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RE: The question to ask about The Italians

 
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RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/2/2020 7:48:36 PM   
warspite1


Posts: 41353
Joined: 2/2/2008
From: England
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Curtis Lemay

Just for comparison, here's the set up for France 1940.

German forces are 10 Panzer Divisions (strength 10 each), 6 Mech Divisions (strength 8 each), 96 Infantry Divisions (strength 6 each), 2 Panzer Brigades (strength 3 each), and 3 Para Regiments (strength 2 each). (Total strength 736).

warspite1

But...but...but that total strength is a number designed to allow the Germans the chance to win a campaign they should never have won (or if they did it would be a longer, bloodier affair). It's a game balance number. You know that - you must know that. If the German and French are numbered as per their size and TO+E then the Germans would not have sufficient strength (compared to the Allies) to win the game. Ever.

The French have to be given limitations (in this game they appear to have dramatically cut back the offensive values for each French division) but they could have done it via special rules: limited attacks, limited movement, command and control penalties etc. etc.

Stating the Germans had 736 for Case Yellow means absolutely nothing of itself.


< Message edited by warspite1 -- 9/2/2020 7:51:29 PM >


_____________________________

England expects that every man will do his duty. Horatio Nelson October 1805



(in reply to Curtis Lemay)
Post #: 421
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/2/2020 7:50:27 PM   
warspite1


Posts: 41353
Joined: 2/2/2008
From: England
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: Zovs

Again Bob is selling the game too short and he is not understanding how WIE actually works (btw my numbers are correct for the 1940 Campaign game, his numbers is only for the 1940 Scenario which is only against France).

If I had the time I'd let Bob take the Germans and let him see how hard it is to go for Spain (not to mention how unwise it is). It's much better to drive deep into Russia and NA in the hopes of getting Spain to join your side and then let Spain garrison Spain when the Brits and US forces start to get ready to hit the beach. Seriously, if any Axis player went into to Spain I'd be jumping for joy as the W.Allies and or Soviet player, devising my '42 attack into Poland and going for Berlin by '43.

The only player that I think that may be able to pull that off was Steve whom I shared many many games with and he was a wily Englishman who always gave me grief as the W.Allies. Sadly my good friend passed away in '17.

I know of 4 top notch Axis players and only Steve would have been bold enough to take out Spain, but I bet you this, if Spain was in his plan, he would have taken Norway, Low countries, France and England. If that happened, the Soviets would be in doo doo in that game.


warspite1

Is this game still available to purchase. It looks fun!!


_____________________________

England expects that every man will do his duty. Horatio Nelson October 1805



(in reply to Zovs)
Post #: 422
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/2/2020 7:50:56 PM   
RangerJoe


Posts: 13450
Joined: 11/16/2015
From: My Mother, although my Father had some small part.
Status: offline
What those counters don't show is how a much better the French tanks were:


France’s Monstrous Char B1 Tank Ate German Panzers for Breakfast
But it couldn’t win the Battle of France by itself

quote:

Three squadrons of Stuka dive bombers ravaged Stonne, as well as both French and German artillery. That morning, the Panzer IIIEs and IVDs—then the best tanks in German service—deployed to stave off a French counterattack.

Suddenly, a squat green tank lumbered around a street block directly before of the German unit. This was Eure, a 31.5-ton Char B1 bis tank commanded by Capt. Pierre Billotte. His driver, Sergeant Durupt, triggered the 75-millimeter howitzer fixed in the front hull roared, smashing the Panzer III to the rear of the column. At the same time, Billotte swiveled the smaller 47-millimeter high velocity cannon in the turret and picked off the lead tank—a mere 30 meters away.

The wrecks trapped the Panzer company in a head-to-head confrontation with the Gaelic behemoth. 37-millimeter rounds cracked from the long barrels of Panzer III tanks and ricocheted off Eure’s turret. Low-velocity 75-millimeter shells made basso thuds as they spat out the stubby guns of Panzer IV tanks, only to shatter in clouds of shrapnel against the French tank’s glacis.

More than 140 shells cratered Eure’s armor—but none penetrated. Billotte coolly blasted one Panzer after another.

Once he had destroyed the entire company—11 Panzer IIIs and two Panzer IVs in all—Billotte continued his advance and added two 37-millimeter anti-tank guns to the tally. By 7:00 A.M., Stonne was back under French control and would remain so for the rest of the day. The same day, the tank Riquewhir would charge into a column of enemy infantry, its blood-stained tracks causing the German 64th Schutzen Regiment to panic and flee an entire sector of Stonne.

For the first time, the Wehrmacht had encountered a tank that completely that outmatched its own.


https://warisboring.com/47857-2/

It was the French logistics that defeated France.

_____________________________

Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!

“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
― Julia Child


(in reply to warspite1)
Post #: 423
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/2/2020 7:52:37 PM   
Zorch

 

Posts: 7087
Joined: 3/7/2010
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1


quote:

ORIGINAL: Zovs

Again Bob is selling the game too short and he is not understanding how WIE actually works (btw my numbers are correct for the 1940 Campaign game, his numbers is only for the 1940 Scenario which is only against France).

If I had the time I'd let Bob take the Germans and let him see how hard it is to go for Spain (not to mention how unwise it is). It's much better to drive deep into Russia and NA in the hopes of getting Spain to join your side and then let Spain garrison Spain when the Brits and US forces start to get ready to hit the beach. Seriously, if any Axis player went into to Spain I'd be jumping for joy as the W.Allies and or Soviet player, devising my '42 attack into Poland and going for Berlin by '43.

The only player that I think that may be able to pull that off was Steve whom I shared many many games with and he was a wily Englishman who always gave me grief as the W.Allies. Sadly my good friend passed away in '17.

I know of 4 top notch Axis players and only Steve would have been bold enough to take out Spain, but I bet you this, if Spain was in his plan, he would have taken Norway, Low countries, France and England. If that happened, the Soviets would be in doo doo in that game.


warspite1

Is this game still available to purchase. It looks fun!!


Yes, in a slightly revised form. https://shop.decisiongames.com/ProductDetails.asp?ProductCode=P3035

(in reply to warspite1)
Post #: 424
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/2/2020 7:54:00 PM   
Aurelian

 

Posts: 3916
Joined: 2/26/2007
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1


quote:

ORIGINAL: Zovs

Again Bob is selling the game too short and he is not understanding how WIE actually works (btw my numbers are correct for the 1940 Campaign game, his numbers is only for the 1940 Scenario which is only against France).

