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RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/16/2020 10:02:11 AM   
Cap Mandrake


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***********<Sign on a small thatch hut reads Militaire Luchtvaart van het Koninklijk Nederlands-Indisch Leger,GVT-5>, 07:30, January 21, Manowaki, New Guinea********

Sgt.-Flautist Arpeggio: <salutes, evidently fatigued from the 40 mile paddle by native canoe> Sgt-Flautist Arpeggio, King's Own Fife and Drum Company with an enemy ship sighting report, sir.

2nd Lt. H.V.B. Burgerhout: <looks up from paperwork and retrieves form from desk> Location, estimated speed and heading of sighting?

Sgt.-Flautist Arpeggio: 8-10 miles NNE Noemfor, speed 15 kts estimated, heading 150.

2nd Lt. H.V.B. Burgerhout: Time of sighting?

Sgt.-Flautist Arpeggio: 17:30 yesterday, sir.

2nd Lt. H.V.B. Burgerhout: Yesterday? Why on earth did you not report it yesterday?

Sgt.-Flautist Arpeggio: Canoe sir, I came by canoe

2nd Lt. H.V.B. Burgerhout: Hmmm. Very well. Description of vessels?

Sgt.-Flautist Arpeggio: Yes, we estimate 7 carriers, 11 cruisers/destroyers and one Nagato class BB.

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Post #: 3031
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/16/2020 10:07:14 AM   
Cap Mandrake


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220 fighters and 260 bombers. Not very good raid coordination I would say. I would say the IJN paid dearly for the near shore carrier operations penalty which I DID read about in the manual.

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RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/16/2020 10:12:08 AM   
Cap Mandrake


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Pretty good smackdown particularly by VF-8 which generated 3-4 new aces.

USS Indiana has only 3% flooding and only one "major" flooding pt. She is making 27 kts. She can be repaired without dry dock.




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RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/16/2020 2:23:51 PM   
Chickenboy


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake

Pretty good smackdown particularly by VF-8 which generated 3-4 new aces.

USS Indiana has only 3% flooding and only one "major" flooding pt. She is making 27 kts. She can be repaired without dry dock.




You're covering up the bloody map with your table. What happened? Where? Give us the blow-by-blow account! Inquiring minds and all that.

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Post #: 3034
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/16/2020 3:10:49 PM   
Cap Mandrake


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Probably Dobo is going to nuked. Maybe evacuate Dobo AF and put some bait shipping at Taberfane and draw the IJN into a fighter nest. Indiana pulls back out of range and join up with USS Washington coming up from the Torres St. I don't think we have a realistic chance of breaking through the CAP so the bombers will pull back. I don't think they will risk the KB in the Ceram/NG gap after what happened to the US carrier there.




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Post #: 3035
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/16/2020 3:18:19 PM   
Chickenboy


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake

Probably Dobo is going to nuked. Maybe evacuate Dobo AF and put some bait shipping at Taberfane and draw the IJN into a fighter nest.


Why on Earth would you pull out 73 front line fighters from Dobo? Use them in place to shred his incoming KB strike.

Best case scenario: the KB strikes are unescorted / poorly escorted. You'll shred wave after wave of his Imperial Majesty's naval best and neuter the KB for a long time.

Worst case scenario: KB strikes are adequately escorted and fly into your Dobo buzzsaw. You trade 1 of yours for every two of his. The best trade versus KB that you're going to get from land-based naval aviation.

Set 90% CAP, range=1 (so they'll bleed over to CAP Taberfane too) and keep your fingers crossed that he wantonly attacks into prepared defenses. Move out your torpedo bombers if you're concerned about a bunch of KB bombers getting through. I'd not initiate a naval attack without fighter escort-it looks like you'll be keeping those fighters overhead, so save the TBs for another time.

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RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/16/2020 4:01:22 PM   
Cap Mandrake


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Yes, I was thinking along those lines but with the buzzsaw flying out of Taberfane instead. After the fighting yesterday, there are 20 disabled F4F's and 14 disabled Sea Hurris at Dobo. I think perhaps move 125 good fighters to Taberfane and get the cripples out by AK's waiting at Dobo for this purpose. Then leave an AP or some DD's at Taberfane and try to bait in an anti-shipping attack at Taberfane.

There are 50-ish hot-shot Zekes pilots at Ternate than can sweep over Dobo but not Taberfane (which is one hex to far).

