RFalvo69
Posts: 1380
Joined: 7/11/2013 From: Lamezia Terme (Italy) Status: offline
|
Let's run a simple simulation, shall we? One valid for the Western World in a general sense. 1. You (with this meaning "a general guy") open shop again (let's say it is a shop for simplicity). You are infected but asymptomatic. After a few days a percentage of your customers fall ill. Some tracking is done and the cluster is centered around your shop. You lose all your customers, you have to close shop and, according to the laws of your country, possibly become target of a score of lawsuits (God forbids that a customer's elderly in-laws got the virus via you). In any case, your activity is, "de facto", wiped out. 2. But wait, it gets better! You are not a carrier and everything is fine. But your neighbour is. Some of his/her customers get infected and, since they are doing a shopping round, they come to you next. Soon or later you get infected. Go to 1. 3. Amazingly enough, it gets even more better! After a while people start to realise how all this "we want our liberties back!!" brouhaha is creating hot spots in shopping areas - not somewhere you want to be. People stop shopping again, discover that the new freedom cry is "Give me liberty AND death!", and all economic activity returns back to zero - but with more people infected (and an higher strain on the healthcare infrastructure, as intelligently noted). 4. A nice ribbon to tie it all. Next time you declare how "The Coronavirus emergency is over, no really this time it is, we want our economy back!!!1 (sic)" people will be much more wary and the economy restarts in fits and coughs because (to use an Italian idiomatic form) you burned your word. And this if mortar and brick business still exists and Amazon hasn't bought the World. Simulation ended. Do you want to risk this? (because, admittedly, this is not a given - only a model of what could happen if the coin drops with the wrong face up) Maybe you don't agree with this simulation in the first place? Fine. Break the model. We are in a wargaming forum and this is a wargame of sorts: it should be fun! Just show me where it is wrong. The rest it hot air.
< Message edited by RFalvo69 -- 4/17/2020 7:26:24 PM >
_____________________________
"Yes darling, I served in the Navy for eight years. I was a cook..." "Oh dad... so you were a God-damned cook?" (My 10 years old daughter after watching "The Hunt for Red October")
|