Jagdtiger14
Posts: 1686
Joined: 1/22/2008 From: Miami Beach Status: offline
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To the parts you say Serbia accepted: Partially accepting, finessing, disingenuously answering, or politely rejecting is not complying, it is, rejection. Did the Serbian government have a constitution guaranteeing free speech in 1914? I don't know. Its possible, but I highly doubt it. Lets say they did. Did Serbia have advance knowledge of the content of the letters/communication between Germany and A-H? Assuming Serbia was completely innocent concerning the assassination (they were not, but lets say they were)...and considering the emotion/anger of the moment (literally hours), Serbia could have fully complied at least temporarily until cooler heads prevailed (one year maybe). Your question concerning how I would look at it if it was the US is apples and oranges. The US is a large country in population as well as size, and is the lone hyper-power on the planet. Compare that to Serbia 1914 (or 2017). It just doesn't compare. Lets say the Russian VP was assassinated by a radical US citizen and Russia made these demands. I'm sure US diplomats and law enforcement would assist the Russian government to its satisfaction. If not satisfied, Russia would have to consider MAD, and probably would come off much worse in a conventional or non-conventional war. Serbia was facing extinction...their only possible savior was Russian involvement...which still didn't save them. They were completely conquered. They lost 25% of their population, plus over 130,000 wounded considering a population of 4.5M. If Serbia fully complies, does not mobilize, and is invaded by A-H anyway, now A-H does not have casus belli, and the world rightfully would turn against it. Serbia's best move would have been to accept, not mobilze, if A-H invades immediately surrender unconditionally and appeal its situation to the international community (some of which might fall on deaf ears concerning the Balkan wars just prior). Serbia could not hope to damage A-H in the long term, but perhaps its population could be saved. With 20/20 hindsight (which I don't think is needed) do you think Serbia made the right moves for its people?
< Message edited by Jagdtiger14 -- 9/9/2017 9:13:50 PM >
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Conflict with the unexpected: two qualities are indispensable; first, an intellect which, even in the midst of this obscurity, is not without some traces of inner light which lead to the truth; second, the courage to follow this faint light. KvC
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