Jim D Burns
Posts: 4013
Joined: 2/25/2002 From: Salida, CA. Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: el cid again For the record, no fact about the situation in China is "easily verified." For the record, KMT made real efforts to decieve the US before and during the Pacific War. For the record, even when they told the truth (as about Japanese bw attacks), we didn't believe them. And when we captured the bw scientists and DID believe them, then WE lied, and said there was no such thing, even when Russia put some on trial (which we called a "show trial" KNOWING it was a lie). China is central to the Pacific War - it is the actual causus belli - the issue over which the war was fought - and it was CHINESE policy that the US should enter. IF you need confirmation that China might have lost to Japan, consider the utter conviction of senior KMT officials that the USA was "the last best hope for China." At one point the second highest KMT official defected to Japan, and many went with him - he might have set up a credible regime in his own right. Japan was tricked into dithering in official recognition by "negotiations" with Chiang - and in the end this defector came to be seen as a sort of Chinese Quisling. But there are important strains of Chinese culture (Confucian strains) that say recognizing the "Mandate of Heaven" is wise, not tratorious. If you are going to lose, you should not fight, but go along - it is a way to limit bloodshed - and it works too. For a tiny hint at CHINESE materials related to this - see a study by an academic named Yauli Sun called China and the Origins of the Pacific War (using almost entirely KMT archival materials). Also for the record, you should know the modern Chinese military history is a very esoteric subject, little understood in the West - very reputable historians and soldiers and academics and analysts are often more wrong than right in what they write - even when they are sincere (which is not always). I am something of a writer on these matters, and some of my materials are used officially, as better than any others available. I do not really think ANYONE understands this subject comprehensively - but no one who is not using Chinese, Japanese and Russian materials can ever come close. Outside China, ONLY the Russians have ever done serious study of the economics that made Japan a success in Manchuria and North China in the 1930s, for example. You don't read Russian historians, you have never heard of it. While many of your points are valid and well thought out arguments, you’re missing the point by over complicating the issue. The only real issue is to try and recreate the historical reality of the situation on the ground in China, while trying to preserve enough flexibility for the players on both sides to enjoy the game. Currently China is a fantasy land in the game right now. Japan fought China for five years and couldn’t win, but many players have crushed the entire country in just 6-8 months as things stand now. Treespider’s idea is valid. Japan had the majority of its first line combat forces tied down on garrison duties throughout the war. While Chinas Guerilla forces didn’t have a hope in hell of directly assaulting first line Japanese formations, they were massive in numbers and could NOT be ignored or handled by a few police troops marching guard duty along the rail lines. Vast areas of China (many larger than Texas or California in area) were never conquered by Japan and remained well in the rear of their lines. These areas all had sufficient cottage industries after 5 years of war to keep tens of thousands of troops armed and supplied in their regions. Granted the weaponry was primitive, but it was enough of a military threat to tie up massive numbers of Japanese troops for the entire war. Lastly not all Chinese troops melted under pressure the way you seem to want others to believe. Japan lost entire divisions of troops to these “primitive” Chinese troops, two of which I believe were very modern mechanized divisions. Large numbers of the Chinese units were very capable and experienced combat formations by 1941, after all Japan was losing the China war by then. So the only real issue we have is how to tie down large numbers of Japanese troops to occupation duties without making the Chinese an offensively powerful country. Their troops could and did fight very well defensively, but the Chinese government was not going to commit to any kind of an offensive strategy once the western allies had entered the war. Representing the units on map is probably not a good solution given the mechanics of the game, so I think upping the partisan value is the best overall solution. Now I know Japanese players love crushing the Chinese and don’t want to lose that aspect of their fun, but it is not a recreation of any kind of historical reality, it’s pure fantasy. Large Japanese offensives to try and capture the airfields should be possible in late 1944. But even those should be anything but easy, Japan should be forced to take risks and make strategic compromises in order to launch assaults on these bases. The simplest solution seems to be to reduce the number of mobile forces available to Japan. Right now the 20+ division hammers that steamroll China need to be shaved to about 4-6 division’s max I think. Still an imposing force, but not the devastatingly overwhelming steamroller China faces now. Jim
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