John 3rd -> OK...now what? (2/27/2009 4:48:13 PM)
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Brad and I have one heck of a discussion going on for strategy with India about to happen. This is the series of emails so far for the morning: From Bard: It should be obvious now what is up. They are concentrating Air at Madras, away from those bombers over Calcutta and Dacca. Madras is the only AF that can interdict the invasion. Hopefully that will be taken care of tommorow. I have several floatplanes that are going to recon Viz tommorow; the day after, we are going to bombard, and we are going to land the day after that. I am hoping there are no CD guns there; if not we can use DD's. Only way to find out unfortunately is to send 1 DD in to bombard with the cruisers. I'll make it an old one, so if it gets shot up we don't lose anything. We need to look at where all the ground troops are going. I think we are going to need alot for India, basically all we can scrape together. I think there are 2 Bdes in China coming out, I would advocate sending them to India. But let's look at troops commitments around the map. Against the USN, we probably need small garrisons, using airpower to guard those areas, and have a ready reserve of troops. The most likely places for early Allied landings are Wake, Tarawa, and Exmouth. I would think about grabbing Thursday Is. That base is a pest if the Allies reinforce it. I think Pago Pago is going to be a cakewalk. After that, 56th Division can probably do one of 3 things: 1. Go to handy port and become mobile reserve 2. Prep for Canton Is. 3. Land on NZ, see if we can take North Island Auckland is probably out of reach though, but I think they are sufficiently freaked out at the moment, witness the Hudsons all over the place there. My Reply: The actual range to Viza is 13 from BOTH locations so I left everything the same. Moved some Vals up to Taung Gyi to hit Lashio for training. Don't think they should take some losses. If they do then we can pull them back and transfer them back to the CVs. We need GOOD weather!!! Will find out about Madras. There are currently 3 Inf Brig in China all heading for Shanghai. One is about to FINALLY leave the Pucheng hex, another is about 4 hexes from Shanghai, and the last is moving east from Central China. My thoughts were to use these units to provide the punch for taking the North Island. If you think moving them to India would be more appropriate then that might be true and it needs to be thought about. The 56th could help in New Zealand too. As you point out their will be a fairly short window of opportunity. The Betty and Zero can help some flying out of Gisbome. I am going to TRY and hit Wellington with enough troops to make a real crack at it. This should give an indication as to what might be possible. If there isn't much hope then we do a pullout before we run the great risk of losing all of it. I will move this discussion over to the AAR for people to comment. Might be really fun to see what they say. His Comment: This question really speaks to how to defend the Empire. I don't think that's an easy question. The most complicated aspect is Atolls, for example. Take the Gilberts. Building Fort Tarawa is obvious. What do you do with the rest? Do you leave it alone? That saves time and troops, but it also leaves the area vulnerable to a neat Allied tactic of: 1. Bomb Tarawa to bits with 4E. 2. Land several SeeBees at 2 nearby Atolls, with enough troops to guard it 3. Build airbases 4. Bomb Tarawa constantly with 2E; train your pilots; move on to the next chain. Tarawa starves. Do you build up the neighboring atolls? Well, the advantage is that makes it much harder to shut down the airfields; you have to take out several, not just Tarawa. But on the flip side, we have to defend them in force, or give them an instant airbase if they do get troops in. Ultimately what makes it harder is that once we lose control of the air, we lose control of the base, no matter what land defenses we have. It's just a matter of how much Allied effort it takes. Until about 7/42, we have enough airpower to maintain a defensive perimeter, regardless of boots on the ground. USN CV's cannot, under any circumstances, sail within 8 hexes of a size-4 Japanese airbase without seriously being exposed. (this is Zero range). Once they get enough 4Es together, they have a chance; once they get P-38s in 10/42, they can go on the offensive, because those ****ers can clear the skies. They also can take more risks with CV's, because they have reinforcements coming in 1943. So we have to think about outer,inner perimeters, and the ultimate defensibility of points. I think, for example, that Gisbourne is impossible to defend, though that expedition has been great, because it's really thrown them off. Once they get 4Es to Auckland, though, it's over for us there. Ideally, they organize a massive attack for it, and then find it empty. I think that this is a very good discussion and would like to see what people have to say...
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