If I had the time I'd let Bob take the Germans and let him see how hard it is to go for Spain (not to mention how unwise it is). It's much better to drive deep into Russia and NA in the hopes of getting Spain to join your side and then let Spain garrison Spain when the Brits and US forces start to get ready to hit the beach. Seriously, if any Axis player went into to Spain I'd be jumping for joy as the W.Allies and or Soviet player, devising my '42 attack into Poland and going for Berlin by '43.

The only player that I think that may be able to pull that off was Steve whom I shared many many games with and he was a wily Englishman who always gave me grief as the W.Allies. Sadly my good friend passed away in '17.

I know of 4 top notch Axis players and only Steve would have been bold enough to take out Spain, but I bet you this, if Spain was in his plan, he would have taken Norway, Low countries, France and England. If that happened, the Soviets would be in doo doo in that game.


warspite1

Is this game still available to purchase. It looks fun!!


decision Games sells the computer version for $60. But, no AI.

_____________________________

If the Earth was flat, cats would of knocked everything off of it long ago.

(in reply to warspite1)
Post #: 425
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/2/2020 7:58:20 PM   
warspite1


Posts: 41353
Joined: 2/2/2008
From: England
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: RangerJoe

What those counters don't show is how a much better the French tanks were:


France’s Monstrous Char B1 Tank Ate German Panzers for Breakfast
But it couldn’t win the Battle of France by itself

quote:

Three squadrons of Stuka dive bombers ravaged Stonne, as well as both French and German artillery. That morning, the Panzer IIIEs and IVDs—then the best tanks in German service—deployed to stave off a French counterattack.

Suddenly, a squat green tank lumbered around a street block directly before of the German unit. This was Eure, a 31.5-ton Char B1 bis tank commanded by Capt. Pierre Billotte. His driver, Sergeant Durupt, triggered the 75-millimeter howitzer fixed in the front hull roared, smashing the Panzer III to the rear of the column. At the same time, Billotte swiveled the smaller 47-millimeter high velocity cannon in the turret and picked off the lead tank—a mere 30 meters away.

The wrecks trapped the Panzer company in a head-to-head confrontation with the Gaelic behemoth. 37-millimeter rounds cracked from the long barrels of Panzer III tanks and ricocheted off Eure’s turret. Low-velocity 75-millimeter shells made basso thuds as they spat out the stubby guns of Panzer IV tanks, only to shatter in clouds of shrapnel against the French tank’s glacis.

More than 140 shells cratered Eure’s armor—but none penetrated. Billotte coolly blasted one Panzer after another.

Once he had destroyed the entire company—11 Panzer IIIs and two Panzer IVs in all—Billotte continued his advance and added two 37-millimeter anti-tank guns to the tally. By 7:00 A.M., Stonne was back under French control and would remain so for the rest of the day. The same day, the tank Riquewhir would charge into a column of enemy infantry, its blood-stained tracks causing the German 64th Schutzen Regiment to panic and flee an entire sector of Stonne.

For the first time, the Wehrmacht had encountered a tank that completely that outmatched its own.


https://warisboring.com/47857-2/

It was the French logistics that defeated France.
warspite1

France was defeated by so many things. You couldn't get that result otherwise:

- Fortune favoured the brave and the German plan was bold and audacious

But

- The French generals were past it
- They were fighting the war at WWI pace, they had no idea how quickly the Germans could move, let alone would move
- The Breda Variant meant that the reserve (some of the best French troops available) that should have been around to plug the gap at Sedan, were on their way to Holland
- The French air force were happy to blame the British but there were more French aircraft at the end of the battle than there was at the start
- The British Army was simply too small to be of sufficient help when things went pear shaped
- Every bit of luck going went the Germans way.
- In case anyone forgets, the German General Staff were almost at war over the best way to proceed on many occasions.

And there are plenty more points that could be added.


< Message edited by warspite1 -- 9/2/2020 8:04:40 PM >


_____________________________

England expects that every man will do his duty. Horatio Nelson October 1805



(in reply to RangerJoe)
Post #: 426
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/2/2020 7:59:08 PM   
Aurelian

 

Posts: 3916
Joined: 2/26/2007
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1

quote:

ORIGINAL: Aurelian


quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1


quote:

ORIGINAL: Zorch

quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1

By the way you are right, mummy warspite didn't name me after the greatest warship ever (FACT) , I chose that for obvious reasons.

If you had been a girl, would you be Queen Elizabeth?

warspite1

No, I would have been warspite1 - the name is gender neutral - and remember the actual ship was female (as all ships are).

HMS Warspite was a woman of a certain age that, by 1939, had been around the block a few times. She was a lady (when she needed to be) and 100% woman. She knew where it was at.



Well, the Bismark's only captain preferred to call his ship a he. Because he was of the opinion that such a powerful ship could only be a he.

warspite1

Well maybe Lutjens was a misogynist, maybe he just believed that men were stronger. But at end of the day, I would have preferred to be fighting Bismarck than the Grand Old Lady. There would only be one winner if those two faced off - and it wasn't Bismarck .

... and I'm not even biased



Well we all know that Warspite won the war. Such was her reputation that she won battles she was nowhere near. BTW, Lindemann was the captain :)


_____________________________

If the Earth was flat, cats would of knocked everything off of it long ago.

(in reply to warspite1)
Post #: 427
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/2/2020 8:02:04 PM   
warspite1


Posts: 41353
Joined: 2/2/2008
From: England
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: Aurelian


quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1

quote:

ORIGINAL: Aurelian


quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1


quote:

ORIGINAL: Zorch

quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1

By the way you are right, mummy warspite didn't name me after the greatest warship ever (FACT) , I chose that for obvious reasons.

If you had been a girl, would you be Queen Elizabeth?

warspite1

No, I would have been warspite1 - the name is gender neutral - and remember the actual ship was female (as all ships are).

HMS Warspite was a woman of a certain age that, by 1939, had been around the block a few times. She was a lady (when she needed to be) and 100% woman. She knew where it was at.



