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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50

 
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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/4/2015 1:47:24 PM   
loki100


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From: Utlima Thule
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Pelton

I am talking basic combat after landings.

Basic Normandy loses or for that matter basic combat loses from June 44 to May 45 - surrenders in current game. Most of German loses historically were from POWs at the very end of Normandy during breakout.

We know what the loses were historically, if the ratio is 1 to 3 we know its simply way off nothing close to 1 to 1.

Sure there are factors, but I play all games the same way.

I have 2 games on going and have many from the past.

Combat ratios are a center issue to any game.

As we all know most loses historically were caused by artillery fire, not small arms (WitE) or interdiction from the air (WitW).

Lets keep trending the data.



Pelton

I clearly am really stupid

I can't see in the 'evidence' you've presented your losses since the allies invaded France and I can't see this 1-3 ratio you keep on claiming.

Your playstyle appears to create an outlier in terms of losses, everyone else seems to be around .75:1, your 'evidence' (and I'm not sure what you are evidencing) shows .9:1. Nowhere can I see this 3-1 you talk about

< Message edited by loki100 -- 12/4/2015 2:47:52 PM >


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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/4/2015 1:49:37 PM   
KWG


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First I would like to say Iam neutral on whether the ratio indicates something wrong with the combat engine. I changed my avatar not because of this question but to reflect the quest of a Fellowship of Allies against a enemy. And to keep in motif with Pelton's excellent avatar.

And I have not started this turn yet.

Having stated my neutrality, I would like to think that the reason is me and will take full blame for the ratio being higher than historically.


The things Iam aware of that differ from historical:

--I jumped 3 Airborne divisions into uncontested areas as the German occupied areas looked to be too strong.

--There was no opposition to the beach landings. No small attacks, moving forward, probing by either side, other than the combat attrition taken into account by the combat engine.

I've hinted at the next one in other posts.
--Operation Zeus, equivalent to Operation Cobra, is the assignment of EVERY aircraft in England to the destruction of German forces at the front and Zeus has been in operation from the beginning of the invasion. So Zeus is a MUCH larger version of Cobra. Those aircraft best suited for interdiction are assigned such and the others do unit bombing, ground support. This is what broke the back of German forces at Normandy and why it was not done the entire war I have opinions on, but best suited for another topic.

Iam losing VPs short term by not strategically bombing, but the aim is to created a "grinder" for anything that makes it to the front resulting in the the total annihilation of German forces. Historically did German production as a whole increase as the war progressed?

Pelton holds on to ground like a homebody badger.
So a careful study of Normandy Breakout vids revealed what it took to break the stalemate - AIR ARTILLERY.

Pelton
"I have 2 games on going and have many from the past. "

The ratios from the current and other games are the same?

< Message edited by KWG -- 12/4/2015 4:54:11 PM >


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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/4/2015 1:52:07 PM   
KWG


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French childern find a stray kitten.





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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/4/2015 2:01:08 PM   
KWG


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Operation Zeus




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< Message edited by KWG -- 12/4/2015 3:36:14 PM >


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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/4/2015 2:53:50 PM   
KWG


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More results of Operation Zeus.

Prey of Birds.

Production gets consumed.

Both pics claim to be of German losses at Normandy, yet notice the star on the back of the truck. Captured equipment?




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< Message edited by KWG -- 12/4/2015 4:49:53 PM >


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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/6/2015 12:10:27 AM   
Peltonx


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WA operation.

Report the data not your chicken little operation.





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< Message edited by Pelton -- 12/6/2015 1:11:38 AM >


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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/6/2015 12:15:42 AM   
KWG


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Week 51

German aircraft try to bomb my "cities" in the daylight. Some damage.
Empty seats in Luftwaffe messhalls.

Allied planes once again take to the skys of Normandy.

Allied ground troops report seeing a large bird roaming the hedgerows.




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< Message edited by KWG -- 12/6/2015 1:45:32 AM >


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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/6/2015 12:22:07 AM   
Peltonx


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quote:

ORIGINAL: loki100

quote:

ORIGINAL: Pelton

I am talking basic combat after landings.

Basic Normandy loses or for that matter basic combat loses from June 44 to May 45 - surrenders in current game. Most of German loses historically were from POWs at the very end of Normandy during breakout.

We know what the loses were historically, if the ratio is 1 to 3 we know its simply way off nothing close to 1 to 1.

Sure there are factors, but I play all games the same way.

I have 2 games on going and have many from the past.

Combat ratios are a center issue to any game.

