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RE: 1945! - 11/10/2013 7:23:01 AM   
JocMeister

 

Posts: 8262
Joined: 7/29/2009
From: Sweden
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Quixote

You assume correctly, sir.


Thats good to hear!

I tend to count supply in millions at this stage so its hard to imagine 300.000 being much.

(in reply to Quixote)
Post #: 2611
RE: 1945! - 11/10/2013 8:36:57 AM   
JocMeister

 

Posts: 8262
Joined: 7/29/2009
From: Sweden
Status: offline 		5th-6th February -44
______________________________________________________________________________

Finally things are starting to get rolling again!

------------------------
Manilagrad
------------------------
Troops are still recovering. FAT is down to 21. Two, possible three more days of rest. Meanwhile we got the best bombardment result in so far!

quote:

Morning Air attack on 56th Division, at 79,77 (Manila)

Weather in hex: Light cloud

Raid detected at 80 NM, estimated altitude 17,000 feet.
Estimated time to target is 23 minutes

Allied aircraft
Liberator B.VI x 33
Liberator GR.VI x 16
B-24J Liberator x 3
B-17E Fortress x 3
B-17F Fortress x 7
B-24D Liberator x 3
B-24D1 Liberator x 11
B-24J Liberator x 166
B-25G Mitchell x 8
B-25H Mitchell x 28
B-25J1 Mitchell x 20
B-25J11 Mitchell x 6
P-38J Lightning x 31
PB4Y-1 Liberator x 27
PBJ-1D Mitchell x 13
PBJ-1H Mitchell x 3
PBJ-1J Mitchell x 3

Allied aircraft losses
Liberator B.VI: 5 damaged
Liberator GR.VI: 2 damaged
B-17E Fortress: 1 damaged
B-24J Liberator: 18 damaged
B-25H Mitchell: 4 damaged
B-25J11 Mitchell: 1 damaged
PBJ-1H Mitchell: 1 damaged
PBJ-1J Mitchell: 1 damaged

Japanese ground losses:
813 casualties reported
Squads: 0 destroyed, 39 disabled
Non Combat: 1 destroyed, 69 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 12 disabled
Vehicles lost 22 (2 destroyed, 20 disabled)


For some reason the naval bombardment didn´t go in today. Most likely user error. Allied raw AV is up (+153) while Japanese decrease (-29). I hope with two more days of rest the allied AV will be back on the same levels as before the last attack.

There is a lot of Japanese movement on Luzon right now. This coupled with some Japanese transport losses seems to indicate Erik is trying to get some troops out. I´ll do what I can to stop this but its almost impossible. I took a guess on what base he is using to fly stuff out from and ordered a LRCAP to catch the transports coupled with a strike at the AF. He is definitely flying troops to Takao with 250 transports stationed there.

In all honestly I´m not sure why he is bothering at this point. If supply really is dire he is using it twice by lifting stuff out. First the transports use supply and then he needs more to rebuild the fragments with loads of HI.

------------------------
Indochina/China
------------------------
The army reaches an empty Hanoi. Here we will rest for a few day while Haiphong is secured and recon gives us a clear picture of the opposition in front of us. I have only 4500 with this advance army. Another 5000 is a couple of weeks behind. I might make a dash into China nonetheless. In all honestly I don´t have a clue how much AV Erik still has left in China. I bet he has bought out A LOT of stuff.

I´m toying with the idea of letting 10-15k Chinese AV in Chunking make a try south. Supply will of course be dire for them. But I might be able to fly something in to them from Hanoi. That would leave 10-15k AV at Chunking. More then enough to make it 100% secure. What do you guys think? Moving them out would break our ceasefire agreement and make the central plains up for grabs for Erik. I do find it very unlikely he would try for it though with 10k allied AV at the gates of southern China.

The thought of opening another front in the heart of China makes me all tingly. But the advancing Chinese would be completely dependent on aerial supply.


------------------------
Java
------------------------
Tomorrow we reach the abandoned Soerabaja. The 21 size ship repair yard will come to good use!

------------------------
Stratbombing
------------------------
Another raid at Tokyo end in bloodbath as 31 B29s are shot down by 60 NFs.