Well, the Bismark's only captain preferred to call his ship a he. Because he was of the opinion that such a powerful ship could only be a he.

warspite1

Well maybe Lutjens was a misogynist, maybe he just believed that men were stronger. But at end of the day, I would have preferred to be fighting Bismarck than the Grand Old Lady. There would only be one winner if those two faced off - and it wasn't Bismarck .

... and I'm not even biased



Well we all know that Warspite won the war. Such was her reputation that she won battles she was nowhere near. BTW, Lindemann was the captain :)

warspite1

You are correct sir - on both counts!


_____________________________

England expects that every man will do his duty. Horatio Nelson October 1805



(in reply to Aurelian)
Post #: 428
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/2/2020 8:20:38 PM   
Zovs


Posts: 6668
Joined: 2/23/2009
From: United States
Status: offline
Others have answered, CWIE2, is the computer version I play tested and worked on with Steve, Kent and Jerry. It’s still for sale for 60, it has no AI and can be played by up to three folks (Axis, Allied and Soviet). The UI is a little dated, but imo the engine is still true. I was on the pro SPI side and helped with those rules, Kent was more on the DG and KC/LA rules and Steve invented the advanced attrition option and Karl coded the whole thing and put up with us. I designed the SPI counters and did most of the Axis setups and set up all the initial scenarios and later CG, then it was a joint effort by us three on the final set up. Plus we three play tested the snot out of it. I have the latest patch as far as I know.

_____________________________


Beta Tester for:
Flashpoint Campaigns: Sudden Storm
War in the East 1 & 2
WarPlan & WarPlan Pacific
Valor & Victory
DG CWIE 2
SPWW2 & SPMBT scenario creator

(in reply to warspite1)
Post #: 429
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/3/2020 12:33:03 AM   
RangerJoe


Posts: 13450
Joined: 11/16/2015
From: My Mother, although my Father had some small part.
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1

quote:

ORIGINAL: RangerJoe

What those counters don't show is how a much better the French tanks were:


France’s Monstrous Char B1 Tank Ate German Panzers for Breakfast
But it couldn’t win the Battle of France by itself

quote:

Three squadrons of Stuka dive bombers ravaged Stonne, as well as both French and German artillery. That morning, the Panzer IIIEs and IVDs—then the best tanks in German service—deployed to stave off a French counterattack.

Suddenly, a squat green tank lumbered around a street block directly before of the German unit. This was Eure, a 31.5-ton Char B1 bis tank commanded by Capt. Pierre Billotte. His driver, Sergeant Durupt, triggered the 75-millimeter howitzer fixed in the front hull roared, smashing the Panzer III to the rear of the column. At the same time, Billotte swiveled the smaller 47-millimeter high velocity cannon in the turret and picked off the lead tank—a mere 30 meters away.

The wrecks trapped the Panzer company in a head-to-head confrontation with the Gaelic behemoth. 37-millimeter rounds cracked from the long barrels of Panzer III tanks and ricocheted off Eure’s turret. Low-velocity 75-millimeter shells made basso thuds as they spat out the stubby guns of Panzer IV tanks, only to shatter in clouds of shrapnel against the French tank’s glacis.

More than 140 shells cratered Eure’s armor—but none penetrated. Billotte coolly blasted one Panzer after another.

Once he had destroyed the entire company—11 Panzer IIIs and two Panzer IVs in all—Billotte continued his advance and added two 37-millimeter anti-tank guns to the tally. By 7:00 A.M., Stonne was back under French control and would remain so for the rest of the day. The same day, the tank Riquewhir would charge into a column of enemy infantry, its blood-stained tracks causing the German 64th Schutzen Regiment to panic and flee an entire sector of Stonne.

For the first time, the Wehrmacht had encountered a tank that completely that outmatched its own.


https://warisboring.com/47857-2/

It was the French logistics that defeated France.
warspite1

France was defeated by so many things. You couldn't get that result otherwise:

- Fortune favoured the brave and the German plan was bold and audacious

But

- The French generals were past it
- They were fighting the war at WWI pace, they had no idea how quickly the Germans could move, let alone would move
- The Breda Variant meant that the reserve (some of the best French troops available) that should have been around to plug the gap at Sedan, were on their way to Holland
- The French air force were happy to blame the British but there were more French aircraft at the end of the battle than there was at the start
- The British Army was simply too small to be of sufficient help when things went pear shaped
- Every bit of luck going went the Germans way.
- In case anyone forgets, the German General Staff were almost at war over the best way to proceed on many occasions.

And there are plenty more points that could be added.



If you read the rest of the story in that link, the Char Bis stopped the German Panzers cold on more than one occasion but did not have the maintenance nor fuel that they needed. They also frequently had no infantry nor artillery support partly because of the lack of transport assets.

_____________________________

Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!

“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
― Julia Child


(in reply to warspite1)
Post #: 430
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/3/2020 6:03:26 AM   
warspite1


Posts: 41353
Joined: 2/2/2008
From: England
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: RangerJoe


quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1

quote:

ORIGINAL: RangerJoe

What those counters don't show is how a much better the French tanks were:


France’s Monstrous Char B1 Tank Ate German Panzers for Breakfast
But it couldn’t win the Battle of France by itself

quote:

Three squadrons of Stuka dive bombers ravaged Stonne, as well as both French and German artillery. That morning, the Panzer IIIEs and IVDs—then the best tanks in German service—deployed to stave off a French counterattack.

Suddenly, a squat green tank lumbered around a street block directly before of the German unit. This was Eure, a 31.5-ton Char B1 bis tank commanded by Capt. Pierre Billotte. His driver, Sergeant Durupt, triggered the 75-millimeter howitzer fixed in the front hull roared, smashing the Panzer III to the rear of the column. At the same time, Billotte swiveled the smaller 47-millimeter high velocity cannon in the turret and picked off the lead tank—a mere 30 meters away.

The wrecks trapped the Panzer company in a head-to-head confrontation with the Gaelic behemoth. 37-millimeter rounds cracked from the long barrels of Panzer III tanks and ricocheted off Eure’s turret. Low-velocity 75-millimeter shells made basso thuds as they spat out the stubby guns of Panzer IV tanks, only to shatter in clouds of shrapnel against the French tank’s glacis.

More than 140 shells cratered Eure’s armor—but none penetrated. Billotte coolly blasted one Panzer after another.