As we all know most loses historically were caused by artillery fire, not small arms (WitE) or interdiction from the air (WitW).

Lets keep trending the data.



Pelton

I clearly am really stupid

I can't see in the 'evidence' you've presented your losses since the allies invaded France and I can't see this 1-3 ratio you keep on claiming.

Your playstyle appears to create an outlier in terms of losses, everyone else seems to be around .75:1, your 'evidence' (and I'm not sure what you are evidencing) shows .9:1. Nowhere can I see this 3-1 you talk about



Turn 49

WA Loses: 256,000
GHC Loses: 268,000

Turn 51

WA Loses 273,350
GHC Loses 326,564

WA loses over 3 turns; 17,000
GHC loses over 3 turns: 58,000

DoH

ratio: 1 to 3.4

I mean really how hard is that to figure out my 5 yr old can do that math.

I am looking at data not sure what fairytale your looking at, but my 5 yr old would really like to
know what story that is cause he like to read it.



He picked the smiley because hes not sure why you cant do the math being at least 30+ yrs older them him





< Message edited by Pelton -- 12/6/2015 1:22:41 AM >


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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/6/2015 12:25:53 AM   
Peltonx


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quote:

ORIGINAL: KWG

Week 51

German aircraft bomb my ports in the daylight. Some damage.
Empty seats in Luftwaffe messhalls.

Allied planes once again take to the skys of Normandy.

Allied ground troops report seeing a large bird roaming the hedgerows.





I am hoping people can do simple math, but all hope seems to be lost when a 5 yr old can do it and others can't

We can see why The Islamic State is winning, kinda like Rome as the barbarians stormed Italy - at least Putin can add and subtract.


< Message edited by Pelton -- 12/6/2015 1:28:31 AM >


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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/6/2015 12:30:35 AM   
Peltonx


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quote:

ORIGINAL: KWG

Week 51

German aircraft bomb my ports in the daylight. Some damage.
Empty seats in Luftwaffe messhalls.

Allied planes once again take to the skys of Normandy.

Allied ground troops report seeing a large bird roaming the hedgerows.





I am not bombing ports silly pants-that's been nerfed with last patch.

come on report what I am doing or at least report u have no idea what I am doing.



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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/6/2015 12:33:41 AM   
Peltonx


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Don't forget the VP count is 21 - 32 because 2by3 has not been able to fix a basic bug for over a yr.

VP count is - 12.

I guess they are waiting for morveal or D-man to fix that also?

really?

Just give morveal and d-man the code so simple stuff like that can be fixed before 2.0 release.

< Message edited by Pelton -- 12/6/2015 1:34:23 AM >


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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/6/2015 12:34:21 AM   
KWG


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Clear skys over Normandy. Some rain over Italy.




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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/6/2015 12:36:02 AM   
Peltonx


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Its going to be 2027 before we finish this game.

1 turn in a week really?

So what other games or beta testing are you doing?

I will not be playing WitE vs you as you take a week to move 2 units

< Message edited by Pelton -- 12/6/2015 1:37:49 AM >


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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/6/2015 12:47:55 AM   
KWG


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"I am not bombing ports silly pants-that's been nerfed with last patch.

come on report what I am doing or at least report u have no idea what I am doing."


What you leave the airfield to bomb and what you hit when you get to the target is not always the same.

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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/6/2015 12:50:41 AM   
KWG


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Pelton

Its going to be 2027 before we finish this game.

1 turn in a week really?

So what other games or beta testing are you doing?

I will not be playing WitE vs you as you take a week to move 2 units


Holidays last week.
This week was busy and no unrushed time on the computer.
Spent the week making fields of battle out of cherry and maple. Plus some moulding, by hand tools.
Busy time for toy makers.

Plus a little deer hunting/ Bald Eagle spotting.

Then there is the coyote thats almost as big as my hound.

It was more than 2, as my post stated I had behind the scenes movement.
One miscalculation of movement points in my advance that leaves me weaken while semi surrounded by German forces and it's "Farewell And Adieu You Fair Spanish Ladies..."


< Message edited by KWG -- 12/6/2015 5:36:07 AM >


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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/6/2015 1:04:38 AM   
KWG


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Intel showing Germans to be low on ammo.

German Supply depots only open "After Dark".

Life for Germans in Normandy has become Nosferatu.





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< Message edited by KWG -- 12/6/2015 2:42:13 AM >


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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/6/2015 1:23:15 AM   
KWG


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Week 51

Allied interdiction and unit bombing look good for the ground phase.

