Canoerebel
Posts: 21100
Joined: 12/14/2002 From: Northwestern Georgia, USA Status: offline
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Just back from a seven-mile "run" on Lavender Mountain on a gorgeous late-winter afternoon. As usual, my thoughts ran heavy towards the game, what's been going on, and what might be in the offing. 1. One interesting fact about the IJ division that just evicted that weak picket RCT on the west-road hex. The RCT had just 52 AV and had recently been pummeled in combat, but John's division managed only 4:1 odds. (He schock attacked but got a (-) for Op Mode). The report doesn't indicate he's hurting for supply. But I would have expected much higher odds for a fresh division against a beat up picket unit: Ground combat at 43,75 (near Sinabang) Japanese Shock attack Attacking force 12856 troops, 124 guns, 42 vehicles, Assault Value = 372 Defending force 1651 troops, 30 guns, 45 vehicles, Assault Value = 53 Japanese adjusted assault: 340 Allied adjusted defense: 79 Japanese assault odds: 4 to 1 Combat modifiers Defender: terrain(+), experience(-) Attacker: op mode(-), shock(+), leaders(+) Japanese ground losses: 307 casualties reported Squads: 0 destroyed, 23 disabled Non Combat: 0 destroyed, 4 disabled Engineers: 1 destroyed, 10 disabled Allied ground losses: 374 casualties reported Squads: 14 destroyed, 14 disabled Non Combat: 14 destroyed, 13 disabled Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled Guns lost 7 (2 destroyed, 5 disabled) Vehicles lost 17 (8 destroyed, 9 disabled) Units retreated 1 Defeated Allied Units Retreating! Assaulting units: 10th Division Defending units: 58th (Sep) Infantry Regiment What occupied most of my thoughts is the KB south of Diego. What's it doing out there? I came up with three possibilities: 1. It is a probing force that was sniffing around to see if there were any TFs moving between Oz and India at map's edge. 2. John is trying to entice the Allied carriers into offering battle before the Hellcats become a factor. I don't think he knows where my carriers are. And I don't think he knows how well the F4Fs have recovered. But he can probably make decent guesses. 3. The KB is covering for an invasion of Diego Garcia. This possibility is intriguing. There I have something like 120 AV behind six forts with shoreguns and 100% prep. I think John would need a division plus strong bombardment to take this hex in a reasonable amount of time. I am glad to know where the KB is (or this branch of it, anyhow). I'm glad it's out here rather than upgrading and off my radar screen. But I don't want to lose Diego as that will seriously complicate things for the Allies in this theater.
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