Once he had destroyed the entire company—11 Panzer IIIs and two Panzer IVs in all—Billotte continued his advance and added two 37-millimeter anti-tank guns to the tally. By 7:00 A.M., Stonne was back under French control and would remain so for the rest of the day. The same day, the tank Riquewhir would charge into a column of enemy infantry, its blood-stained tracks causing the German 64th Schutzen Regiment to panic and flee an entire sector of Stonne.

For the first time, the Wehrmacht had encountered a tank that completely that outmatched its own.


https://warisboring.com/47857-2/

It was the French logistics that defeated France.
warspite1

France was defeated by so many things. You couldn't get that result otherwise:

- Fortune favoured the brave and the German plan was bold and audacious

But

- The French generals were past it
- They were fighting the war at WWI pace, they had no idea how quickly the Germans could move, let alone would move
- The Breda Variant meant that the reserve (some of the best French troops available) that should have been around to plug the gap at Sedan, were on their way to Holland
- The French air force were happy to blame the British but there were more French aircraft at the end of the battle than there was at the start
- The British Army was simply too small to be of sufficient help when things went pear shaped
- Every bit of luck going went the Germans way.
- In case anyone forgets, the German General Staff were almost at war over the best way to proceed on many occasions.

And there are plenty more points that could be added.



If you read the rest of the story in that link, the Char Bis stopped the German Panzers cold on more than one occasion but did not have the maintenance nor fuel that they needed. They also frequently had no infantry nor artillery support partly because of the lack of transport assets.
warspite1

Indeed, and I mentioned that some French tanks, in many respects, were better than the German in post 2 - but that was only part of the story.....


_____________________________

England expects that every man will do his duty. Horatio Nelson October 1805



(in reply to RangerJoe)
Post #: 431
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/3/2020 10:46:58 AM   
Bo Rearguard


Posts: 492
Joined: 4/7/2008
From: Basement of the Alamo
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1


What I find so strange is that he is prepared to accept the rules of a game as being some sort of fact, and what would definitely happen. The obvious example is Rule 13b (okay it may not be 13b ). The fact that the game states Spain surrender on taking the capital means it must happen that way in any counter-factual.

He seems to fail to understand that the rule could have been written that way for a number of reasons: e.g. counter limitations as some Spaniards fought on while others surrendered, or it was just too complicated to incorporate into the game mechanics etc etc.



It's probably some sort of nostalgia thing for the bygone glory days of SPI, Jim Dunnigan and board gaming.


_____________________________

"They couldn't hit an elephant at this dist ...." Union General John Sedgwick, 1864

(in reply to warspite1)
Post #: 432
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/3/2020 10:58:27 AM   
RangerJoe


Posts: 13450
Joined: 11/16/2015
From: My Mother, although my Father had some small part.
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1


quote:

ORIGINAL: RangerJoe


quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1

quote:

ORIGINAL: RangerJoe

What those counters don't show is how a much better the French tanks were:


France’s Monstrous Char B1 Tank Ate German Panzers for Breakfast
But it couldn’t win the Battle of France by itself

quote:

Three squadrons of Stuka dive bombers ravaged Stonne, as well as both French and German artillery. That morning, the Panzer IIIEs and IVDs—then the best tanks in German service—deployed to stave off a French counterattack.

Suddenly, a squat green tank lumbered around a street block directly before of the German unit. This was Eure, a 31.5-ton Char B1 bis tank commanded by Capt. Pierre Billotte. His driver, Sergeant Durupt, triggered the 75-millimeter howitzer fixed in the front hull roared, smashing the Panzer III to the rear of the column. At the same time, Billotte swiveled the smaller 47-millimeter high velocity cannon in the turret and picked off the lead tank—a mere 30 meters away.

The wrecks trapped the Panzer company in a head-to-head confrontation with the Gaelic behemoth. 37-millimeter rounds cracked from the long barrels of Panzer III tanks and ricocheted off Eure’s turret. Low-velocity 75-millimeter shells made basso thuds as they spat out the stubby guns of Panzer IV tanks, only to shatter in clouds of shrapnel against the French tank’s glacis.

More than 140 shells cratered Eure’s armor—but none penetrated. Billotte coolly blasted one Panzer after another.

Once he had destroyed the entire company—11 Panzer IIIs and two Panzer IVs in all—Billotte continued his advance and added two 37-millimeter anti-tank guns to the tally. By 7:00 A.M., Stonne was back under French control and would remain so for the rest of the day. The same day, the tank Riquewhir would charge into a column of enemy infantry, its blood-stained tracks causing the German 64th Schutzen Regiment to panic and flee an entire sector of Stonne.

For the first time, the Wehrmacht had encountered a tank that completely that outmatched its own.


https://warisboring.com/47857-2/

It was the French logistics that defeated France.
warspite1

France was defeated by so many things. You couldn't get that result otherwise:

- Fortune favoured the brave and the German plan was bold and audacious

But

- The French generals were past it
- They were fighting the war at WWI pace, they had no idea how quickly the Germans could move, let alone would move
- The Breda Variant meant that the reserve (some of the best French troops available) that should have been around to plug the gap at Sedan, were on their way to Holland
- The French air force were happy to blame the British but there were more French aircraft at the end of the battle than there was at the start
- The British Army was simply too small to be of sufficient help when things went pear shaped
- Every bit of luck going went the Germans way.
- In case anyone forgets, the German General Staff were almost at war over the best way to proceed on many occasions.

And there are plenty more points that could be added.



If you read the rest of the story in that link, the Char Bis stopped the German Panzers cold on more than one occasion but did not have the maintenance nor fuel that they needed. They also frequently had no infantry nor artillery support partly because of the lack of transport assets.
warspite1

Indeed, and I mentioned that some French tanks, in many respects, were better than the German in post 2 - but that was only part of the story.....


True. Supplying them, maintaining them, and supporting them were the biggest problems. If they could have held off the Germans, the French could have reorganized their command and control system hopefully in time. On well, that would be another game to simulate . . .

_____________________________

Seek peace but keep your gun handy.

I'm not a complete idiot, some parts are missing!

“Illegitemus non carborundum est (“Don’t let the bastards grind you down”).”
― Julia Child


(in reply to warspite1)
Post #: 433
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/3/2020 4:42:14 PM   
Orm


Posts: 22154
Joined: 5/3/2008
From: Sweden
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1
- Every bit of luck going went the Germans way.


I do not think this is true.