German tank shot up by Allied planes.
Crew surrendering to Allied photographer.




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< Message edited by KWG -- 12/6/2015 5:10:58 AM >


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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/6/2015 3:09:41 AM   
Seminole


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quote:

I am looking at data not sure what fairytale your looking at


What's your opinion on this data?



< Message edited by Seminole -- 12/6/2015 4:10:41 AM >

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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/6/2015 6:20:39 AM   
loki100


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From: Utlima Thule
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Pelton

quote:

ORIGINAL: loki100

...

Pelton

I clearly am really stupid

I can't see in the 'evidence' you've presented your losses since the allies invaded France and I can't see this 1-3 ratio you keep on claiming.

Your playstyle appears to create an outlier in terms of losses, everyone else seems to be around .75:1, your 'evidence' (and I'm not sure what you are evidencing) shows .9:1. Nowhere can I see this 3-1 you talk about



Turn 49

WA Loses: 256,000
GHC Loses: 268,000

Turn 51

WA Loses 273,350
GHC Loses 326,564

WA loses over 3 turns; 17,000
GHC loses over 3 turns: 58,000

DoH

ratio: 1 to 3.4

I mean really how hard is that to figure out my 5 yr old can do that math.

I am looking at data not sure what fairytale your looking at, but my 5 yr old would really like to
know what story that is cause he like to read it.



He picked the smiley because hes not sure why you cant do the math being at least 30+ yrs older them him



Pelton, just why do you have to be so damn rude? Where in the 'evidence' you've presented can I find the information you are now claiming applies?

In this thread, you've deliberately insulted 3 people who dare to ask you to justify your argument. Don't forget I've seen your approach in WiTE, your posts sometimes lack for accuracy and you do rather overclaim. On the other hand I admire your knowledge of the underlying game system so am still (just about) prepared to accept that you may be seeing something important that others have missed.

and as for this:

quote:

ORIGINAL: Pelton

...

I am hoping people can do simple math, but all hope seems to be lost when a 5 yr old can do it and others can't

We can see why The Islamic State is winning, kinda like Rome as the barbarians stormed Italy - at least Putin can add and subtract.



... why do you do think writing something like this will encourage people to take your argument more seriously?




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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/6/2015 7:27:09 AM   
RedLancer


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Pelton

You are crossing the line. No politics, rude behaviour or trolling the Devs.

You know my opinion of your approach. Unlike the WitE & WitE Dev forums, here I have Moderator status and I will use it - so behave.

_____________________________

John
WitE2 Asst Producer
WitE & WitW Dev

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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/6/2015 3:06:31 PM   
KWG


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Allies advance and capture the German depot at Vire.




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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/6/2015 3:09:30 PM   
KWG


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Losses so far.




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< Message edited by KWG -- 12/6/2015 4:45:17 PM >


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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/6/2015 3:23:44 PM   
KWG


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2nd RAF Tactical Air Force HQ

A urgent call comes in over the radio from VII US Corps HQ :

"ADVANCING, SURROUNDED BY GERMANS BRING MOD XXX PDQ"

Beer is delivered to Allied forces in Normandy.

Mod XXX was the actual name of the setup and mission.

PDQ= Pretty Damn Quick.





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< Message edited by KWG -- 12/6/2015 4:27:02 PM >


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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/6/2015 4:45:53 PM   
KWG


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Monty presses on in Italy.

Things are looking bad for the Allies In Italy and France. Germans strong everywhere and rolling in the VPs.

Disaster shadows our every move.

We should have just gotten 10 hexes in Italy and 10 hexes in France and then bombed our way to victory.

General Confusion must be in charge.

German stragglers surrender in a valley near Cassino.






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< Message edited by KWG -- 12/7/2015 2:05:34 AM >


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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/6/2015 10:21:26 PM   
Harrybanana