Another 1000 VPs netted over two days though. Next raid I´m going to try and hit some HI directly instead and see what we can achieve. Hopefully this will allow my pools to recover a little bit.




Attachment (1)

< Message edited by JocMeister -- 11/10/2013 9:37:18 AM >

(in reply to Quixote)
Post #: 2612
RE: 1945! - 11/10/2013 8:46:48 AM   
JocMeister

 

Posts: 8262
Joined: 7/29/2009
From: Sweden
Status: offline 		TOE Upgrades
______________________________________________________________________________

Can someone remind me what is need for a TOE upgrade to take place? Both my USAAF and USN BFs doesn´t upgrade their TOE.

Supply is plentiful (2,3 million) and 3(!) Command HQs are within range.

Is rest mode needed too?

< Message edited by JocMeister -- 11/10/2013 9:49:34 AM >

(in reply to JocMeister)
Post #: 2613
RE: 1945! - 11/10/2013 11:43:41 AM   
ny59giants


Posts: 9869
Joined: 1/10/2005
Status: offline 		TOE Upgrades - I turn on both Replacements and Upgrade option. Often I place them in Rest, but that isn't always needed, but I do it anyways.

China - I would quickly discuss with Erik the Chinese stalemate. Propose a date for it to end. Next, I would start from the west and move east to isolate Hong Kong in your landings, but try to move inland from those clear terrain hexes. Time for your Shermans to earn their pay and run wild. Just remember something I forgot again, bring along some AA units to keep the Helens at bay.

_____________________________


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Post #: 2614
RE: 1945! - 11/10/2013 12:06:11 PM   
JocMeister

 

Posts: 8262
Joined: 7/29/2009
From: Sweden
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: ny59giants

TOE Upgrades - I turn on both Replacements and Upgrade option. Often I place them in Rest, but that isn't always needed, but I do it anyways.



Both replacement and Upgrade is on but I can´t get them to upgrade. Tried setting them to rest this turn to see if it works!

(in reply to ny59giants)
Post #: 2615
RE: 1945! - 11/10/2013 12:36:41 PM   
JocMeister

 

Posts: 8262
Joined: 7/29/2009
From: Sweden
Status: offline 		DEI
______________________________________________________________________________

Here is a map from the last turn. Looks like Erik will abandon Java without a fight. I´m considering pulling 3 of the 5 IDs to Luzon instead. They won´t be needed here. The 2 US ID and the armor I have almost decided on pulling out in a month or so. They will go to China.

I will also start cleaning up the map. There are lots of small bases I have bypassed. Some a quite big in VPs like Bathurst Island and Ambon (60 VP gain). There are also loads of 10-20 VP places. They will add up.




Attachment (1)

(in reply to JocMeister)
Post #: 2616
RE: 1945! - 11/10/2013 12:44:54 PM   
Cpt Sherwood

 

Posts: 837
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From: A Very Nice Place in the USA
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quote:

ORIGINAL: JocMeister


quote:

ORIGINAL: ny59giants

TOE Upgrades - I turn on both Replacements and Upgrade option. Often I place them in Rest, but that isn't always needed, but I do it anyways.



Both replacement and Upgrade is on but I can´t get them to upgrade. Tried setting them to rest this turn to see if it works!


I think ( heavy on the think ) the unit has to be in rest mode, at a base, and in 2 x the command range of a Command HQ for the TOE to upgrade. Devices can upgrade anywhere and in any mode.

< Message edited by Cpt Sherwood -- 11/10/2013 1:45:42 PM >

_____________________________

“Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.” ― Lucius Annaeus Seneca

(in reply to JocMeister)
Post #: 2617
RE: 1945! - 11/10/2013 1:04:11 PM   
JocMeister

 

Posts: 8262
Joined: 7/29/2009
From: Sweden
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Cpt Sherwood
I think ( heavy on the think ) the unit has to be in rest mode, at a base, and in 2 x the command range of a Command HQ for the TOE to upgrade. Devices can upgrade anywhere and in any mode.


If you are right its the rest mode that is the decider. I switched them to rest last turn so hopefully they upgrade now! Really need the extra AS!