I think that the Allied forces were incapable of capitalizing on it when the luck went their way. While the German forces took their chances as they got them.

_____________________________

Have a bit more patience with newbies. Of course some of them act dumb -- they're often students, for heaven's sake. - Terry Pratchett

(in reply to warspite1)
Post #: 434
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/3/2020 4:50:54 PM   
Curtis Lemay


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quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1

The cost of the war - materially and financially - is something the Japanese can't afford long term. There is nothing controversial about that statement, its pretty obvious to anyone.


So, therefore, they should go to war with two of the greatest powers on Earth!!

quote:

We know what they chose and we know why they end up at war with the Commonwealth, the Dutch and the US.


Only after Barbarossa freed their hand to do so.

quote:

ORIGINAL: Curtis Lemay

That was obviously because of the War in the Pacific. And, it was four years later.


quote:

warspite1

Lolzer By jove I think he's got it (although he doesn't seem to understand why he's got it, or what he's actually got)!!


Yes, I've got it: It was not because of China itself!!!! It was because of the war they got into with the US and Britain.

quote:

Allow me to explain. No. You. Don't. Now for the billionth time, you have a Wiki article that tells you that Barbarossa meant that the argument - North or South - was effectively settled. What you don't have BECAUSE IT DIDN'T HAPPEN, is a Wiki article that tells you what would happen if there was no Barbarossa. That is what we use our knowledge and our understanding of the situation Japan faced for. That is the very essence of a counter-factual. You metaphorically clinging to your Wiki article like a passenger of the Titanic who has just seen the last lifeboat depart, isn't going to help you.


"Furthermore, within the Japanese high command there was a disagreement over what to do about the Soviet threat to the north of their Manchurian territories. The tipping point came just after the Nazi invasion of the Soviet Union in late June 1941. With the Soviets tied down, the high command concluded that a "strike south" would solve Japan's problems with the United States, most notably the increasing American concerns about Japan's moves in China, and the possibility of a crippling oil embargo on Japan. To prepare for an invasion of the Dutch East Indies, some 140,000 Japanese troops invaded southern French Indochina on 28 July 1941."

Clearly, they saw the Soviets as a threat. Rightly so. They only authorized the FIC and Rising Sun actions after Barbarossa. You have to be blind not to see this, folks.

< Message edited by Curtis Lemay -- 9/3/2020 4:51:15 PM >


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Post #: 435
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/3/2020 5:00:50 PM   
warspite1


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Orm


quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1
- Every bit of luck going went the Germans way.


I do not think this is true.

I think that the Allied forces were incapable of capitalizing on it when the luck went their way. While the German forces took their chances as they got them.
warspite1

I'd certainly agree that the Allies in May 1940 were incapable of quite a lot but I'd be interested to know what bits of luck the Allies were on the receiving end of as opposed to the Germans?

The German luck for this campaign began all the way back in the autumn of 1939. The German army was is no fit state to undertake operations against France after Poland. Furthermore the plan of attack at that point was nothing more than an unimaginative Napoleonic (at his worst) full frontal slog that would have likely got stalled in Belgium. Hitler simply would not hear of delaying - but was saved by the weather. From here, time and again the Germans got the rub of the green.

Further examples - what if the Mechelen incident hadn't happened? What if the repeated and numerous warnings and tip offs had been headed? what if Guderian and Rommel (to name but two) had been stopped from disobeying orders? What if the infantry generals had won the argument for how to proceed after Sedan? What if Loerzer had done what he should, and taken his orders from von Kleist at Sedan? What if Guderian had stayed sacked?

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Post #: 436
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/3/2020 5:05:11 PM   
Curtis Lemay


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quote:

ORIGINAL: RangerJoe

You keep referring to a game designed to make money as reality. So does the game of Life describe your life? Has the world developed like it has in Risk? Did you enjoy eating all of those colours and candy in Candyland?


Those are not historical simulations. Wargames are no different than any other secondary source - like a book.

quote:

The trucks that the Turkish people had could tow guns and haul supplies. The only things that they Germans could initially haul across the Sea of Marmora would be infantry and very light artillery. The Turks could crush that easily.


That depends upon the size and quantities of the barges. They would get full infantry divisions across. More than enough to handle whatever forces the Turks would have on the other side - not much, in other words. For whatever reason, SPI says the Turkish divisions were mostly static. I'll take SPI over the nice people on this board any day.

quote:

The Soviets had sold equipment to Turkey and they would not be blind to the risk of a Nazi German occupied Turkey. Although it would be very difficult for any German Armee to force its way through the mountains into the Soviet Union.


It would be all over before any help arrived. Once the straits are breached, there's little to stop the Germans - especially by static forces.

quote:

The British would not be stupid either, they would send equipment and probably military units as well. Why, even one of Kamal's daughters would probably fly to attack the Germans! Not to mention that the Turks would also help supply Greek partisans.


Again, the British had just been thrown out of Greece.

quote:

You have the Luftwaffe everywhere and doing everything. It could not and would not be able to do everything that you want it to do, all at the same time. Besides, they are marching while carrying signs in France to try and scare the British.


No. Only those air assets that had historically been allotted to Barbarossa will be available in Turkey.

quote:

The destroyed Soviet aircraft were obsolete types like the I-15 and the I-16. Much better types were being trained on. Soviet peace time production was rather high and undisturbed by any enemy activity, it would continue to produce lots of equipment. Any equipment sent to Turkey to kill Germans would weaken the Germans and thus make the Soviet position that much better.


They were still destroyed on the ground. Wouldn't have mattered what types of planes they were. Strategic surprise has that impact.

quote:

The Soviet T-34 and the KV-1 each had less than 200 produced in 1940. But the production rate was a lot higher the in the next two years. The T-34 had over 3,000 produced in 1941 and over 12,000 in 1942. While the KV-1 did not have that high of a production rate, still thousands were produced. Every one of those tanks could replace a lighter tank which could then have been transferred to the Turks.


That was wartime production. Peacetime production was not even a fraction of that.

quote:

The US would also have offered weapons under Lend-Lease.


That would have taken months. It will all be over before then.

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Post #: 437
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/3/2020 5:21:56 PM   
Curtis Lemay


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Zovs

As a long time SPI and DG War In Europe (WIE) (and the CWIE2 game) player of WIE Bob (aka Curtis Lemay) is not giving WIE it's proper perspective. In that game there is a Political game as well and Bob is mis representing WIE.