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Pelton

Turn 49

WA Loses: 256,000
GHC Loses: 268,000

Turn 51

WA Loses 273,350
GHC Loses 326,564

WA loses over 3 turns; 17,000
GHC loses over 3 turns: 58,000

ratio: 1 to 3.4



Pelton,

What KWG is saying is that there is a good reason why your data for the last 3 turns shows the German losses at 3.4X that of the WA; namely because he is using his strategic air force (ie BC and 8th) solely for the purpose of bombing your troops rather than (as they were used historically) for bombing your cities. In one post here he shows that his air force bombing caused you approximately 12,000 losses in 1 turn. If he had the same results for the 3 turns you posted your data on than it means that (according to my 7 year old nephew) 36,000 of your 58,000 losses were caused by the air bombing and only 22,000 by other causes. Of course, this intensive carpet bombing would have also caused disruption of your units so that the ground attack loss ratio was slightly in his favour (17,000 to 22,000). Historically, as far as I am aware, the Allies only used this carpet bombing tactic once in, as KWG points out, Operation Cobra. Some of the credit for the success of this operation is due to the carpet bombing. It was an historic example of the proper use of "Shock and Awe." KWG is not making historic use of his strategic air forces and therefore I do not think you should be able to expect your loss ratio data to match the historical loss ratio data. Of course you are benefiting from this as KWG should not be gaining as many strategic bombing VPs. So to be fair you should also be showing us the data for the Strategic Bombing VPs for the last few turns.

FYI, in my game against QBall (the first one as we have now started a second game with me as the Germans) it seems to me that I was almost always suffering more casualties than him even when he retreated. This was until I started using Bomber Command to bomb his units like KWG is doing to you. I have found BC far more effective at killing and disrupting German units than any of my FB Commands. It seems that the quantity of bombs you drop is far more important than the height from which they are dropped or the training of the air groups. FBs are still more effective at interdiction of course. QBall is returning the favour, bombing my units almost every turn and killing my men, even in snowfall weather. Another advantage is that since BC air groups are more durable and fly above 15,000' my Flak losses and damage seem to be much less, so I don't need to "Rest" 1/2 my Air force every turn. The difference is that in our game I didn't start this tactic until late 44 and I am not using 8th AF like KWG is.

So the issue for me is: are the losses and damage caused by the big bombers historical? Personally I think they are over rated in the game. Shock and Awe will only work so often before the enemy adapts. At the same time I think the losses and damage caused by the tactical air groups (FBs and 2 engine bombers), especially Air Support missions and enemy units reserve reacting through interdicted hexes, is under rated. You may have read my posts on the nerfing of rockets and interdiction, if not I suggest you do so as they make fascinating reading. So I actually agree with you (Good Lord) that the loss ratio should not be as one sided as it is because he should not be causing as many bombing losses as he is. If the Allied player chooses to use his strategic AF to support the ground war then the loss ratio should be more in his favour than historical; just not as much as is happening here.

< Message edited by Harrybanana -- 12/6/2015 11:37:30 PM >

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Post #: 145
RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/6/2015 11:30:55 PM   
KWG


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8th Army liberates Frosinone!!!

General Montgomery orders his troops on... into the unknown.
Unconfirmed sources say that Frosinone may have been a important supply depot for German forces.

Monty is reported to be here... there... everywhere... as 8th Army HQ is as busy as a beehive in spring.

Something is in the air.




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< Message edited by KWG -- 12/7/2015 12:48:40 AM >


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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/7/2015 1:03:11 AM   
KWG


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German to Allies loss ratio: 9-1


AFVs about equal...... Krupp steel...




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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/7/2015 1:20:39 AM   
KWG


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...if there's a bustle in your hedgerow don't be alarmed now...






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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/7/2015 6:41:14 AM   
Harrybanana

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: KWG

...if there's a bustle in your hedgerow don't be alarmed now...







KWG, It doesn't seem like you are taking very may casualties, but you lost 10 VPs last turn. Could you post a screenshot of the VP screen so we can see what is going on here.

(in reply to KWG)
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RE: Pelton (GHC) vs KWG (WA) turn 50 - 12/7/2015 4:39:48 PM   
KWG


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Sure, here's the VP screen. Points are off due to bug and have to be adjusted toward the Axis.

You did a good explanation above.

Iam losing in VPs. Iam doing a strategy that I really do not want to do, I talked myself into it. What's a few VPs in Allies direction if the Allies are not going anywhere. Iam not really playing for VPs, or in a way to win or lose. Iam playing to accomplish and have a good time.

If playing for pure VPs I was going to do a strategy where I got just enough hexes in Italy, just enough hexes in France, dig in and then strategically bomb for VPs. I once played as the Germans vs AI and the Allies had over 13,000 VPs (garrison hits) yet I was winning on the ground. I was going to do a post that said more space was needing in the data box for the points against me.

I hoping to makeup for VPs in the long run and not being very good at this I can only hope I dont lose too bad.
I will give 2 VPs for every German unit that voluntalry surrenders

As in my above post, I feel Iam on the verge of a disaster in France and Italy and everything is going against me.




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< Message edited by KWG -- 12/7/2015 6:24:03 PM >


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