< Message edited by Cap Mandrake -- 2/16/2020 4:03:13 PM >

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Post #: 3037
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/16/2020 4:06:14 PM   
Cap Mandrake


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Also, they always stage coordinated attacks. There are also quite possibly some surface task forces closing on the Sundas that are so far unspotted. No BB's seen at Kendari on mouse-over intel.

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RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/16/2020 7:14:17 PM   
Zorch

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake

***********<Sign on a small thatch hut reads Militaire Luchtvaart van het Koninklijk Nederlands-Indisch Leger,GVT-5>, 07:30, January 21, Manowaki, New Guinea********

Sgt.-Flautist Arpeggio: <salutes, evidently fatigued from the 40 mile paddle by native canoe> Sgt-Flautist Arpeggio, King's Own Fife and Drum Company with an enemy ship sighting report, sir.

2nd Lt. H.V.B. Burgerhout: <looks up from paperwork and retrieves form from desk> Location, estimated speed and heading of sighting?

Sgt.-Flautist Arpeggio: 8-10 miles NNE Noemfor, speed 15 kts estimated, heading 150.

2nd Lt. H.V.B. Burgerhout: Time of sighting?

Sgt.-Flautist Arpeggio: 17:30 yesterday, sir.

2nd Lt. H.V.B. Burgerhout: Yesterday? Why on earth did you not report it yesterday?

Sgt.-Flautist Arpeggio: Canoe sir, I came by canoe

2nd Lt. H.V.B. Burgerhout: Hmmm. Very well. Description of vessels?

Sgt.-Flautist Arpeggio: Yes, we estimate 7 carriers, 11 cruisers/destroyers and one Nagato class BB.

Queue 'Ride of the Valkyries' from Apocalypse Now.

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Post #: 3039
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/16/2020 7:38:47 PM   
RangerJoe


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The message should have been carved on a coconut . . .

_____________________________

Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!

“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
― Julia Child


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Post #: 3040
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/16/2020 7:42:12 PM   
Zorch

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: RangerJoe

The message should have been carved on a coconut . . .

And sent to Rendova by Lt. Kennedy.

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Post #: 3041
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/17/2020 10:54:19 PM   
Cap Mandrake


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****************January 21, 1943(e)*************

Big Bad Kido Butai run away rike rittah girh.

Sorong gets the treatment again. No defense except AAA.

quote:

Morning Air attack on Sorong , at 82,107

Weather in hex: Heavy rain

Raid spotted at 36 NM, estimated altitude 15,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 10 minutes

Japanese aircraft
A6M3a Zero x 45

No Japanese losses

Aircraft Attacking:
45 x A6M3a Zero sweeping at 22810 feet *



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Morning Air attack on Sorong , at 82,107

Weather in hex: Heavy rain

Raid spotted at 23 NM, estimated altitude 23,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 6 minutes

Japanese aircraft
A6M2 Zero x 7
A6M3a Zero x 25

No Japanese losses


and

quote:

Morning Air attack on Sorong , at 82,107

Weather in hex: Heavy rain

Raid spotted at 34 NM, estimated altitude 13,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 12 minutes

Japanese aircraft
A6M2 Zero x 7
A6M3a Zero x 31
G3M3 Nell x 38
G4M1 Betty x 3

Japanese aircraft losses
G3M3 Nell: 2 damaged

Runway hits 1

Aircraft Attacking:
33 x G3M3 Nell bombing from 11000 feet
Airfield Attack: 2 x 250 kg GP Bomb, 4 x 60 kg GP Bomb
5 x G3M3 Nell bombing from 11000 feet
Airfield Attack: 2 x 250 kg GP Bomb, 4 x 60 kg GP Bomb
3 x G4M1 Betty bombing from 11000 feet
Airfield Attack: 2 x 250 kg GP Bomb, 4 x 60 kg GP Bomb



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Morning Air attack on Sorong , at 82,107

Weather in hex: Heavy rain

Raid spotted at 18 NM, estimated altitude 15,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 6 minutes

Japanese aircraft
A6M2 Zero x 7
G3M3 Nell x 20

Japanese aircraft losses
G3M3 Nell: 1 damaged

Airbase hits 1
Airbase supply hits 1
Runway hits 1

Aircraft Attacking:
20 x G3M3 Nell bombing from 11000 feet
Airfield Attack: 2 x 250 kg GP Bomb, 4 x 60 kg GP Bomb



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Morning Air attack on Sorong , at 82,107

Weather in hex: Heavy rain

Raid spotted at 29 NM, estimated altitude 15,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 10 minutes

Japanese aircraft
G4M1 Betty x 32

Japanese aircraft losses
G4M1 Betty: 1 damaged

Airbase supply hits 2
Runway hits 2


Remarkably ineffective, really.