(in reply to Cpt Sherwood)
Post #: 2618
RE: 1945! - 11/10/2013 6:14:44 PM   
JocMeister

 

Posts: 8262
Joined: 7/29/2009
From: Sweden
Status: offline 		7th-9th February -44
______________________________________________________________________________

Flurry of turn today. Four or five I think?

------------------------
Manilagrad
------------------------
Tomorrow we go again. I really hope for a good result. I want the defense to really start collapsing. This was the last bombardment before the attack.

quote:

Ground combat at Manila (79,77)

Allied Bombardment attack

Attacking force 8257 troops, 749 guns, 542 vehicles, Assault Value =8228

Defending force 82837 troops, 1142 guns, 878 vehicles, Assault Value = 1639

Japanese ground losses:
92 casualties reported
Squads: 1 destroyed, 6 disabled
Non Combat: 2 destroyed, 0 disabled
Engineers: 0 destroyed, 0 disabled
Guns lost 1 (1 destroyed, 0 disabled)


Allied AV has recovered back to 100 more AV then before the last attack while the Jap AV has dropped from 2763 to 1639. Promising! All I can do now is keep the fingers crossed!

Erik jumped in some Franks that got a shot at the unescorted bombers. But number was simply too low and only 2 allied bombers are lost for 16 Franks.

------------------------
Indochina
------------------------
Hanoi and Haiphong is secured. BFs will arrive in a couple of days together with another 2000 AV. A "small" scouting force move towards the Chinese border. Intel is still sketchy but it looks like Erik will continue to build superstacks. Another one is forming at Canton. 85.000 men and rising. This time I have room to maneuver though so he will either have to break the superstack(s) up or be surrounded. Nanning looks semi deserted with only 30k men there.

------------------------
DEI
------------------------
Soerabaja is secured without a fight. Armor moves forward to secure the rails as far as possible. This will allow then infantry to rail forward gaining time. I´ve decided to pull the two US divisions slated for Java to China instead. They will be of much better use there. I still have 3 OZ divisions and and an African ID in the area. Backed up by the OZ armor it will more than enough to secure Java and jump to Sumatra. I´m only doing this for the free VPs Erik leaves for me to pick up.

------------------------
Japanese counterattack
------------------------
Erik jumps into some rear bases in my LOC. About 100 Jap Kamis and fighters are lost during the day for no Allied losses. Good day that could have ended worse. This is bound to happen from time to time but I decided a long time ago to just eat the losses to gain the time not needed to be spent securing the entire LOC. I can take the losses without problems.

------------------------
TOE Upgrades
------------------------
Rest mode was the key. Every one is upgraded now. The extra AS and NavSupport will be a great help!

< Message edited by JocMeister -- 11/10/2013 7:46:52 PM >

(in reply to JocMeister)
Post #: 2619
RE: 1945! - 11/10/2013 6:25:03 PM   
RogerJNeilson


Posts: 1277
Joined: 4/12/2012
From: Bedlington, Northumberland, UK
Status: offline 		Not about the current situation, but looking back on your pasting of the combat details.... how are you getting these screen caps during a replay?

Roger

_____________________________

An unplanned dynasty: Roger Neilson, Roger Neilson 11, Roger Neilson 3 previous posts 898+1515 + 1126 = 3539.....Finally completed my game which started the day WITP:AE was released

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Post #: 2620
RE: 1945! - 11/10/2013 6:32:10 PM   
JocMeister

 

Posts: 8262
Joined: 7/29/2009
From: Sweden
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Roger Neilson 3

Not about the current situation, but looking back on your pasting of the combat details.... how are you getting these screen caps during a replay?

Roger


"Print scrn" button during the replay. Then I alt+tab to the desktop and past the screen into paint.

(in reply to RogerJNeilson)
Post #: 2621
RE: 1945! - 11/10/2013 6:36:43 PM   
JocMeister

 

Posts: 8262
Joined: 7/29/2009
From: Sweden
Status: offline 		China/Indochina
______________________________________________________________________________

Here is a screen of the situation. I´m expecting the Hong Kong and Canton stacks to merge into a 200.000 "Superstack Mk3" shortly.