Anyway, in SPI the Political game has Political Points are awarded based on Axis and Allied actions, which can be either positive or negative and then depending on where the Political level is certain (predetermined things, like Italy activating or Bulgaria joining the Axis, or the US entering early) take place.


Yes, there is a political cost for invading Spain and Turkey, and that cost is not completely regained when they are conquered. But there is no immediate impact in the game. The impact comes later when the Allies have things going their way. The idea is to never get to that point.

quote:

So what Bob is not showing is in a real game of WIE its very very risky for the Germans to go after Spain (and as pointed out by warspite) and it makes not sense, since if you can do enough they will activate on the Axis side, but here is the rub that Bob has not stated (and others have) the Germans only have so much Production points to purchase new units (i.e., infantry divisions and static divisions) and you have to have the correct number of Garrisons in place or partisans (which can turn out to be quite nasty) will pop up. Poland and France have to be garrisoned. Poland requires 15 divisions (as does Turkey), and Belgium, Netherlands and Denmark each require 2 divisions each, Greece and Portugal each require 5 divisions, Norway, Sweden and Switzerland (which is impassible) each require 10 divisions and lastly, France, Spain and the UK require 30 divisions each in that game.

So just taking WIE with the proposed Med option, with the Axis accepting Vichy France, they would already have to keep 56 divisions (France, Poland, Belgium, Netherlands, Denmark and Norway) in Garrison. They start the 1940 CG with 120 Infantry divisions (in Germany and 15 in Garrison in Poland), 10 Pz Divisions, 6 Mech Divisions, 1 Cav division and 1 security division.


There is a large garrison requirement for Spain and (somewhat less) for Turkey. But, as I've said, that can be filled by Italy.

Since we're now talking about this game, here's a pointer from it:

The Soviet Union can only declare a "Limited War" against Germany after August 1941. Under that declaration, Soviet Production is only a little more than peacetime production. And there is a big downside: Total War doesn't begin till three Soviet Productions centers have been captured by the Axis. That means the Soviets can be badly compromised before they get to go to Total War.

quote:

Lastly, anyone staking any validation or historical reference in Wikipedia is a fool.

Anyone can create an account, sign into Wikipedia and edit the content to their hearts content, how valid is that data now? Worthless.


That assumes that Wiki has no editorial standards. That they are no better than a chat site. That's absurd. They wouldn't be what they were with such a business model.

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Post #: 438
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/3/2020 5:29:52 PM   
Curtis Lemay


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quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1

But what are you saying? The time taken to defeat a nation is dependent upon the number of divisions? That is nonsense.

The defeat of France should never have happened (certainly not in the time it did if at all) based on the size of each force and the equipment each had. The result was caused by many things - and no matter how much one should give plaudits to the Germans - the fact was they were colossally lucky. Imagine what would have happened with no Breda Variant? Imagine if Guderian had remained sacked, imagine if Loerzer had not ignored von Kleist etc. etc.

You look at things too simplistically.


I'm just making the comparison between the shot of France and the shot of Spain.

This isn't about France, that occurs historically in this study. (Note that there is a rule requiring the northern part of the Allies to plunge into Belgium and Holland on turn one that facilitates their defeat).

quote:

I have not said at anytime that the Spanish won't be defeated. They will. But how quickly? Well we need to understand far more than you are prepared to provide.


But note that SPI gives Spain a total strength of 21. So the Force the Germans had at the start of France was 35 times the Spanish strength. It won't be a problem.

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Post #: 439
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/3/2020 5:34:08 PM   
Curtis Lemay


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Zovs

Spot on, you hit the nail on the head here. I have been playing board war games since 1976 and computer war games since 1994, and here in 2020 with board games I can easily understand why James F. Dunnigan (the creator, owner of SPI and one of the best innovators (or thief, take your pick) of war game design of all time), did or wrote what he wrote 40+ years ago, you have to remember when it came time to publish war games back then in general most games came with 200 counters on one sheet, and that cost money, so if you created a game that need 310 unit counters you had to create two sheets, likewise most maps from that era (and even in today's board war gaming world) you'd have to print two maps, all that costs money. Also, if you ever read though all the various designer notes from the 70's and 80's, you get even more insight in how they designed games and you have have pointed that out (I think it was the SPI game NATO that said if you wanted thermal nuclear weapons then pour some lighter fluid on the game map and light it up with a match, game over, or some such), anyway your right, there were back then (and even today in computer war games) limitations and you just had to make a cut or a rule in order to ship it out.


They definitely did not scrip on the counters for that game.

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Post #: 440
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/3/2020 5:36:27 PM   
Curtis Lemay


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quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1

Is this game still available to purchase. It looks fun!!


I hope to get TOAW to the point where it can be made as a scenario. Lot of coding left to do before that point, though.

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Post #: 441
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/3/2020 6:34:50 PM   
Zovs


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I have already created a TOAW scenario for WIE.

TOAW is not the perfect engine for WIE, CWIE2 is, it was designed by Karl and it incorporates all the SPI, DG, LA/KC rules which TOAW simply can't handle.

If you want to play WIE get CWIE or the board game.

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Post #: 442
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/3/2020 8:24:31 PM   
warspite1


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Curtis Lemay

So, therefore, they should go to war with two of the greatest powers on Earth!!

warspite1

So in addition to asking me what I would do, and what I think, You now state the above - should there be a question mark there?

BUT Japan DID go to war with the USA and the CW, and what I think, what I would do, what Japan SHOULD DO is TOTALLY AND UTTERLY IRRELEVANT.

We are trying to understand what the Japanese leaders, those that took the decisions they did in the build up to WWII, would have done if Barbarossa didn’t happen. For the last time, what I would do, especially as I have the benefit of hindsight, simply shouldn’t be a consideration, shouldn’t enter your mind, shouldn’t be given a moment’s thought. This is a what-if and you are putting yourself in Japan’s shoes and with no hindsight allowed.

quote:

ORIGINAL: Curtis Lemay

They only authorized the FIC and Rising Sun actions after Barbarossa.

warspite1

And I have also mentioned this second point so many times…… Once again you state that the Japanese move into the FIC was after Barbarossa. I’ve spelt the chronology out so many times, why do you keep getting it wrong?

