Post #: 2546
RE: 1944 July 17 - 7/6/2015 7:38:47 PM   
witpqs


Posts: 26087
Joined: 10/4/2004
From: Argleton
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Crackaces

quote:

Interesting. Our posts crossed, but see the second option I am looking at.
Regardless of which option I go with, the SEAC and SWPac 4EB will destroy the industry at Hong Kong/Canton,
and at Singapore. Whatever else is identified that can supply Singapore will also be targeted.
............
If I go with the second option then maybe the delay getting down the peninsula will see supply in Singapore greatly diminished.



It would be interesting if your opponent decided to start hording [Stockpiling in game terms] supplies at Singapore or just let them propagate up the peninsula.
If the latter than Singapore might have just the X2 minimum to play out a siege ..

Units near Bangkok have been getting a 'supply(-)' in combat, which makes me suspect hording in Singapore.

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Post #: 2547
RE: 1944 July 17 - 7/6/2015 8:03:00 PM   
JocMeister

 

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Or he is simply getting short on supplies?

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Post #: 2548
RE: 1944 July 17 - 7/6/2015 8:11:51 PM   
Crackaces


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Joined: 7/9/2011
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quote:

ORIGINAL: JocMeister

Or he is simply getting short on supplies?


You have a point if the (-) supply is a blip .. but if consistent .. major centers of supply will propagate by demand unless an intervention like stockpiling prevents it .. it was a reason for the stockpile feature ..
Whatever is above and beyond the X2 requirement is going up that railroad toward starving units and bases ...

Thus supplies are short, being hoarded ... or maybe the supply propagation algorithm is stressed by the Burma Blitzkrieg ..


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"What gets us into trouble is not what we don't know. It's what we know for sure that just ain't so"

(in reply to JocMeister)
Post #: 2549
RE: 1944 July 17 - 7/6/2015 8:15:44 PM   
Lowpe


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Only one unit need be low on supply to generate that malus symbol. Heavy bombing from the air and a lone AA unit could meet that criteria.

Still, one you guys is right most likely, and I know what I think to be the case; but I am not telling. Sorry.



(in reply to JocMeister)
Post #: 2550
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