RFalvo69
Posts: 1380
Joined: 7/11/2013 From: Lamezia Terme (Italy) Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: Orm quote:
ORIGINAL: RFalvo69 quote:
ORIGINAL: Orm Yea. The military high command has never been wrong. That's, however, different from "the wargames they use". When the Japanese wargamed Midway, the American side won over and over (with chain of events eerily similar to what later happened during the real battle...) The Japanese Admirals refused these results - to their great pain - but I guess that the wargame rules they used were excellent I read about a wargame the military played but didn't like the result. So they changed the rules for the wargame. Therefore I do not automatically assume that the wargame system, nor the wargames, the military uses are the best there is. I clearly remember a story from when they were wargaming the invasion of Iraq in 2003. During an exercise, the guy "playing" as Iraq was able to raise hell by using all sorts of out-of-the-box ideas - from using messengers on motorcycles instead of radios, to hiding messages in calls for prayer, to everything in-between. The referees judged what had happened "exceedingly improbable" and ditched that specific wargame. This of course caused a reaction in the anti-war crowd, who accused the military of "deleting everything that didn't go their way". I, however, thought that they made the right call: the Iraqi weren't simply trained or enough prepared to act like that, and nothing like that happened during the initial invasion. What made me go "Hmmmm..." however, was how such tactics could work for the resistance against the US occupation, in a long low-intensity conflict. I would have thrown these out-of-the-box ideas in a drawer, not in a bin, "just in case". I never studied the Iraqi conflict (and its tactics) in-depth, so I don't know if I was right and those original tactics were employed. What remained with me was that a wargame could be wrong on principle but still bring up unexpected questions and situations worth of serious consideration.
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"Yes darling, I served in the Navy for eight years. I was a cook..." "Oh dad... so you were a God-damned cook?" (My 10 years old daughter after watching "The Hunt for Red October")
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