Attachment (1)

(in reply to JocMeister)
Post #: 2622
RE: 1945! - 11/10/2013 6:58:32 PM   
RogerJNeilson


Posts: 1277
Joined: 4/12/2012
From: Bedlington, Northumberland, UK
Status: offline 		Ah ok, low tech eh? I'm sure there's a a programme that will do it as the replay happens.... just cannot remember it.

Roger

_____________________________

An unplanned dynasty: Roger Neilson, Roger Neilson 11, Roger Neilson 3 previous posts 898+1515 + 1126 = 3539.....Finally completed my game which started the day WITP:AE was released

(in reply to JocMeister)
Post #: 2623
RE: 1945! - 11/10/2013 7:02:27 PM   
JocMeister

 

Posts: 8262
Joined: 7/29/2009
From: Sweden
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Roger Neilson 3

Ah ok, low tech eh? I'm sure there's a a programme that will do it as the replay happens.... just cannot remember it.

Roger


Haha, yeah pretty low tech. But it takes only a second and the replay even freezes when you tab out. Works well enough for me.

(in reply to RogerJNeilson)
Post #: 2624
RE: 1945! - 11/10/2013 7:53:21 PM   
JocMeister

 

Posts: 8262
Joined: 7/29/2009
From: Sweden
Status: offline 		Hehe, found this post by Erik in the war room

quote:

ORIGINAL: obvert
Certainly different than my game where the Allies can simply bring in 3k AV more and just steamroll, getting Manila in under two months.


Its a discussion regarding stacking limits. Interesting to see two completely different perspectives on SL. I´m pretty certain I would have grabbed Manila a long time ago if we had used SL. Erik at most had 8 divisions and around 220.000 men at Manila against 10 allied divisions and 300.000 men. I wouldn´t have to care about the SLs as could burn supply without regard.

The initial setup at Manila further enhances my belief. The first attack was 205.000 Allied troops against 160.000 Japanese. After two attacks the defense where almost completely broken. This is when Erik reinforced with another 40.000 (3 fresh IDs) men bringing the total defenders up to 200.000. This would not have been possible using SL. In response to that I moved in 5 fresh divisions and rotated out one and added more HQs. This brought the total Allied strength up to 305.000 men. Without Erik bringing in another 1000 AV to Manila after the two first attacks (when he was inside or bang on the SL) Manila would have fallen by now.

So when inside the SL of 160.000 Manila was about to fall almost immediately against only 205.000 allied troops. I think that is a pretty clear indication that SL wouldn´t have helped him. On the contrary it seen it would have made his defense fall even faster.




< Message edited by JocMeister -- 11/10/2013 9:02:25 PM >

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Post #: 2625
RE: 1945! - 11/10/2013 8:41:10 PM   
ny59giants


Posts: 9869
Joined: 1/10/2005
Status: offline 		Superstacks - isolate and by-pass them. No need for prolong sieges at this time in the war.

_____________________________


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Post #: 2626
RE: 1945! - 11/11/2013 5:52:50 AM   
JocMeister

 

Posts: 8262
Joined: 7/29/2009
From: Sweden
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: ny59giants

Superstacks - isolate and by-pass them. No need for prolong sieges at this time in the war.


Exactly what I hope to do in China where there is room to maneuver.

No turn from Erik yet. Which probably means the Manila attack went well!

(in reply to ny59giants)
Post #: 2627
RE: 1945! - 11/11/2013 9:03:01 AM   
JocMeister

 

Posts: 8262
Joined: 7/29/2009
From: Sweden
Status: offline 		I´m off to write what I hope is my final exam before becoming fully licensed. Only 3% of all electricians get the license and it you can´t really do better than that short of getting a engineering degree after 7 years in Uni. So its a really big deal if I make it!

Keep those fingers crossed for me today!

(in reply to JocMeister)
Post #: 2628
RE: 1945! - 11/11/2013 11:58:40 AM   
Lokasenna


Posts: 9297
Joined: 3/3/2012
From: Iowan in MD/DC
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: JocMeister

I´m off to write what I hope is my final exam before becoming fully licensed. Only 3% of all electricians get the license and it you can´t really do better than that short of getting a engineering degree after 7 years in Uni. So its a really big deal if I make it!