(in reply to Cap Mandrake)
Post #: 3042
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/17/2020 10:56:19 PM   
Cap Mandrake


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China: More raids on Nikiang AF.

quote:

Morning Air attack on Neikiang , at 75,44

Weather in hex: Partial cloud

Raid spotted at 19 NM, estimated altitude 13,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 6 minutes

Japanese aircraft
Ki-27b Nate x 6
Ki-43-IIa Oscar x 8
Ki-44-IIa Tojo x 8

Allied aircraft
P-40E Warhawk x 8
B-24D Liberator x 9

Japanese aircraft losses
Ki-27b Nate: 1 destroyed, 2 damaged

Allied aircraft losses
B-24D Liberator: 1 damaged

Airbase hits 1
Runway hits 7

(in reply to Cap Mandrake)
Post #: 3043
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/17/2020 11:00:30 PM   
Cap Mandrake


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PI More raids over Batan Is and Clark. Small scale fighter seeps over Mindano. T

Another huge attack at Clark. They manage 1:2 odds but suffer badly and fail to take down forts. They lose many vehicles and their engineers get slaughtered.

quote:

Ground combat at Clark Field (79,76)

Japanese Deliberate attack

Attacking force 40295 troops, 531 guns, 407 vehicles, Assault Value = 1205

Defending force 32420 troops, 420 guns, 506 vehicles, Assault Value = 736

Japanese adjusted assault: 948

Allied adjusted defense: 2584

Japanese assault odds: 1 to 2 (fort level 2)

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), experience(-)
Attacker:

Japanese ground losses:
4292 casualties reported
Squads: 33 destroyed, 360 disabled
Non Combat: 2 destroyed, 50 disabled
Engineers: 9 destroyed, 63 disabled
Guns lost 69 (3 destroyed, 66 disabled)
Vehicles lost 73 (13 destroyed, 60 disabled)

Allied ground losses:
427 casualties reported
Squads: 0 destroyed, 29 disabled
Non Combat: 1 destroyed, 27 disabled
Engineers: 1 destroyed, 6 disabled
Vehicles lost 28 (2 destroyed, 26 disabled)

Assaulting units:
33rd Division
15th Tank Regiment
2nd Division
48th Division
7th Tank Regiment
2nd Ind.Art.Mortar Battalion
3rd Medium Field Artillery Regiment
3rd Ind.Hvy.Art. Battalion
8th Medium Field Artillery Regiment
2nd Ind.Hvy.Art. Battalion
25th Army
15th Ind.Art.Mortar Battalion
1st Hvy.Artillery Regiment
1st Art.Mortar Regiment
20th Ind. Mtn Gun Battalion
3rd Ind. Mountain Gun Regiment

Defending units:
637th Tank Destroyer Battalion
627th Tank Destroyer Battalion
21st PA Infantry Division
2nd Constabulary Regiment
91st PA Infantry Division
35th Avn Sup
71st PA Infantry Division
632nd Tank Destroyer Battalion
192nd Tank Battalion
762nd Tank Battalion
194th Tank Battalion
31st PA Infantry Division
45th PS Infantry Regiment
803rd Aviation Engineer Battalion
4th Constabulary Regiment
III/Prov'nl SPM Grp
Clark Field AAF Base Force
200th & 515th Coast AA Regiment
24th PS FA Regiment
1st USMC AA Battalion
!/23rd PS FA Battalion
4th PAAC Avn Sup
165th Field Artillery Battalion
209th Field Artillery Battalion
86th PS Field Artillery Battalion
501st Coast AA Regiment
II/Prov'nl SPM Grp
I/Prov'nl SPM Grp
88th PS Field Artillery Regiment
301st PA Field Artillery Regiment

(in reply to Cap Mandrake)
Post #: 3044
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/17/2020 11:58:57 PM   
Zorch

 

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JJ really needs to rethink his strategy on Clark...