I am not going to type the full chronology out for the umpteenth time as I really can’t be bothered. But the key point:

To assist their war in China, and buoyed by the problems facing Britain (and that have already befallen France and Holland) the Japanese moved into northern FIC in the autumn of 1940. This led to a tightening of the economic screw. Japan was now faced with an embargo of strategic materials – this was going to affect the military. Do you understand this now? FIC = before Barbarossa (tightening of the embargo including all scrap metals, aircraft lubricants etc). Second move into the FIC = after Barbarossa (Freeze of Assets and Oil)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Curtis Lemay

Clearly, they saw the Soviets as a threat.

warspite1

So you are saying the Japanese saw the Soviets as a threat, but not the USN? That is hogwash. Different factions within Japan each had their own thoughts on this.

So even though the Japanese had signed a peace treaty with the Soviets in early 1941, even though they could see what was happening in Europe (in your scenario), you believe that the Japanese wouldn’t possibly, under any circumstances, decide to move into southern FIC with a view to a move south.

However, the Japanese (who were on the verge of pulling out of most of China in 1940 before Hitler’s early success) decided that the US were not worth worrying about?? They were going to stay in China (with the economic problems that was bringing), they then decided to move in the FIC (knowing it would upset the CW and USA), they then signed the Tripartite Pact (which was aimed at the US). But according to you none of those aggressive acts should be taken into consideration when deciding on whether Japan would have headed south even without a Barbarossa? Newsflash: the USN was a factor in Japan's thinking - and yet she took the actions above anyway......

quote:

ORIGINAL: Curtis Lemay

You have to be blind not to see this, folks.

warspite1

No, contrary to what you say, you don’t have to be hard of sight to come to the conclusion that the Japanese needed to get out of the hole she had dug and, just as in real life, provided she could reasonably gamble that the USSR would not attack Manchuria, then a grab for oil was a ‘sensible’ move.

You ignore the possibility that Japan could possibly take the same course as real life and insist there are only two possible courses of action that they can take:

If there is no Barbarossa can one make the argument that the Japanese will decide to do nothing?

Having made the decision to stay in China, I don't think so no. After all the move into FIC in September 1940 was taken largely to help the war in China. This in turn has just brought a strategic embargo crashing round their heads. The message is clear, unless the Japanese get out of China, every time Japan moves, the US simply tighten the noose....

The Japanese 'missed the bus' faction decided there would be no withdrawal from China in 1940. That decision, from every possible angle, diplomatic, economic, military, means that doing nothing (and relying on a future course of action by Germany that may or may not happen) is simply not an option.

If there is no Barbarossa, can one make the argument that the Japanese will attack the NEI alone?

This is perhaps the easiest of all the questions raised in this entire scenario. NO not under any circumstances. In real life the Japanese felt that if they went for the oil they would need to hit the US first. There is ABSOLUTELY NOTHING in this scenario that has happened to make the Japanese (those who historically set Japan at war with the US) make any different decision. Not one single thing.

< Message edited by warspite1 -- 9/4/2020 7:53:30 AM >


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Post #: 443
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/3/2020 8:36:16 PM   
warspite1


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Curtis Lemay

Yes, there is a political cost for invading Spain and Turkey.....But there is no immediate impact in the game.

warspite1

So completely unrelated to real life then?

quote:

ORIGINAL: Curtis Lemay

There is a large garrison requirement for Spain and (somewhat less) for Turkey. But, as I've said, that can be filled by Italy.

warspite1

So completely unrelated to real life then? Spain can be considered relative to Yugoslavia because of size. Spain can't be considered relative to Yugoslavia based on strategic position and the time in the war that troops were needed. Italian troops have better things to be doing than clearing up after Germany's mess in 1940. Furthermore, and as was shown in Yugoslavia, the Italians were not exactly brilliant at that job...... Whichever way you slice it, there will be a lot of Germans needed in Spain and in Spanish Morocco.




< Message edited by warspite1 -- 9/3/2020 8:51:00 PM >


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Post #: 444
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/3/2020 8:41:41 PM   
warspite1


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Curtis Lemay

I'm just making the comparison between the shot of France and the shot of Spain.

But note that SPI gives Spain a total strength of 21. So the Force the Germans had at the start of France was 35 times the Spanish strength. It won't be a problem.

warspite1

But it only says so much. The number as between Germany and Spain will tell us who is going to win the regular war ultimately (although quite clearly the Germans are not going to be putting their entire army into the southwest of France so it is not a case of 735 vs 21).

What those numbers can't tell us - in exactly the same way that numbers alone could never tell someone what would happen in France 1940 - is how well each side will fight, what mistakes will be made, what help will be received, what the weather will do, the use of terrain and the state of the logistics battle etc. etc.


< Message edited by warspite1 -- 9/3/2020 8:47:53 PM >


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Post #: 445
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/3/2020 10:13:07 PM   
UP844


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quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1

Italian troops have better things to be doing than clearing up after Germany's mess in 1940. Furthermore, and as was shown in Yugoslavia, the Italians were not exactly brilliant at that job......



I suspect Italian troops would be even less brilliant as occupiers of a nation where they fought just two years before to install Franco, with the attendance of many high-ranking Fascist and military leaders and the blessing of the Catholic Church.

I strongly doubt Mussolini would have taken part in this adventure, partly for internal political reasons and partly because at this time he was still pursuing his idea of a "parallel war" (this is before the reversals in Greece and North Africa).



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Post #: 446
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/3/2020 11:48:48 PM   
Aurelian

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1

quote:

ORIGINAL: Curtis Lemay

I'm just making the comparison between the shot of France and the shot of Spain.

But note that SPI gives Spain a total strength of 21. So the Force the Germans had at the start of France was 35 times the Spanish strength. It won't be a problem.

warspite1

But it only says so much. The number as between Germany and Spain will tell us who is going to win the regular war ultimately (although quite clearly the Germans are not going to be putting their entire army into the southwest of France so it is not a case of 735 vs 21).

What those numbers can't tell us - in exactly the same way that numbers alone could never tell someone what would happen in France 1940 - is how well each side will fight, what mistakes will be made, what help will be received, what the weather will do, the use of terrain and the state of the logistics battle etc. etc.


An old game by a defunct company that designed it with cookie cutter counters,(as in all German infantry is the same strength being used)....