Keep those fingers crossed for me today!


Nice, good luck!

(in reply to JocMeister)
Post #: 2629
RE: 1945! - 11/11/2013 4:00:52 PM   
JocMeister

 

Posts: 8262
Joined: 7/29/2009
From: Sweden
Status: offline 		Thanks Lokasenna! I think the exam went well. I´ll know next week.

Big events in the game. Stay tuned!

(in reply to Lokasenna)
Post #: 2630
Manila liberated!!! - 11/11/2013 4:35:10 PM   
JocMeister

 

Posts: 8262
Joined: 7/29/2009
From: Sweden
Status: offline 		Manila is liberated!
______________________________________________________________________________

I did certainly not expect this. Not until 2-3 more attacks. I´m very, very pleased with how quickly this went once air supremacy was established.

I´m not going to let Eriks hints that this was just a matter of piling everything on one hex get to me. He did the same thing happily in China 3 years ago. And as a matter of fact I did NOT pile everything on here. The Lingayen troops are still at Iloilo (2200 AV). I have the theatre reserve sitting at Batangas (2800 AV) plus another 1200 AV rotated out from Manila. All in all 12 divisions took place in the assault against Japanese 8 divisions. Hardly a matter of piling everything on.

Besides he chose to make a stand at Manila and now the butchers bill for that decision was due. I don´t think it was a very good place to make a such a huge commitment but he probably had his reason. But I identified the weaknesses with exposed position and lack of supporting airfields and took advantage of it. So I´m going to enjoy the moment and not let the hints get to me.

But its good that Erik thinks its all I got. Now I can move forward with the next target while we mop up at Luzon. Erik is moving troops north. Probably going to try and fly as much as possible out. Won´t let him do that though. Starting tomorrow I will start closing all airfields.

Next operation is already starting. I´ve spotted another mistake that I intend to exploit. Depending on troop recovery I hope I can launch in early March as planned.

The turn netted me 3553 VPs and I´m tantalising close to a 1:1,5 VP advantage.

Did I mention it was a massacre?

quote:

Ground combat at Manila (79,77)

Allied Deliberate attack

Attacking force 221137 troops, 3811 guns, 6481 vehicles, Assault Value = 8302

Defending force 81597 troops, 1128 guns, 877 vehicles, Assault Value = 1566

Allied engineers reduce fortifications to 2

Allied adjusted assault: 4223

Japanese adjusted defense: 851

Allied assault odds: 4 to 1 (fort level 2)

Allied forces CAPTURE Manila !!!

Combat modifiers
Defender: terrain(+), disruption(-), supply(-)
Attacker:

Japanese ground losses:
32224 casualties reported
Squads: 1391 destroyed, 45 disabled
Non Combat: 803 destroyed, 79 disabled
Engineers: 502 destroyed, 14 disabled
Guns lost 559 (510 destroyed, 49 disabled)
Vehicles lost 644 (640 destroyed, 4 disabled)
Units retreated 26
Units destroyed 6

Allied ground losses:
3075 casualties reported
Squads: 7 destroyed, 332 disabled
Non Combat: 4 destroyed, 134 disabled
Engineers: 7 destroyed, 63 disabled
Guns lost 83 (2 destroyed, 81 disabled)
Vehicles lost 122 (15 destroyed, 107 disabled)

Defeated Japanese Units Retreating!





Attachment (1)

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Post #: 2631
RE: Manila liberated!!! - 11/11/2013 4:41:26 PM   
JocMeister

 

Posts: 8262
Joined: 7/29/2009
From: Sweden
Status: offline 		PS, All who think my armor will have a field day pursuing those shattered troops raise your hands...

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Post #: 2632
RE: Manila liberated!!! - 11/11/2013 5:25:27 PM   
ny59giants


Posts: 9869
Joined: 1/10/2005
Status: offline 		Only the dot base of Bayombong to slow you down from racing to Aparri. Once you capture Cabanatuan, then you get to close the pocket with the capture of Lingayen. All those shattered troops will be stuck. Luzon is yours now!!