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RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/18/2020 3:35:31 AM   
Disco Duck


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake

PI More raids over Batan Is and Clark. Small scale fighter seeps over Mindano. T

Another huge attack at Clark. They manage 1:2 odds but suffer badly and fail to take down forts. They lose many vehicles and their engineers get slaughtered.

quote:

Ground combat at Clark Field (79,76)

Japanese Deliberate attack

Attacking force 40295 troops, 531 guns, 407 vehicles, Assault Value = 1205

Defending force 32420 troops, 420 guns, 506 vehicles, Assault Value = 736

Japanese adjusted assault: 948

Allied adjusted defense: 2584

Japanese assault odds: 1 to 2 (fort level 2)

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), experience(-)
Attacker:

Japanese ground losses:
4292 casualties reported
Squads: 33 destroyed, 360 disabled
Non Combat: 2 destroyed, 50 disabled
Engineers: 9 destroyed, 63 disabled
Guns lost 69 (3 destroyed, 66 disabled)
Vehicles lost 73 (13 destroyed, 60 disabled)

Allied ground losses:
427 casualties reported
Squads: 0 destroyed, 29 disabled
Non Combat: 1 destroyed, 27 disabled
Engineers: 1 destroyed, 6 disabled
Vehicles lost 28 (2 destroyed, 26 disabled)

Assaulting units:
33rd Division
15th Tank Regiment
2nd Division
48th Division
7th Tank Regiment
2nd Ind.Art.Mortar Battalion
3rd Medium Field Artillery Regiment
3rd Ind.Hvy.Art. Battalion
8th Medium Field Artillery Regiment
2nd Ind.Hvy.Art. Battalion
25th Army
15th Ind.Art.Mortar Battalion
1st Hvy.Artillery Regiment
1st Art.Mortar Regiment
20th Ind. Mtn Gun Battalion
3rd Ind. Mountain Gun Regiment

Defending units:
637th Tank Destroyer Battalion
627th Tank Destroyer Battalion
21st PA Infantry Division
2nd Constabulary Regiment
91st PA Infantry Division
35th Avn Sup
71st PA Infantry Division
632nd Tank Destroyer Battalion
192nd Tank Battalion
762nd Tank Battalion
194th Tank Battalion
31st PA Infantry Division
45th PS Infantry Regiment
803rd Aviation Engineer Battalion
4th Constabulary Regiment
III/Prov'nl SPM Grp
Clark Field AAF Base Force
200th & 515th Coast AA Regiment
24th PS FA Regiment
1st USMC AA Battalion
!/23rd PS FA Battalion
4th PAAC Avn Sup
165th Field Artillery Battalion
209th Field Artillery Battalion
86th PS Field Artillery Battalion
501st Coast AA Regiment
II/Prov'nl SPM Grp
I/Prov'nl SPM Grp
88th PS Field Artillery Regiment
301st PA Field Artillery Regiment



How is your experience modifier Negative?

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Post #: 3046
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/18/2020 4:32:33 AM   
Cap Mandrake


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Well, the LYB troops start out with higher experience and they have mostly been there for all the fun and games just like the PA and fairly green US troops. So, naturally, they are still ahead.

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Post #: 3047
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/18/2020 4:36:46 AM   
Cap Mandrake


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Supply on Luzon down to about 55,000 in base reserves. In that sense the LYB strategy is slowly working. Of course, it has been very costly for them and it is Jan 43 and the clock is ticking.

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Post #: 3048
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/18/2020 11:24:04 AM   
RangerJoe


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Can you force a resupply task force in if you need to? Fast xAKs?

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(in reply to Cap Mandrake)
Post #: 3049
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/18/2020 12:53:12 PM   
Cap Mandrake


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There are some serious Val jockeys at Manila. We would need a huge temporary fighter surge to Bataan or Iba to pull that off but that is the way to get meaningful supply in and might be worth it.

Other possibilities:

1) Barges from Palawan or Panay
2) C-47's from Iolio of Palawan flying in to Iba might work until the Japs work out where they are flying.
3) Sub transport would work but you would need 20 subs to make a dent.
4) B-17's from Mindanao could help and would at least be able to defend themselves a bit.