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Post #: 447
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/4/2020 5:34:36 AM   
warspite1


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quote:

ORIGINAL: UP844


quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1

Italian troops have better things to be doing than clearing up after Germany's mess in 1940. Furthermore, and as was shown in Yugoslavia, the Italians were not exactly brilliant at that job......



I suspect Italian troops would be even less brilliant as occupiers of a nation where they fought just two years before to install Franco, with the attendance of many high-ranking Fascist and military leaders and the blessing of the Catholic Church.

I strongly doubt Mussolini would have taken part in this adventure, partly for internal political reasons and partly because at this time he was still pursuing his idea of a "parallel war" (this is before the reversals in Greece and North Africa).


warspite1

I suggested that Mussolini, like with the BoB, would want to be seen as 'contributing' to the German victory, but you raise a good point.

Like you, I still believe that Mussolini's focus would be on his 'New Roman Army' achieving its own success and earning its own glory by taking Egypt. And there is no reason for Hitler to have dissuaded him from that.

And you suggest getting involved in aggressive war in Spain (which would have been a MASSIVE decision for Hitler) would have been an even bigger deal for Mussolini.

You may well be right. After all the Italians suffered more losses in the Spanish Civil war than the Germans, got less out of it (surprise surprise Mussolini was too keen on grand gestures of generosity and less interested in actually getting paid - and unlike Germany who certainly got their pound of flesh - the Italians did not exploit the Spaniards natural resources) and spent more on the war (one of the reasons the Italians were still largely in biplanes at the start of WWII was the money spent on helping Franco assume power in Spain). So why, the Italians would be entitled to ask, are we happy for the Germans to get involved in Spain. It is a not unimportant point that Italy got involved in the Spanish Civil War on the understanding that Italy would be the main power in the Mediterranean after the war. Unlike a friendly Franco allowing German troops in, if Spain is to be run by a pro-German puppet that controls Gibraltar (and one exit to the Atlantic) then that is not necessarily a great development for Italy.....

Of course if the Italians decided that keeping out of Spain was the right thing to do, then it would be even more difficult for them to decide to suddenly provide the bulk of the occupation troops. But even if they did, the Spanish would no doubt scornfully remember the performance of some of the Italian troops in the Civil War (Guadalajara for example). I would imagine that for any would-be partisan, the sight of immobile Italians - largely shorn of vehicles - as their occupiers, would be of greater comfort than Germans.


< Message edited by warspite1 -- 9/4/2020 7:47:26 AM >


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Post #: 448
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/4/2020 5:59:34 AM   
warspite1


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Curtis Lemay

Again, the British had just been thrown out of Greece.

warspite1

Why do you say that? In your scenario how can you have an Italo-Greek war? You said that 5th and 10th Armies are in and around Tripoli keeping the British in Tripolitania so that they can be conveniently surrounded (but of course ensuring that they don't actually lose Tripoli in the meantime). Apart from occupation troops in France and garrisons watching over Yugoslavia and Greece, you have some 30-odd divisions in Spain and Spanish Morocco. What troops have the Italians got to get involved in Greece?

And anyway, even if there were, I thought in your scenario Mussolini was a simple puppet of Hitler with no independent say over the movement of Italian troops. If Hitler wouldn't let Mussolini attack Egypt (and Mussolini meekly complied), why would he allow them into Greece (and why would Mussolini be any less compliant)?

If there is no Greece then why are the British in Greece to be thrown out of it?

This is why it makes no sense to debate this scenario in anything other than chronological order. And at the moment we are still waiting to understand what the Germans are doing to tie down British forces so that we can make assumptions over how the British may react to the attack on Spain when that kicks off.


< Message edited by warspite1 -- 9/4/2020 6:02:51 AM >


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Post #: 449
RE: The question to ask about The Italians - 9/4/2020 2:41:50 PM   
Curtis Lemay


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quote:

ORIGINAL: warspite1

We are trying to understand what the Japanese leaders, those that took the decisions they did in the build up to WWII, would have done if Barbarossa didn’t happen. For the last time, what I would do, especially as I have the benefit of hindsight, simply shouldn’t be a consideration, shouldn’t enter your mind, shouldn’t be given a moment’s thought. This is a what-if and you are putting yourself in Japan’s shoes and with no hindsight allowed.


Right. And the wiki article clearly shows that they were (rightly) seeing the Soviets as a threat. We know that, historically, the Soviets occupied Japanese home islands and Manchuria at the end of the war - confirming that that threat wasn't just Japan's imagination. They can't do what they did historically while one of those three powers threating them is unencumbered. Barbarossa has to be a prerequisite for that. The Soviets are a particularly dangerous threat because they can base air power in range of the home islands they want. No navy needed.

quote:

And I have also mentioned this second point so many times…… Once again you state that the Japanese move into the FIC was after Barbarossa. I’ve spelt the chronology out so many times, why do you keep getting it wrong?

I am not going to type the full chronology out for the umpteenth time as I really can’t be bothered. But the key point:

To assist their war in China, and buoyed by the problems facing Britain (and that have already befallen France and Holland) the Japanese moved into northern FIC in the autumn of 1940. This led to a tightening of the economic screw. Japan was now faced with an embargo of strategic materials – this was going to affect the military. Do you understand this now? FIC = before Barbarossa (tightening of the embargo including all scrap metals, aircraft lubricants etc). Second move into the FIC = after Barbarossa (Freeze of Assets and Oil)


In bold is what I was referring to.

quote:

So you are saying the Japanese saw the Soviets as a threat, but not the USN? That is hogwash. Different factions within Japan each had their own thoughts on this.


No. But I'm saying that three major powers threatening them was more than they could deal with. At least one had to be canceled.

quote:

So even though the Japanese had signed a peace treaty with the Soviets in early 1941, even though they could see what was happening in Europe (in your scenario), you believe that the Japanese wouldn’t possibly, under any circumstances, decide to move into southern FIC with a view to a move south.


They were at peace with the US and the UK too. And, even the Soviets didn't see what was coming in Europe.

quote:

There is ABSOLUTELY NOTHING in this scenario that has happened to make the Japanese (those who historically set Japan at war with the US) make any different decision. Not one single thing.


No Barbarossa is what is different.

_____________________________

My TOAW web site:

Bob Cross's TOAW Site

(in reply to warspite1)
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