_____________________________


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Post #: 2633
RE: Manila liberated!!! - 11/11/2013 7:32:03 PM   
Encircled


Posts: 2024
Joined: 12/30/2010
From: Northern England
Status: offline 		Well done that man!

_____________________________


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Post #: 2634
RE: Manila liberated!!! - 11/11/2013 9:37:25 PM   
princep01

 

Posts: 943
Joined: 8/7/2006
From: Texas
Status: offline 		First let me echo the hopes of all that you hit the jackpot on your licensing test.  Actually, while we do get caught up in our game and spend inordinate amounts of time on it, the game pales in importance when compared to major career advances.  I hope it goes very well for you.

That said, I must congratulate you on the stellar victory at Manilagrad.  It was, as you say, nothing short of massacre.  Well done.....and, the real massacre on Luzon commences now.  Few imperial warriors on Luzon are likely to live to fight another day.

While I did read Obvert's AAR early on, I haven't read his side of the tale in awhile.  My guess is that Manila was designed to slow your breakneck advance for a long time.  In one sense, it did have that effect.  I think you have fought for this victory for a couple of months.  One can only speculate if Erik now considers the losses he took and will take on Luzon as a victory by delay.  Since it is only February and you are apparently prepared to move quickly on to other targets, I would assess the battle of Manila as a major victory for you, but I can see where Obvert might see it as accomplishing a longer term goal.  What happens in the very near term (next month or so) my leave him thinking differently. 

Pursue, cleanse Luzon, but spring your next step forward soon, admiral.  The goal of ultimate victory is yet ahead and the path looks cruel and bloody.  One can see kamakazis  becoming a more frequent menace.  I must say though that you have had some spectacular advances over the last two months.  Very nice planning and execution.  From Tavoy, to Bangkok, to Saigon and Hanoi; thru the DEI and slowing if not cutting off oil imports from Palembang; you have achieved a great deal in 2 months. 

(in reply to Encircled)
Post #: 2635
RE: Manila liberated!!! - 11/11/2013 9:56:35 PM   
DOCUP


Posts: 3073
Joined: 7/7/2010
Status: offline 		Good luck on your exam. Great job at Manila. Keep pushing. Come on Blood and Guts slap some men around and wave your pearl handled pistol like a mad man.

(in reply to princep01)
Post #: 2636
RE: Manila liberated!!! - 11/11/2013 10:59:54 PM   
zuluhour


Posts: 5244
Joined: 1/20/2011
From: Maryland
Status: offline

(in reply to DOCUP)
Post #: 2637
RE: Manila liberated!!! - 11/12/2013 12:33:21 AM   
Crackaces


Posts: 3858
Joined: 7/9/2011
Status: offline 		Although the IJ have to worry about defending the home islands recent developments lead me to believe that China offers a particular problem for the IJ at this point. You can get way past Hong Kong and into Korea threatening the Manchukuo garrison. The Russians will activate any turn beyond 800 once the garrison falls below 8000 unadjusted AV. As I look a the situation you could quite possibly activate the Russians possibly in May or June with the right axis of attack.

No need to accumulate the denominator for the IJ by messing with the Home Islands .. victory is possible in China ...

_____________________________

"What gets us into trouble is not what we don't know. It's what we know for sure that just ain't so"

(in reply to zuluhour)
Post #: 2638
RE: Carrier Clash. Sheep bites back? - 11/12/2013 5:20:28 AM   
zeeshan145

 

Posts: 2
Joined: 11/9/2013
Status: offline 		Very great service you give on this forum which tell every thing about their features briefly

(in reply to khyberbill)
Post #: 2639
RE: Carrier Clash. Sheep bites back? - 11/12/2013 7:44:38 AM   
JocMeister

 

Posts: 8262
Joined: 7/29/2009
From: Sweden
Status: offline 		Thanks guys!

Since Ida decided that 22:00-04:30 is all of the sudden "awake time" I spent the night rereading my own AAR and looking at older saves reminiscing about the past. It was a good read. Man, I did things stupidly in 42-43.