Probably will try to hold on with temporizing measures until the USN carriers arrive in numbers in July and then surge in a couple of hundred fighters to Mindanao and try Death Star v Death Star

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Post #: 3050
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/18/2020 2:38:24 PM   
Cap Mandrake


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Another interesting possibility are C-47's from Hainan. Of course, we would have to seize a base and ferry supplies there. We could perhaps mve some supply from Vietnam to Hainan

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Post #: 3051
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/18/2020 2:39:15 PM   
Cap Mandrake


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...IJN losses from 1-20




Attachment (1)

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Post #: 3052
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/21/2020 11:50:40 AM   
Cap Mandrake


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From: Southern California
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I am having very vivid dreams lately. I think it is the trauma of the KB showing up suddenly. I had a dream I was in Central America but lost my flight information and couldn't remember which country I was flying to. I am pretty sure this is a strategic planning nightmare dream. Then I had a dream I was in a giant home where everyone drove green Jaguar sedans INSIDE the house and I had a fender bender trying to get between the coffee table and the couch. This, clearly is meant to signify the dangerous waters between Ceram and New Guinea.

I am getting pretty good at dream analysis.

(in reply to Cap Mandrake)
Post #: 3053
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/21/2020 12:00:18 PM   
Cap Mandrake


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From: Southern California
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***********January 22 1942(e)**********

Indiana repaired all but one flood damage point at sea.

KB was spotted SE of Beazelbob, headed NE....probably to the HI for some upgrades but I don't trust the LYB's. I had to pause the transport train from Midway to Mindanao to see what the KB does.

DEI and New Guinea: LCT's are finally in theater. They are very useful as they tend not to provoke naval air attacks. They are loading supplies at Kaimana to transport to Boela and Sorong. Sorong is still not drawing enough supply from Babo by land because of the crappy mosquito and gator-infested route. Sorong is getting plastered again by Zeke sweeps and Netties from Kendari. It seems like they are up to something. Maybe a landing at Sorong or an attack between the couch and the coffee table.

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Post #: 3054
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/21/2020 12:04:34 PM   
Cap Mandrake


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PI: Attacks on Batan Is, Bataan and Clark. No fighter escorts over Luzon...hmmm?

First transport form the latest Midway surge arriving in Mindinao.

I started a Stuart Bn and M-10 Bn to Bataan to try to upgrade to new tanks and to M-8's for the TD Bn

(in reply to Cap Mandrake)
Post #: 3055
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/21/2020 12:08:38 PM   
Cap Mandrake


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SE Asia: JJ put "one up the chuff" of HMS Birmingham during a bombardment of Tavoy but she will survive I think.

British armour reached the suburbs of Saigon but the little bastards have a garrison unit there so we will have to find something else to do.Still trying to force supply over the hills from Moulmein into Siam. It is trickling over.

(in reply to Cap Mandrake)
Post #: 3056
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/21/2020 12:10:09 PM   
Cap Mandrake


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From: Southern California
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Solomons: as the KB was spotted near the Marianas, I am loading up for an attack on Buin.

< Message edited by Cap Mandrake -- 2/21/2020 12:11:31 PM >

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Post #: 3057
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/21/2020 12:12:48 PM   
Cap Mandrake


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Also, as the KB has been spotted, the two battle-ready USN carries are loading up for a secret mission

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Post #: 3058
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/21/2020 2:13:42 PM   
Zorch

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake

I am having very vivid dreams lately. I think it is the trauma of the KB showing up suddenly. I had a dream I was in Central America but lost my flight information and couldn't remember which country I was flying to. I am pretty sure this is a strategic planning nightmare dream. Then I had a dream I was in a giant home where everyone drove green Jaguar sedans INSIDE the house and I had a fender bender trying to get between the coffee table and the couch. This, clearly is meant to signify the dangerous waters between Ceram and New Guinea.

I am getting pretty good at dream analysis.

Sometimes a couch is just a couch.

Are you sure the Jaguars weren't PT boats chasing Jap BBs?

(in reply to Cap Mandrake)
Post #: 3059
RE: At dawn we slept.....in the cab on the way back fro... - 2/21/2020 2:17:45 PM   
Zorch

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Cap Mandrake

Also, as the KB has been spotted, the two battle-ready USN carries are loading up for a secret mission

Are they going to deliver a lifetime supply of tobacco + pipes to Dougie boy?

(in reply to Cap Mandrake)
Post #: 3060
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