Anyway, back to the present. I´m sure Erik indeed had intended for Manila to be a huge delay. In that sense I think it failed quite badly. The first attack on Manila was ordered on the 4th of January and fell on the 10th of February. So just a tad over a month with very heavy Japanese losses for negligible losses to the allies. Rereading my own AAR I think I kind of stumbled upon the downfall of Manila. It actually started in late 44 with the total collapse of the Japanese MLR with the swift advance into the Moluccas and Mindanao. Looking at those older saves Erik had neglected (or lacked resources) to get a defense in depth up. Once past Sorong there were no airfields and no forts higher than 3.

After Mindanao fell Erik did what has been his MO so far. Instead of building up many smaller supporting AFs on Luzon he maxed out only Clark and Bangkok (which was at 42 levels in late 44) and built forts at Manila. His statement that he had 600 engineers there seems to support that. He has relied on this tactic throughout the game now creating huge aerodromes/bastions at places like Rangoon, Bangkok, Rabaul but doing so on the expense of other airfields and location. The allies have no problem building two or three level 9 AFs. Even 5 as I recently did at Iloilo and Luzon. But I don´t think the Japanese have that ability because they lack the engineering power. This tactic has worked for him in a sense that closing those places have been costly for the Allies. At least Manila was. Rabaul and Rangoon not so. But once closed/bypassed they stay closed removing Japanese airpower in the whole region.

Erik has repeated this behavior throughout 44 and continues to do so now in China and on Formosa building two new Superstacks (Mk3 and Mk4) of 200.000 men each. One in China and one on Formosa. This is the mistake I´m referring too and I have a good idea on how to exploit this.

Next big battle will certainly be somewhere on the HK-Formosa-Okinawa line if I decide to go there. I predict Erik will throw everything including the KB and the 12 BBs into that. He has invested heavily into this line with Level 9 AFs at HK, Canton, Takao and Taihoku. KB and the Battlewagons are sitting at Shanghai waiting. The problem with this defense is that its shallow. Once broken there is nothing behind it. And its short...only 20 hexes from HK to Naha. And it has its achilles heel...

I don´t want to make it sound like criticism towards Erik. He most probably have a very good reason for continuing on with the same tactics. And for all I know it might work for him this time. I just personally don´t think he has managed he resources in terms of defense in the best way possible. He has lacked that crucial defense in depth with supporting assets. Perhaps it comes down to different philosophies or preferences. I also have most of the cards and complete knowledge of the allied OOB and capabilities. Obviously Erik can´t have the same knowledge.

Right now I´m with Crackaces belief that the main Japanese weakness is China. The only thing standing between the total collapse of China is the superstack Mk4. Once that is defeated or isolated China is wide open. I´m going to start a recon in depth operation to verify this but I´m pretty sure I will find empty bases. I still have my 2nd and 3rd phase targets in mind (they are almost ready prep wise) but I´m starting to wonder if I´m better off just dumping them in China, wreck Mk4 stack and run amok all they way to Shanghai.

What worries me with China is if I stall. It would take forever to pull out and head in another direction. I AM running against the clock here.

This also completely bypasses Erik last line of defense in the HK-Formosa-Okinawa line coming up behind it. Kind of like the Maginot Line!

VP wise im not sure what is best. I need 25.000 more VPs for an AV. Not impossible considering I gained 32.000 in the last 140 turns. In those 140 turns the VP ratio went from 1,1:1 to 1:1,5

I´m heading out of town for a day and won´t be back until tomorrow evening. I´ll take my crappy laptop with me and all the saves I have to ponder the situation. But right now China looks like a pretty good way to proceed. Shanghai alone is 2700 VPs. 30.000 proper Allied AV (US, OZ and Brit troop) running amok around in China marching on Manchuria has to be the worst kind of Japanese nightmare?

I had asked Erik if he could get me the replay before I leave but havn´t heard anything back from him.

EDIT: Just got the replay but no time for an update before I leave! Sorry guys. See you tomorrow with one!

< Message edited by JocMeister -- 11/12/2013 10:42:21 AM >

(in reply to zeeshan145)
Post #: 2640
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